Title: Objectives:
1Hedging Interest Rate Risk
- Objectives
- Analyze the value of interest rate swaps and how
they effect the duration of a FIs net worth. - Analyze the value of forward rate agreements and
how they effect the duration of a FIs net worth. - Value forward and futures contracts on bonds and
determine how they effect the duration of a FIs
net worth. - Consider how interest rate options such as bond
options, caps, floors, collars, and swaptions can
insure against interest rate risk.
2- We have analyzed how to value fixed-cashflow and
floating-cashflow bonds and loans. - We also have discussed how to determine the
duration (interest rate risk) of these fixed and
floating rate instruments as well as the duration
of a financial intermediarys (FIs) net worth. - The best way to limit the interest rate risk of a
FIs net worth may not be to match the durations
of its assets and liabilities. - It may be best to let the FIs customers
determine the durations of its assets and
liabilities, and then to control the resulting
interest rate risk using interest rate
derivatives.
3Interest Rate Swaps
- Swap contracts are agreements between two parties
to exchange a series of assets or cash flows at
specified future dates. - In particular, an interest rate swap is a
contract to exchange interest payments on a given
amount of notional principal at specified
future dates. - The most common type of (plain vanilla) interest
rate swap is where one party pays floating rate
interest payments (usually equal to six-month
LIBOR) in exchange for the other party paying
fixed rate interest payments. - These swaps are sold by dealers in large banks to
FIs and other corporations that seek to hedge
interest rate risk.
4- Example A banks depositors usually prefer short
maturities that can be readily liquidated. Its
borrowing customers may prefer longer maturity
loans at fixed-interest rates because the loans
finance longer maturity projects and borrowers
wish to know their exact fixed-interest borrowing
costs. - If a bank satisfies both its borrowing and
depositor customers, its longer duration loans
financed by shorter duration deposits exposes the
bank to interest rate risk. - Consider a bank that makes a 1 million,
five-year loan at a fixed 8 interest rate,
where the borrower is required to make
semi-annual payments of ½(.08)(1 m) 40,000
and repay the 1 m principal at maturity. The
bank finances this loan by issuing 1 m of
six-month maturity CDs.
5- These transactions expose the bank to interest
rate risk. If - six-month market interest rates rise above 8
, the banks - interest payments on its CDs will exceed its
8 loan payments.
Unhedged Bank Balance Sheet
Assets Liabilities Fixed-Rate 5
year Loan Six-Month CDs (Long
Duration) (Short Duration)
- The bank can hedge this interest rate exposure
by becoming a - fixed-rate payer in a five-year interest rate
swap contract. The - swap agreement will require the bank to pay
semi-annual - interest at a 7 annual rate on a notional
principal of 1 m. - In return, the bank receives semi-annual
six-month LIBOR - payments. With this swap, the banks on and
off-balance sheet - assets and liabilities are now
6Bank Balance Sheet
Assets
Liabilities Fixed-Rate 5 year Loan
Six-Month CDs (Long Duration)
(Short Duration)
Off-Balance Sheet (Swap) Assets
Liabilities LIBOR Swap Payments
Fixed-Rate Swap Payments (Short
Duration) (Long Duration)
- Because six-month LIBOR will move with the
interest rate that - the bank pays on its CDs, the LIBOR swap
payments will - cover the banks required CD interest
payments. The net result - is that the duration of on- and off- balance
sheet assets are - equal to the duration of on-and off-balance
sheet liabilities.
7- How can we value an interest rate swap and
calculate its effect on the duration of a FIs
net worth? This is easy once we recognize that
an interest rate swap is identical to opposite
positions in a fixed-coupon bond and a floating
coupon bond. - A floating (fixed) rate payer in an n-year
interest rate swap has a long (short) position in
an n-year fixed-coupon bond and a short (long)
position in an n-year floating-coupon bond. - Example An insurance company has longer duration
liabilities (insurance policies) than assets. To
hedge its risk, it becomes a floating rate payer
(fixed rate receiver) in a 5 m. 10-year swap
tied to 6-month LIBOR and having a fixed-rate of
6 . - Thus, the value of this swap is the difference
between a 5 m., 10-year coupon bond with an
annual coupon rate of 6 less a 5m., 10-year
floating rate bond tied to six-month LIBOR.
