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01.16.01

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Our definition of the rules of the game. list of players. strategies available to each of them ... Major purpose - to deter cheats [time constraint on physical ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: 01.16.01


1
Game Theory Applications Lecture 2
  • Galina Albert Schwartz
  • Department of Finance
  • University of Michigan
  • Business School

2
How to find me
  • My office D3270A (Davidson Hall)
  • My e-mail galka_at_umich.edu
  • My office hours
  • Mon., 10am - 12pm
  • Th., 1pm - 3pm,
  • or by appointment

3
Lecture 2 Terminology Examples of Basic Games
  • Dixit, Chapters 1 2 (mostly 2)
  • Definitions
  • strategy
  • outcome
  • equilibrium
  • payoff
  • expectations
  • rationality

4
The Major Definition
  • Dixit, p. 29 second paragraph from the bottom
  • Our definition of the rules of the game
  • list of players
  • strategies available to each of them
  • payoffs of each player for all possible
    combinations of all player strategies
  • each player is a rational maximizer

5
Definitions
  • Strategy is a set of the choices available for
    the players, (Dixit, p. 25)
  • Payoff is a number associated with each possible
    outcome of the game (Dixit, p. 26) (and Expected
    payoff)
  • Equilibrium - each players strategy is a best
    response to the strategies of others, p. 30

6
What Do We Assume about the Game?
  • Rationality implies
  • consistency in the ranking of the payoffs
  • ability to calculate what is in his best interest
  • Common knowledge of the rules of the game

7
What is Rationality?
  • Rationality does not imply
  • the same values for everyone
  • impossibility of altruismcould be incorporated
    in payoff
  • short-term rationality irrational from immediate
    perspective may be valuable as a long-term
    strategy
  • example prices introductory prices predatory
    prices. Interaction between the two

8
Classification of the Games
  • Dixit, Chapters 1 2 (mostly 2)
  • constant-sum games ? zero-sum games
  • bargaining games
  • brinkmanship
  • sequential moves games
  • simultaneous moves games
  • cooperative games (we will not address)
  • i.e. games with a possibility of enforceable
    joint-action agreements

9
Classification of the Games (cont.)
  • Dixit, Chapters 1 2 (mostly 2)
  • non-cooperative games
  • non-repeated games (one-shot games)
  • repeated games
  • repeated but with different opponents
  • dynamic games (evolutionary games)
  • or, are the rules fixed or permit
    manipulation?

10
What is more important How or Why?
  • How (cases)
  • Why (theory)
  • Apply game theory to
  • explain
  • predict
  • advise (prescribe)
  • Why is needed to advice (prescribe)

11
Lewis, Chapter 2 Never Mention Money. Game 1
  • Never Mention Money Does it makes any sense?
  • Yes, it does. The required answer actually makes
    perfect sense. Emotions matter! I.e.
  • the people excitement by the high-caliber
    people
  • the challenge
  • the thrill of the deal

12
Lewis, Chapter 2 Never Mention Money. Game 2
  • Why analysts job has super-long hours?
  • from a production point inefficient
  • Prisoners dilemma? A small part of the
    explanation
  • But a cutthroat business competition is a
    Prisoners dilemma
  • Major purpose - to deter cheats time constraint
    on physical implementation , and design of the
    cheating mechanism

13
Lewis, Chapter 2 Never Mention Money. Game 3
  • Interviewing with Solomon Brothers.
  • Why intellect is not checked sometimes?
  • It is implied to be sufficient
  • Why education (the knowledge) is irrelevant, but
    still is required?
  • signals interests
  • signals ability
  • majoring in economics permit direct comparison

14
Lewis, Chapter 2 Never Mention Money. Game 3
(cont)
  • Why to intimidate?
  • Speed (and quality) or responses in unfamiliar
    situation are tested
  • Why no explicit offer?
  • Nobody could turn it down
  • Importantly impossible to state that you turned
    Solomon down
  • No explicit salary offer. To underpay?
  • No, to screen. A quest for the able ones (who do
    not fear the risk confident in abilities)

15
Summary of Today
  • Definition of the Game p. 29
  • The definition of Nash Equilibrium, p. 30
  • Lewis, Chapter 2 examples of the games

16
To Do your preparation to 01.18.01
  • Read Dixit, chapter 2
  • Read Lewis, chapters 2 3
  • Next time we will explain what is the absolutely
    necessary component of the Greenspans strategy
    and any other Central Bankers strategy
  • Please, prepare your guesses of the
    absolutely necessary component
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