Highlights Overview Project Activity July 2005 August 2006

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HighlightsOverview Project ActivityJuly 2005
August 2006
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Theme 1 Patterns and Variability
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Multiple Constraints Carbon Cycle Data
Assimilation
Trace Gas Transport Model InterComparison
Optimization InterComparison
(Parameter Estimation) Optimization
InterComparison 10 participant groups CSIRO-ESA
funded
1 constraint

• Transport Model
• Atmospheric CO2

Final synthesis 2006 2 papers
2 constraints

• Transport Model
• Terrest. Biosphere
• AVHRR-PAR
• Atmospheric CO2

Contributing to
Carbon Fusion UK-NERC and other partners
Data Assimilation US-NSF proposal (submitted)
Rayner et al. 2005
Theme 1
Lead by Raupach
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Dynamic Regional Carbon Budgets and Methodologies
Conference Beijing, 16-19 August 2006 -
International Workshop Beijing, 20 August 2006
Focus on Asia Pacific

• Synthesis Papers (in preparation) for special
  Issue
• Model intercomparsion on regional carbon budgets
• 1st stage China (2006-07)
• 2nd stage Asia Pacific (2007-08)

Theme 1
Lead by GCP-Beijing Office, Canadell
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Regional Project on Carbon and Water Issues in SE
Asia

• "Regional project on carbon and water issues in
  SE Asia"
• has funded 7 projects with PIs from Vietnam,
  Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and the
  Philippines in 2006.
• 2. "Advanced training workshop on carbon and
  water issues in SE Asia" An international team of
  18 lecturers from 8 countries provided training
  to 33 junior faculty and senior technician/staff
  from 13 countries in Southeast Asia (including
  Australia) and South Asia. A new workshop will be
  held next November. The Workshop was organized by
  the Southeast Asia Regional Committee for START
  (SARCS) and sponsored by the GCP.

Theme 1
Lead by Chen
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Annual Update of the Global Carbon Budget
Short News in Science/EOS Media event with Press
Release Website
Theme 1
Lead by Lequere, Canadell
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Theme 2 Processes and Feedbacks
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Vulnerability of the Carbon Cycle in the 21st
Century
Hot Spots of the Carbon-Climate-Human System
Land
Permafrost
Oceans
HL Peatlands
CH4 HydratesBiological Pump Solubility Pump
T Peatlands
Veg.-Fire/LUC
GCP 2005
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Vulnerability of Frozen Carbon

• To updated Geo-referenced database on frozen
  carbon stocks.
• To develop a conceptual framework with all
  processes and feedbacks to understand future
  dynamics.
• To synthesize century-scale permafrost dynamics
• from GCMs and 1-D models.
• Overall Synthesis Vulnerable in permafrost
  carbon.

Workshop Series 2006-08 Funded by European
Science Foundation National Center for
Ecological Analysis and Synthesis
(NCEAS-NSF) ICSU grant to IGBP
1st meeting Santa Barbara, CA February 2006
Partnership Global Carbon Project
(GCP) International Permafrost Association (IPA)
Climate and Cryosphere (CliC-WCRP)
Theme 2
Lead by Field Canadell
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Vulnerability of Carbon in Tropical Peatlands
Workshop Series (2006-08) Funded by Asia
Pacific Network, GCP, GEC, CIFOR 1st Wk January
2006, Sumatra, Indonesia
Partnership Global Carbon Project (GCP) Global
Environment Center-Malaysia (GEC) CIFOR-Bogor
(Indonesia)

• Undertaken Research Synthesis
• Update on extent and C stocks
• Land use change impacts
• Fire impacts
• Future C emissions (scenarios)
• Special Issue in ECOSYSTEMS
• (submission 2007)

• New Research
• Carbon transport by water in Kalimantan (Chens
  Program)
• Mitigation and Adaptation reducing
  vulnerability through conservation and
  sustainable use of peatland (APN, CIFOR)
• EU to sponsor 2007-10 Wks

Theme 2
Lead by Canadell, Parish, Murdiyarso
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Vulnerabilities of the C cycle to Drought and Fire
Are regional drying trends weakening the
terrestrial carbon sink?
Australian Academy of Science, Canberra,
Australia, 5-9 June 2006
Co-sponsors GCP, Australian AR-ESS-N, AIMES, ESF

• Theme 1 Observations of Climate Change,
  Variability and the Carbon Cycle
• Theme 2 Processes and Controls of Coupled
  Carbon-Water Cycles
• Theme 3 Modeling Present and Future Interactions
  of Carbon and Hydrological Cycles
• Theme 4 Vulnerability and Ecosystem Services of
  Carbon-Water Cycles

