Title: Global Financial Instruments
1Chapter 2
- Global Financial Instruments
2Markets and Instruments
- Money Marketincludes short-term, marketable,
liquid, low risk debt securities (cash
equivalents) - Debt Instruments
- Derivatives
- Capital Market includes longer-term riskier
securities - Fixed income capital markets (longer-term)
- Treasury bonds notes, Federal agency debts,
Municipal bonds, Corporate bonds,
Mortgage-backed securities. Bonds - Equity markets
- common stocks, preferred stocks
- Derivatives
- options, futures
3Money Market Instruments
- Treasury bills
- Certificates of deposit
- Commercial Paper
- Bankers Acceptances
- Eurodollars
- Repurchase Agreements (RPs) and Reverse RPs
- Federal Funds
4Treasury Bills
- The government raises money by selling bills to
the public. Investors buy the bills at a discount
from the stated maturity value. - most marketable discount bond
- maturities 91, 182 days, 52-week bills
- minimum denomination 10,000
- interest (income) exempt from all state and
local taxes (not from federal tax) - T.B yields are quoted as the bank discount
yield
5Treasury Bills
- Sales are conducted by an auction where investors
can submit competitive or noncompetitive bids. - A competitive bid is an order for a given
quantity of bills at specified offered price. The
order is filled only if the bid is high enough
relative to other bids to be accepted. - A noncompetitive bid is an unconditional offer to
purchase bills at the average price of the
successful competitive bids. The Treasury ranks
bids by offering price and accepts bids in order
of descending price until the entire issue is
absorbed by the competitive plus noncompetitive
bids.
6Bank Discount Yield
- rBD 10,000 - P x 360
- 10,000 n
- where P the bond price n the maturity
in days rBD the bank discount yield
10,000 par value. - To determine the T-bills true market price P
10,000 x 1 - rBD x n/360 - Ex. T-bill sold at 9,500 with a maturity of a
half year (182 days) - rBD (500/10,000) x (360/182) 0.0989
(9.89) - Effective annual yield reay
- ( 1 500/9,500 )2 - 1 0.1080 (10.8)
7Bond Equivalent Yield
- Cant compare T-bill directly to bond
- 360 vs 365 days
- Return is figured on par vs. price paid
- Adjust the bank discounted rate to make it
comparable. - The bond equivalent yield of the T-bill APR
(annual percentage rate) - rBEY (10,000 - P)/P x (365/n)
(500/9,500) x - (365/182) 10.555 (
- note rBD
8Certificate of Deposits (CD)
- a time deposit with a bank
- The bank pays interest and principal to the
depositor only at the end of the fixed term of
the CD. - denomination 100,000 are usually negotiable
- Can be sold to another investor if the owner
needs to cash in the CD before its maturity date. - insured up to 100,000 by the FDIC
9Commercial Paper (CP)
- short-term, unsecured debt (promissory) notes
issued by large corporations with strong credit
ratings - the biggest source of short-term funding for
blue-chip U.S. corporations - maturities up to 270 days. Bought by money market
funds, insurance companies, and any firm needing
to park extra cash - issued in multiples of 100,000, about 1.6
trillion market - Small investors can invest in commercial paper
only indirect, via money market mutual funds. - fairly safe
10Bankers Acceptance
- widely used in foreign trade (creditworthiness)
- an order to a bank by a banks customer to pay a
sum of money at a future date - the bank endorses the order for payment
(accepted) - The acceptance may be traded in secondary markets
like any other claims on the bank. - Acceptances sell at a discount from the face
value of the payment order.
11Eurodollars (CD)
- dollar-denominated deposits at foreign banks or
foreign branches of American banks - Despite the tag Euro, these accounts need not
be in European banks. - the liability of a non-US branch of a bank less
liquid, riskier than domestic CDs, offer higher
yields, no FDIC protection.
12Repos and Reverses
- Repurchase agreement
- Short-term, usually overnight borrowing
- the dealer sells government securities to an
investor on an overnight basis, with an agreement
to buy back these securities the next day at a
slightly higher price. - A reverse repo is the mirror image of a repo.
