uncalibrated 1-day forecast. 16. Precipitation: 5-mm reliability diagrams ... Global ensemble forecast system; plan to do 1 reforecast member per day in real ...
Hyperion Planning for Budget entry and Monitoring ... It can facilitate quarterly budgeting and variance reporting ... To identify and analyze variances from budget ...
... size -- small benefit. large training sample size ... The benefit you'll get from a much smaller training sample size is correspondingly much smaller. ...
... once, say, every 4 years, minimal impact to operations integrated over time. ... ECMWF exploring once-weekly ensemble reforecasts (with my participation) ...
Verification. Climatology. Obs. SREF members (reforecasts) Analog finders ... Run verification stats on those cases. Correct model output for biases ...
... of Home Affairs FDHA. Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss ... 30 years reforecasts. 1 deterministic run. calibrate with climatology ...
Summer and Winter Season Reforecast Experiments with the NCEP Coupled Forecast System (CFS) using Different Land Models and Different Initial Land States
Definition of 'reforecast' : a data set of retrospective ... Hacienda Heights, CA muds, 22 Feb 2005 (also rain on snow event for intermountain west) ...
NOAA/CPC is actively involved in the monitoring of the Reanalysis ... NCDC/NOAA will be responsible for the archival and distribution of both the CFS ...
Key simplifying assumption: ... Get smaller training data set of obs & forecast (w,x) ... same 1.6 power transformation on forecast as was used on observed? ...
A tool for exploring calibration issues: CDC's 'reforecast' data set. 17. Why reforecast? ... From http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ens.html. ...
Reconfigured : 2x/day, 10 members out to 1 month, then single member to 9 months ... Reconfigured: 10-member ensemble to 1 month every 2nd day (alternating 00Z, ...
Exploring sample size issues. for 6-10 day forecasts using. ECMWF's reforecast data set ... large ensemble size. T2m results, smaller reforecast than 15-mbr ...
A new Reanalysis of the atmosphere, ocean, seaice and land over the 31-year ... will be generated from a coupled atmosphere ocean seaice - land system ...
Report on CTB CFS Test and Evaluation Team Activities. Team Leads: Jae-Kyung Schemm and Shrinivas ... CFS with Noah LSM and GLDAS(Mitchell, Yang and Meng) ...
Review of Ocean Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NCEP/EMC S. Lord, D. Behringer, H-L Pan, H. Tolman Overview GODAS and operational CFS CFS Reanalysis (and ...
... to a global resolution of 0.5 degree northwards and southwards of 10N and ... Coupled 2-day forecast from initial conditions from every cycle, will be made ...
COSMO-LEPS: present status and plans Andrea Montani, C. Marsigli, T. Paccagnella ARPA-SIMC HydroMeteoClimate Regional Service of Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy
Glenn White has provided diagnostics of the stratus ... Bob Grumbine provided sea ice analysis. NESDIS provided recalibrated SSU and MSU data (Goldberg's team) ...
Examine alternatives before deciding. Standard of comparison ... International politics. Expense forecasts. Increases for food and beverage. Increases for labor ...
Fairmont Hotel. New Orleans, La. September 9-11, 2001. Robert F. Wolf FCAS, ... RL is the reserve discount rate, RL = RA - (S/K)(RC- RA) RU = - K RL/Premium ...
... charges (depreciation, property taxes, rent expense, insurance expense) are ... are significant; expressed in terms of both dollar and percentage differences. ...
'Merged' files: Grid 221, a selection of (mostly) analysis variables, enhanced by, ... National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), merged files being downloaded; ...
Enhance transition activities (Climate Test Bed; Model Test Facility) ... Storm Tracks and Blocking. Monsoons. Oceanic Conditions (global and coastal) ...
CLIVAR Atlantic research examples. Coupled modeling - TAV, NAO. P. ... EPIC. NAME. MESA. North American Monsoon Experiment. Phenomena of Interest. I. II. III ...
National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Environmental Modeling Center ... Development of a real-time PBL height and cloud cover verification system ...
Rongqian Yang. Ken Mitchell, Jesse Meng, Helin Wei, George Gayno ... Different Land Models and Different Initial Land States. Assistance from other EMC members: ...
ENSO Signals in Seasonal Predictions made with a Regional Climate Model given ... Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC NASA forcing. Gene Takle, ISU MM5, applications ...
... Earth System Research Lab, Physical Sciences Division, ... too much yellow in forecast plots. Seen another way, this could be. considered a model bias ...