Political Science 5 Lecture

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Political Science 5Lecture 21, 4/13/04

• Homework 4 due today!
• Midterm 2 on Thursday. Review today and extra
  OH at 3pm tomorrow. Please note that I may decide
  to put less than ten questions of old material.
  Thirty total questions, anyhow.
• Solution sets for Homework 4 posted and on my
  office door
  
• Prospectus due on April 22nd
• Read Fish article for next Tuesday
• Homework 5 is posted (very easy) and due April
  27
  

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POLI SCI METHODOLOGIST?
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Rules

• Qualifying round put political events in correct
  chronological order
  
• You can only be in the hot seat one time--will
  keep going until questions or time runs out
  
• You have one lifeline choose among calling a
  friend, asking the audience, or 50/50
  
• You can win points added to your participation
  score .10 for one correct answer, .50 for two, 1
  for three, and 1.5 for four correct answers (this
  is the Methods equivalent of 1 million dollars!)
• If you get an answer wrong, you lose everything!
  So you may want to take the money and go.

4
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Chinese Communist Revolution
• First Gulf War
• Vietnam War
• Kennedy elected president

5
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• New Deal
• War on Poverty (USA)
• Reagans tenure as President
• World War II

6
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Rwanda genocide
• Holocaust
• Armenian genocide
• Genocide at Srebrenica, Bosnia

7
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Lewinsky scandal
• Janet Jackson Superbowl scandal
• Watergate
• Condoleeza Rices testimony before 9/11 Committee

8
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Iranian Revolution
• French Revolution
• Russian Revolution
• Cuban Revolution

9
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Independence of USA
• Independence of Zambia
• Independence of India
• Independence of Bosnia

10
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Birth of Condi Rice
• Birth of Donald Rumsfeld
• Birth of George W. Bush
• Birth of Colin Powell

11
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Election of Eisenhower
• First Election of Clinton
• Election of Reagan
• Election of Carter

12
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• US invasion of Panama
• US invasion of Haiti
• US-led invasion of Kosovo
• US invasion of Iraq (operation Iraqi Freedom)

13
Qualifying Round

• Put the following important political events in
  the correct order
  
• Fall of Soviet Union
• Fall of Berlin Wall
• End of apartheid in South Africa
• End of PRI rule in Mexico

14
For .10 points

• The mode is the
• A. always the same as the mean
• B. The most frequently occurring value
• C. the middle value
• D. the same as the average

15
For .10 points

• Eta-squared is
• A. the measure of significance that one gets from
  an ANOVA analysis
  
• B. A measure of association that one gets from
  an ANOVA analysis
  
• C. a measure of association used when was has two
  nominal variables.
  
• D. None of the above

16
For .10 points

• Table 1 What kind of figure is this?
• A. a frequency distribution
• B. A cross-tabulation
• C. an ANOVA graph
• D. none of the above

17
For .10 points

• The commonly accepted cutoff point for
  statistical significance is
  
• A. .01
• B. .05
• C. .001
• D. .005

18
For .10 points

• Table 1 what is the sample size (N) of this
  study?
  
• A. this info is not given here
• B. 1000
• C. 400
• D. 3

19
For .10 points

• Which of the following is NOT a nominal measure
  of association?
  
• A. lambda
• B. Cramers V
• C. contingency coefficient
• D. Kendalls tau

20
For .10 points

• In a normal distribution, the mean equals the?
• A. mode
• B. median
• C. all of the above
• D. none of the above

21
For .10 points

• In a crosstabulation, we are interested in
  differences among
  
• A. row percentages
• B. column percentages
• C. total percentages
• D. none of the above

22
For .50 points

• Which of the following is not a difference
  between qualitative comparative case study
  research and quantitative research?
  
• A. the first uses a small N, while the second
  relies on a larger N
  
• B. in the first you choose cases deliberately,
  while in the second the selection is often
  random
  
• C. in the first you have lower external validity
  than in the second
  
• D. in the first you are not interested in
  causality, while you are in the second

23
For .50 points

• If we find that there is a statistically
  significant relationship between two variables,
  we can also say that
  
• A. there is less than a 5 chance that the
  observed relationship is due to chance alone
  
• B. there is a 95 chance that there is a
  relationship between the two variables in the
  population from which the sample was drawn
  
• C. none of the above
• D. all of the above

24
For .50 points

• If we find a statistically insignificant
  relationship
  
• A. we can accept (or fail to reject) the null
  hypothesis
  
• B. we can reject the null hypothesis
• C. not yet sure what to do with the null
  hypothesis until we calculate a measure of
  association
  
• D. none of the above

25
For .50 points

• In Figure 1, the variance is greatest for which
  group?
  
• A. Latin America
• B. North America
• C. Africa
• D. cannot tell variance from this figure

26
For .50 points

• What best describes Lijpharts attitude towards
  quantitative research?
  
