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Title: Changing Epidemiological Trends and the Public Health Picture


1
Changing Epidemiological Trends and the Public
Health Picture
November 16, 2004 Foodborne and Waterborne
Infectious Disease Threats Emory
University Robert V Tauxe, M.D.,
M.P.H. Foodborne and Diarrheal Diseases
Branch, Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, Atlanta, GA
2
  • The fall and rise of reported Salmonella
    infections in the United States, 1920-2002

Industrialization of our food supply Non typhi
Salmonella E coli O157H7 Campylobacter
Sewers, water treatment, pasteurization of milk
CDC, National Notifiable Diseases surveillance
data
3
Public health burden of foodborne disease
  • 1997 Estimate each year an estimated 76 million
    cases
  • 1 in four Americans gets a foodborne illness each
    year
  • 1 in 1000 Americans is hospitalized each year
  • Prevention depends on efforts from farm to table
    to reduce contamination of food
  • Healthy People Goals for 2010 50 reduction
    from 1997 baseline in incidence of infections
    with
  • Salmonella
  • Campylobacter
  • E. coli O157
  • Listeria monocytogenes
  • Outbreaks caused by Salmonella Enteritidis

Mead, EID 5607, 1999
4
Foodborne diseases Philosophy of prevention
  • No vaccines for most of these pathogens
  • Educating consumers, foodhandlers and producers
    is important, but not sufficient
  • Groups at highest risk Young children, elderly,
    immunocompromised
  • Contamination can occur from farm to table
  • Understand mechanisms of contamination well
    enough to prevent it upstream from the consumer
  • Targets Specific pathogen food combinations

5
  • Public health prevention,
  • The cycle of continuous improvement

Surveillance
Epidemiologic investigation
Prevention measures
Applied Targeted Research
6
Foodborne disease Pathogens, problems and
prevention
  • Current measures provide adequate control
  • Trichinosis in pigs
  • Botulism in commercial canned foods
  • Improved, but not adequate control of
  • Salmonella Enteritidis in eggs
  • E. coli O157 in ground beef
  • Campylobacter in poultry
  • Listeria monocytogenes in processed meats
  • Little successful control of
  • Multiply-resistant Salmonella (dairy reservoirs,
    ground beef)
  • Produce-related problems tomatoes, lettuce,
    melons
  • Vibrio ssp (raw oysters)
  • Norovirus salads, oysters

7
  • 1) Prevention along farm-to-table continuum can
    control disease threats

Farm, Feedlot, Fishing site
Production
Processing
Slaughter Plant, Cannery, Packer, Food Factory
Final Kitchen commercial, institutional or
domestic
Final preparation and cooking
8
Pathogens, problems and prevention
  • Current measures provide adequate control
  • Trichinosis in pigs
  • Botulism in commercial canned foods
  • Improved, but not adequate control of
  • Salmonella Enteritidis in eggs
  • E. coli O157 in ground beef
  • Listeria monocytogenes in processed meats
  • Campylobacter in poultry
  • Little successful control of
  • Multiply-resistant Salmonella (dairy reservoirs,
    ground beef)
  • Produce-related problems tomatoes, lettuce,
    melons
  • Vibrio ssp (raw oysters)
  • Norovirus salads, oysters

9
Specific challenges with making farm to table
prevention work
  • Understand contamination well enough to prevent
    it
  • Years of multi-disciplinary research
  • Line up market signals, incentives and
    regulations
  • Many foods become anonymous as processed
  • When contamination is not preventable foods most
    likely to be contaminated should get pathogen
    elimination treatment
  • thermal pasteurization (milk, eggs)
  • Irradiation (ground beef)
  • high pressure (raw oysters)
  • Some animals should not be eaten at all (TB, BSE)

10
Irradiated ground beef is here
11
Salmonella Enteritidis
  • Causes acute gastroenteritis, complicated by
    sepsis in elderly, immunocompromised
  • 200,000 cases, 100 deaths annually in 1990s
  • Dominant source of outbreaks has been the egg
  • Applied research
  • Reservoir egg-laying hens, lifelong ovarian
    infections
  • Estimated 1/20,000 eggs are positive
  • Risk factors on farm
  • Getting chicks from a hatchery with SE
  • Not cleaning and disinfecting between flocks
  • Rodents may transfer SE from flock to flock

12
  • Controlling Salmonella Enteritidis in egg flocks
  • Production
  • Eliminate SE from breeder flocks
  • Voluntary egg quality assurance programs on farms
  • Divert eggs from positive farms to pasteurization
  • Distribution
  • Refrigerate eggs throughout distribution
    nationwide
  • Preparation
  • Educating high risk consumers to avoid raw eggs
  • Educating chefs/institutions to use pasteurized
    egg
  • In the Future
  • Mandatory egg quality programs