- Buy government securities from an investor and
agree to sell them back at a specified higher
price on a future date
13Brokers Call
- Individuals who buy stocks on margin borrow part
of the funds to pay for the stocks from their
brokers. - The broker in turn may borrow the funds from a
bank, agreeing to repay the bank immediately (on
call) if the banks requesta it.
14Federal Funds
- member bank maintains reserve requirement in
federal funds - arise as a way for banks to transfer balances to
meet reserve requirement - F. F. rate on very short-term loans among
Financial Institutions. - While the Fed Funds rate is not directly relevant
to investors, it is used as one of the barometers
of the money market and so is widely watched by
them.
15LIBOR market (London Interbank Offered Rate)
- the rate at which large banks in London are
willing to lend among themselves - serves as a reference rate, in the European money
market
16Note
- The risk premium over T-bills (i.e., the spread)
increases with economic uncertainty (or crisis)
because investors demand a greater premium on
debt subject to default risk. - The risk premium increases with economic crises
such as the energy price shocks associated with
the OECD disturbances, the failure of Penn Square
Bank, the stock crash in 1987, or the collapse of
Long Term Capital Management in 1998.
17Capital Market - Fixed Income Instruments
- Publicly Issued Instruments
- require registration with the OSC with proper
disclosure - involve considerable accounting, legal, and
selling costs - US Treasury Bonds and Notes
- Agency Issues (Fed Gov)
- Municipal Bonds
- Privately Issued Instruments
- avoid regulation and costs
- Corporate Bonds
- Mortgage-Backed Securities
18Treasury Notes and Bonds
- maturities up to 10 years/ 10 - 30 years
- The treasury announced inlate 2001 that it would
no longer issue bonds with maturity beyond 10
years. - denominations of 1,000 or more
- coupon bonds semiannual payments
- T. bonds (not notes) may be callable, usually the
last five years of the bonds life. - Quoations
- Coupon 43/447.50/year
- Bid 9112/3291.375 of par value
- Ask 9114/32 91.4375 of par value
- YTM6.08 based on the ask price
19Federal Agency Debt
- Home mortgages FHLB, FNMA (Fannie Mae), GNMA
(Ginnie Mae), FHLMC (Freddie Mac) - FHLB borrow money by issuing sec. and lend this
money to SL to be lent in turn to individual
home buyers - Farm Credit related agencies (banks)
- If the agencies are government owned, their debt
is fully free of default risk.
20International Bonds
- Borrow money abroad
- A Eurobond is a bond denominated in a currency
other than that of the country in which it is
issued. - A dollar-denominated bond sold in London
- A foreign bond is to issue bonds in foreign
countries but in the currency of the investors. - Yankee bonds
- Samurai bonds
21Municipal Bonds
- issued by state and local governments
- general obligation bonds and revenue bonds
(airport, hospital, turnpike, etc) - GO bonds are backed by thefull faith and credi
of the issuer. - Revenue bonds are issued to finance particular
projects and are backed either by the revenue
from the project or by the municipal agency
operating the project. - tax-exempt interest income is exempt from
federal income tax also is exempt from state
local taxation in the issuing state capital
gains are not exempt
22Equivalent Taxable Yield
- the equivalent taxable yield of the municipal
- r rm / (1 - t),
- where rm the rate on municipal bonds t the
investors marginal tax bracket r the total
before-tax rate of return on taxable bonds. -
- Ex. rm 10 t 28 then r 13.89,
- if t 36 then r
15.625 - ? the higher the bracket, the more valuable the
tax-exempt feature of municipals. -
- Ex. A municipal bond carries a coupon of 6 and
is trading at par to a taxpayer in a 36 tax
bracket, this bond would provide a taxable
equivalent yield of 9.375.
