Title: Biological Invasions
1Biological Invasions
- Peter B. McEvoy
- Insect Ecology
- Ent 420/520
2Learning Objectives
- Highlight the importance of invasions
- Pose and answer basic questions about invasions
- Critique approaches based on expert opinion
- Critique statistical approaches
- Critique mathematical approaches
- Assess the current status and future prospects
for a predictive theory of invasions
3Statistical Profile of an Invader(Sailer 1983,
Niemelä Mattson 1996)
- Taxonomic composition
- Geographic origins
- Mode of entry
- Economic status
- Effectiveness of quarantine procedures
4Who Are the Invaders?
- 66 of Invaders, 1383-2000 spp., Come From 3
Orders - Hymenoptera
- Coleoptera
- Homoptera
Sailer 1983
5Where Do Insect Invaders Come From? 66.2
Western Palearctic (i.e. Europe)
Sailer 1983
6How Many Invaders Become Pests?
Foreign species make up only 2 of fauna, but 40
of pests
43 of beneficial spp. are accidentally introduced
Over half of foreign species become pests
Sailer 1983
7How Can Invasions Be Prevented?Effectiveness of
Quarantine Procedures
Number of Species
8Asymmetry in the Insect Exchange Between
Continents
300 spp
Europe
North America
34-44 spp
- Asymmetry characterizes most if not all biotic
interchanges between biogeographic regions
Niemela and Mattson 1996
9Hypotheses of Vermeij (1991) to Explain
Asymmetric Biotic Exchange.
- Transport by trade and human dispersal. Numbers
of invaders going in any direction are
proportional to the size of conduits for their
passage - Species pools as a source of colonists. Numbers
of invaders reflect differences in the number of
species available for dispersal from the donor
environment - Ecological opportunities for immigrants. Numbers
of successful invaders are determined by the
wealth of ecological opportunities for them on
their arrival - Intrinsic superiority of European species.
Invaders from one donor environment are
intrinsically competitively superior to those
from other donor environment. Hostile takeover
phenomenon.
10Forests of the World
111. Transport Most Immigrants From NA to Europe
Follow Their Hosts
- Of the 44 NA insects invading Europe
- 17 Homoptera
- 15 Hymenoptera
- 6 Lepidoptera
- 4 Coleoptera
- 1 Thysanoptera
- 1 Diptera
- most have followed their introduced NA host
plants, except for 5 broadly polyphagous species.
122. Species Pools of Similar Size (100,000 spp)
Some Phytophagous Species in NA and Europe
13NA ? EU for Phytophagous taxaNiemela and Mattson
96
14Different Ecological Opportunities for Immigrants
- Potential hosts (area, species richness,
similarity to native hosts, parasite-host
synchrony) - Enemy-free space (parasitoid species per host
Breeding bird densities) - Competition-free space (species packing)
- Bioclimatic conditions (high to low latitude
insect transfers)
15Top-Down Biotic Resistance to Invaders
Carnivore
Parasitoid
Bird
Herbivore
Native
NIS
16Bottom-Up Resistance to Invaders
Consumer 1
Consumer 2
Resource
17Forest Cover NA 2x Europe
woodland cover 1910 woodland cover 1990s
woodland in conifers 1990s
Cover
Niemela and Mattson 1996
18Potential Hosts European Aliens Adopt Close
Relatives of European Hosts
- Most common hosts of exotics are genera common in
Europe Prunus gt Malus gt Betula gt Populusgt Salix
gt Pinus gt Quercus gt Pyrus gt Crataegus gt Acer gt
Ulmus gt Alnus gt Picea) - Least common hosts of exotics are genera not
naturally represented in Europe Carya,
Chamaecyparis, Robinia, Pseudotsuga, Thuja, and
Tsuga)
Niemela and Mattson 1996
19Host specificity of invaders
- The majority of insects invading North American
forests have, in fact, been rather diet
specialized, contrary to expectation. For
example, 68 of the European invaders are mono-
or oligophagous. - Matson et al. 1994
20Host Availability
- Similar hosts. Potential hosts abundant and
closely related to ancestral hosts in both NA and
Europe - More hosts in NA. NA has 2x species and genera
because many shared genera went extinct in Europe
during Pleistocene - More abundant and less fragmented in NA. NA tree
abundance 2x Europe because Europe has higher
human densities
21Intrinsic Superiority
- Strong selection for aggressive competitive and
colonizing ability (Pleistocene glaciation and
extinction, settlement and fragmentation) - Adaptive traits
- Phenotypic plasticity
- Uniparental reproduction
- High reproductive potential
- Polyploidy
- High dispersal potential
- Protection from competitors and natural enemies
- Stress tolerance mechanisms such as dormancy
