Title: Investor Relations Presentation
1- Investor Relations Presentation
- September 2008
2Cautionary Statement RegardingForward-Looking
Statements
- This presentation includes forward-looking
statements within the meaning of Section 27-A of
the Securities Act of 1933, and Section 21-E of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such
statements include declarations regarding the
intent, belief, or current expectations of the
company and its management. Prospective
investors are cautioned that any such
forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance, and involve a number of risks
and uncertainties that can materially affect
actual results as identified from time to time in
the companys reports and registration statements
filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Forward-looking statements provided
herein as of a specified date are not hereby
reaffirmed or updated.
3Introduction to Covanta
- Worlds largest owner/operator of
Energy-from-Waste (EfW) facilities - Business serves two key markets addresses two
key issues - Waste Disposal
- Superior sustainable alternative to landfills
cleaner preserves open spaces - Generation of Clean, Renewable Power
- Entire process results in net GhG reductions
- Complementary businesses include
- Biomass and other renewable energy generation
- Waste procurement and transfer stations
4Key Investment Considerations
- Largest player in a growing niche (EfW) with high
barriers to entry - Contracted revenues provide predictable base
business - Increasing exposure to electricity pricing
provides upside when fossil fuel prices rise - Strong balance sheet and free cash flow
generation support growth initiatives - Stability and Growth consistent operating
performance coupled with increasing expansion and
greenfield opportunities
5How does EfW Work?
- Municipalities and others pay us to dispose
of waste - Technologically advanced facilities combust
- waste, our fuel, at high temperatures
- Resulting steam is either sold directly or used
to make electricity for sale - Metals are retrieved and recycled
- Ash residue is buried or recycled for use in
construction and road
building applications
6Benefits of EfW
- Environmentally sustainable waste disposal
- Most attractive solution after recycling
- Waste volume reduced by 90
- Reduces landfill usage and long-haul transport
- Generates clean, reliable energy from renewable
fuels - U.S. EPA states EfW produces electricity with
less environmental impact than almost any other
source - Baseload power 24/7
- Reduces greenhouse gas emissions combats global
warming - 11 CO2 offset for each ton of waste processed
- Fewer fossil fuels burned 1 ton of waste ¼ ton
of coal - Methane from landfills global warming capacity
20 times CO2
7Global Drivers for EfW
- Increasing waste generation population growth
urbanization - Landfill capacity constraints legislative
directives to reduce landfill usage - Climbing fossil fuel prices reserves being
depleted - Demand for renewable power generation
- Focus on energy security and diversity
- Growing attention to climate change desire to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions
8Global Waste Management
- EfW 0.2 Billion tons Recycling 0.5 Billion
tons Landfill 1.2 Billion tons
Western Europe 400 EfW facilities
U.S. 90 EfW facilities
Asia 300 EfW facilities
9Substantial Growth Potential
- Waste generation increasing with population and
income growth - Landfilling still the predominant disposal method
- China approximately 280 million tons
- U.S. approximately 250 million tons
- UK and Ireland approximately 50 million tons
- Reduce. Reuse. Recycle. Then recover waste to
watts!
10Covantas Competitive Advantages
- Operational Expertise
- gt 20 years experience design, construction,
operations maintenance - Operate every commercially viable EfW technology
- Since 1992, EfW boiler availability generally
exceeds 90 - Senior facility management 17 years average
experience - Recipient of numerous environmental and safety
awards - Global presence local experts and relationships
- Willingness and ability to commit capital
- Strong track record of successful public/private
partnerships
11Growth Strategy
- Maximize long-term value of existing portfolio
- Extend contracts for operation and waste delivery
- Implement productivity enhancements
- Facility expansions
- Acquisition and greenfield development
- North America EfW, renewable energy
complementary businesses - Europe primarily EfW focus on UK and Ireland
- Asia primarily EfW focus on China
- RD Invest in new technologies
12U.S. 85 of CVA Revenues
- Handle over half of U.S. EfW volume (16 of 30
million tons) or 5 of post-recycled MSW - Produce almost 10 of Americas non-hydro
renewable electricity enough to power over a
million homes - Operate in 18 states (assumes ME acquistion
closes), concentrated in the densely populated
Northeast - 35 EfW 8 biomass (assumes ME acq. closes), 4
landfill gas facilities 2 hydro
Covanta EfW Facility Locations by State
Annual Tons Processed by State
13U.S. - Strong Fundamentals
- Waste Disposal
- Recession resistant, non-cyclical business
historical long-term growth rate of 3 - Rising prices due to capacity constraints
barriers to entry - Higher diesel costs and state landfill tax make
long-haul disposal less attractive - Power Production
- Rising prices due to higher demand higher
fossil fuel prices - Energy security concerns
- Energy-from-Waste - Opportunities for new
capacity re-appearing - Growing interest in integrated waste management
and renewable energy - Concern with global warming and reducing carbon
footprint
Average PJM Electricity Price Trends
Note PJM (Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland
grid) East Zone (LMP) Source PJM Day-Ahead
Spot Market Price. 2008 YTD data through August.
