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Indonesia

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Indonesia Week 6 Current economic position Monetary crisis in 1997 Indonesian economy suffered from 13.1% GDP contraction Inflation rate of 77% in 1998. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Indonesia


1
Indonesia
  • Week 6

2
Current economic position
  • Monetary crisis in 1997
  • Indonesian economy suffered from 13.1 GDP
    contraction
  • Inflation rate of 77 in 1998.
  • Since then Indonesian economy remains growing
    albeit slowly
  • Pre-crisis converted from an economically
    backward and poor country in 1970's
  • To medium-income level country of more than US
    1,200 per capita in early 1990's
  • Annual average GDP growth rate of more than 7 in
    25 years.

3
Current economic position
  • As mid-January 2004
  • The Indonesian economy will remain stable
  • Rupiahs exchange and inflation rates staying at
    steady levels
  • The country to continue to have sufficient
    foreign exchange reserves
  • Bank Indonesia predicts the countrys
    macro-economic stability will create a climate
    good enough for the economy to grow at a rate of
    four to five percent in 2004.
  • Stimuli for economic growth will come not only
    from increased exports and investment but also
    from private consumption which is expected to
    grow at a rate of 4.2 percent to 5.2 percent

4
Culturally diverse
  • Population of almost 200 million people on 13,667
    islands
  • Only 35 of the population live in urban areas
  • Over 300 distinct cultures residing within its
    borders
  • Islamic 85
  • Christian 10
  • Others 5

5
HofstedeCharacteristics of work context
  • Relationship between employer employees is
    moral rather than calculative
  • Implies mutual obligations of protection from
    employer (irrespective of performance)
  • Loyalty towards employer from employee
  • Employees have strong obligations towards
    relatives
  • Relationships take precedence over tasks
  • Strong need for harmony and preserving face
  • Paternalistic
  • Acceptance of status differences
  • Reluctance to plan ahead

6
Engines of Economic growth pre-crisis
  • Study (2003) based on unpublished Statistical
    Data
  • The contribution of SMEs to total manufacturing
    value added remained relatively small
  • Contribution to the Indonesian economy in terms
    of employment generation was significant
  • SMEs can coexist with LEs (large-scale
    enterprises)
  • By producing a unit of output with less capital
    but more labour than LEs
  • Labour productivity in SMEs and LEs increased at
    a similar rate during the period 86-96
  • Increase in labour productivity of SMEs in the
    machinery industry was faster than in other main
    product sectors.
  • SMEs in the machinery industry also increased
    their TFP markedly, compared with both SMEs in
    other sectors and LEs in the same sector.

7
Islamic Banking
  • Indonesia is primarily a Muslim country and much
    of its business culture cannot be separated from
    the religious background.
  • Islamic Banking
  • Reject the use of interest as a reward or charge
  • Interest is conceived as usury and is unjust in
    the eyes of Allah
  • Use profit sharing approach to both debtors and
    creditors
  • Western banks cannot be separated from any
    product bearing interest
  • Islamic banks cannot accept any product which
    bears interest

8
How can Islamic banks function?
  • Types of products offered
  • Wadiah
  • Agreement between one person who owns goods (eg
    money) and another (eg a bank) to whom the goods
    are entrusted.
  • Any benefit from the goods belongs to the bank.
  • But the owner can benefit from a pre-arranged
    non-withdrawl bonus.
  • This is not interest, it is a pre-negotiated
    arrangement.

9
How can Islamic banks function?
  • Types of products offered
  • Murabahah (savings and deposit)
  • An arrangement between an owner of capital (eg a
    bank) and an entrepreneur.
  • Bank provides capital for a project.
  • Entrepreneur is responsible for the management of
    the project.
  • Any profit is divided into pre-arranged portions

10
How can Islamic banks function?
  • Types of products offered
  • Qardhu ul-hasan
  • A credit facility for those in financial
    difficulty
  • Especially as a result of health care, weddings
    or education.
  • The borrower only has to pay back the principal
  • No interest is charged
  • There is a pre-arranged administration charge
  • Based on merit of the project and not current
    market value of money

11
Is there an Indonesian style of management?
  • Remember Hofstedes analysis
  • Background to Indonesian management development
  • Largely Dutch based
  • After overthrown of imperial power in 1949
  • Lack of suitably trained managers
  • Independence in 1957
  • Inflow of foreign investment
  • Development of government instituted management
    training
  • Universities generally Dutch/UK principles
  • Growth of power of local Chinese entrepreneurs

12
Unity in Diversity
  • Javanese style politically dominant
  • Leaders should demonstrate
  • Musyawarah (Mutual deliberation)
  • Mufakat (common unanimous decision)
  • Should seek consensus guided by social harmony
  • Power is never explicit
  • Only a weak leader displays force or coercion
  • Important role of halus (calm serenity)

13
Typical SME management characteristics
  • Manager usually owner
  • No long term strategy
  • Important decisions made by manager/owner
  • Employees and middle management seek approval for
    almost any decision from the boss
  • Father-figure leadership role (Bapak)
  • Often family are in middle management positions
  • This style of management can put off foreign
    investors

