What

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Whats Next? Emerging Trends
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Agenda

• Presentations
• The vote
• The winners prize
• XXX minutes 3/5 minutes QA
• Emerging trends
• URLs in todays reading

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Presentation Schedule Signup
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Presentation Dictums

• Watch the time!
• No no no crib notestalk the talk
• Interact with your audience
• Quiz the audience
• Dont bore us to tears
• Show, dont just tell
• Get feedback beforehand
• Ask questions (participation grade get forms)
• Email me PPT links by 1159pm

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Atlanta, GA
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Tallahassee, Florida
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(No Transcript)
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• Technology always starts out as a
• solution in search of a problem.
• Predictor Caruso, Denise 1995

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The Intersection

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Apples Vision

• The vision thing
• Apple Secrets
• Marketing 2000
• RD 2010
• Manufacturing 2020
• What year?
• What is Apples projected vision?
• Key noticeable things in the video?
• Networks, presence sensing, LCDs, touch, voice
• How close are we to this vision?
• Key technologies (existing, duds, coming)

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• The future is already here
• Its just unevenly distributed

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Dont be like the Ice-Harvesters
Be like the guy on the next slide
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1954 Vision of Home Computers in 2004
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1994

• "Is this is a real medium? Is this something
  that's going to last? Is it really going to
  grow?" My answer to that is another question
• "Does it fill a need?"
• Predictor McCarthy, Ken

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1995

• In just a few years time, the Internet will have
  become as banal as the telephone.Predictor
  Tech Europe

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Emerging Network Trends

• Return of radio
• Ultra-short range networks
• Changing assumptions about frequencies
• Six emerging short range wireless networks
• Bluetooth
• Radio data networks
• MSN Direct (http//direct.msn.com)
• XM NAV/ Clearchannel traffic
• UWB
• NFC
• Zigbee Machine-to-machine networks
• DARPA projects
• Smart spontaneous networks
• P2P model
• Skinplex

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Radio Data Networks

• Assumption
• One frequency range per protocol
• What problems does this cause?
• What happens when you relax this assumption?
• Multiple frequencies used simultaneously
• Faster data transmission
• Leading to
• RDS systems
• UWB

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RDS Networks

• GPS navigation systems
• Real time?
• AM/FM distinctions (range, noise, analog data)
• Extending AM models to carry digital data
• Convergence of AM/FM carrier waves and modulation
  
• Noise reduction
• LowFi
• Two applications
• RDS systems
• XM Nav (GPS RDS) New Mexico and England radio
  Internet
• déjà vu ZX81 days
• MSN Direct model (100 repeaters covers the
  nation)
• What is it?
• Value proposition?
• PassTime (US) Ignition control tied to car
  payment timeliness
• Where do they hold the most promise?

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UWB

• What is it?
• 10Ghz, 2000x dial-up
• 30 ft range
• Advantages
• See through walls (multiple frequencies)
• FAST
• Applications (emerging)
• Auto collision avoidance systems
• Radar-type systems
• Instantaneous
• Honda and Mercedes
• Home video streaming
• WiFi too slow
• Movie streaming (commercial deployment in India)

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Zigbee

• What is it?
• Specs?
• 4x dial up
• 2.4 Ghz
• Selling points?
• Very secure
• Very low power consumption
• Applications?
• Wineries in CA
• Other applications where it could be used?

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Wembley Statium, London
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Hong Kong
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QR codes inside passports in Japan
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Coke vending in Akihabara
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Westfield Mall, San Francisco this summer
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Home is Where Ubquity is
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Near Field Communication (NFC)

• What is it?
• Specs?
• 3 range
• 14 Mhz (low freq)
• 8x dial-up
• Selling points?
• Very secure
• Easily embedded modules (80 cent modules)
• Already here
• Applications?
• Amoco gas pumps (already here)
• Vending machines
• Download MP3 or preview for Hitchhiker from a
  poster!
• Check in for flight in the DSM parking garage?
• Starbucks!

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(No Transcript)
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Injected tags in Barcelona, Spain
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Skinplex

• What is it?
• What it does.
• Specs?
• 1/3rd of dial up (sloooow)
• 100 Khz
• Selling points?
• NOT secure
• Low power consumption
• Applications?
• Car unlocking systems (free trials in DSM)
• Charge your CC by touch (wallet TX-RX)
• Wireless MP3 players
• Body area networks for the gadget-loaded
• Most promising application areas?

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Closing Thoughts

• Looking back from 1999
• Unthinkable change
• Fueled by networks, esp IP networks
• Next 5-7 years?
• Big predictions?
• Convergence of TCP/IP, location sensitivity, and
  ultrashort range
• Cloud computing death of the desktop?
• Skills that matterare changing
• Thinkingstaying ahead of the curve
• Sharpening the saw
• What is one key thing that you are walking away
  with from 435?

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• The End of Suffering.