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When psychologists move from observation to inferences

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Title: When psychologists move from observation to inferences


1
  • When psychologists move from observation to
    inferences generalizations, there are inherent
    risks of idiosyncratic interpretations,
    overgeneralizations, confirmatory biases
    similar errors in judgement.
  • (APA Presidential Task Force on Evidence Based
    Practice, 2006)

2
Theoretical empirical foundations for evidence
based interventions
  • Prof Alex Blaszczynski
  • 4th Year Honours lecture

3
Components of clinical psychology expertise
  • Systematic assessment treatment planning
  • Having a cogent rationale for clinical strategies
  • Clinical decision making, implementation
    monitoring
  • Interpersonal expertise (explains 5-8 of outcome
    variance)
  • Self reflection acquisition of skills use of
    resources
  • Evaluations application of research evidence in
    both basic applied psychological science
  • Understanding individual cultural differences
    influences

4
Lecture outline
  • Briefly describe theoretical models of psychology
  • Discuss concept of empirically validated practice
    in psychology
  • Outline criteria for determining well-established
    treatments
  • Objective Understand need for the
    conscientious, explicit, judicious use of
    current best evidence in making decisions about
    the care of individual patients (Sackett et al.,
    1996)

5
References
  • Roth, A. Fonagy, P. (1998). What works for
    whom? A critical review of psychotherapy
    research. Guildford Press London.
  • Nathan, P. Gorman, J. (1998). A guide to
    treatments that work. Oxford University Press
    Oxford
  • APS (2009). Psychological Treatment
    Evidence-based practice practice-based
    evidence. URL www.psychology.org.au/publications/
    inpsych/treatments

6
NHMRC Guidelines
  • Research merit and integrity
  • 3.3.1 Health care medical institutions should
    establish standards to determine when an
    innovative intervention requires systematic
    investigation to determine its safety efficacy
  • 3.3.2 When such systematic investigation is
    required, it should be treated as clinical
    research needing formal consideration by an HREC

7
NHMRC Guidelines
  • 3.3.3 Researchers should show that
  • Research is directed to answering a specific
    question/s
  • A scientifically valid hypothesis is being tested
    that offers a realistic possibility that the
    interventions studied will be at least as
    beneficial overall as standard treatment, taking
    into account effectiveness, burdens, costs
    risks
  • Size profile of the sample to be recruited is
    adequate to answer the research question
  • The research meets the relevant requirements of
    the CPMP/ICH Note for Guidance on Good Clinical
    Practice (CPMP/ICH-135/95), ISO 14155 Clinical
    Investigation of Medical Devices, and the TGA.

8
Principles of ethics in treatment interventions
  • Beneficence Psychologists should promote the
    patients good prevent harm
  • Respect for Autonomy Competent patients should
    be allowed to make their own decisions about
    treatment options recommended by psychologists
  • Distributive Justice Treatment resources should
    be distributed fairly cost-effectively

9
What is a psychotherapeutic intervention?
  • An interpersonal process designed to bring about
    modifications of feelings, cognitions, attitudes
    and behaviour which have proved troublesome to
    the person seeking help from a trained
    professional
  • (Strupp, 1978)
  • Over 400 different therapies described by Kazdin
    (1986)
  • This figure has increased over the years

10
  • Major classes of theoretically conceptually
    derived interventions based on a model of human
    behaviour
  • Psychodynamic
  • Behavioural Cognitive-Behavioural
  • Interpersonal psychotherapy
  • Strategic or Systematic psychotherapies
  • Supportive Experiential psychotherapies
  • Group therapies
  • Counselling
  • There is an ethical obligation to ensure that the
    intervention provided is effective efficacious

11
  • Eysenck, H. (1952). The effects of psychotherapy
    Extended updated 1960 1969
  • Seminal review of the effectiveness of
    psychotherapy
  • Use of spontaneous remission rates in neurosis as
    benchmark against which to compare effects of
    psychotherapy
  • Approx. 2/3 recover from illness within two years
  • Improved with treatments
  • Psychoanalysis 44
  • Electrically 64
  • GPs 72
  • Treated untreated have comparable outcomes

12
Theoretical foundations Psychodynamic
  • Intensive (one to two sessions per week), long
    term treatment directed to resolving intrapsychic
    unconscious conflicts
  • Aim to restructure personality rather than
    directed to single symptom recovery
  • Use of the talking cure free association
    interpretation of dreams
  • Focus on discovering modifying defence
    mechanisms
  • Hypothesized processed not observable or
    hypotheses unfalsifiable

