Title: SANIOR PARS AND MAIOR PARS IN CONTEMPORARY AREOPAGES:
1SANIOR PARS AND MAIOR PARS IN CONTEMPORARY
AREOPAGES
- Medicine evaluation committees in France and the
United States - Philippe Urfalino
- Collective Wisdom
- May 22-23 2008 Collège de France
2How best to foster collective wisdom in
collectives of the wise?
- The question of the aréopages, the committees of
sages, of wise, of experts - Which have important decision to make for a
social group
31. WHAT IS AN AREOPAGE ? (1)
- 1. Aréopages are groups that deliberate to make
decisions or advices that are applicable to a
larger group. - 2. Members of an aréopage are appointed rather
than elected. They are appointed first and
foremost for their competence - 3. The collective work of the aréopage bears on
to both the decision itself and argumentation to
justify that decision. - 4. Individual aréopage members have to practice
the discipline of arguing their position in
accordance with certain validity requirements
41. WHAT IS AN AREOPAGE ? (2)
- An Argumentative discipline
- A. Justification reasons override motives
- B. The justification has to be substantial one
reason does not suffice, an entire line of
reasoning is required. - C. The argumentation has to be appropriate this
is specialized argumentation adapted to the
matters of decision or advice. - D. Contexual validity arguments have to be
adapted to the case at hand
52. The Problem of Such Committees (1)
- As uninanimity is scarce a collective
decision-making rule is needed - Voting is a good way to obtain a final point
- But Voting has an uncertain relationship with the
quality of the collective decision - the problem is
- how to articulate number and reasons ?
- How can votes be counted and weighed ?
62. The Problem of Such Committees (2)
- The unstable solution of Western monastic orders
for electing the head of the monastery - mixing sanior pars and maior pars
- What was involved in this combination ?
- The split of collective decision process in two
parts - A hierarchical ordering principal
72. The Problem of Such Committees (3)
- WISE PART and MAJORITY PART
- the splitting of the decision-making process
- On the one hand judgments and votes of
participants - On the other hand evaluation of these judgments
and of the result conducted by a part of the
participants or by others - A hierarchical ordering principal
- Without universally shared criteria, determining
the wisest falls to an instance endowed with
authority
82. The Problem of Such Committees (4)
- Two different examples of contemporary means of
finding a compromise between wise part and
majority part - Two examples taken from the area of medicine
evaluation - The French drug approval committee
- The FDA and its advisory committees
9 3. Decision-making by exhaustion of objections
the French case
- 3.1. Conditions for creating the French drug
approval committee - 3.2. The rejection of vote
- 3.3. Decision-making by apparent consensus
- 3.4. Decision by exhaustion of objections
- 3.5. Weakness of this decision-making rule
103.1. Conditions for creating the French drug
approval committee
- Creating in 1978 for reducing between french
medicine evaluation and those of other countries - The committee composed of a new generation of
physicians and experts (outside the
administration) - Between 1978 an 2000 approximately 30 members
appointed for 3 years - No reassessing of the committee evaluation inside
the administration or the agency (since 1993) - The committee makes the decision
113.2. The rejection of vote
- From the beginning to now no vote but consensus
- Why ? A fear and two ideas
- Fear of contestation by pharmaceutical firms and
medical milieu - Voting is not appropriate for reaching a decision
with strong epistemic nature - Discussion on medicines can culminate in opinion
convergence
123.3. Decision-making by apparent consensus
- . What is decision-making by consensus if it is
not a vote with unanimity rule ? - Decision-making by apparent consensus
- - A specific sequence
- - Two major characteristics
13Decision-making by apparent consensusA specific
sequence
- 1) a member presents to the assembly the nature
of the problem requiring a decision - 2) the members discuss this presentation of the
issue - 3) a member synthesizes the discussion and
indicates which option seems to him to have
emerged out of it - 4) at this point there are two possibilities
- a) no one speaks out against the consensus
proposal just presented, that proposal becomes
the decision, or - b) at least one participant contests the
synthesis proposal, in which case discussion
starts up again until the same member or another
one offers a new synthesis, which once again
gives rise to situation a) or b) - 5) if all successive consensus proposals are
contested, the decision-making process for that
particular problem may be postponed until the
next meeting.
