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Implied probability

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(Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales ... Reuters/University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment. Implied probability ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Implied probability


1
OCTOBER MEETING OUTCOMES
Implied probability
Reuters/University of Michigan Index of Consumer
Sentiment
(Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales
Existing home sales
4.75
5.25
4.50
4.25
5.00
2
DECEMBER MEETING OUTCOMES
WITH JAN. OPTIONS
Implied probability
Reuters/University of Michigan Index of Consumer
Sentiment
(Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales
Existing home sales
4.25
4.50
4.75
4.00
5.00
3
DECEMBER MEETING OUTCOMES
WITH NOV./DEC. OPTIONS
Implied probability
Reuters/University of Michigan Index of Consumer
Sentiment
(Advance) Durable goods report, New home sales
Existing home sales
4.50
4.75
4.25
4.00
3.75
5.00
4
RECENT IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
5
OCTOBER MEETING OUTCOMES
Implied probability
4.75
5.00
4.50
4.25
4.00
5.25
6
OCTOBER MEETING OUTCOMES
Implied probability
4.75
4.25
4.50
7
DECEMBER MEETING OUTCOMES
WITH NOV./DEC. OPTIONS
Implied probability
3.75
4.50
4.25
5.00
4.75
5.25
4.00
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