13
Theoretical foundations Behavioural
  • Derived from learning theory (ignored cognitions)
  • Behaviours determined by schedules of
    reinforcement
  • Pavlovian Classical Conditioning
  • Skinnerian Operant Conditioning
  • Based on data derived from animal studies
  • Observable behaviours easily measured
  • Hypotheses open to experimental testing hence
    falsifiable
  • Wolpes Systematic Desensitization
  • Conditioning experiments

14
Theoretical foundations Cognitive Behavioural
  • Commonality with psychodynamic models is the
    focus on irrational cognitions but in contrast,
    these are assumed to be learnt (rather than due
    to unconscious forces) maintained by
    reinforcement schedules
  • Treatment is directed to identifying, challenging
    modifying irrational or distorted cognitions
    monitoring outcomes
  • Use of behavioural experiments to test cognitions
  • Focus is on how maladaptive functioning is
    maintained by environment belief structures
  • ? Shifts in cognitions follow behavioural
    exposure or vice versa
  • Approximately 30 different models of cognitive
    therapy (for example, Beck, Ellis, Meichanbaum,
    Bandura)

15
Theoretical foundations
  • Systemic therapy
  • Neither symptoms or insights are focus for
    treatment intervention
  • It is the system that generates problem behaviour
    is target for intervention
  • Therapists task is to identify the role symptoms
    play maintaining dysfunctional system vice
    versa
  • Counselling
  • Not a unitary theoretical framework but defined
    by setting in which it takes place
  • Client centered (empathy, unconditional regard,
    warmth)
  • Focus on current problems using pragmatic problem
    or solution focused interventions

16
Primary questions
  • Is the treatment efficacious effective?
  • Is the treatment more efficacious effective
    than current gold standard interventions?
  • Are there negative /or harmful side effects?
  • Is the treatment more cost-effective than
    existing interventions?
  • HOW DO WE DETERMINE THE ABOVE?
  • Empirical data obtained through comparative /or
    evaluative research outcome studies

17
Scientist practitioner model
  • American Psychological Association policy
    established in 1947 that psychologists should be
    trained in both science practice
  • Application integration of experimental
    findings in practice
  • This formed the strong foundation for evidence
    based interventions in psychology

18
Effects of Exposure to Trauma
  • Severe incapacitating psychological distress
    (intrusive memories, hyperarousal avoidance)
  • Normal, immediate response lasting minimum two
    days subsides within month - Acute stress
    disorder
  • Symptoms persisting longer than one month PTSD
    or chronic psychiatric morbidity (sub-threshold
    PTSD)
  • lt 1 month ASD
  • 1-3 months Acute PTSD
  • 3 months Chronic PTSD
  • 30 may develop PTSD

19
  • CRITICAL INCIDENT DEBRIEFING
  • Single session intervention involving emotional
    processing/ventilation by encouraging
    recollection/reworking of traumatic event,
    accompanied by normalisation of emotional
    reaction
  • Critical question Is one session of 'debriefing'
    following trauma effective in preventing PTSD?
  • Reviewed 15 (11 usable) Randomized Control Trials
    on people exposed to traumatic event within last
    month
  • (Rose, Bisson, Churchill, Wessely, 2001)

20
  • Findings
  • Single session debriefing did not prevent onset
    of PTSD or reduce psychological distress compared
    to control
  • One trial reported significant increase in risk
    of PTSD at 1 year in debriefed (Odds Ratio 2.51)
  • Debriefed group reported no reduction in PTSD
    severity at 1-4 months or 3 years
  • No evidence that debriefing reduced general
    psychological morbidity, depression or anxiety,
    or superiority over education
  • Short term PTSD Debriefing 16 vs. Controls 11
  • Long term PTSD 21 vs.
    7

21
Psychological interventions for adults with PTSD
  • Recommendations
  • Adults with PTSD should be provided with
    trauma-focussed interventions (trauma-focussed
    CBT or eye movement desensitization EMDR and
    reprocessing, in addition to in vivo exposure)
  • As available evidence does not support importance
    of eye movements in EMDR, it is recommended that
    practitioners who use EMDR be aware that
    treatment gains are more likely to be due to
    engagement with traumatic memory, cognitive
    processing and rehearsal of coping and mastery
    responses

