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Analyze the value of interest rate swaps and how they effect the duration of a FI's net worth. ... Consider how interest rate options such as bond options, ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Objectives:


1
Hedging Interest Rate Risk
  • Objectives
  • Analyze the value of interest rate swaps and how
    they effect the duration of a FIs net worth.
  • Analyze the value of forward rate agreements and
    how they effect the duration of a FIs net worth.
  • Value forward and futures contracts on bonds and
    determine how they effect the duration of a FIs
    net worth.
  • Consider how interest rate options such as bond
    options, caps, floors, collars, and swaptions can
    insure against interest rate risk.

2
  • We have analyzed how to value fixed-cashflow and
    floating-cashflow bonds and loans.
  • We also have discussed how to determine the
    duration (interest rate risk) of these fixed and
    floating rate instruments as well as the duration
    of a financial intermediarys (FIs) net worth.
  • The best way to limit the interest rate risk of a
    FIs net worth may not be to match the durations
    of its assets and liabilities.
  • It may be best to let the FIs customers
    determine the durations of its assets and
    liabilities, and then to control the resulting
    interest rate risk using interest rate
    derivatives.

3
Interest Rate Swaps
  • Swap contracts are agreements between two parties
    to exchange a series of assets or cash flows at
    specified future dates.
  • In particular, an interest rate swap is a
    contract to exchange interest payments on a given
    amount of notional principal at specified
    future dates.
  • The most common type of (plain vanilla) interest
    rate swap is where one party pays floating rate
    interest payments (usually equal to six-month
    LIBOR) in exchange for the other party paying
    fixed rate interest payments.
  • These swaps are sold by dealers in large banks to
    FIs and other corporations that seek to hedge
    interest rate risk.

4
  • Example A banks depositors usually prefer short
    maturities that can be readily liquidated. Its
    borrowing customers may prefer longer maturity
    loans at fixed-interest rates because the loans
    finance longer maturity projects and borrowers
    wish to know their exact fixed-interest borrowing
    costs.
  • If a bank satisfies both its borrowing and
    depositor customers, its longer duration loans
    financed by shorter duration deposits exposes the
    bank to interest rate risk.
  • Consider a bank that makes a 1 million,
    five-year loan at a fixed 8 interest rate,
    where the borrower is required to make
    semi-annual payments of ½(.08)(1 m) 40,000
    and repay the 1 m principal at maturity. The
    bank finances this loan by issuing 1 m of
    six-month maturity CDs.

5
  • These transactions expose the bank to interest
    rate risk. If
  • six-month market interest rates rise above 8
    , the banks
  • interest payments on its CDs will exceed its
    8 loan payments.

Unhedged Bank Balance Sheet
Assets Liabilities Fixed-Rate 5
year Loan Six-Month CDs (Long
Duration) (Short Duration)
  • The bank can hedge this interest rate exposure
    by becoming a
  • fixed-rate payer in a five-year interest rate
    swap contract. The
  • swap agreement will require the bank to pay
    semi-annual
  • interest at a 7 annual rate on a notional
    principal of 1 m.
  • In return, the bank receives semi-annual
    six-month LIBOR
  • payments. With this swap, the banks on and
    off-balance sheet
  • assets and liabilities are now

6
Bank Balance Sheet
Assets
Liabilities Fixed-Rate 5 year Loan
Six-Month CDs (Long Duration)
(Short Duration)
Off-Balance Sheet (Swap) Assets
Liabilities LIBOR Swap Payments
Fixed-Rate Swap Payments (Short
Duration) (Long Duration)
  • Because six-month LIBOR will move with the
    interest rate that
  • the bank pays on its CDs, the LIBOR swap
    payments will
  • cover the banks required CD interest
    payments. The net result
  • is that the duration of on- and off- balance
    sheet assets are
  • equal to the duration of on-and off-balance
    sheet liabilities.

7
  • How can we value an interest rate swap and
    calculate its effect on the duration of a FIs
    net worth? This is easy once we recognize that
    an interest rate swap is identical to opposite
    positions in a fixed-coupon bond and a floating
    coupon bond.
  • A floating (fixed) rate payer in an n-year
    interest rate swap has a long (short) position in
    an n-year fixed-coupon bond and a short (long)
    position in an n-year floating-coupon bond.
  • Example An insurance company has longer duration
    liabilities (insurance policies) than assets. To
    hedge its risk, it becomes a floating rate payer
    (fixed rate receiver) in a 5 m. 10-year swap
    tied to 6-month LIBOR and having a fixed-rate of
    6 .
  • Thus, the value of this swap is the difference
    between a 5 m., 10-year coupon bond with an
    annual coupon rate of 6 less a 5m., 10-year
    floating rate bond tied to six-month LIBOR.