8- Specifically, consider a swap having exactly n
years until maturity and making semi-annual
payments, with the next payment being exactly 6
months from now. Let - FV swaps notional principal.
- c annual coupon rate of swap (½cFV paid every 6
months). - i½(?) be the semi-annually compounded yield on a
ZCB that matures in ? years, so that P(?)
1/1½i½(?)2?. - The value of the fixed-rate component of the
swap, PVfx, is simply the present value of an
n-year fixed-coupon bond -
9- The value of the floating rate component of the
swap, PVfl , is - PVfl FV
- because a floating-rate bond equals its par
value at the coupon reset date. - Hence, the value of the swap to the floating rate
payer (fixed rate receiver) is - When the two parties first agree to the swap, its
value equals zero because the market-determined
coupon rate, c, is set so that the fixed-rate
component of the swap sells for its par value,
FV, that is, c equals the fixed-rate bonds
initial YTM.
10- However, after the swap is agreed to, changes in
market interest rates imply that PVswap will have
a negative (positive) value if market rates
increase (decrease). - Example A 5-year 100 m. swap was agreed to 3
years ago with a c 8.00 coupon rate.
Currently, the swap has exactly 2 years to
maturity and the semi-annually compounded yields
on ½, 1, 1½, and 2 year ZCBs are 3.0, 3.2,
3.4, and 3.6, respectively. What is the
current value of the swap? - Therefore
11- It is also straightforward to calculate the
impact of a swap on the duration of a FIs net
worth. As before, let - A value of FIs on-balance sheet assets
- DA duration of FIs on-balance sheet assets
- L value of FIs on-balance sheet liabilities
- DL duration of FIs on-balance sheet
liabilities - PVfx value of fixed component of swap
- Dfx duration of fixed component of swap
- PVfl value of floating component of swap
- Dfl duration of floating component of swap
- DE duration of FI net worth
- Note that when the next swap payment is exactly 6
months in the future, PVfl FV and Dfl ½ year.
Also, when the parties initially agree to the
swap, then PVfx FV , but can change afterwards
as the previous example shows.
12- We know how to calculate the duration of the
fixed component, since it is simply the duration
of a fixed-coupon bond - For the previous example, this equals
13- Now consider the case (as in the previous bank
example) where the FI is a fixed-rate payer in an
interest rate swap with notional principal of FV
and the next swap payment is 6 months in the
future. Then the FIs net worth, E, equals - and the duration of net worth is
- When the swap is initially agreed, PVfx FV and
then
14- Example A bank has assets of 1.1 billion and
debt (deposits) of 1.0 billion. The durations
of its assets and debt are 1.25 years and 1 year,
respectively. It now agrees to be a fixed-rate
payer (floating rate receiver) in a 5-year
interest rate swap having a notional principal of
80 m. The duration of the fixed-component of the
swap is 4.5 years. What is the the duration of
the banks net worth?
15Forward Rate Agreements
- A forward rate agreement (FRA) is simply an
exchange of fixed and floating interest payments
for a single future date. Thus, it is like an
interest rate swap covering a single period. - As before, assume that two parties swap floating
6-month LIBOR interest for a fixed interest rate
of c based on a notional principal of FV. This
swap is assumed to occur ? gt ½ years in the
future. - As with swaps and floating rate bonds, the
6-month LIBOR rate for the FRA is determined ? -
½ years in the future. - From our previous analysis of floating rate
coupons, the floating rate cashflow is replicated
by buying a ZCB maturing in ? - ½ years and
issuing a ZCB maturing in ? years.
16- Hence, the present value of the floating rate
payment is - The present value of the fixed-coupon payment of
½cFV is - Thus, the value of a FRA to receive floating and
pay fixed is - and the effect on a FIs net worth is to
decrease its duration by adding off-balance sheet
assets worth FV P(? - ½ ) and having a duration
of ? - ½ years and adding off-balance sheet
liabilities worth FV(1½c)P(? ) and having a
duration of ? years.