Theme 2
Lead by Raupach Canadell
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Vulnerabilities Synthesis and Integration

• Raupach MR, Canadell JG (2006)
• Observing a vulnerable carbon cycle.
• In Observing the Continental Scale Greenhouse
  Gas Balance of Europe (eds. H. Dolman, R.
  Valentini, A. Freibauer), Springer, Berlin
  (submitted).
• Canadell JG, Gifford R, Houghton S, Pataki D,
  Raupach MR, Smith P, Steffen W (2006)
• Saturation of the terrestrial carbon sink.
• In Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World,
  Canadell JG, Pataki D, Pitelka L (eds.). The IGBP
  Series. Springer, Berlin (in press)

Theme 2
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Theme 3 Carbon Management
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Open Science Conference
Carbon Management at Urban and Regional
Levels Connecting Development Decisions to
Global Issues Mexico City, September 4-8, 2006
Co-Sponsors AIMES START Global Land Project
IHDP/IGBP Urbanization Project Industrial
Transformation (IT) National Institute of
Ecology (INE) and Metropolitan Autonomous
University
Theme 3
Lead by Romero, Dhakal
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Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)
Place-based and policy-relevant carbon management
research agenda
B. Relatively shorter-term carbon management
perspective inside cities and regions
A. Longer-term regional carbon management
perspective
Other activities in 2006/2007
Diagnostic approach Solution-seeking approach
Earth System Science Partnership
Regional development pathways and its
implications on carbon (1)
Carbon accounting (2)
Analyzing proximate and underlying drivers (3)
Evaluating trade-offs/synergies of integrating
carbon mgmt in key urban issues (4)
Studying opportunities for re-orienting
institutions and incentive systems (5)
Energy use from fossil fuel Holistic
analyses Sectoral analyses
Energy choice Buildings Transport Pollution
management
Direct and embodied carbon emissions and sinks
Locally, at urban and regional levels Nationally I
nternational mechanisms and emerging climate
regimes
Holistic variables such as POETIC Specific and
focused variables such as lifestyle, population
etc.
Urban and regional development scenario and
assessing its carbon consequences
Land use changes
Theme 3
Lead by Dhakal
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Social Networks Urban/Regional Carbon Management

• Power to Change Power to Resist
• Missing or Weak Clusters in Policy-
• Making or Implementation
• 3. Shared Values for Building Consensus
• Creating Knowledge-Sharing Action
• Clusters
• Knitting Networks for Action
• Stakeholder Networks, Worldview
• Commitment to Decarbonized Future
• Time Place Stamps in Network Data
• Computational Laboratories

Theme 3
Lead by Canan
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Lessons from Implementing the Montreal Protocol
for URCM

• Technology Economic Assessment Panel
• Global Network of Industry, Government, Academia,
  NGOs
• Fostered Collaboration
• Can-Do Teams
• Leadership
• Linked Co-Benefits

Theme 3
Lead by Canan
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Carbon Sequestration and Policy
NIES

• Science bases for carbon accounting rules in the
  Land Use and Land Use Change and Forestry
  (LULUCF) sector for international negotiations.
  Including
• Deforestation Avoidance.
• Factoring out direct from indirect human-induced
  influences on C sources and sinks.

• One workshop every year associated with COP or
  SBSTA meetings.
• Special Issue in Environmental Policy and Climate
  (in preparation).
• Deforestation Avoidance (Policy Briefing, in
  preparation)

Theme 3
Lead by Schlamadinger, Yamagata, Canadell
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GCP Wide Program Developments
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Publications
Russian
Japanese
June 2005 Exe.Sum.Only
March 2006
2004
2003
In press
2005
Project Wide
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Policy Briefing on Carbon (in preparation)
To be published by the UNFCCC CoP 12 in Nairobi,
November 2006
Example of Policy Briefing only
Project Wide
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SSC Rotation

• Nominations
• Yi Qe, China
• Antonio Nobre, Brazil
• Guy Midgley, South Africa
• Thomas Johansson, Sweden
• Pierre Friedlingstein, France
• Invited
• Scot Doney, USA

• Rotate Off
• Mike Apps, Canada
• Mingkui Cao, China
• Bob Dickinson, USA
• Chris Sabine, USA
• Riccardo Valentini, Italy
• Oran Young, USA

Project Wide
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