13
Reported outbreaks due to Salmonella Enteritidis,
by year, 1985-2003
Healthy People 2010 Goal
Year
Foodborne Outbreak Reporting System, CDC. 2003
is preliminary
14
Controlling bacterial contamination of meat with
Hazard Analysis-Critical Control Point (HACCP)
  • 1996 Introduction of general HACCP strategies
    for meat slaughter hygiene, replacing simple
    visual inspection
  • Process controls and safety checkpoints
  • Salmonella testing of final carcass as standard
  • Focus on carcass -gt processes for cleaner
    carcasses
  • Likely impact on Campylobacter, Salmonella
  • Little change in E. coli O157
  • Ground beef is made from trim (scraps)
  • 2002 New HACCP guidance on E. coli O157 in
    ground beef
  • Industry tests bins of trim before grinding,
    requires they be negative for O157 before
    grinding
  • New incentive to reduce this pathogen in trim as
    well as carcasses

15
FoodNet trends 1996-2003
Since 1996, significant decreases in Infections
with Salmonella -17 Campylobacter -28 E.
coli O157 - 42 Yersinia - 49
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
2002 2003Year
MMWR 53338-343, 2004

16
FSIS Year-to-Year comparison of the number of
positives E. coli O157H7 plant and retail
samples when controlling for season in a Poisson
regression model
p 0.03
p 0.32
p 0.89
Holt, ICEID, Atlanta 2004
17
  • Incidence of reported cases and outbreaks of
    listeriosis in the United States, 1986-2003

Multistate outbreak
PulseNet begins subtyping Listeria
Single state outbreak
Data from active surveillance systems, Some
data are preliminary
18
2) New problems emerge
  • Current measures provide adequate control
  • Trichinosis in pigs
  • Botulism in commercial canned foods
  • Improved, but not adequate control of
  • Salmonella Enteritidis in eggs
  • E. coli O157 in ground beef
  • Campylobacter in poultry
  • Listeria monocytogenes in processed meats
  • Little successful control of
  • Multiply-resistant Salmonella (dairy reservoirs,
    ground beef)
  • Produce-related problems tomatoes, lettuce,
    melons
  • Vibrio ssp (raw oysters)
  • Norovirus salads, oysters

19
  • Antibioticresistant salmonellosis has emerged as
    an important problem
  • Two types are of particular concern
  • Salmonella Typhimurium (The most common
    serotype)
  • Salmonella Newport (Third most common
    serotype)
  • Some strains are resistant to many antibiotic
    drugs
  • Those strains represent 11 of all human
    salmonellosis (145,000 foodborne infections per
    year)
  • Cause more severe and longer illnesses than
    non-resistant strains, and can complicate
    treatment for other infections
  • Both have dairy cattle (and other) reservoirs and
    are transmitted through ground beef

20
Multidrug-resistant Salmonella Newport(S.
Newport MDR Amp C)
  • First appeared in 1999
  • Causing epidemic disease in cattle as well as
    humans
  • Extremely resistant
  • Resistant to nine agents, often more
  • Ampicillin, TMP/SXT, ceftriaxone
  • Risk factor ground beef, raw milk, taking an
    antibiotic
  • Risk factors on farm (Anecdotal)
  • Housing newborn calves with ill animals
  • Feeding calves raw milk from ill animals
  • Animals getting antibiotics for other reasons are
    at risk

State and CDC investigators on a New England
dairy farm where 6 cattle had died,and children
in a day care had become infected
Gupta. J Infect Dis 1881707 2003
21
Menu of prevention steps for multi-drug resistant
Salmonella in beef
  • Consumer education
  • Do not taste raw beef while preparing
  • Pathogen reduction - irradiation of ground beef
  • Processing practices - review HACCP plans
  • Increase focus on multi-drug resistant Salmonella
    as a specific problem
  • Which animals likely to carry these pathogens?
  • Alternatives to raw ground beef for those
    animals?
  • Reduce infections among cattle
  • Isolation of sick animals
  • Review culling, transport process

22
Foodborne outbreaks related to fresh produce,
1973-1997
Sivapalasingam J Food Protection 67 2342-53,
2004
23
2004 A sample of produce-associated outbreaks
  • Three Salmonella outbreaks from fresh Roma
    tomatoes
  • Largest outbreak gt350 cases of S. Javiana
    infection among patrons of a deli chain in
    Northeast
  • Salmonella Enteritidis from raw almonds
  • 44 cases, almond recall, all almonds to be
    pasteurized in this years harvest
  • Airline shigellosis in Hawaii
  • 41 cases on 9 flights. Salads with shredded
    carrots
  • Cyclospora 96 cases in PA linked to snow peas
    from Guatemala
  • E. coli O157NM 3 cases in GA linked to alfalfa
    sprouts from Australian seeds

(Preliminary information)
24
The specific challenges of produce-related
foodborne disease
  • Often eaten uncooked
  • Not easy to wash pathogens off
  • Contamination may be introduced at the farm
  • Bacteria may enter the internal tissues
  • Good Agricultural Practices now being promoted
    are based on common sense
  • Do we know enough to prevent contamination from
    occurring?