14Decision-making by apparent consensusTwo major
characteristics
- No systematic expression or counting of opinions
- Decision a proposal has not overt opposition
- Apparent consensus is not unanimity
- No explicitly rejection /visibly unanimoustly
appoving - Apparent consensus some of who remain silence
silent do not approve but no longer contest
153.4. Decision by exhaustion of objections (1)
- The contesting of the proposal could have two
different status - A rejection an unconditional veto right but the
use of this veto right is conditional (ressources
and negociation african palaver and
international organizations) - An objection a conditional veto, the objection
has to be accepted, deemed valid by others, but
the use of objection is not conditionned by
ressources or licit negociation
16Decision by exhaustion of objections (2)
- The silence of a member facing a proposal of a
decision reflects 3 situations - He is convinced the proposal is the right one
- He doesnt know and delegates his judgement
- He is not convinced but he doesnt have a good
argument
17Decision by exhaustion of objections
(3)combining sanior pars with maior parts
Facing a proposal of decision A virtually silent majority An objecting minority
Values the expressed opinion In favor of the proposal as it stands Against the proposal as it stands
Expressions Explicit approval Or No expression Explicit disppproval
Mental states, reasons and preferences Convinced Indeterminated delegation of judgment Not convinced but having no argument for a valid objection - not convinced and having an objection that one deems validable
18Decision by exhaustion of objections
(4)combining sanior pars with maior parts
- The splitting of the collective decision process
- The objecting minority judges the proposal
and, by the way, the virtually silent majority - The hierarchical ordering principal
- Prevalence of reasons on preference, of wisdom on
number - The objecting minority win if the argument is
deemed valid - Only two ways to express preference not
contesting proposal or contesting it with an
argument - The proposal become decision if it had exhausted
objections, not because it would have won
everyones vote - Unequal member influence is recognized legitimate
193.5. Two weak points of this decision-making rule
- It tolerates delegation of judgement
- (as silence means approbation of the proposal)
- It presupposes a profound agreement on the
evaluation approach - (if not such agreement, no convergence on the
validity of objection but convergence on
objections is less difficult to obtain than
convergence on positives judgements Cf.
Scanlon)
204. THE COLLECTIVE ADVISER
- The Case of the FDAs Advisory Committees
214. THE COLLECTIVE ADVISER
- 4.1. Conditions for Creating the Advisory
Committees - 4.2. Voting Patterns The Strong Expert
Convergence - 4.3. The Public Balloting of the Collective
Adviser - 4.4. The Problematic Determination of Individual
Will
224.1. Conditions for Creating the Advisory
Committees
- Used systematically since the 1970s
- 3 factors
- Increasing complexity of technologies
- New legislations
- Growth of consumer activism and of critiques of
agency decisions - AC do not concentrated all the expertise the FDA
keeps the final decision - 18 AC for drugs with 11 menbers each
234.2. Voting Patterns The Strong Expert
Convergence
- With the data of two studies of votes of several
AC from 1998 to 2002 and from 2002 to 2007 - Of the 70 instances of voting
- 38 cases of unanimity
- 10 (7) of scores below a 70 majority
244.3. The Public Balloting of the Collective
Adviser
- A. The ambivalent status of voting
- B. The moral force of majority rule
25A. The Ambivalent Status of Voting (1)
- The FDA wants voting on the questions that are
the most directly linked to the decisions it must
make - It recognizes that the voting can not be detached
from discussions and comments - But it wants an Advisory committee to be a
Collective Adviser
26A. The Ambivalent Status of Voting (2)
- Meanwhile, the voting does not need to reach a
final point - A voting without decision-making rules (no
majority rule) - The rare tie votes are not a problem
- Frequent tie votes would ruin the
orientation-giving function of the advisory
committees on FDAs decisions - The concern for this orientation-giving function
is demonstrated by the indirect presence of the
majority rule
27B. The Morale Force of Majority Rule
- Advisory Committees do not have decision rule
such as majority rule - But majority voting has a political and morale
force - Controversies about the impact of conflicts of
interest of AC members on their recommandations
use the majority rule as criterion
284.4. The Problematic Determination of Individual
Will (1)
- Some members have difficulties to answer Yes or
no - - a few abstain
- - some changes their vote
- - a few wants to see what the others vote
before voting (It is impossible since 2007)
294.4. The Problematic Determination of Individual
Will (2)
- The links between reasons and votes
- The vote is public, oral and with giving reasons
- Sometimes the vote is embedded in the reasons
- It then could loose is discrete nature
- yes, but yes minimally
- The chairman has to unseal the vote from the
discours so it is yes