(Australian Centre for Posttraumatic Mental
Health, 2007)
22
Psychological interventions for adults with PTSD
  • Where symptoms have not responded to first line
    trauma-focussed interventions, consider
    alternative form of trauma-focussed
    interventions
  • Non trauma-focussed interventions such as
    supportive counselling and relaxation should not
    be provided to adults with PTSD in preference to
    trauma-focussed interventions

(Australian Centre for Posttraumatic Mental
Health, 2007)
23
  • Conclusion
  • No evidence that single session individual
    psychological debriefing is useful treatment for
    prevention of PTSD.
  • Structured psychological interventions such as
    psychological debriefing should not be offered on
    a routine basis
  • Compulsory debriefing of victims of trauma should
    cease.
  • Rose, Bisson, Churchill, Wessely (2001)

(Australian Centre for Posttraumatic Mental
Health, 2007)
24
  • Many therapies still commonly used have not been
    found to be helpful in treatment of social
    anxiety disorder
  • Relaxation therapy teaches individuals techniques
    to decrease anxiety. Studied carefully found to
    be not helpful. In some situations it can even
    make social anxiety worse
  • Beta-blockers found to be helpful for performance
    social anxiety disorder, but not been helpful for
    generalized type of social anxiety disorder

25
  • Autism described 60 years ago
  • Now 111 treatments advanced
  • Parents apply an average of 4 to 7 interventions
    simultaneously
  • Sensory integration treatment widely used for
    autistic patients
  • Technique developed by occupational
    therapist/clinical psychologist Dr. A. Jean Ayres
    based on observation that some children show
    excessive sensitivity to external stimulitouch,
    position in space, sound
  • Hypothesised this was result of poor ability to
    process sensory messages received by the brain
  • SIT involves graded tactile stimulation,
    balance exercises, exposure to soft music, use
    of weighted clothes
  • Recent studies show it is no more beneficial than
    any other treatment

26
How do new treatment interventions evolve how
are they evaluated?
27
How do innovative treatments develop?
Scientist-practitioner modifies or introduces new
therapeutic component
28
Evidence-based best practice
  • Integration of research findings with clinical
    expertise to promote effective efficacious
    treatment of clients
  • Translation of empirically supported principles
    techniques into psychological practice
    assessment, case formulation, therapeutic
    relationships intervention

29
Chelmsford Hospital, 2 The Crescent Pennant
Hills, run by Dr Harry Bailey, a fashionable
highly thought of psychiatrist specializing in
deep-sleep therapy. Depressed patients put into
drug induced sleep for up to three weeks. ECT
administered while unconscious. Derived from
insulin coma therapy Outcome 1963-1980 1,127
patients treated 152 patients awarded 5.5
million damages 27 deaths 24 suicides Barry
Hart suffered double pneumonia, deep vein
thrombosis, pulmonary embolism anoxic brain
damage. Hart sued Dr Herron Chelmsford
awarded 60 000 for false imprisonment assault
and battery.
30
Efficacy
  • Efficacy results achieved in a research setting
  • Internal validity the extent to which a causal
    relationship can be determined between variables
    (intervention) outcome
  • Require homogenous groups randomized into
    treatment monitoring outcomes
  • Key point Need to ensure that the researcher is
    comparing apples with apples
  • Treatment duration, length of therapist contact,
    plausibility of control intervention (e.g., brief
    CBT versus psychodynamic for depression)
  • Regular access to supervision leading to enhanced
    quality of intervention
  • Patient characteristics Severity duration of
    disorder, co-morbid disorders, biased referral
    sources (e.g., comparing same treatment in two
    difference clinics)

31
Effectiveness
  • Effectiveness (clinical utility in routine
    practice)
  • External validity Extent that causal
    relationships can be generalized to wider
    population
  • Referrals not influenced by strict
    inclusion/exclusion criteria leading to greater
    heterogeneity in patient characteristics
  • Treatment applied in less systematic fashion
  • Variability in attendance
  • Conclusion Research therapy appears more
    effective than everyday clinical practice

32
What factors contribute to incorrect conclusions
regarding treatment outcomes?
  • Inappropriate research designs
  • Incorrect diagnosis use of standardized DSM
    criteria
  • Placebo effect placebo effect probably major
    factor
  • Self limiting /or episodic nature of
    conditions
  • Concurrent/complementary treatments
  • Spontaneous remission
  • Researcher allegiance
  • Lack of manuals - integrity

33
Criteria for empirically validated studies
34
Criteria for empirically validated treatments
  • At least two good group design experiments
    demonstrating efficacy in one or more of the
    following ways
  • Superior (statistically) to medication or
    psychological placebo intervention
  • Equivalent to an already established treatment in
    experiments with adequate sample size
  • OR

