Title: Chapter 16: Dividend Policy
1Topic Dividends and Dividend Policy
Objectives
- How cash dividends are paid (includes regular
cash dividend, extra dividends, and liquidating
dividends) - Explain dividend policy irrelevance in the MM
world - Example showing how shareholder wealth is not
affected if the fund for cash dividend is raised
through general cash offer or rights issue - The effect of personal taxes on dividends and
capital gains
2In corporate news, Eastman Kodak tumbled nearly
18 percent after the company said it will cut its
dividend by 70 percent Yahoo Finance 09/25/2003
3Microsoft and Dividends
Microsoft Puts Out Clinging to its war chest like
a deadbolted chastity belt, Microsoft (Nasdaq
MSFT) always scoffed at the idea of paying out a
dividend. Until yesterday 17 Jan
03 http//www.fool.com/news/take/2003/take030117.h
tm Other companies are proud of their dividend
payments? Why is there this difference? When
should a firm payout dividends and when should it
use its cashflow in a different way?
4(No Transcript)
5How Dividends Are Paid
- Cash dividends Payment of cash by the firm to
its shareholders - The payment of cash by the firm to shareholders,
is declared by the board of Directors on the
declaration date - The dividend is paid on the payment date to all
shareholders of record as of the record date
(which is usually 2-3 weeks prior to the payment
date) - The record date is the date on which holders of
record are designated to receive a dividend - To be a shareholder of record, and thus receive a
dividend, one must have bought the stock before
the ex-dividend date. The ex-dividend date is 2
business days before the record date
6Timeline of Dividend Payments
The stock price drops by about the amount of the
dividend on the ex-dividend date. To be more
precise, the stock price falls by the after-tax
value of the dividend (difficult to measure).
7Ex-dividend price drop (ignoring taxes)
8MM Dividend Policy Irrelevancy Proposition
- Dividend policy should the firm pay out cash to
its shareholders now, or should it invest that
money and pay out later? The time pattern of
dividend payouts. - Assumptions MM no taxes, no transaction or
bankruptcy costs - Proposition dividend policy is irrelevant in MM
world - Vdividend-paying firm Vnon dividend-paying
firm - Why? If investors can raise cash themselves by
selling shares, they do not need firms to provide
them with cash through dividend payments.
9MM Dividend Policy Irrelevancy Example
Unlever Corporation, an all equity firm has 1,000
shares outstanding. The firm will be dissolved in
one year (remaining assets are worth Zero).
Managers know that the firm will receive a
cashflow of 10,000 today, and another 10,000
next year. The firms cost of capital is
10. Current dividend policy D(t)CF(t) Dividen
d per share is 10,000/1,00010 per share each
year Price per share d(0)d(1)/(1r)1010/1.1
19.09 Firm value 10,000
10,000/1.119,090.91
10MM Dividend Policy Irrelevancy Example
Alternative dividend policy Pay a dividend of
11 per share immediately (a total dividend of
11,000). This is 1,000 more than the cashflow
in the current period. Suppose the firm raises
the extra 1,000 by issuing stock. Assuming that
new shareholders require 10 on their investment,
they would demand 1,100 of the last period
cashflow, leaving 8,900 for the old
shareholders. Today Tomorrow Aggregate
dividends to old s/holders 11,000 8,900 Dividen
ds per share 11.00 8.90 Price per share
11 8.90/1.1 19.09 Firm value
19,090.91
11MM Dividend Policy Irrelevancy Homemade dividends
Suppose Ryan Giggs owns one share of Unlever and
he prefers the current dividend policy (10 now
and 10 next year). However Unlever adopts the
alternative dividend policy (11 and
8.90). According to the new policy, Ryan gets
11, keeps 10, and invests the extra dollar at
10 to get 1.1 next year. Next year he gets
8.90 in dividends plus the return in the 1
invested (1.1), a total of 10. Thus, he can
replicate his cashflows under the original
dividend policy. Giggs scores again..he can
undo the new corporate dividend policy
12Example A
- All equity firm with 100,000 shares. Total
market value of assets10 million, so the
price/share 100. - Firm wants to pay 10/share dividend.