23Corporate Bonds
- semiannual coupons
- default risk
- secured bonds collateral
- unsecured bonds ( debentures)
- subordinated debentures
- lower priority claim
- callable bonds
- The option to repurchase the bond from the holder
at a stipulated call price - convertible bonds
24Mortgages Mortgage-backed securities
- fixed rate/ adjustable rate
- Ex, 2 above the current rate on one-year T-bills
and might be adjusted once a year. - Set a cap
- securitization of mortgage loans ex. A 10
coupon GNMA - called pass-throughs
- An ownership claim in a pool of mortgages
- Rights to cash-inflows are sold
- The mortgage originator continues to service the
loan
25Equity Securities
- Common stock
- ownership shares in a corporation
- Residual claim
- Limited liability
26Equity Securities
- Preferred stock
- hybrid of equity debt
- like a bond, pays fixed dividends (perpetuity),
but no voting power - like a stock, the failure to pay dividends ? no
bankruptcy dividends are cumulative
(non-cumulative exists) - not tax-deductible expenses for the firm
- corporations (not individuals) may exclude 70 of
dividends received from domestic corporations in
the computation of their taxable income
(advantage over bonds) - a firm's preferred stock often sells at yields
below its bond - may be callable (redeemable) by the issuing firm
- may be convertible into common stock
27Understand the Different Types and Uses of
Indices
- Key Types of Indices
- Asset Class
- Stocks large cap, small cap., mid cap.,
international, emerging markets, etc. - Bonds long-term, short-term, corporate bonds,
government bonds, convertible bonds, etc. - Other Asset Classes real estate, currencies,
- Geographical
- Global, Regional, Country, Industry
- Investment Style
- Growth, Blend, Value
28Geographical Indices
- Global
- Follows the performance of a set of assets from a
specific set of countries, i.e., MSCI World, MSCI
AC Free. International includes only countries
outside the US - Regional
- Follows the performance of a set of assets from a
specific region of the world , i.e., MSCI EAFE,
DJ Asia - Country
- Follows the performance of a specific set of
assets from a specific country , i.e., SP 500,
Russell 5000, Dow Jones - Industry
- Follows the performance of a set of assets from a
specific industry, whether global, regional, or
country.
29Investment Style Indices
- Growth
- These indices follow a portfolio of stocks that
are expected to achieve accelerated growth,
whether because of increased earnings, dominant
market position, or other factors - Value
- This indices follow on stocks that are currently
undervalued by the market. It is generally
determined by using price-book or price-earnings
ratios, discounted cash flow models, or other
means.
30Uses of Indices
- Uses
- 1. Tracks average returns for a specific asset
class - 2. Used to compare performance of mutual fund
managers in similar asset classes - 3. Use as a base on which derivatives are
structured - Key Questions in Constructing or using an Index
- Is it representative of the performance or assets
desired? - Is it broad or narrow, i.e. how many securities
in the index? - How is it constructed, i.e. price, market cap,
equal, or float weighted?
31How they are Indexes Constructed
- How are stocks weighted?
- Price weighted DJIA, Nikkei
- Market-value weighted SP 500, NASDAQ, some
MSCI country/regional indices - Equally weighted Value Line Index, MSCI Equal
Weighted Indices
32How They Are UsedThe Importance of
Understanding Indices
- Indices are the standard from which an analyst or
portfolio manager is judged - Get to know your standard in detailyour career
(and bonus) depends on it! - How is it weighted?
- How often are the constituents changed?
- Which are the biggest companies in the index?
- What strategies can help you to beat the index?
- If you dont know what is in your index and how
it is calculated, how can you ever expect to beat
it (and hence advance in your job)? - Knowledge is power!
33Stock Market Indexes
- Dow Jones Averages
- DJIA 30 large blue chip corporations since
1896 - 1896 12 stocks 1916 20 stocks 1928 30
stocks - price-weighted average
- DJIAt ?P/30 simple average of prices
- the ? in the DJIA measures the return on a
portfolio that invests one share in each of the
30 stocks in the index - DJIAt
- the divisor adjusted for stock splits
replacements
34What is a Blue Chip Stock?
- Blue chip stocks is a general term that is
loosely applied to companies that are generally
considered to be leaders in their industry, are
typically very large in terms of market
capitalization (the number of shares outstanding
multiplied by their current market price), are
considered to be mature (ie. they are not
necessarily rapidly growing in terms of sales or
stock price) and often pay a substantial and
consistent cash dividend.
35Dow Jones Averages
- Companies included in the average are those
selected by Dow Jones Company, publisher of the
Wall Street Journal - The composition of the average changes over time
as companies are dropped because of a merger or
bankruptcy has occurred, because a companys
trading activity is low, or because a company not
in the average becomes very prominent. - When a company is replaced by another company,
the average is readjusted in such a way as to
provide comparability with earlier values.