17- When the FRA is initiated, its value equals zero.
This implies that the present values of the
added off-balance sheet assets and liabilities
are equal. This insight also determines c - c is then the semi-annually compounded forward
rate for an investment starting ? - ½ years and
ending ? years in the future. - Note that a FRA to pay fixed (floating) and
receive floating (fixed) would be the appropriate
hedge for a FI that wishes to convert a future
on-balance sheet fixed-(floating) rate loan or
bond interest cashflow (asset) to a floating
(fixed) one.
18Forward and Futures Contracts on Bonds
- A forward contract is an agreement between two
parties to exchange a particular asset, such as
a bond, at a specified future date at a pre-
agreed price. - The party taking the long position agrees to
purchase this asset from the party taking the
short position who agrees to deliver the asset. - The price that is paid by the long party to the
short party at the future date is called the
forward price. The parties agree to this price
when the contract is first established. - Let a forward contract have a time until maturity
of ? years and let f be the forward price paid by
the long party to the short party in return for a
particular bond.
19Long party pays f Short party delivers bond
t? Contract Maturity Date
t Current date
- If the bond does not pay any cashflows (coupons)
during the life of the forward contract (from
dates t to t?), the value of this forward
contract to the long party is simply the present
value of the bond minus the present value of the
cashflow f to be paid at date t?. - Moreover, the effect of this contract on the
duration of a FIs net worth is to add
off-balance sheet assets worth PVbond with a
duration equal to that of the bond and adding
off-balance sheet liabilities worth fP(? ) with a
duration of ? years.
20- Example A forward contract on the 10-year U.S.
Treasury note matures in exactly 3 months and has
a forward price of f 101. The Treasury notes
current price is 103 and its duration is 9
years. The annualized, quarterly-compounded
3-month LIBOR is 4.00 . What is the value of
this forward contract to the long party? - The contract would be equivalent to adding 103
of assets with a duration of 9 years and adding
100 of liabilities with a duration of 3 months.
Hence a long (short) forward position would
lengthen (shorten) the duration of a FI net
worth. -
21- When a forward contract is first initiated, the
forward price, f, is set so that the contracts
value equals zero. This implies that at the
initial date - If bond pays cashflows (coupons) during the life
of the forward contract (from dates t to t?),
let PVc be their present value. Because the long
party does not receive them, the value of the
forward contract is adjusted to be
22- Like swaps and FRAs, most forward contracts are
bought and sold in over-the-counter markets where
large banks act as market makers (dealers). - Futures contracts are like forward contracts in
that they involve agreements to exchange assets
at future dates. Their profitability and uses in
hedging are very similar to forward contracts.
However futures contracts are re-traded through
time at a centralized exchange, such as the CBOT,
CME, or LIFFE. - The U.S. Treasury futures traded on the CBOT is
very similar to the just-described U.S. Treasury
bond forward contract. - Eurodollar futures traded on the CME is very
similar to the previously described FRAs but are
tied to 3-month LIBOR, rather than 6-month LIBOR.
(The valuation and duration formulas are similar
but change ½ to ¼).