8
  • Specifically, consider a swap having exactly n
    years until maturity and making semi-annual
    payments, with the next payment being exactly 6
    months from now. Let
  • FV swaps notional principal.
  • c annual coupon rate of swap (½cFV paid every 6
    months).
  • i½(?) be the semi-annually compounded yield on a
    ZCB that matures in ? years, so that P(?)
    1/1½i½(?)2?.
  • The value of the fixed-rate component of the
    swap, PVfx, is simply the present value of an
    n-year fixed-coupon bond

9
  • The value of the floating rate component of the
    swap, PVfl , is
  • PVfl FV
  • because a floating-rate bond equals its par
    value at the coupon reset date.
  • Hence, the value of the swap to the floating rate
    payer (fixed rate receiver) is
  • When the two parties first agree to the swap, its
    value equals zero because the market-determined
    coupon rate, c, is set so that the fixed-rate
    component of the swap sells for its par value,
    FV, that is, c equals the fixed-rate bonds
    initial YTM.

10
  • However, after the swap is agreed to, changes in
    market interest rates imply that PVswap will have
    a negative (positive) value if market rates
    increase (decrease).
  • Example A 5-year 100 m. swap was agreed to 3
    years ago with a c 8.00 coupon rate.
    Currently, the swap has exactly 2 years to
    maturity and the semi-annually compounded yields
    on ½, 1, 1½, and 2 year ZCBs are 3.0, 3.2,
    3.4, and 3.6, respectively. What is the
    current value of the swap?
  • Therefore

11
  • It is also straightforward to calculate the
    impact of a swap on the duration of a FIs net
    worth. As before, let
  • A value of FIs on-balance sheet assets
  • DA duration of FIs on-balance sheet assets
  • L value of FIs on-balance sheet liabilities
  • DL duration of FIs on-balance sheet
    liabilities
  • PVfx value of fixed component of swap
  • Dfx duration of fixed component of swap
  • PVfl value of floating component of swap
  • Dfl duration of floating component of swap
  • DE duration of FI net worth
  • Note that when the next swap payment is exactly 6
    months in the future, PVfl FV and Dfl ½ year.
    Also, when the parties initially agree to the
    swap, then PVfx FV , but can change afterwards
    as the previous example shows.

12
  • We know how to calculate the duration of the
    fixed component, since it is simply the duration
    of a fixed-coupon bond
  • For the previous example, this equals

13
  • Now consider the case (as in the previous bank
    example) where the FI is a fixed-rate payer in an
    interest rate swap with notional principal of FV
    and the next swap payment is 6 months in the
    future. Then the FIs net worth, E, equals
  • and the duration of net worth is
  • When the swap is initially agreed, PVfx FV and
    then

14
  • Example A bank has assets of 1.1 billion and
    debt (deposits) of 1.0 billion. The durations
    of its assets and debt are 1.25 years and 1 year,
    respectively. It now agrees to be a fixed-rate
    payer (floating rate receiver) in a 5-year
    interest rate swap having a notional principal of
    80 m. The duration of the fixed-component of the
    swap is 4.5 years. What is the the duration of
    the banks net worth?

15
Forward Rate Agreements
  • A forward rate agreement (FRA) is simply an
    exchange of fixed and floating interest payments
    for a single future date. Thus, it is like an
    interest rate swap covering a single period.
  • As before, assume that two parties swap floating
    6-month LIBOR interest for a fixed interest rate
    of c based on a notional principal of FV. This
    swap is assumed to occur ? gt ½ years in the
    future.
  • As with swaps and floating rate bonds, the
    6-month LIBOR rate for the FRA is determined ? -
    ½ years in the future.
  • From our previous analysis of floating rate
    coupons, the floating rate cashflow is replicated
    by buying a ZCB maturing in ? - ½ years and
    issuing a ZCB maturing in ? years.

