Title: Fixed Rate Mortgage Mechanics
1Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
- Recall that to the investor, the fixed rate
mortgage is a type of annuity. - The investor pays the borrower an up-front amount
in return for a promised stream of future cash
flows. - At time zero (i.e. origination) the present value
of the annuity must equal the cash the investor
pays the borrower.
2Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
- Casho PV0(Future Cash Flows)
- If the cash were worth more than the PV of the
future cash flows, the bank would not be willing
to make the loan they would be paying more for
the annuity than it was worth.
3Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
- Casho PV0(Future Cash Flows)
- If the cash were worth less than the PV of the
future cash flows, the borrower would not be
willing to accept the loan because they would be
taking on a liability that was worth more than
the asset they would receive (the cash), reducing
their wealth.
4Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
- Casho PV0(Future Cash Flows)
- Thus, at time 0, the only way the two parties
will come to an agreement is if the exchange is
equal the lender must give the investor an
amount in cash that is equal to the present value
of the remaining future cash flows. - After time 0, of course, this relationship does
not hold.
5Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
- The mortgage contract specifies how to calculate
the various cash flows associated with the
mortgage. This will include - The Principal amount of the loan determines the
monthly payments. This is normally set to the
amount of cash the investor gives the borrower at
time 0. (unless the loan includes points).
6Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics
- The other terms specified in the mortgage
contract include - r - the contract rate of the mortgage,
- n - the number of monthly payments,
- Pmt the monthly payment on the mortgage.
7Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Balance
- At time 0 we know that the value of the mortgage
is equal to the cash received. For now, assume
that the principal is set to that same amount. - Thus, the value of the mortgage must have this
relationship
8Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Balance
- Thus, we know if the contract rate were 8, with
20 years (240 payments) term and monthly payments
of 850, the principal amount must be 101,621.15
9Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Balance
- Note that this formula actually works for any
point during the life of the mortgage that is,
if you tell me the remaining term, the contract
rate, and the monthly payment, this formula tells
you the currently outstanding principal.
10Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Payments
- While knowing how to determine the principal
amount is important, it is perhaps more
interesting (from a potential homeowners
standpoint) to know how to calculate the payment
that will be required given a known balance. - This just requires simple algebraic manipulation
of the balance formula.
11Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Payments
- So, for a 100,000 loan at 10 for 30 years, the
payment is 877.57.
12Fixed Rate MortgagesMechanics - Payments
- This formula also works at any point in time.
That is, if you know the balance, remaining term,
and contract rate, you can plug those numbers
into the above formula and determine the monthly
payment.
13Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
- The mortgage contract will state the order in
which payments are attributed to the account.
The usual way this occurs is - Overdue interest and penalties are paid first,
- Current interest is paid second,
- Overdue principal is paid third,
- Current principal is paid fourth,
- Any remaining cash pre-pays principal.
14Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
- Thus, normally (i.e. when scheduled payments are
made on time), the investor takes the interest
out of the payment first, and then takes the
principal. - The interest amount is found by multiplying the
balance at the beginning of the month by the
monthly interest rate - Interest due Beginning Balance c/12.
15Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
- The principal due can then be found by
subtracting the interest due from the payment - Principal Due Pmt Interest Due
- From this information we can create an
amortization chart.
16Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
- For a 30 year, 9 mortgage, original balance of
200,000.
Note that the above is an Excel spreadsheet you
should be able to click on it and actually use
it.
17Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Amortization
- Notice the relationship between principal
payment, interest payment and total payment.
18Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
- At origination the contract rate of the mortgage
will equal the market interest rate for the type
of loan and creditworthiness of the borrower. - It is the equality of the market and contract
rates which forces the balance and value of the
mortgage to be the same at time 0.
19Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
- Over time, since the contract rate is fixed, the
contract and mortgage rates will diverge. Thus,
the value and balance of the mortgage will
diverge over time. - This means we have to concern ourselves with
determining the value (price) of the mortgage at
times other than time t.
20Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
- To do this we simply take the present value of
the remaining payments using the current market
rate
21Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Price
- Of course this is the same basic formula as the
one we used to calculate the balance, with the
difference that we use the market rate, r,
instead of the contract rate, c.
22Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
- At this point it might be useful to look at an
extended example. - Consider that a borrower originally took out a
200,000 loan for 30 years at 9. Five years
have passed and the market rate is now 7. - What is the monthly payment on the loan?
- What is the balance of the loan?
- What is the value of the loan?
23Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
- Example (continued)
- The monthly payment is 1,609.25
- After 5 years the balance is 191,760
24Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
- Example (continued)
- Note that I can determine the payment from ONLY
the current balance, contract rate, and remaining
term
25Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Example
- Example (continued)
- The value of the mortgage, at the 7 contract
rate is 227,687.12,
- Contrast this with the balance, which is still
26Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
- Frequently, we will know the price of a mortgage,
and its contractual details, but we will not know
the market discount rate. - Fortunately, we can use the present value of an
annuity formula to solve for the discount rate.
27Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
- We simply have to solve for effective yield (y)
in the equation below. This can be done through
a search algorithm or by use of a financial
calculator.
28Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
- In the previous example, let us say the a bank
could purchase the mortgage for 180,000. What
would be the effective yield if a bank purchased
it at that price? It would be 9.79
29Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Effective Yield
- Note that in the absence of prepayment penalties
or points, the effective yield on a mortgage (to
the borrower) is always the contract rate of the
loan.
30Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- This extended example raises an interesting
point. The borrower is scheduled to make
payments that are worth, at the current market
rate of 7, 227,687.12. The mortgage contract,
however, grants them the right to pay off that
loan at any time by repaying the balance, which
is the 191,760.27.
31Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- Thus, by taking out a new loan for 191,760.27,
at the current market rate (7) and used the
proceeds to pay off the original loan, they would
increase their wealth by 35,926.85. - In essence they would be replacing one liability
worth 227,687.12 with one worth 191,760.27.
32Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- Discounting the remaining payments at the market
rate and comparing that to the balance allows us
to quantify the benefits to prepaying the loan. - Frequently it is costly to refinance a loan.
Optimally, one will not refinance if the gain to
refinancing is less than the refinancing costs,
i.e. (Value Balance Cost of Refi).
33Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- When we talk about the value of this loan to
the lender, we have to realize that they factor
in the borrowers right to call the loan. - In the previous example the value of the loan
is not really 227,687.12 because the lender
knows the borrower is going to prepay it. They
realize the value is probably no more than
191,760.27.
34Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- If we denote the value of the promised payments
as A, and the value of the call option as C,
and any transaction costs of refinancing as T,
then the true value of the mortgage will be - V A (C-T).
- Since in the previous example we had no
transaction costs, i.e. T0, then - 191,760.27 227,687.12 35,926.85
35Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- It is useful to examine what happens to the
value of the mortgage if rates changed
instantaneously. - To do this lets use the same data from our
previous example but assume it will cost the
borrower 2500 to refinance. - We assume the borrower will only prepay when it
is financially beneficial to do so, i.e. when - A Balance T 0
36Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- Graphically, the value of A, i.e. the PV of the
remaining payments, (V if you ignore the value of
C), looks like this (to the bank!)
37Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- Graphically, the value of C, i.e. value of the
borrower exercising their call option, is given
(again, to the bank!)
38Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- Combining these two shows the value of the
mortgage to the bank (V). Note the spike in
value just below the contract rate.
39Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Prepayment
- It may be easier to see this by looking only at
graph of V.
40Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- One idea to remember is that banks understand,
and explicitly build into mortgage rates, the
risk of prepayments. - Some borrowers, primarily commercial borrowers
but increasingly residential borrowers, are
willing to contractually agree not to prepay in
order to secure a lower contract rate.
41Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- A common way for the borrower to signal to the
lender their willingness to forgo the prepayment
option is by accepting a prepayment penalty. - A prepayment penalty is simply an additional fee
that the borrower agrees to pay, in addition to
the outstanding balance, should they prepay the
loan.
42Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- Frequently these prepayment penalties end after
some specified period of time (5, 10 or 15 years
for example). - Some common prepayment penalties include
- A flat fee,
- A percentage of the outstanding balance,
- The sum of the previous six months interest.
43Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- The real effect of the prepayment penalty is to
raise the borrowers effective interest rate
should they prepay. - Consider the following example.
- A borrower takes out a loan for with a contract
rate of 10, a term of 30 years, and an initial
balance of 100,000. There is a prepayment
penalty of 2 of the outstanding balance if they
prepay the loan.
44Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- If the borrower prepays after 5 years, what is
the effective interest rate on the loan? - To determine this we must first determine the
cash flows. - The original payment is simply 877.57/month.
45Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- After 5 years the balance will be 96,574.14.