35
Criteria for empirically validated treatments
  • A large series of since case design experiments
    demonstrating efficacy. These must have
  • Used good experimental designs
  • Compared the intervention to another treatment as
    in IA above
  • Further criteria for both I II
  • Experiments must be conducted with treatment
    manuals
  • Characteristics of the client samples must be
    clearly specified
  • Effects must have been demonstrated by at least
    two different investigators/teams (Avoid research
    allegiance effect)

(American Psychological Association Task Force on
Psychological Interventions)
36
Probably efficacious treatments
  • Two experiments showing the treatment is superior
    to a waiting list control group
  • OR
  • One or more experiments meeting the
    Well-Established Treatment Criteria IA or IB and
    IV but not V
  • OR
  • A small series of single case design experiments
    (ngt3) otherwise meeting Well-Established
    Treatment

37
Methodologies strategies in research design
  • There is no ideal research design
  • Design depends upon the aims opportunities
    presented to researchers
  • Need to match aims to methods in context of
    resources funding
  • Hierarchy of evidence established
  • Randomized controlled outcome studies
  • Controlled non-randomized trials experimental
    case series
  • Cohort studies (groups of patients allocated to
    treatment)
  • Case controlled studies (patients with similar
    outcomes grouped retrospective evaluation
    conducted

38
Randomized controlled outcome studies Type 1
  • Involves random allocation of patients into one
    or more groups (experimental vs.
    control/placebo/standard treatment - 5 of times
    groups differ by chance)
  • Prospective evaluation of outcome (pre-/baseline
    post-treatment follow-up)
  • Researcher patient blind to group allocation
    (intervention received)
  • Clear exclusion/inclusion criteria
  • Sufficient power (sample size) to detect
    differences

(American Psychiatric Association Practice
Guidelines, 1995)
39
Randomized controlled outcome studies
  • Consideration of clinical versus statistical
    significant outcomes
  • All intervention groups treated identically
    except for experimental treatment
  • Limitations
  • Exposing patients to inert intervention when
    effective treatment available often thought
    unethical
  • Patient bias includes those agreeing to take
    their chances in receiving active treatment

40
Clinical trial Type 2
  • Prospective study where intervention is applied,
    compared to another intervention monitored
    longitudinally but some aspect of RCT missing
  • Double blinding absent
  • No random allocation to treatment groups
  • Follow-up period relatively short to make full
    judgment of efficacy

41
Cohort or longitudinal Type 3
  • Open treatment trials aimed at obtaining pilot
    data
  • Participants followed up prospectively without
    any specific intervention
  • Subject to experimenter bias

42
Case-control studyType 3
  • Groups of patients identified in present
    retrospective information on response to
    treatment is elicited
  • Subject to experimenter bias
  • Uncontrolled data collection
  • Retrospective recall bias

43
Review with data analysis study Type 4
  • Review with secondary data analysis
    meta-analysis
  • Negative or null finding studies tend not to be
    published leading to bias to over-inflate
    effectiveness
  • Selective inclusion of data

44
Review without data analysis study Type 5
  • Qualitative review with no secondary data
    analysis
  • Negative or null finding studies tend not to be
    published leading to bias to over-inflate
    effectiveness
  • Selective inclusion of literature biased toward
    researcher allegiance

45
Other Type 6
  • Expert consensus, case reports, textbooks,
    opinion papers, Internet non-peer-reviewed
    articles
  • Marginal value given potential biases,
    ideological influences, non-supported subjective
    judgments/opinions

46
Summary
  • Clinical observations form source of innovative
    hypotheses
  • Qualitative research used to generate new
    hypotheses
  • Single-case studies useful in establishing causal
    relationships A B A design
  • Process studies important to establish mechanism
    of change
  • Naturalistic observational studies cannot be
    undertaken in experimental design
  • RCTs
  • Meta-analyses

47
Summary
  • Clinical expertise
  • What are the factors processes that allow
    experienced clinicians to develop effective
    formulations, diagnostic decision making,
    flexibility in treatment applications
  • Patient characteristics
  • Understanding components of motivation, comorbid
    psychopathology, personality traits, preferences
    for treatment, socio-economic socio-cultural
    factors that impinge upon outcomes

48
  • Empirically supported therapies
  • Start with treatment asks if it works with
    certain disorders under certain conditions
  • Evidence-based practice
  • Start with patient ask what research evidence
    will assist in achieving the best outcome
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