16
  • Hence, the present value of the floating rate
    payment is
  • The present value of the fixed-coupon payment of
    ½cFV is
  • Thus, the value of a FRA to receive floating and
    pay fixed is
  • and the effect on a FIs net worth is to
    decrease its duration by adding off-balance sheet
    assets worth FV P(? - ½ ) and having a duration
    of ? - ½ years and adding off-balance sheet
    liabilities worth FV(1½c)P(? ) and having a
    duration of ? years.

17
  • When the FRA is initiated, its value equals zero.
    This implies that the present values of the
    added off-balance sheet assets and liabilities
    are equal. This insight also determines c
  • c is then the semi-annually compounded forward
    rate for an investment starting ? - ½ years and
    ending ? years in the future.
  • Note that a FRA to pay fixed (floating) and
    receive floating (fixed) would be the appropriate
    hedge for a FI that wishes to convert a future
    on-balance sheet fixed-(floating) rate loan or
    bond interest cashflow (asset) to a floating
    (fixed) one.

18
Forward and Futures Contracts on Bonds
  • A forward contract is an agreement between two
    parties to exchange a particular asset, such as
    a bond, at a specified future date at a pre-
    agreed price.
  • The party taking the long position agrees to
    purchase this asset from the party taking the
    short position who agrees to deliver the asset.
  • The price that is paid by the long party to the
    short party at the future date is called the
    forward price. The parties agree to this price
    when the contract is first established.
  • Let a forward contract have a time until maturity
    of ? years and let f be the forward price paid by
    the long party to the short party in return for a
    particular bond.

19
Long party pays f Short party delivers bond
t? Contract Maturity Date
t Current date
  • If the bond does not pay any cashflows (coupons)
    during the life of the forward contract (from
    dates t to t?), the value of this forward
    contract to the long party is simply the present
    value of the bond minus the present value of the
    cashflow f to be paid at date t?.
  • Moreover, the effect of this contract on the
    duration of a FIs net worth is to add
    off-balance sheet assets worth PVbond with a
    duration equal to that of the bond and adding
    off-balance sheet liabilities worth fP(? ) with a
    duration of ? years.

20
  • Example A forward contract on the 10-year U.S.
    Treasury note matures in exactly 3 months and has
    a forward price of f 101. The Treasury notes
    current price is 103 and its duration is 9
    years. The annualized, quarterly-compounded
    3-month LIBOR is 4.00 . What is the value of
    this forward contract to the long party?
  • The contract would be equivalent to adding 103
    of assets with a duration of 9 years and adding
    100 of liabilities with a duration of 3 months.
    Hence a long (short) forward position would
    lengthen (shorten) the duration of a FI net
    worth.

21
  • When a forward contract is first initiated, the
    forward price, f, is set so that the contracts
    value equals zero. This implies that at the
    initial date
  • If bond pays cashflows (coupons) during the life
    of the forward contract (from dates t to t?),
    let PVc be their present value. Because the long
    party does not receive them, the value of the
    forward contract is adjusted to be

22
  • Like swaps and FRAs, most forward contracts are
    bought and sold in over-the-counter markets where
    large banks act as market makers (dealers).
  • Futures contracts are like forward contracts in
    that they involve agreements to exchange assets
    at future dates. Their profitability and uses in
    hedging are very similar to forward contracts.
    However futures contracts are re-traded through
    time at a centralized exchange, such as the CBOT,
    CME, or LIFFE.
  • The U.S. Treasury futures traded on the CBOT is
    very similar to the just-described U.S. Treasury
    bond forward contract.
  • Eurodollar futures traded on the CME is very
    similar to the previously described FRAs but are
    tied to 3-month LIBOR, rather than 6-month LIBOR.
    (The valuation and duration formulas are similar
    but change ½ to ¼).

23
Interest Rate Options
  • Unlike forwards, futures, and swap contracts
    where parties are committed to carrying out
    future transactions, the owner of an option has
    the right, but not the obligation, to execute a
    future transaction.
  • The owner of a call option written on an asset
    has the right, but not the obligation to buy an
    asset at some future date, T, for the pre-agreed
    exercise or strike price, X. Thus, if the
    assets price at date T is ST, a call options
    payoff at maturity is
  • Call option payoff max
    ST - X, 0
  • Similarly, the owner of a put option written on
    an asset has the right, but not the obligation to
    sell an asset at some future date, T, for the
    pre-agreed exercise price, X. Its payoff at
    maturity is
  • Put option payoff max X
    ST , 0