36Dow Jones Averages
- The use of the DJIA as a performance benchmark is
sometimes criticized for the fact that
high-priced stocks have a greater impact on the
value of the index than low-price stocks. That
is, changes in the price of a 100 stock like IBM
will have a greater impact on the value of the
DJIA than changes in the price of a 30 stock
like Intel.
37Dow Jones Averages
- Example If firm B were to split two for one ()
- ___________________________________________
- firm initial final shares(mil)
initial final - price(0) price(1)
value value - A 20 25 20
400 500 - B 40 30 5
200 150 - B 20 15 10
200 150 -
- DJIA0 (2040)/230 DJIA1 (2530)/227.5
- After a split (20 20)/d 30 ,
- ? d 1.333 (new divisor)
- After a split
- DJIA0 (20 20)/d 40/1.333 30 ( DJIA0
w/o split) - DJIA1 (25 15)/d 40/1.333 30 (? DJIA1 w/o
split) - History10.03.05 0.12493117
- 7.14.05 0.125608646.13.05
0.1303370811.15.04 0.135327756.21.04
0.13561241
38Dow Jones Averages
- Example If firm B were to split two for one ()
- ___________________________________________
- firm initial after shares(mil)
final final - price split
price shares - A 25 25 200
30 200 - B 100
- B 50 45 20
45 20 -
- DJIA0 (25100)/262.5
- After a split (25 50)/d 62.5 ,
- ? d 1.2 (new divisor)
- DJIA1(3045)/1.262.5
- If stock XYZ had not split 2 for 1, the level of
the price-weighted index at the close of trading
on date 1 would have been - DJIA1(3090)/260
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41Citicisms of the DJIA
- Limited sample size
- 30 nonrandomly selected blue-chip stocks make up
the average - the stocks selected are the largest and most
pretigious companies in various industries. - The DJIA, therefore, probably reflects price
movements for large, mature, blue-chip firms
rather than the typical company listed on the
NYSE - Several studies have pointed out that the DJIA
has not been as volatile as other market indexes
and that the long-run returns on the DJIA are not
comparable to other NYSE stock indexes.
42Citicisms of the DJIA
- Weighting Scheme
- because the DJIA is price weighted, when
companies split their stock, their prices
decline, and therefore their weight in the DJIA
is reduced - even though they may be large and
important. - Therefore, the weight scheme casues a downward
bias in the DJIA, because the stocks that have
higher growth rates will have higher prices, and
because such stocks tend to split, they will
consistently lose weight within the index.
43Dow Jones Averages
- Dow Jones Averages 30 industrials, 20
transportation, 15 utilities ? 65 composite - the DJIA based on small number of firms not
value-weighted - as of Nov. 1, 1999
- In Microsoft Corp., Intel Corp., Home Depot
Inc., and SBC Communications inc. - Out Chevron, Goodyear, Sears Roebuck, Union
Carbide - as of April 1, 2004
- Out ATT Corp., Eastman Kodak Co., and
International Paper, - In Verizon Communications Inc., a company formed
after the breakup of the old ATT, insurer
American International Group Inc., and Pfizer
Inc., the nation's biggest drugmaker. - recognize trends within the U.S. stock market,
including the continued growth of the financial
and health care sectors,"
44Dow Jones Averages
- Currently Alcoa, Allied Signal, American
Express, American International Group Inc,
Boeing, Caterpillar, Citigroup, Coca-Cola,
DuPont, Exxon, General Electric, General Motors,
Hewlett-Packard, Home Depot, IBM, Intel, Johnson
Johnson, McDonald, Merck, Microsoft, 3M, JP
Morgan, Pfizer, Phillip Morris, Proctor Gamble,
SBC Communications, United Technologies, Verizon
Communications, Wal-Mart Stores, Walt Disney.