- It needs to raise 10 x 100,000 1 million cash
- Two alternatives
- General cash offer (issue common stock)
- Rights issue
13General Cash Offer to Fund Dividends
- The firm raises 1M in cash, which are
automatically paid out to shareholders. So firm
value is unaffected by the transaction. But to
raise the 1M the firm has issued shares. How
many? - Note on the ex-dividend date, the price/share
falls to 90/share - (falls by the amount of the dividend per share)
- new shares issued 1M 11,111 shares
- 90/share
- Firm Value before 10 m 100,000 shares x
100/share - Firm Value after 10 m 111,111 shares x
90/share - No change in firm value! Shareholders have funded
their own dividends.
14General Cash Offer to Fund Dividends
- Consider a shareholder with 100 shares
- Wealth before dividend 100 shares x 100/share
10,000 - Wealth after dividend
- Cash 10 x 100 1,000
- Stock 100 x 90 9,000
- Total 1,000 9,000 10,000
- Conclusion the shareholder has paid for her own
dividend as the drop in share price exactly
offsets the dividend
15Rights Issue to Fund Dividends
- Suppose the firm decides on a subscription price
of 80 per share to raise the 1 million cash
needed to pay the dividend. - new shares to be issued 1 million/80
12,500 shares - 100,000 rights will be issued (one right per
existing share). - Thus, the number of rights required to buy a
share has to be N1000,000/12,500 8 - Price/share falls to 10M/112,500 88.89 per
share
16Rights Issue to Fund Dividends
- Alternatively
- Ex-rights price N ? rights-on price
subscription price / (N1) - 8x90 80/9 88.89
- Note in this case the rights-on price is 90,
and not 100, because the new shares are not
entitled to the 10 dividend
17Rights Issue to Fund Dividends
- Wealth of shareholder with 100 shares
- Before 100 shares x 100/share 10,000
- After (total shares, old new ) x Ex-rights
price - cost of new shares dividends
received - (100 100/8) x 88.89 -100/8 x 80 100 x 10
10,000 - Conclusion there is no reason for the firm to
pay dividends. In fact, as long as the firm can
invest the cash the same way as (or better than)
the shareholders can do, the firm should not pay
any dividends (see section 17.2)
18Example B on NPV vs. Market Value
- All equity firm with 500,000 shares trading at
36/share. Dividends of 3.60/share have been
paid for several years. The firm has an
investment opportunity which will generate
450,000 every year from the third year on. The
firm will have to stop paying dividends for 2
years to fund the project. Should the firm do
this? - We need to calculate NPVs. What is the correct
discount rate? - R RA RE dividend yield 3.60/36 10
- If the firm does not take the project, share
price is 36 3.6/.1
19NPV vs. Market Value
- If the firm undertakes the project, the NPV is
-
- Conclusion the firm should stop dividends for 2
years and invest in the project. - The increase in the share price is
595,041/500,000 1.19 - The share price increase to 37.19
20Dividend Policy and Taxes
- Corporate Taxes
- No effects on dividend policy. Both dividends
and capital gains are taxed in the same way at
the corporate level. - Personal Taxes (Chapter 2)
- Since capital gains are taxed only when they are
realized, and they are taxed at 50 of the
marginal tax rate, the effective tax rate on
dividend income is higher than the tax rate on
capital gains. This does not imply that firms
should pay no dividends.
21Example Dividends and Taxes
- In 1998, Wordsoft Ltd. Adopted a policy of buying
back its own outstanding - common stock instead of paying cash dividends.
Earnings after taxes for the - 4 years 1998-2001 stayed at a constant 8,000,000
and were used exclusively - for the repurchase program.