24
  • If, for example, X 100, a call options
    payoff can be
  • graphed as

Payoff at Maturity of Call
Option Payoff 100
0

-100
0 X100
200 Date T asset
price, ST
25
  • For example, if X 100, a graph of the put
    options payoff
  • will be

Payoff at Maturity of Put
Option Payoff 100
0

-100
0 X100
200 Date T asset
price, ST
26
  • Options can never have a payoff to the owner of
    less than zero, since the owner can always
    choose to not exercise them. Hence, the owner
    must pay the seller (or writer) of the option an
    initial premium for the right.
  • Note that a call (put) option is a bullish
    (bearish) position in the underlying asset. Its
    value increases (decreases) as the value of the
    underlying asset increases.
  • If the underlying asset is a bond (e.g., 10-year
    U.S. Treasury note), then a call options value
    goes up (down) when market interest rates fall
    (rise). Conversely, a put options value goes
    down (up) when market interest rates fall (rise).
  • Valuing an interest rate option and computing its
    duration can be done using extensions of the
    Black-Scholes model, topics that are beyond the
    scope of this course.

27
  • However, we can illustrate how interest rate
    options can be used to insure against risks.
  • Example An insurance company holds a portfolio
    of bonds that have a duration of 8 years. The
    current value of its portfolio equals S0 10
    million. It wishes to insure itself against a
    fall in the value of its portfolio below X 9 m
    during the next year.
  • This could be accomplished by purchasing put
    options on a bond that has a duration of
    approximately 9 years (9 years minus the option
    contract maturity of one year).
  • The insurance company purchases put options on
    the 10-year U.S. Treasury note having a current
    underlying bond value of S0 10 m, an effective
    exercise price of X 9 m, and a maturity of one
    year.

28
  • If we let I1 be the value of the put options
    (insurance) at the end of the year, then their
    value will be
  • where S1 is the end-of-year value of the
    Treasury notes.
  • By owning this portfolio insurance, the
    insurance company will have a combined
    end-of-year value given by
  • so that it is guaranteed to be worth no less
    than 9m. This end-of-year value for the
    insurance companys assets can be graphed as

29
End-of-Year Insurance Company
Assets Value 13m
11m 9m 7m


5m 5m 7m 9m
11m 13m Value
of Bonds
30
  • Another option contract that provides insurance
    is an interest
  • rate cap. Consider a firm that has borrowed by
    issuing a floating
  • rate bond paying semi-annual coupons tied to
    six-month LIBOR.
  • The firm can obtain insurance from paying very
    high interest
  • rates by purchasing interest rate caps from its
    bank.
  • A cap is an agreement where the bank will pay
    the borrower
  • the difference between six-month LIBOR, i½,T ,
    and an agreed
  • upon cap rate, RC , whenever LIBOR exceeds the
    cap rate

Maturity Value of Cap ½ FV max 0, i½,T - RC

where FV is the notional principal underlying the
cap agreement. The bank makes this payment six
months after the above LIBOR, i½,T, is set.
Purchasing caps for every date that the floating
rate bond makes semi-annual coupon payments
insures that the borrower never pays more than RC.
31
  • Conversely, an interest rate floor is a contract
    where the seller agrees to pay the buyer the
    difference between a floor rate, RF , and LIBOR
    when LIBOR is below the floor rate
  • An interest rate collar is the purchase of an
    interest rate cap and the sale of an interest
    rate floor where RC gt RF. A floating rate note
    issuer that obtains a collar insures that its net
    interest payment will always be in the range of
    RC , RF.
  • Another interest rate option is a swaption the
    right, but not the obligation, to initiate an
    interest rate swap agreement at a future contract
    date and at a pre-agreed swap rate, c.

Maturity Value of Floor ½ FV max 0, RF - i½,T

32
  • Example The buyer of a swaption has the right,
    but not the obligation, to become the fixed-rate
    payer (floating rate receiver) in a 10-year
    interest rate swap beginning T 1 year from now
    and at a fixed-coupon rate of c 6.
  • If, after one year, the market fixed-coupon rate
    on a 10-year swap is greater (less) than 6 ,
    this swaption would expire in-the-money
    (worthless).
  • By buying this swaption, the holder would be
    insured against paying a fixed rate exceeding 6.
    This swaption would be valuable when market
    interest rates unexpectedly increase.
  • Conversely, a swaption in which the buyer has the
    right to be the floating rate payer (fixed rate
    receiver) would be valuable when market interest
    rates unexpectedly decline.
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