45Standard Poors Indexes
- the SP 500 improvement over the DJIA
- a more broadly based index of 500 firms
- a market-value-weighted index unaffected by
stock splits - 400 industrials, 20 transportation, 40 utilities,
40 financial indexes - the SP index funds provide a low-cost passive
investment strategy - ? SP 500 Index ? P it Q it / ? P it-1 Q it-1
- total mkt value today/ total mkt value on
prev. day - 81 of the mkt value of companies on the NYSE
46Value-Weighted Stock Indexes
- If we set VWI0 (date 0 index level) equal to 100,
the closing level of the value-weighted index at
date 1, VWI1 , will be - which is equal to 115, giving a return for the
value-weighted index of 15.
47Example of a Computation of a Value-weighted index
- Stock Share Price Number of Shares Market Value
- March 1, 2006
- A 10.00 1,000,000 10,000,000
- B 15.00 6,000,000 90,000,000
- C 20.00 5,000,000 100,000,000
- Total 200,000,000
- Base Value Equal to an Index of 100
- March 2, 2006
- A 12.00 1,000,000 12,000,000
- B (2 for 1 split) 10.00 12,000,000 120,000,000
- C (10 stock dividend)
- 20.00 5,500,000 110,000,000
- Total 242,000,000
- New Index Value Current MV / Base Value
Beginning Index Value - 242 M / 200 M 100 121
48Value-Weighted Stock Indexes
- In a value-weighted series, there is an automatic
adjustment for stock splits and other capital
changes (since the decreased price of the share
is offset by an equal and opposite effect of an
increase in the number of shares outstanding). - In a value-weighted index, the importance of
individual stocks in the sample depends on the
market value of the stocks. Therefore, a
specified percentage change in the value of a
large company has a greater impact than a
comparable percentage change in a small company.
49Value-weight Indexes
- Price changes for the large market value stocks
in a value-weighted index will dominate changes
in the index over time. - This value-weighted effect was prevalent on U.S.
stock markets (NYSE, OTC) in 1998 when the market
was being driven by large growth stocks - that
is, almost all of the gain for the year was
attributable to the largest 50 of the SP 500
Index.
50Other market indexes
- the NYSE Index a mkt value-weighted composite
index of all NYSE listed stocks - the AMEX Index also mkt value-weighted
- the NASDAQ (National Assoc. Sec. Dealers
Automatic Quotations) mkt value-weighted - the Wilshire 5,000 Index the mkt-value of all
NYSE AMEX stocks plus actively traded OTC
stocks - called total mkt index
- includes about 7,000 stocks
- Russell 2000 small stock ( mkt capitalization
below 1.5 bill) performance
51Equally Weighted Index
- places equal weight on each return
- corresponds to an implicit portfolio strategy
that places equal dollar value on each stock - Ex. Stocks A B C
- return 10 -6 15
- An equally weighted arithmetic avg rA
- rA (0.10 - 0.06 0.15)/3 0.06333
- An equally weighted geometric avg rG
- rG (1.10)(0.94)(1.15) 1/3 - 1.0 0.0594
- The Value Line Index an equally weighted
geometrical avg of the performance of about 1,700
firms
52Construction of Indexes
- How are stocks weighted?
- Price weighted DJIA, Nikkei
- Market-value weighted SP 500, NASDAQ, some
MSCI country/regional indices - Equally weighted Value Line Index, MSCI Equal
Weighted Indices - How returns are averaged?
- Arithmetic (DJIA and SP500)
- Geometric (Value Line Index)
53Foreign Stock Mkt Indexes
- the Nikkei 225 a price-weighted average of the
largest Tokyo Stock Exchange stocks - the Nikkei 300 is a value-weighted index
- Topix market value -weighted index
- The Tokyo Stock Price Index('TOPIX') is a
composite index of all common stocks listed on
the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange
(TSE). - The index is basically a measure of the changes
in aggregate market value of TSE common stocks.
The base for each of the index is the aggregate
market value of its component stocks as of the
close on January 4, 1968, the first trading day
of the year.
54Foreign Stock Mkt Indexes
- the FTSE 100 (footsie)
- a value-weighted index of 100 of the largest
London Stock Exchange corporations published by
Financial Times of London - the DAX index is the premier German stock index
- MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) stock
indexes - computes over 50 country indexes and several
regional indexes market-value weighted indexes
of other non-US stock markets - EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East), the World
Index