Title: ICSUUNUUNESCO Committee on Scientific Knowledge Gaps
1ICSU-UNU-UNESCO Committee on Scientific
Knowledge Gaps
2IMOSEB
- An international mechanism that includes
intergovernmental and non-governmental elements,
and that builds on existing initiatives and
institutions, with a view to - providing scientifically validated information on
the status, trends, and services of biodiversity - identifying priorities and recommendations for
biodiversity protection - informing the relevant international conventions,
especially the Convention of Biological
Diversity, as their parties
3IMOSEB Needs
- Need for independent scientific expertise
-
- Need for more capacity
- Need for improved communication
4Two Models Being Discussed
- 1- A network of networks
- 2- An intergovernmental/multistakeholder panel
providing scientific advice - There cannot be an MA II and an IMOSEB
- Urgent that consultations happen very soon
5An avalanche of new studies on ecosystem
services and since the MA at all levels
6Who does what and how much they do it
Kremen, 2005
7The Birds
Sekercioglu, et al., TREE 2006
Comparable studies on many different taxonomic
groups (insects) and guilds (soil organisms),
8We estimate the bats value as pest control for
cotton production in an eightcounty region in
south-central Texas. Our calculations show an
annual value of 741 000 per year, with a range
of 121 0001 725 000, compared to a 4.66.4
million per year annual cotton harvest.
(Cleveland, et al, 2006)
9K. Brauman and friends, 2007
10EcoServices classified according to spatial
characteristics
- 1. Global-Non Proximal (does not depend on
proximity) - 12. Climate Regulation
- Carbon sequestration (NEP)
- Carbon storage
- 17. Cultural/Existence value
- 2. Local Proximal(depends on proximity)
- 3. Disturbance Regulation/ Storm protection
- 9. Waste Treatment
- 10. Pollination
- 11. Biological Control
- 12. Habitat/Refugia
- 3. Directional Flow-Related flow from point of
production to point of use - 4. Water regulation/flood protection
- 5. Water supply
- 6. Sediment regulation/Erosion control
- 8. Nutrient regulation
- 4. In situ (point of use)
- 7. Soil formation
11Biophysical Generation of Ecosystem
Services What is the best way to define and
measure ecosystem service production? What
services are produced by which ecosystems over
what spatial and temporal scales? How are these
services produced? What is the magnitude of
service production? Trends How has service
production changed, and how do human activities
affect service production? How does service
delivery relate to the condition of the ecosystem
supplying it, and how important is
biodiversity? How does production of one service
depend on that of others? How well can technology
substitute for ecosystem services? What is the
spatial relationship between ecosystem services
supply and consumption?
Service use
Protection and management
Policy Which ecosystem services should be
prioritized for protection? What are the
strengths and limitations of different policy
mechanisms? How effective have voluntary
mechanisms been?
Beneficiaries and Producers of Ecosystem Service
Users Who are the producers and beneficiaries of
each service? Are people aware of their
production and consumption of the service?
Ecological value
Economic and social value
Policy formation
Valuation What components of ecosystem services
should be valued?? What valuation approaches best
captures these components? How valuable are
ecosystem services?
Brauman, et al., 2007
12Growing attention
But need to operationalize
13Tools needed
1. Ecology whats where?
2. Economics whats it worth?
3. Policy finance who pays and how?
14Tools needed
1. Ecology whats where?
2. Economics whats it worth?
3. Policy finance who pays and how?
Chan, et al. 2006. PLoS Biology
15Tools needed
1. Ecology whats where?
Mbaracayu, Paraguay
2. Economics whats it worth?
/ha NPV
3. Policy finance who pays and how?
- 5 services
- carbon storage
- sust. hunting
- sust. timber
- pharmaceuticals
- existence
Naidoo and Ricketts. 2006. PLoS Biology
Net Present Value ( / ha)
16Tools needed
1. Ecology whats where?
2. Economics whats it worth?
3. Policy finance who pays and how?
17(No Transcript)
18MIMES Multi-scale Integrated Models of the
Ecosystem Services
Locations
Biosphere
Anthroposphere
Ecosystem Services
Cultures
Earth Surfaces
Nutrient Cycling
Biodiversity
Exchanges Between Locations
Hydrosphere
Lithosphere
Atmosphere
Geological Carbon
Earth Energy
Water by Reservoir
Gases
Ores
19MIMES Multiscale Integrated Models of Ecosystem
Services in the Earth System)
Location from local to global
Biosphere
Earth Surfaces
Anthroposphere
Ecosystem Services
Hydrology
Atmosphere
Lithosphere
20Earth Surfaces
MIMES Multiscale Integrated Models of Ecosystem
Services in the Earth System)
Location from local to global
Biosphere
Anthroposphere
Ecosystem Services
Atmosphere
Hydrosphere
21Focus on ecosystem services in relation to key
drivers and human well being, from local to
global scales.
Carpenter, DeFries, Dietz, Mooney, Polasky, Reid
Scholes, 2006, Science 314 257-258.
22The initial outline
- A rigorous development of and understanding of
the relationship between biodiversity (in all of
its dimensions) and ecosystem services. Lifting
the bar and broadening the research approaches.
The experimental base is very weak (eg species
level with limited functional groupings). - 2) Better guidance on valuation approaches for
the various types of services. The enormous
challenges valuing cultural servicese.g. benefit
transfer, place-based specificity vs generality
etc and developing approaches for understanding
and valuing regulating services
23- 3) An evaluation of which ecosystem services can
be substituted and at what cost along with
tradeoff analyses. Development of production
functions using multiple tools and models.
Estimating the value of ecosystem change and
developing practical economic tools to address
adverse impacts (service payments, tax reforms,
etc) - 4) Deepening our understanding of the causal
links between indirect drivers and direct drivers
and developing practical strategies for
interventions to achieve favorable outcomes at
different scales and in different
social/political and contexts - 5) Development of institutional mechanisms for
the management of ecosystem services including
equitable sharing and unraveling
poverty-ecosystem services linkages
24Congruence of Conservation Priorities?
Biodiversity Focus
Ecosystem Services Focus
(Balvanera et al. 2001 Science)
25- 6) Understanding and quantifying the linkages
between ecosystem services and human well-being
analyzing the outcomes of past attempts to
improve environmental management (individual
services vs. bundles local vs landscapes). This
job was just begun in the MA - 7) Address issues such as coupling qualitative
and quantitative models including coupling to
social and political processes improving
uncertainty analyses, developing approaches to
deal with thresholds, nonlinearities, and drivers
operating at different time scales. Modelling
human adaptation to and mitigation against
ecosystem change ecological consequences of
globalization.
26- 8) Develop a monitoring system that provides data
that reveals, 1) the underpinnings for linkages
between ES and HWB (eg. access to the movement of
ES, human use of ES), 2) responses of ES in
relation to ecosystem change (land cover, marine
productivity biodiversity, etc), 3) Aid to
decision making (hot spots, vulnerable regions,
etc trends in HWB). Additionally, there is a
need to map spatially-explicit overlays of
ecosystem service delivery of landscapes
27After 3 fires in 12 years system converted to
weed patch-Steve Davis
28Permafrost melting is changing whole landscapes
Torre Jorgenson
29Land-use pressure agriculture
Conservation planning thwarted by
globalization R. Cowling
30Potato fields in a targeted conservation area in
South Africa