- Assuming there were 32,000,000 shares outstanding
at the beginning of 1998, and that shares have
traded at a stable price-earnings ratio of 16
since then, calculate earnings per share, the
market price per share, and the number of shares
repurchased for 4 years 1998 through 2001. - Determine the preference of a shareholder who
owns 2,100 shares of Wordsoft Ltd., from 1998 to
the end of 2001, for either cash dividends or
share repurchases. The shareholders provincial
marginal tax rate is 30 percent and federal
marginal tax rate is 26 percent. The shareholder
has exhausted any tax-free amounts that may be
available on dividend or capital gains income, so
that investment income received is taxable.
Ignore the time value of money and assume that
earnings are fully paid out in dividends or used
for share repurchases.
22- Solutions
- 1998 1999 2000 2001
2002 - (1) AT Earnings 8,000,000 8,000,000
8,000,000 8,000,000 8,000,000 - (2) Shares Outstanding 32,000,000
30,000,000 28,125,000 28,367,188
24,719,239 - at beg. of year
- (3) EPS (1) ? (2) .25
.266 .284 .3034
.3236 - (4) P/E Ratio 16
16 16
16 16 - (5) Share Price at beg.
- of year (3) ? (4) 4
4.26 4.5511 4.8545
5.1782 - (6) Shares Repurchased
- (1) ? (5) 2,000,000
1,875,000 1,757,812 1,647,949 - (7) Total Market Value
- (5) ? (2) 128M
128M 128M 128M
23Cash dividends Dividend 8M/32M shares .25
per share Total dividends during 1998-20014 x
.25 1 per share Dividend received by a
shareholder with 2,100 shares 2,100 After-tax
dividends 2,100 - 432.25 1,667.75 Capital
gains under share repurchase CG P in 2001 P
in 1998 5.1782 -4 1.1782 per share Total
capital gain 2,100 x 1.1782
2,474.22 After-tax capital gain 2,474.22 -
418.14 2,056.08
24Assigned Reading and Questions
Questions 1, 4, 6, pp594 Ch 17.
25Topic Dividends and Dividend Policy
Objectives
- Real-world factors affecting company payout
- Resolutions of real world factors
- Establishing a dividend policy
- Distinguish between cash dividends, stock
dividends, stock splits, and stock repurchases
26 Real-world Factors for Low Payout
- Taxes When the marginal tax rate for individuals
exceeds that for firms, investors may prefer that
earnings be retained rather than paid out as
dividends - Flotation costs Firms that pay high dividends
and simultaneously sell stock to fund growth will
incur higher flotation costs than comparable low
payout firms - Dividend restrictions Most bond indentures and
some federal and provincial laws limit the
dividends a firm can pay
27 Real-world Factors for High Payout
- Desire for current income (widows and orphans)
the firm paying a larger dividend will sell at a
higher price. But not all investors desire high
current income and they may self-select into
different clienteles - Uncertainty resolution distant dividends are
more uncertain than near dividends, so firms with
near dividends should sell at a higher price. The
uncertainty over future income is not changed by
a firms dividend policy - Taxes and legal benefits from high dividends
Dividend income to Canadian firms are tax-exempt,
as well as to pension and trust funds which are
usually not allowed to spend their principal.
28 A Resolution of Real-World Factors?
- Information content of dividends In markets
where there is little information, dividend
policy becomes an important form of communication
about firms future prospects - Note stock prices rise/fall when D is
unexpectedly increased/decreased - - Firm value is not affected by changes in
dividends. Rather, firm value increases if
managements increase in dividends signals the
presence of high NPV opportunities. Stock prices
fall after dividend cuts, which signal bad future
prospects. - The clientele effect Different groups of
investors desire different levels of dividends.