23Interest Rate Options
- Unlike forwards, futures, and swap contracts
where parties are committed to carrying out
future transactions, the owner of an option has
the right, but not the obligation, to execute a
future transaction. - The owner of a call option written on an asset
has the right, but not the obligation to buy an
asset at some future date, T, for the pre-agreed
exercise or strike price, X. Thus, if the
assets price at date T is ST, a call options
payoff at maturity is - Call option payoff max
ST - X, 0 - Similarly, the owner of a put option written on
an asset has the right, but not the obligation to
sell an asset at some future date, T, for the
pre-agreed exercise price, X. Its payoff at
maturity is - Put option payoff max X
ST , 0 -
24- If, for example, X 100, a call options
payoff can be - graphed as
Payoff at Maturity of Call
Option Payoff 100
0
-100
0 X100
200 Date T asset
price, ST
25- For example, if X 100, a graph of the put
options payoff - will be
Payoff at Maturity of Put
Option Payoff 100
0
-100
0 X100
200 Date T asset
price, ST
26- Options can never have a payoff to the owner of
less than zero, since the owner can always
choose to not exercise them. Hence, the owner
must pay the seller (or writer) of the option an
initial premium for the right. - Note that a call (put) option is a bullish
(bearish) position in the underlying asset. Its
value increases (decreases) as the value of the
underlying asset increases. - If the underlying asset is a bond (e.g., 10-year
U.S. Treasury note), then a call options value
goes up (down) when market interest rates fall
(rise). Conversely, a put options value goes
down (up) when market interest rates fall (rise). - Valuing an interest rate option and computing its
duration can be done using extensions of the
Black-Scholes model, topics that are beyond the
scope of this course.
27- However, we can illustrate how interest rate
options can be used to insure against risks. - Example An insurance company holds a portfolio
of bonds that have a duration of 8 years. The
current value of its portfolio equals S0 10
million. It wishes to insure itself against a
fall in the value of its portfolio below X 9 m
during the next year. - This could be accomplished by purchasing put
options on a bond that has a duration of
approximately 9 years (9 years minus the option
contract maturity of one year). - The insurance company purchases put options on
the 10-year U.S. Treasury note having a current
underlying bond value of S0 10 m, an effective
exercise price of X 9 m, and a maturity of one
year.
28- If we let I1 be the value of the put options
(insurance) at the end of the year, then their
value will be - where S1 is the end-of-year value of the
Treasury notes. - By owning this portfolio insurance, the
insurance company will have a combined
end-of-year value given by - so that it is guaranteed to be worth no less
than 9m. This end-of-year value for the
insurance companys assets can be graphed as
29 End-of-Year Insurance Company
Assets Value 13m
11m 9m 7m
5m 5m 7m 9m
11m 13m Value
of Bonds
30- Another option contract that provides insurance
is an interest - rate cap. Consider a firm that has borrowed by
issuing a floating - rate bond paying semi-annual coupons tied to
six-month LIBOR. - The firm can obtain insurance from paying very
high interest - rates by purchasing interest rate caps from its
bank.
- A cap is an agreement where the bank will pay
the borrower - the difference between six-month LIBOR, i½,T ,
and an agreed - upon cap rate, RC , whenever LIBOR exceeds the
cap rate
Maturity Value of Cap ½ FV max 0, i½,T - RC
where FV is the notional principal underlying the
cap agreement. The bank makes this payment six
months after the above LIBOR, i½,T, is set.
Purchasing caps for every date that the floating
rate bond makes semi-annual coupon payments
insures that the borrower never pays more than RC.
31- Conversely, an interest rate floor is a contract
where the seller agrees to pay the buyer the
difference between a floor rate, RF , and LIBOR
when LIBOR is below the floor rate - An interest rate collar is the purchase of an
interest rate cap and the sale of an interest
rate floor where RC gt RF. A floating rate note
issuer that obtains a collar insures that its net
interest payment will always be in the range of
RC , RF. - Another interest rate option is a swaption the
right, but not the obligation, to initiate an
interest rate swap agreement at a future contract
date and at a pre-agreed swap rate, c.
Maturity Value of Floor ½ FV max 0, RF - i½,T
32- Example The buyer of a swaption has the right,
but not the obligation, to become the fixed-rate
payer (floating rate receiver) in a 10-year
interest rate swap beginning T 1 year from now
and at a fixed-coupon rate of c 6. - If, after one year, the market fixed-coupon rate
on a 10-year swap is greater (less) than 6 ,
this swaption would expire in-the-money
(worthless). - By buying this swaption, the holder would be
insured against paying a fixed rate exceeding 6.
This swaption would be valuable when market
interest rates unexpectedly increase. - Conversely, a swaption in which the buyer has the
right to be the floating rate payer (fixed rate
receiver) would be valuable when market interest
rates unexpectedly decline.