14
International influence
  • FDI cannot be separated from management
    development
  • Western companies hire local employees and
    managers but apply western management techniques
  • Japanese multinationals do not hire locals but
    form JVs
  • Management style influential
  • Korean Chaebols are big investors
  • Korean and Japanese management style is similar
    to Indonesian
  • Based on deference to authority and trust

15
SOE sector
  • Still many SOEs
  • Mostly former Dutch companies which were
    nationalised
  • Recent attempts at reform
  • Privatising non-profitable SOEs
  • Management is limited restricted authority
  • Rise of conglomerates (konglomerat)
  • Driving force behind Indonesian economic
    development
  • Mainly Chinese owned
  • Of top 25 only 5 owned by ethnic Indonesians
  • Adopting new management techniques
  • Reliance on informal relationships between owners
    and associates

16
Downside of peace and harmony
  • Desire not to deliver bad news
  • The philosophy of asal bapak senang (keep father
    happy)
  • Subordinates do not wish to inform seniors of bad
    news

17
The (sad) case of Bank Duta in 1989
  • Manager of dealing room found US20 million loss
    in FX trading
  • Didnt say anything
  • Two days later US70 million loss
  • President-director only told before scrutiny of
    year-end reports
  • He did not inform the board
  • Told dealing room manager to keep quiet
  • Subsequent loss was US419 million

18
Indonesian Corporate Culture
  • Key attributes of the Indonesian business person
  • Assertiveness
  • Conceal negative feelings
  • Play down positive feelings
  • Are typically non-assertive
  • Yes means Yes (or No)
  • Believe to say No invites conflict
  • Therefore Indonesians will say yes when they mean
    no.
  • How do you tell what they mean.
  • Understatement
  • Indonesians will not give their opinion unless
    invited to do so
  • Deference

19
Indonesian Corporate Culture
  • Analytical thinking
  • Education system encourages learning by rote
  • Underdevelopment of analytical thinking
  • Lack of individualism
  • Emphasis on communalism
  • Leadership
  • Every leader should be a good example to their
    subordinates trough their positive attitudes,
    measured, wise words and exemplary behaviour
  • Every leader should be disciplined, independent
    and creative in their relationship with employees
  • That every leader should be known by their
    achievements and their sense of responsibility
    towards their employees
  • Initiative
  • Lack of general initiative
  • Part of paternalistic approach to corporate
    culture

20
Old and New management style
  • Traditional generalised type of Indonesian
    business person
  • Limited knowledge and understanding of foreign
    cultures
  • Demonstrate domestic-oriented thinking
  • Great pride in Indonesian culture
  • Rigid and conservative
  • Many have received training at home or abroad
  • Do not have good foreign language skills
  • Require intermediary to communicate with
    foreigners
  • New breed modern types
  • Well-educated especially abroad
  • Able to think globally
  • Understand foreign cultures and can speak English
  • Are proud of Indonesian culture but aware of
    political and economic shortcomings

21
Post-crisis recovery
  • Debt-ridden corporations and failure of
    governance have affected investor confidence
  • Existing risks
  • New laws and regulations especially
  • the regional autonomy
  • new consumer and labour laws
  • are expected to cause new extra costs for company
    operations.
  • In the banking and financial sectors
  • IBRA (Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency) is
    still far behind the target milestones.

22
Post-crisis recovery
  • Implementation of Code of Corporate Governance
  • Indonesian Code of Good Corporate Governance
    issued May 2000 by NCCG (National Committee of
    Corporate Governance)
  • Ministerial Decree of SoEs
  • Based on 4 essential principles of corporate
    governance
  • Transparency
  • Independence or Fairness
  • Accountability
  • Responsibility

23
Risk Audit
  • Company is expected to disclose material
    foreseeable risk factors, including management
    assessment of the business climate and risk
    factors
  • Mandatory establishment of Audit Committee
    suggested by
  • Jakarta Stock Exchange
  • Ministerial Decree for Indonesian SoEs
  • Three principal domains of role and
    responsibility of the Audit Committee
  • Companys disclosure, especially those related to
    Companys financial disclosure
  • Companys Internal Control Practices
  • Companys Corporate Governance Practices

24
Risk analysis
  • Company risk is grouped into two categories
  • Financial Risk and Non Financial Risk.
  • Financial Risk consists of four sub-risks
  • Market Risk, the risk of financial loss resulting
    from a change in the value of
  • tradable assets.
  • Credit Risk, the risk of financial loss resulting
    from a default of the counterpart.
  • Operational Risk, the risk of financial loss
    resulting from operational failure.
  • Reputation Risk, the risk of financial loss
    resulting from the loss of business attributable
    to a decrease in the institutions reputation.

25
Risk analysis
  • Non-Financial Risk is viewed from two
    perspectives
  • Micro perspective the risk resulting from
    uncertainty due to the internal elements
  • of institution such as people, process, event,
    and system and technology.
  • Macro perspective the risk resulting from
    uncertainty due to external factors such
  • as Government, Industry and domestic business
    environment, Society, and
  • international business environment.
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