Title: P1247676904pUDCR
1The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.
The San Diego Real Estate market is Reaching
Equilibrium Construction Costs have soared, but
Revenues may not
Gary H. London
2San Diego County
Current Economic Statistics
- Total Employment (Non-Farm) 1,276,608
- Unemployment Rate (Av. 2005) 4.3
- 2005 Est. Employment Growth 18,000 jobs
- 2005 Est. Job-to-Housing Ratio 1.27
- Housing Units Demanded 12,000
- New Housing Permits 2004 Est. 14,145
- Countywide Hotel Occupancy (Thru Sep 2004) 72.4
- Countywide Hotel ADR 2004 (Thru Sep 2004) 121.61
Source SANDAG, EDD, Convis, Burnham Real Estate
Services
3San Diego County
2006 Forecast
- Population Growth 38,000 42,000 persons
- Employment Growth 20,000 new jobs
- Unemployment Rate 4.1
- Housing Unit Authorizations 14,000 permits
- Inflation Rate 3.5
- Median Housing Price Change -5.5
- Prime Interest Rate 7.5
- 30 YR Fixed-Rate 6.5
Source SANDAG, EDD, Convis, Burnham Real Estate
Services
4Historical Rates of Interest
LIBOR and Prime Rate
Source U.S. Treasury
5Historical Rates of Interest
30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Averages Since 1972
Source Freddie Mac
6San Diego Countys Housing Market
Average Annual Jobs Per Housing Unit
National Average 1.50 jobs per housing unit
Source CA Dept. of Finance, EDD, SANDAG
7Demographics and Housing Market
Housing Unit Supply and Demand
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
CA Dept. of Finance, EDD
8San Diego County Housing Market
New Construction and Condominium Conversions
366,266 74
159,810 48
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
MarketPointe
9Median Resales Price of Single Family Homes
1993 Through 2005
10San Diego County Housing Market
Cumulative Housing Unit Shortage
Housing Unit Shortage
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
EDD
11San Diego County Housing Market
Cumulative Housing Unit Shortage
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
EDD
12San Diego County Housing Market
New Multifamily Construction
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
Burnham Real Estate Services
13San Diego CountyApartment Market
Apartments sold, 2000-2005
14San Diego CountyApartment Market
Median Price per SF for Apartments Sold, 2000-2005
15Apartment Transactions
Capitalization Rates and Gross Rent Multipliers
(GRM)
16San Diego CountyOffice Market
Absorption in Square Feet, 2000-2005
Square Feet
17San Diego CountyOffice Market
Construction, 2000-2005
Square Feet
18San Diego CountyOffice Market
Office Units Sales, 2000-2005
Number of Office Units Sold
19Office Transactions
Sales Price Per Square Foot (/S.F.)
20Industrial Transactions
Historical Capitalization Rates (By Year)
21Retail Transactions
Retail Average Cap Rate
22San Diego County
Why Are We Growing?
Source SANDAG
23Manufacturing Employment Trends
Southern California Employment Markets
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
CA Dept. of Finance, EDD
24Service Providing Employment Trends
Southern California Employment Markets
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
CA Dept. of Finance, EDD
25Manufacturing Jobs
San Diego County
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
CA Dept. of Finance, EDD
26Service Providing Jobs
San Diego County
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
CA Dept. of Finance, EDD
27Service Providing Employment Trends
Southern California Employment Markets
Source The London Group Realty Advisors, Inc.,
CA Dept. of Finance, EDD
28 Gary H. London 702 Ash Street Unit 101 San
Diego, CA 92101 glondon_at_londongroup.com