- Thus, to pay off the loan the borrower will have
to pay a lump sum of 98,505.63 - 98,505.63 96,574.14 1.02
46Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- Thus, to the borrower, the cash flows are
- Positive cash flow of 100,000 at time 0
- 60 negative cash flows of 877.57
- One final negative cash flow at month 60 of
98,505.63 - Their effective yield is the yield that makes
this equation true, which is 10.30.
47Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- One has to be careful in this analysis, however.
To the borrower making the decision to prepay at
time 60, the previous 59 payments already made
are sunk costs and must be ignored. Where this
enters the borrowers decision making is at
origination. A borrower that expects to prepay,
would opt not to take out a mortgage with a
prepayment penalty.
48Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics Prepay Penalties
- Consider at origination if the borrower suspected
that they would likely prepay within 5 years. If
they were offered two loans, one at a contract
rate of 10 and a 2 prepayment penalty or one at
10.25 and no prepayment penalty, then they
should select the 10.25 loan. - The reason borrower charge prepayment penalties
is to induce borrower to reveal their
expectations about their future prepayment
patterns.
49Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- One unusual feature of the mortgage market
related to prepayment penalties is the practice
of charging borrowers points. - Technically a point is a fee that the borrower
pays the bank at origination. For each point
charged, the borrower pays one percent of the
initial loan balance to the bank.
50Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- The effect of this, of course, is to reduce the
actual cash received by the borrower. - Thus if a borrower took out a 100,000 loan, but
was charged 2 points, they would receive 100,000
from the bank and then write a check to the bank
for 2000, making their net proceeds 98,000.
51Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- Of course since the borrower only received, net,
98,000, at origination, the value of the
mortgage at origination can only be 98,000. - The payments, however, will be based on the
nominal principal amount of 100,000. The only
way for the PV of the future payments to be worth
98,000, therefore, is to reduce the contract
rate.
52Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- This is, of course, exactly what happens the
more points you pay, the lower your contract
rate. - Note, however, that the effective interest rate
is not constant, it is a function of when the
loan is paid off.
53Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- To calculate the effective interest rate on a
mortgage with points you must go through multiple
steps - First, use the contract parameters (i.e. contract
principal, term, and contract rate) to determine
the cash flows. - Second, find the effective yield which equates
the present value of the future cash flows to the
amount of cash (net) received at the closing.
54Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- Again, this may be best illustrated with an
example. - A borrower takes out a loan with a 10 contract
rate, a balance of 150,000, and 30 year term.
The bank charges two points. - If the borrower never prepays, what is the
effective interest rate on the loan?
55Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- First, determine the actual cash flows
- The monthly payment is
- Since the borrower does not prepay the loan, the
next step is to determine the yield based on the
cash actually received at the closing.
56Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- Since the bank charges 2 points on a 150,000
loan, the borrower receives 147,000. - 147,000 150,000 (1-.02)
- The final step is to determine the yield which
equates the cash received at time 0 with the
present value of the monthly payments.
57Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
58Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- What would be the yield if the borrower prepaid
after 10 years? - Obviously the time 0 cash and the monthly
payments are the same. The only additional item
we need to know is the balance of the loan after
10 years, which is given by discounting the
remaining payments at the contract rate.
59Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- Now we again determine the yield which sets
present value of the future cash flows equal to
the cash received at time 0
60Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- The chart below illustrates the effective yield
given the date at which the borrower prepays the
loan
61Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- Finally, consider if at origination the borrower
had a choice between two loans. - Loan A is the mortgage with points we just
examined. - Loan B is for 147,000, at 10.3 and no points.
- Which loan should the borrower take?
- The answer to that depends upon the borrowers
expectations regarding their tenure in the
mortgage.
62Fixed Rate MortgageMechanics - Points
- Clearly if the borrower expects to never prepay
the mortgage, they should take loan A, because
the effective rate on the loan will be 10.24,
well below the 10.3 of loan B. - If, however, the borrower expects to prepay after
10 years (or before), they should take loan B,
since with a 10 year prepayment horizon loan A
has an effective interest rate of 10.33.
63Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
- The final issue we will examine is the
incremental cost of financing. - Frequently borrowers of equal creditworthiness
will observe different interest rates for
different sized loans. That is, an 80 loan to
value (LTV) mortgage will have a lower contract
rate than a 90 LTV loan.
64Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
- The question is, what is the effective interest
rate on that differential. - For example in February of 2000, 80 LTV 30 year
mortgages had a contract rate of approximately
8.25 while 95 LTV mortgages had a contract rate
of approximately 8.75. - If you were a borrower with a 200,000 house you
could borrow 160,000 at 8.25 or 190,000 at
8.75.
65Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
- So to borrow the incremental 30,000 your overall
interest rate goes up by .5. - One way of looking at this is that you borrowing
the first 160,000 at 8.25, and the remaining
30,000 at some effective rate. The question is,
what is that effective rate? - To solve this, lets consider the cash flows.
66Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
- The payments on the 80 and 95 loans are
(respectively)Thus there is a
292.70/month differential between the two
67Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
- One way to view this is that you are paying
292.70/month to borrow 30,000 for 30 years.
This implies the following statement must be
trueSolving for y we find that the
incremental cost of financing is 11.308.
68Rate MortgageMechanics Incremental Cost
- What this means is that if you can borrow 30,000
for less than 11.308, you should take the 80
LTV loan and then borrow the remaining funds from
that other source. If you cannot borrow 30,000
for less than 11.308, you should take the 95
loan.
69Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- It is not at all uncommon for a borrower to take
out two mortgages. The first will typically be
for 80 or 90 LTV, with the second mortgage being
for 20, 10 or 5. - Occasionally, it will be the case that it is
cheaper, in terms of the effective cost of
financing, to take out an 80 LTV first loan, and
then a 10 second loan, than it would be to take
out a single 90 LTV loan.
70Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- To calculate the effective cost of financing when
there are two mortgages is not particularly
difficult. You first determine each mortgages
monthly payments individually, then you combine
their initial balances and monthly payments and
solve for the effective interest rate. - An example may make this easy to see.
71Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Example Bob wishes to buy a house for 100,000.
He will put 10 down, take out an 80 LTV first
loan at 5.5, and a 10 second loan at 7. Each
mortgage is for 30 years. What will be his total
cost of financing if he keeps each mortgage for
the full 30 year term? - First, lets calculate each mortgage payment
72Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Now we can combine the two mortgages, and find
the interest rate that sets the initial balances
equal to the present value of the total monthly
payments.
73Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Notice that the effective interest rate is not
simply the average, or even weighted average of
the two contract rates!!! - You must use the procedure on the previous two
slides to determine the effective interest rate.
If you try to take an arithmetic average of the
two contract rates you will get the wrong answer. - This is because the mortgage payment equations
are non-linear due to the exponents in the
formulas.
74Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Now, what happens if the two mortgages are for
unequal terms? - You simply have to deal with two sets of cash
flows. This means you will have to use your cash
flow keys on your calculator instead of your Time
Value of Money keys, but once you become familiar
with that procedure its not too difficult. - Lets return to our previous example, but now
assume that the second mortgage was only for 10
years.
75Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Of course this does not change the first payment,
but it does change the second payment
76Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Once again, we find the interest rate that sets
the present value of the payments equal to the
combined balances. Notice that we now have to
deal with two streams of cash flows
77Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Note that the second annuity (the 454.23/month
one) starts in 121 months, so using the PVA
formula tells us its value at month 120, so we
have to discount that value back to time 0.
78Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Its actually pretty easy to do this on your
calculator. Simply use your cash flow keysCF0
-90,000CF1 570.34N1120CF2 454.23N2240 - And the solve for IRR. Note that you IRR will be
in monthly terms, dont forget to multiply by 12.
You will lose points if you forget to multiply by
12!
79Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- What if Bob prepaid both mortgages after 5 years?
Lets go back to the assumption that Bob had a 30
year second mortgage. Remember that our two
mortgage payments, then, are Pmt1454.23, Pmt2
66.53. - We need the balance of each mortgage after 60
months
80Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- So now we can combine all of the cash flows and
determine the effective interest rate
- Notice that you can use your time value of money
keys for this n60 PV90,000 PMT-520.76
FV-83,381.64and solve for r.
81Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Finally, what if Bob had only paid off the second
mortgage after 5 years, but had held the first
mortgage for the full 30 years? - Again, all we really have to do is lay out the
cash flows on a month by month basis
82Rate MortgageMechanics Second Mortgages
- Again, its easiest to do this using your
calculators cash flow keys. - The only real trick is to realize that you get 59
payments of 520.76, then one payment of
(520.769,413.16) in month 60 when the second
mortgage is paid off, followed by 300 payments of
454.23.To enter this do the followingCF0-90,000
CF1520.76 N159CF29,933.92 N21CF3454.23
N3300And then solve for IRR, and multiply your
answer by 12.