Fossil Free By 33

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Fossil Free By 33
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What in the world are we thinking?
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Long Term Agenda

• Restore some sanity to the world
• A little more specifically, promote programs and
  incentives to encourage regional widespread shift
  to renewables and conservation and energy
  efficiency (CEE)
• Provide policy suggestions to help local
  governments and businesses help themselves
• Support particular renewable energy projects

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Short Term Agenda

• Finalize marketing document
• Apply for grants and other other funding sources
• Work on Million Solar Roofs Initiative and
  transition into leadership role during next 3
  months
• Continue to meet with local electeds and lay
  groundwork for legislative and policy agenda
• Work with Dan Kammen/others on details of our
  technical analysis document and regional
  renewable energy assessments
• Organize energy lecture series for Tuesday nights

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Mid-term agenda

• Develop our energy blueprint
• Organize one day conference on regional hydrogen
  economy, with UCSB and Energy Independence Now!
  to anchor lecture series
• Build on MSR program and facilitate demonstration
  projects
• Promote adoption of AB 117 (Community Choice
  Aggregation), pending details still to be worked
  out at the PUC
• Build clearinghouse of RE and CEE information at
  www.sbredg.org (Reggie)

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Energy Demand in Santa Barbara County (billions
of kWh)
For residential and commercial use, extrapolated
from statewide consumption
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Renewable energy potential in Santa Barbara
County by 2020 (billions of kWh)
25 of elec. and natural gas demand
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Do we have enough renewable energy to satisfy
demand?

• Assumptions
• Power is power all energy types are
  convertible
• Cost is not considered at this point
• The potential additional local renewable capacity
  just described will be online by 2020
• Sufficient transmission capacity is built along
  with new generation capacity
• Were ignoring reserve requirements for now
  (which will eventually require additional
  capacity above normal demand if we are to be
  truly energy independent)

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Do we have enough renewable energy to satisfy
demand?

• Results
• Santa Barbaras total energy demand by 2020
  should be about 19.0 billion kWh per year (from
  chart)
• The potential renewable capacity and CEE
  savings, plus renewable electricity from the
  IOUs, totals 16.8 billion kWh per year
• Without offshore wind, our potential total drops
  to 12.4 billion kWh

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The good news

• By 2020, we could be well on our way toward our
  goal (w/ offshore wind) 16.8/19.0 88
• Without offshore wind 12.4/19.0 65

GREEN POWER
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The bad news

• All of this is still very hypothetical, so we
  need to do a lot more research and empirical
  study before we can firm up the numbers
• We also assume for some technologies that a given
  resource will be utilized to its maximum extent
  when in reality it will probably be less

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But were on our way