Is Oregon Making Progress Toward Its Economic Goals

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Is Oregon Making Progress Toward Its Economic
Goals?
http//www.oregon.gov/DAS/OPB
Presentation by Rita Conrad AOC Economic
Development Conference Newport, OR May 20, 2005
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• Where Im coming from -

?Oregon's Strategic Vision - Oregon Shines -
Drafted in 1989 - Revised in 1997 ? Oregon
Progress Board - Keeper of the vision - Chaired
by the Governor - Created in 1989 - I work for
the Board
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• Were the Benchmark people.

Results Not Effort
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Oregons Big Picture Economic Strategy Oregon
Shines

• The Problem Oregon can no longer successfully
  compete in many of the market places that have
  provided its bread and butter in years past.
• The Answer ..

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Oregons Big Picture Economic Strategy Oregon
Shines

• Goal 1 Build a world class workforce
• Goal 2 Maintain excellent quality of life to
  keep that workforce happy
• Goal 3 Create an international frame of mind
  among Oregonians
• Support 1 Build partnerships
• Support 2 Invest in public services and
  facilities
• Oregon Shines An Economic Strategy for the
  Pacific Century - May, 1989

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• Is Oregon making progress?

? Economy Quality jobs for all
Oregonians ? People Safe, caring
and engaged communities ? Environment
Healthy, sustainable surroundings
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Oregons economy continues to diversify.
Total Non-Agricultural Employment
Total Non-Agricultural Employment
Lumber and Wood Products Employment
Lumber and Wood Products Employment
Oregon Employment Department
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And weve made some progress in traded sector
strength.
CFED The Development Report Card
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Oregons investment in RD is good if not great.

• Industry Research and Development ( of GSP)
• 2002
• Washington state 3.68
  
• Oregon 2.01
• U.S. 1.75
• Academic Research and Development ( of GSP)
• 2002
• -U.S. 0.35
• -Oregon 0.34
• -Washington state 0.32

National Science Foundation
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Despite the recession, Oregon wages have stayed
steady.

In the past year, Oregon had one of the highest
job growth per capita in the nation!
Oregon Employment Department
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But Oregons income relative to the U.S. fell to
the bad old days in O4.
Good Old Days
National Average
Bad Old Days
U.S. Commerce Dept., Bureau of Economic Analysis
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The economic ties that bind urban and rural
Oregon have faded over the years.
? In 1980, 65 of exports through the Port of
Portland were bulk, natural resource
products. By 1997, that figure had
dropped to 40. ? Metropolitan Portlands
economy is now larger than that of the rest
of the state combined. ? With about 40 of the
states taxpayers, metropolitan Portland
makes over 50 of the general fund
contributions to state government.
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The gap between urban and rural incomes has been
growing for decades.
Oregon Economic and Community Development
Department
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Wages in rural counties have steadily increased.
Bureau of Economic Analysis
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A well educated workforce is key to future
economic health.
Better education Better pay!
US Census Bureau
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Statewide, improvement in student performance has
stalled in recent years.
Third Graders
Eighth Graders
Reading
Math
Oregon Department of Education
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Despite considerable effort Oregon remains an
average state for college completion.
of Eastern Oregon Counties in Oregons Top
Tier 0
Source U.S. census
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Well educated new-comers have helped a lot, but
thats changing.
Oregon Population Survey
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Oregons aging workforce will affect
productivity over time.
73
62
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ECONOMY
Rural Employment
Metro PCPI as a of U.S.
Prof. Services
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EDUCATION

• 3rd Grade Reading

8th Grade Reading
3rd Grade Math
Labor Force Training
3rd Grade Reading 3rd Grade Math High School
Completion (25) College Completion (25)
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• Is Oregon making progress economically?

Oregonians are probably better off today than 10
years ago. Educational progress is the biggest
concern for the future.
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Challenges for Oregon Leaders Economy

• Global Competition
• Valuing Education
• Urban Rural Divide
• Aging Workforce

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Oregons big picture economic strategy Oregon
Shines
x
Goal 1 Build a world class workforce
Goal 2 Maintain excellent quality of life

x

• Goal 3 Create international frame of mind

• Support 1 Build partnerships

Support 2 Invest in public services and
facilities
?
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What is rural Oregons competitive edge?

• 2003 Progress Board Index for K 12 Education
• Wallowa - 1
• Gilliam - 2
• Grant - 5
• Harney - 6
• Baker - 8
• Wheeler - 10
• Sherman - 12
• Union - 15

K - 12 Index 3rd 8th Grade Math and Reading,
Dropout
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WELCOME TO WALLOWA COUNTY
RATED 1 IN OREGON FOR STUDENT EDUCATIONAL
ACHIEVEMENT FOUR YEARS RUNNING

• NO OUTSIDE HAY ALLOWED

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The education edge only works if
8th Grade Alcohol 8th Grade Cigarettes Wallowa
- 23 Wallowa - 11 Gilliam - 14 Gilliam
- 18 Grant - 36 Grant - 28 Harney -
31 Harney - 35
.teen smoking drinking are not big problems.
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Your Perceptions of Rural Oregons Competitive
Advantages
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(No Transcript)
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http//www.oregon.gov/DAS/OPB
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ECONOMY
Industry RD On-Time Permits Pay Per
Worker Exports Foreign Language
Rural Employment New Employers Net Job
Growth Income Disparity
Metro PCPI as a of U.S.
Prof. Services Econ. Diversif. Non-Metro PCPI
Traded Sector New Employers Venture Capital Per
Capita Income Pay Per Worker Workers Above 150
of Poverty Unemployment
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EDUCATION

• 3rd Grade Reading
• College completion

3rd Grade Math HS Dropout Advanced
Degrees Internet Use
Labor Force Training
3rd Grade Reading 3rd Grade Math High School
Completion (25) College Completion (25)
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CIVIC ENGAGEMENT
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SOCIAL WELL-BEING
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PUBLIC SAFETY
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COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
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ENVIRONMENT
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Business Leaders Were Generally in Agreement on
Performance
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They were in sync with reality over half the time.
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CA scholars identify innovation as a strong suite.
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And quite a bit more positive that reality.
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FFF scholars are more positive about Oregon.
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And while poverty fell in Oregon during the
1990s, it increased relative to the U.S.
of Oregonians at or below federal poverty
Kids (0-17) average 3 - 5 higher.
U.S. Census Bureau