Socio-Demographic Overview

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Socio-Demographic Overview of the
Bismarck-Mandan Metropolitan Area
Ramona Danielson Research Associate
North Dakota State Data Center
May 6, 2003
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Advances in Technology
Demographic/Economic Issues to Consider in
Strategic Planning

• Population Redistribution

• Changing Age Structure

• Changing Industrial Mix

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Figure 2. Percent Change in Total Population for
the U.S. by County 1990 to 2000
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City Size in North Dakota, 1960 to 2000
Source U.S. Bureau of the Census
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Population and Migration Patterns for the
Bismarck-Mandan Metropolitan Area and Surrounding
Areas 1990 to 2000
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Bismarck has been the driving force behind the
growth of the metro area
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Advances in Technology
Demographic/Economic Issues to Consider in
Strategic Planning

• Population Redistribution

• Changing Age Structure

• Changing Industrial Mix

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Change in Persons Age 20 to 34 for North Dakota
and MinnesotaPercentage Change between 1990 and
2000
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Change in Persons Age 0 to 18 for North Dakota
and MinnesotaPercentage Change between 1990 and
2000
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Children Under 18 in North Dakota1910 to 2000
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Persons Ages 65 and Older as a Percent of the
Total Populationin North Dakota by County
2000Source U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000
North Dakota State University, IACC Building,
Room 424, Fargo, ND 58105 - Phone (701)
231-8621 - Fax [phone] - URL
http//www.ndsu.edu/sdc
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Rising Life Expectancy at Age 65
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19.7
?
17.8
Years
16.4
17.2
remaining
at
14.4
age 65
11.9
0
1900
1960
2010 (proj.)
1980
1998
Source National Center for Health Statistics
Metropolitan Life Insurance Co. U.S. Bureau of
the Census.
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Growing Senior Population

• In 2000, ND had 94,478 senior 65
• (14.7 of total population)
• 2010, senior population will increase by 16,000
• (17 of total population)
• 2020, senior population have expanded by 55,000
• (23 of total population)

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Persons Ages 65 and Older as a Percent of the
Total Populationin North Dakota by County
2020Source North Dakota State Data Center,
North Dakota Population Projections 2005 to
2020, Sept. 2002
North Dakota State University, IACC Building,
Room 424, Fargo, ND 58105 - Phone (701)
231-8621 - Fax [phone] - URL
http//www.ndsu.edu/sdc
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Distribution of the Elderly 2000Percentage of
Persons 85 Years and Older
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Persons Ages 85 and Older as a Percent of the
Total Populationin North Dakota by County
2000Source U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000
North Dakota State University, IACC Building,
Room 424, Fargo, ND 58105 - Phone (701)
231-8621 - Fax [phone] - URL
http//www.ndsu.edu/sdc
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Persons Ages 85 and Older as a Percent of the
Total Populationin North Dakota by County
2020Source North Dakota State Data Center,
North Dakota Population Projections 2005 to
2020, Sept. 2002
North Dakota State University, IACC Building,
Room 424, Fargo, ND 58105 - Phone (701)
231-8621 - Fax [phone] - URL
http//www.ndsu.edu/sdc
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Advances in Technology
Demographic/Economic Issues to Consider in
Strategic Planning

• Population Redistribution

• Changing Age Structure

• Changing Industrial Mix

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Workforce in America195 Years
Percent of Workforce
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Gross State Product by Industry in North Dakota
1979 and 1999Source U.S. Bureau of Economic
Analysis
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Industrial Mix and Employment Base for Bismarck
Source Job Services North Dakota
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Employment and Annual Wage for Bismarck Workers
Source Job Services North Dakota
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Advances in Technology
Demographic/Economic Issues to Consider in
Strategic Planning

• Population Redistribution

• Changing Age Structure

• Changing Industrial Mix

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The New Economy covers more than traditional
high tech

• ALL industries are transforming themselves
• into information industries
• Examples
• Fashion industry (Design, marketing, media)
• Entertainment (Digital effects, synthespians)
• Warehousing (Just-in-time information systems)
• Financial services (On-line brokerages, banking,
  insurance)
• Aerospace (Electronic warfare)
• Healthcare (Genetic engineering, information
  sharing, biomedicine)

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Spread of Products to a Quarterof the Population
Source Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
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Connecting AmericansPercent of U.S. Households
with a Computer
Percent
60
1994
52
51
50
1997
50
46
1998
43
42
2000
40
39
40
37.2
36.6
34.9
32.8
30
24.8
24.1
22.1
22.0
20
10
0
Central City
Urban
Rural
U.S.

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Tele-health Costs/Advances
1995 typical telemedicine set-up
300,000 2000
5,000

• Monitoring major source of uncompensated
  expenses
• low birth-weight infants 2-4 billion
  annually
• intensive-care unit 2000/day for room
• technical costs for telemedicine in home
  1000/mo
• Patient visits
• in-person 100
• tele-visit 12-25

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NDSU P.O. Box 5636, IACC Rm 424 Fargo, ND
58105 Phone [phone] Fax [phone]
http//www.ndsu.edu/sdc