If clienteles are satisfied with current
dividends, dividend policy changes are pointless
29 Establishing a Dividend Policy
- Residual dividend approach Policy where a firm
pays dividends only after meeting its investment
needs while maintaining a desired debt-to-equity
ratio (selling stock to pay a dividend is
expensive) - problem dividends can be very unsatable
- Dividend stability A stable dividend policy is
in the interest of the firm and its shareholders
as dividend stability reduces uncertainty
30A Compromise Dividend Policy
- In practice, many firms appear to follow what
amounts to a compromise dividend policy. Such
policy is based on the following goals - Avoid cutting back on positive NPV projects to
pay a dividend - Avoid dividend cuts
- Avoid the need to sell equity
- Maintain a target debt-to-equity ratio
- Maintain a target dividend (relative to earnings)
payout ratio
31 Stock Dividends and Stock Splits
- Stock Dividend Distribution of additional shares
to a firms shareholders, diluting the value of
each share outstanding. The cash is kept in the
firm for investment shareholders receive
additional shares. A 10 stock dividend would
issue one share per ten shares outstanding. - Stock Split Issuance of additional shares to a
firms shareholders, without changing owners
equity. No cash is exchanged, only a change in
the number of shares issued and a change in the
value of a share occurs. - A stock dividend is a mini stock split. No cash
is involved and the book value of equity does not
change. With more shares outstanding, market
value per share drops, but total market value of
the firm stays the same
32 Share Repurchases
- Share Repurchase a firm buys back stock from its
shareholders - A share repurchase has the same effect as a cash
dividend the cash account in the firm is reduced
and the shareholders as a group have more cash.
The book value of the equity is reduced in both
cases
33Example A
- The stock of Payout Corp. will go ex dividend
tomorrow. The dividend will be 1.00 per share,
and there are 20,000 shares of stock outstanding.
Todays market value balance sheet for Payout is
shown below - Assets Liabilities and Equity
- Cash 100,000 Equity 1,000,000
- Fixed assets 900,000 Debt 0
- a. What price is Payout stock selling for today?
- b. What price will it sell for tomorrow? Ignore
taxes.
34Example A ( Solution)
- todays price 1,000,000/20,000 50 per share
- for reference, a shareholder A with 100 shares
has 5,000 - tomorrows price 50 - 1 49
- After the dividend payment, the market value
balance sheet is - Assets Liabilities and Equity
- Cash 80,000 Equity 980,000
- Fixed assets 900,000 Debt 0
- Shareholder A has 1,000 100 in cash
100x49 in shares
35 Example B
- Now suppose that Payout from Example A announces
its intention to repurchase 20,000 worth of
stock instead of paying out the dividend. What
effect will the repurchase have on shareholder A,
who currently holds 100 shares and sells 2 of
those shares back to the company in the
repurchase? - After the repurchase, the market value balance
sheet is - Assets Liabilities and Equity
- Cash 80,000 Equity 980,000
- Fixed assets 900,000 Debt 0
-
- Since 20,000/50 400 shares were repurchased,
the price per share after the repurchase is
980,000/20,000 - 400 50 - As wealth will be 5,000 98 x 50 (in shares)
2x50 (in cash)
36 Compare Example A and Example B
- Comparing the effects of the repurchase to the
effects of the cash dividend, we reach the
following conclusion - If there are no imperfections, and taxes are
ignored, then a cash dividend and a share
repurchase are essentially the same thing.
37 Example C
- Now suppose that Payout again changes its mind
and decides to issue a 2 percent stock dividend
instead of either issuing the cash dividend or
repurchasing 2 percent of the outstanding stock.
How should this action affect a shareholder who
owns 100 stock? Compare with your answers to
Examples A and B
38With a 2 stock dividend, each shareholder
receives 2 new shares every 100 previously held.
So our shareholders wealth after the stock
dividend will be 102 shares x price per share
after stock dividend What is the share price
after the stock dividend is paid? of shares
after stock dividend 1.02 x 20,000
20,400 Since the combined market value of equity
does not change, the price per share will be
1,000,000 / 20,400 49.02 So our
shareholders wealth after the tax would be 102
x 49.019608 5,000
39In summary,
Without taxes, there is no change in shareholder
wealth under all three cases.