25
How can Salmonella enter an intact tomato?
  • Put Salmonella on the tomato flower
  • Put Salmonella in the irrigation water
  • Dunk a warm tomato into cold water with
    Salmonella
  • Bottom line The environment that animals and
    plants live in matters

Guo Appl Env Microbiol 67 4760, 2001 Guo Appl
Env Microbiol 68 3139, 2002 Bartz
Phytopathology 71515 1981
26
Norovirus what we do not know can hurt us
  • Estimated 9,000,000 cases and 125 deaths annually
  • Human reservoir, in feces and vomitus
  • Most is direct person-to-person (via hands?)
  • Foodborne Salads, sandwiches, shellfish
  • Unanswered questions
  • How to easily diagnose?
  • How long do people shed infectious virus?
  • How long will virus persist on food, in water?
  • How to inactivate virus on hands, food, water,
    surfaces?

27
FoodNet trends 1996-2003
Since 1996, no significant decreases in
Infections with Vibrio 116 Shigella
-9 Listeria -21
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
2002 2003Year

MMWR 53338-343, 2004
28
Foodborne Vibrio infections in the United States
  • An estimated 5,200 cases and 30 deaths annually
    (1997)
  • V. parahaemolyticus, V. vulnificus
  • Underlying liver disease, immunocompromise
  • Associated with eating raw shellfish from warm
    waters
  • Shellfish sanitation control programs do not work
    for Vibrio
  • Control strategy to date - Educate the consumer
  • Effective pressure treatment available

29
3) Food safety is a global problem
  • Imports
  • Green onions - Hepatitis A from Mexico
  • Mangoes - Salmonella from Brazil
  • Queso fresco - Listeria monocytogenes from Mexico
  • Snow peas - Cyclospora from Guatemala
  • Alfalfa sprouts - E. coli O157NM from Australia
  • Exports
  • Japan Ground beef - E. coli O157H7 from U.S.
  • Canada Almonds - Salmonella Enteritidis from
    U.S.

30
Specific challenges in international foodborne
disease
  • Responding to international outbreaks requires
    multi-disciplinary collaboration
  • Many countries are now where we were 75 years
    ago
  • Improving basic sanitation and hygiene in
    exporting countries is in our own interest
  • Improving the public health surveillance and food
    safety in exporting countries is integral to
    general development
  • Collaborative WHO programs a venue to help

31
4) The threat of intentional contamination A
typology of trouble
  • Bioterror and biowarfare
  • State-sponsored
  • Ideologically driven group sponsored
  • Biocrime and biomisdemeanors
  • Harm for personal gain or revenge
  • Bioignorance and biomisfortune
  • Common but non-intentional
  • Virtually all foodborne disease falls in this
    category
  • A daily concern of public health departments
    everywhere

32
Dissemination techniques planned in 83 confirmed
bioterror or biocrime incidents, 1900-1999
Carus 2001 Bioterrorism and biocrimes since 1900
33
Range of scenarios for a bioterror attack
  • An attack at point of food final preparation
  • Detection will be swift even with primitive
    surveillance
  • Epidemiological investigation to determine
    pathogen, vehicle
  • Investigation and response will start with local
    resources with rapid federal support
  • An attack at a central point in food production
  • Cases of one specific infection spread across the
    country
  • Analogous to the unintentional new scenario
    outbreak
  • Detection requires laboratory-based surveillance
  • Response requires speedy multi-jurisdictional
    investigation
  • The same systems that respond to outbreaks now

34
Reinforcing public health surveillance and
investigation
  • Increasing resources in state and local health
    departments and in national agencies to
  • Identify clusters and outbreaks of illness
  • Diagnose the cause of the illness more rapidly
  • Investigate to determine the sources and
    contributing factors
  • Preparing for large events with unusual pathogens
  • Preparing medical system for disaster response
  • National stockpile of pharmaceuticals

35
Food safety in the United States - some
progress, but much more to do
  • Farm-to-table prevention can work
  • Surveillance and monitoring linked to action can
    drive prevention
  • New pathogens and problems will continue to
    emerge
  • The rest of the world is closer than it appears
  • Bioterror defense includes a prepared public
    health system
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