Source EPA
Source EPA
14Typical U.S. EfW Contract Structures
- Waste disposal contracts are structured as either
tip fee or service fee - Service fee facilities can be owned and operated
by Covanta or just operated - Prefer longer term contracts to ensure fuel
supply - Energy revenue traditionally under long-term
contract portfolio shifting to shorter term - EfW projects generally financed with municipal
bonds - Project debt usually paid over term of waste
disposal contract ( 20 years) - Service fee contracts include debt service
payments - Debt free facilities after initial contract period
Facilities by Contract Type
15North American Initiatives
- Contract roll-overs potential energy revenue
upside - Indianapolis and Hempstead
- Expansions of existing facilities
- Florida and Hawaii
- Pursuing greenfield projects
- Vancouver
- Toronto
- Maryland
- MA Activities
- Tulsa
- Maine biomass facilities
- Transfer stations
16U.S. Energy Policy
- Federal and numerous state laws considers EfW a
renewable energy source - Still no comprehensive U.S. renewable energy or
climate change policy - Potential upside if EfW included in Federal
renewable energy portfolio standards - Exemption from carbon caps would provide business
advantage over fossil fuels - Recognition of GhG offsets would offer
substantial upside
17Growth Drivers - Europe
- Widespread acceptance of EfW is creating
opportunities - EU Landfill Directive supports EfW,
disincentives for landfilling - Reduce landfilling of biodegradable MSW by 65
from 1995 disposal levels by 2020 - U.K. and Ireland Significant efforts needed to
meet EU regulations - U.K. environmental agency (DEFRA) estimates EfW
will need to increase from 9 of waste disposal
to 27 by 2020 - U.K. market expect 10 million tons of new EfW
capacity to be required - High market tip fees (gt100 per ton of MSW) and
electricity rates - Additional opportunities in continental Europe
18UK/Ireland Initiatives
- Dublin 1,700 tpd facility construction
expected to begin near end of 2008 - UK Large number of municipalities considering
projects - Currently, short listed on several
- Additional opportunities are unfolding each year
- Covanta Infrastructure Preparedness
- Office in Birmingham being expanded to meet
heightened level of activity - Employing locals with local expertise and
valuable relationships
Artists Rendering - Dublin
19Growth Drivers Asia/Pacific
- China significant opportunity
- 160 - 170 cities with population of 1 million
- Annually generating 280 million tons of waste
(similar to U.S. market) - Approximately 2.0 of waste was converted to
energy in 2005 - National Plan 30 of waste to be channeled to
EfW by 2030 - Estimates predict 50 million tons of new EfW
capacity to be built by 2020
20China Initiatives
- Pursue bid opportunities with strong local
partners - JVs with Chongqing Iron Steel and Guangzhou
Development Group - Currently own stakes in two 1,200 tonnes per day
EfW facilities via JVs - Recent contract award for new 1,800 tonne per day
facility in Chengdu
SanFeng Covanta Tongxing EfW Plant Chongqing,
China
21Attractive Economics
- Stable business model
- Long-term contracted revenue stream
- Credit-worthy clients municipalities and
utilities - High margins and low capital expenditure
requirements - Annual maintenance capex 60 million (4 of
revenue) - Strong operating cash flow to fund growth (1)
- 2008 operating cash flow guidance 380 to 420
million - 2008 scheduled project debt amortization of 167
million (with approximately 20 million funded
from restricted cash) - Strong balance sheet
- Borrowing power increasing as facilities become
debt-free
(1) As of July 29, 2008. This information is not
being reaffirmed or updated as of the current
date.
22Financial Summary
(1) Non-GAAP financial measure Please see
second quarter press release for discussion of
use of Non-GAAP financial measures and
calculation of Adjusted EBITDA.
23Consistent Financial Performance and Growth
Revenues
24Consistent Financial Performance and Growth
Operating Cash Flow (1)
2008 Guidance 380-420 million (3)
- Operating Cash Flow is defined as the GAAP
measure cash flow provided by operating
activities. - Includes the results for Covanta ARC Holdings
from June 25, 2005 through December 31, 2005. - As of July 29, 2008. This information is not
being reaffirmed or updated as of the current
date.
25Consistent Financial Performance and Growth
Adjusted EBITDA (1)
2008 Guidance 550-575 million (3)
- Please see second quarter press release for
discussion of use of Non-GAAP financial measures
and calculation of Adjusted EBITDA. - Calculated for Covanta Energy Corporation.
- As of July 29, 2008. This information is not
being reaffirmed or updated as of the current
date.
26Computation of Adjusted EBITDA
(1) As of July 29, 2008. This information is
not being reaffirmed or updated as of the current
date. Please see second quarter press release
for discussion of use of Non-GAAP financial
measures and calculation of Adjusted EBITDA.
27Reconciliation - Cash Flow Adjusted EBITDA
(1) As of July 29, 2008. This information is
not being reaffirmed or updated as of the current
date. Please see second quarter press release
for discussion of use of Non-GAAP financial
measures and calculation of Adjusted EBITDA.
28Key Investment Considerations
- Largest player in a growing niche (EfW) with high
barriers to entry - Contracted revenues provide predictable base
business - Increasing exposure to market electricity pricing
provides upside when fossil fuel prices rise - Strong free cash flow generation and balance
sheet support growth initiatives - Stability and Growth consistent operating
performance coupled with increasing expansion and
greenfield opportunities