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Title: Tam Aligaz


1
Tam Aligaz
  • CSC 426 Values in Computer Technology
  • DePaul University

2
Topics
  • Internal validity
  • Sampling

3
Internal Validity
  • Validity in general refers to the approximate
    truth of propositions, inferences, or
    conclusions.
  • What is internal validity?
  • Its the approximate truth about inferences
    regarding cause-effect or causal relationships
  • Only relevant in studies that try to establish a
    causal relationship
  • Uses
  • For studies that assess the effects of social
    programs or interventions

4
External Validity
  • External Validity
  • Refers to the approximate truth of conclusions
    that involve generalizations
  • The degree to which the conclusions in your study
    would hold for other persons in other places and
    at other times
  • Totally related to generalizing (ability to
    generalize from our study context to other
    people, places or times )

5
Example of Internal Validation
  • For instance, if program X causes Y
    observation, then it means what we did with
    program X caused what we observed in Y to
    happen

6
Causal Relationship
  • How to establish causal relationship?
  • Generally, there are three criteria that we must
    meet before we can say that we have evidence for
    a causal relationship
  • Temporal Precedence
  • Covariance of the Cause and Effect
  • No plausible alternative explanation

7
Temporal Precedence
  • E.g. Does inflation cause unemployment?
  • In this kind of cyclical situation involving
    ongoing processes that interact that both may
    cause and, in turn, be affected by the other.

8
Covariation of the Cause and Effect
  • Before we can show that we have a causal
    relationship we have to show that we have some
    type of relationship
  • E.g. if X then Y if not X then not Y
  • Whenever X is present, Y is also present, and
    whenever X is absent, Y is too. Therefore there
    is a relationship between X and Y

9
No Plausible Alternative Explanations
  • Just because we show there's a relationship
    doesn't mean it's a causal one. It's possible
    that there is some other variable or factor that
    is causing the outcome.
  • This is sometimes referred to as the "third
    variable" or "missing variable" problem

10
Threats to Internal Validity
  • Threats to internal validity can be divided into
    three categories
  • Single group threat
  • Multi group threat
  • Social threat

11
Single Group Threat
  • Let's consider two single group designs and then
    consider the threats that are most relevant with
    respect to internal validity.

12
Multi Group Threat
  • There really is only one multiple group threat to
    internal validity that the groups were not
    comparable before the study.
  • selection bias or selection threat.
  • A selection threat is any factor other than the
    program that leads to posttest differences
    between groups

13
Social Threat
  • The social threats to internal validity refer to
    the social pressures in the research context that
    can lead to posttest differences that are not
    directly caused by the treatment itself.
  • Most of these threats occur because the various
    groups, or key people involved in carrying out
    the research are aware of each other's existence
    and of the role they play in the research project
    or are in contact with one another
  • Many of these threats can be minimized by
    isolating the two groups from each other

14
Sampling
  • Sampling is the process of selecting units (e.g.,
    people, organizations) from a population of
    interest
  • By studying the sample we may fairly generalize
    our results back to the population from which
    they were chosen

15
Statistical Sampling Terms
  • Response
  • Its a specific measurement value that a sampling
    unit supplies
  • Parameter
  • If we measure the entire population and calculate
    a value like a mean or average, its called
    parameter of the population
  • Sampling distribution
  • The distribution of a statistics across an
    infinite number of samples
  • Sampling error
  • Standard error is called sampling error which
    gives some idea of the precision of our
    statistical estimate

16
Probability Sampling
  • A probability sampling method is any method of
    sampling that utilizes some form of random
    selection
  • In order to have a random selection method, we
    must set up some process or procedure that
    assures that the different units in your
    population have equal probabilities of being
    chosen
  • These days, computers are used as the mechanism
    for generating random numbers as the basis for
    random selection.

17
Non Probability Sampling
  • The difference between nonprobability and
    probability sampling is that nonprobability
    sampling does not involve random selection and
    probability sampling does.
  • Nonprobability samples cannot depend upon the
    rationale of probability theory.
  • With a probabilistic sample, we know the odds or
    probability that we have represented the
    population well and are able to estimate
    confidence intervals for the statistic.
  • With nonprobability samples, we may or may not
    represent the population well, and it will often
    be hard for us to know how well we've done so

18
Tam Aligaz
CSC 426 Values in Computer Technology DePaul
University
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