• A. He does not like it and never uses it
• B. He uses it only when absolutely necessary
• C. He wants to make it the only way to do
  political science
  
• D. none of the above

27
For .50 points

• How can we calculate the mean number of persons
  in all countries expressing a low level of
  support for the UN
  
• A. add up raw numbers in cells 1,5,9 and divide
  by 3
  
• B. add up percentages in cells 1,2,3 and divide
  by 3
  
• C. add up raw numbers in cells 1,2.3 and divide
  by 3
  
• D. cannot calculate it based on this information

28
For .50 points

• Which of the following steps comes last in the
  hypothesis-testing process?
  
• A. testing for strength
• B. determining the nature of the relationship
• C. testing for significance
• D. determining causality

29
For .50 points

• Which of the following is not an inferential
  statistic
  
• A. standard deviation
• B. chi square
• C. cramers v
• D. lambda

30
For 1 point

• An appropriate measure of central tendency for a
  nominal variable is
  
• A. mean
• B. standard deviation
• C. variance
• D. mode

31
For 1 point

• Which of the following is an appropriate measure
  of association for the analysis in Table 1?
  
• A. Kendalls tau-b
• B. Kendalls tau-c
• C. Lambda
• D. Eta-squared

32
For 1 point

• Suppose you are examining the relationship
  between support for Bush and income, and you
  think that this relationship might vary with
  race. In this case, the control variable would
  be
• A. income
• B. support for Bush
• C. race
• D. none of the above

33
For 1 point

• Which of the following statements about Figure 2
  is not true?
  
• A. There is a positive relationship between
  geographic location and poverty rate.
  
• B. Since the mean poverty rate for each region is
  different, there may be a relationship between
  region and poverty rate.
  
• C. Africa has at least one country whose poverty
  rate resembles North Americas.
  
• D. The standard deviation is greatest for Latin
  America.

34
For 1 point

• The whole point of choosing cases deliberately in
  qualitative comparative case study research is
  to
  
• A. lower bias
• B. control for as many factors as possible
• C. increase confidence interval
• D. raise the level of measurement

35
For 1 point

• Which of the following is an example of a
  confound?
  
• A. you think that relative deprivation causes
  revolutions, when it is really culture that is
  behind both
  
• B. wealth is linked to whether one votes
  Republican or Democrat, but views on taxation lie
  between the two
  
• C. relative deprivation leads to revolutions, and
  relative deprivation is caused by economic
  underdevelopment
  
• D. none of the above.

36
For 1 point

• Which of the following relationships is likely to
  be spurious?
  
• A. age and height
• B. parents political preferences and childs
  political preferences
  
• C. average size of a meal and level of democracy
• D. education and health.

37
For 1 point

• Social welfare and income
• Control for race
• Among whites, significance level is .000 and
  Kendall is .40
  
• Among blacks, significance is .073 and Kendall is
  .034
  
• Which of the following best describes the effect
  of the control variable?
  
• A. no effect
• B. small effect, but not enough to make any
  difference
  
• C. substantial effect
• D. cannot determine based on this information

38
For 1.5 points

• ________ tends to underestimate the strength of a
  relationship when one or both of the variables
  are _______
  
• A. kendalls tau nominal
• B. eta-squaredordinal
• C. cramers v skewed
• D. lambdaskewed

39
For 1.5 points

• A comparison of India and the United States (both
  democracies) as a way to explain what factors
  determine democracy would be an example of a_____
  and a way to control for__________
• A. most different systems design wealth
• B. most similar systems design level of
  democracy
  
• C. most different systems design level of
  democracy
  
• D. Most similar systems design wealth

40
For 1.5 points

• In the GSS file, the relationship between voting
  preference in 1992 and stand on the euthenasia
  issue has a significance level of .089 and
  Cremers V is .003. Which of the following is
  the most accurate statement concerning these
  results?
• A. The relationship is not statistically
  significant thus, we do not reject the null
  hypothesis.
  
• B. there is a weak, statistically significant
  relationship between presidential voting and
  stand on euthenasia we reject the null
  
• C. there is a strong, statistically significant
  relationship between presidential voting
  preference and stand on euthenasia we reject the
  null
• D. The relationship is statistically
  significant, but it is not srong enough to be of
  any importance

41
For 1.5 points

• Which of the following does a P-R-E measure of
  association tell us?
  
• A. the degree of a relationship between the
  dependent variable and the independent variable
  
• B. how well we can predict the DV by knowing the
  IV
  
• C. how well the IV explains the DV
• D. All of the above

42
For 1.5 points

• Suppose that you examine the relationship between
  political participation and political interest
  while controlling for education level (high or
  low) Your findings were as follows among those
  with high education, the significance level is
  .010 and Kendalls tau is .54. Among those with
  low education, the significance level is .098 and
  Kendalls tau is .53. Which of the following
  best described the effects of the control
  variable?
• A. the control variable has no effect
• B. the control variable has a small effect, but
  the effect is not big enough to make any
  difference
  
• C. The control variable has a substantial
  effect
  
• Based on this info, we cannot determine the
  effect of the control variable