22High to Low Latitude Transfers
- Dormancy. Importance of entering and leaving
dormancy at appropriate times - Latitudes. Owing to vast differences in
latitudes of the deciduous forests of Europe
(43-60o N) and North America (30-48o N) and
importance of photoperiod as a cue - Asymmetry. Insects going Europe to NA better
adapted for environmental synchrony than vice
versa
23Necessary and sufficient conditions for invasion
- Ability to find potential hosts in new
environment - Ability to synchronize life cycles with
conditions in new environment - Ability to increase population size when rare
- Ability to colonize disturbed systems
- These conditions are more likely to be
encountered by European insect traveling to NA
than NA insect traveling to Europe based on
ability of insect
24Biocontrol An Exception to the 10s Rule of
Williamson
25Predicting Risk to Native Plants in Weed
Biocontrol (Pemberton 2000)
- Field host use of 117 organisms established for
biological control of weeds from 1902 - 1996 - Taxonomic groups 112 insects, 3 fungi, 1 mite,
and 1 nematode - Geographic areas Hawaii, the continental USA,
and the Caribbean
26Biocontrol As an Invasion Process
- Target effects. How likely is control organism to
establish, increase, spread, suppress target
invader? - Nontarget effects. How likely is control
organism to increase and spread out of control to
colonize and harm native hosts? - Selected for success? BC agents presented with
unlimited resources, enemy-free space, matching
climatic conditions and still majority of them
fail to control target or use predicted
nontargets.
27Operational Definitions
- Use defined as introduced control organism
completes its life cycle on non-target plant
species. - Closely related defined as congeneric species
of plants and species in closely related genera
previously classified as the same genus. - Co-occurring defined as occurring together in
the same state.
28Main Conclusions
- Risk is borne almost entirely by native plant
species that are closely related (same genus or
closely related genus) to target weeds - Taxonomically related hosts. 15 spp bc insects
use 41 native plant species - 36 of 41 natives are congeneric with target weeds
- 4 others belong to two closely allied genera
- Taxonomically unrelated hosts. Only 1 of 117
established biological control organisms uses
native plants unrelated to the target weed.
29Elements of Safetyfor Protecting Native Plants
- Selecting the right environment select weed
targets that have few or no native congeners in
recipient environment - Selecting the right organism introduce
biological control organisms with suitably narrow
diets
30Fisher-Skellam TheoryGrowth and Diffusion
Equation
- N N(x,y,t) local population density
organisms/area at time t and spatial
coordinates x, y - D coefficient of diffusion
- f(N) a function describing net population change
31Asymptotic Rate of Spread
- For large time, the velocity (distance/time) VF
for the advancing front approaches an asymptotic
rate of spread, which depends on the intrinsic
rate of increase ? and the coefficient of
diffusion D. - The radius of a species range should
asymptotically increase linearly with time with
slope ?(4?D)
32Data requirements
- Intrinsic rate of increase
- Diffusion coefficient
33Rice Water WeevilAccelerating spread, two scales
of movement
34Japanese Beetle Begins Slowly, Eventually
Constant Rate of Spread
35Gypsy MothNon-constant velocity related to
temporal variation in quarantine and spatial
variation in temperature
gt 7o C
Quarantine
lt7o C
36Small Cabbage White Butterfly
Increasing number of generations
37Predicted and Observed Rates of Spread
38Summary
- Retrospective studies of invasions yield a
statistical profile of invader that may be useful
for management (prediction and mitigation) - Usefulness of diffusion models for understanding
observed patterns of spread and predicting
invasions
39General observations after our paper critique
- Clear, operational definitions
- Statistical basis for inference
- Control for opportunity for invasion
- Pitfalls of univariate approach to multivariate
problem. Assumes other things are equal and they
seldom are. - Need for phylogenetically controlled comparisons.
- Anthropocentric bias to data. Aliens account for
2 of our insects but 60 of our pests. - Avoid Tautology. European insects are more
invasive because of their competitive
superiority. - Argument by example leads to rebuttal by
counter-example