Title: Canadian Minerals and Materials
1Canadian Minerals and Materials
- Presented on November 2, 2006 by
- Christopher Diaz
- Simon Zhang
- Eddie Mo
- Cordelia Zeng
2Contents
1
Industry Analysis
2
CAMECO CORP.
3
TECK COMINCO LTD.
4
HUDBAY MINERALS INC..
3Industry Overview
- Canadian Minerals and Materials
- Mining for base and precious metals is a highly
capital intensive business - Large sums to explore for deposits and construct
mines once deposits are discovered. - Since the early 20th century, mining costs have
risen dramatically. - Risks in mining are numerous, and long-term
survival and profitability require deep pockets.
4Industry Overview
- The global mining industry is consolidating
- Increase in demand for base metals
- Rising demand for durable goods from China and
India along with less rapid increases in the
supply of base metals should support generally
higher prices, sales and profits.
5Uses of minerals and metals
Coal for energy Metallurgical coal in steelmaking
Uranium for energy
Zinc in steel-making (prevents corrosion)
Uses
Copper for wiring
Gold for satellites and sophisticated electronic
components
Silver as a precious metal and for photography
and electronic components
6Global Supply (2006)
7Supply The Mining Process
- Mining is digging into the earth to extract
naturally occurring minerals. - 2 kinds
- Surface mining, a.k.a. open-pit mining or strip
mining - Used if the mineral is near the earth's surface.
- Usually more cost-effective and requires fewer
workers than underground mining. - Underground mining
- Used when the mineral deposit lies deep below the
surface of the earth
8Surface mining
- After engineering the mine, construction starts
by clearing the site and drilling blast holes.
After blasting with explosives, workers use huge
earthmoving equipment, such as power shovels or
draglines, to scoop off the layers of soil and
rock covering the mineral bed. Once the mineral
is exposed, smaller shovels are used to lift it
from the ground and load it into trucks or it
can also can be broken up using explosives or
crus, if necessary. The mineral is then crushed
into ore.
Natural Resources Canada website http//www.nrcan.
gc.ca/mms/mining/mine3.html
9Underground mining
- After engineering the mine, miners first must dig
two or more openings, or tunnels, deep into the
earth near the place where they believe coal or
minerals are located. Depending on where the vein
of ore is in relation to the surface, tunnels
interconnect with a network of passageways going
in many directions. Long steel bolts and pillars
of unmined ore support the roof of the tunnel.
One opening allows the miners to move in and out
of the mine and also serves as a path for
transporting the mined rock by small railroad
cars or by conveyor belts to the surface. The
other opening is used for ventilation.
Natural Resources Canada website http//www.nrcan.
gc.ca/mms/mining/mine1.html
10Concentrator facility
- Mineral concentrator facilities contain
connected buildings with the equipment to recover
the minerals. The recovery processes would
involve grinding, flotation, thickening,
filtering, and concentrate storage and loading.
Natural Resources Canada website http//www.nrcan.
gc.ca/mms/mining/mine2.html
11Smelting and Refining
- Smelting is transforming mineral concentrates
into usable metals and alloys. Once concentrates
are transported from the mines and concentrators
to a smelter, they are sent through the sintering
process, which uses a sinter machine to burn
sulfur from the ore and then conveyed into a
blast furnace where it reaches molten-liquid form
at approximately 3,000 degrees Fahrenheit. The
refineries are used to extract undesirable
minerals still remaining.
Natural Resources Canada website http//www.nrcan.
gc.ca/mms/mining/mine4.html
12Reclamation of land following mining
- The mine and surrounding environment must be
restored to the condition that existed before
mining began. - Highly regulated by government and reclamation
plans must be approved before mining permits will
be granted. -
- In surface mining, the layers of topsoil, or
overburden, that were removed in order to reach
the mineral are used to fill in the mine and
reshape the land. - Underground mining reclamation is not as
extensive however, companies must ensure that
ground water remains uncontaminated and that
abandoned mines will not collapse. -
13Technology and Labour
- Required labour declined significantly as new and
more sophisticated mining techniques increased
productivity - Growth in output while employing less workers
- Most mining machines and control rooms are now
automatic or computer-controlled - Many mines also operate lasers and robotics,
which further decrease the number of workers
needed to mine materials.
14Industry Consolidation
May 16, 2006
15Consolidation in Canada's mining industry
- Inco, with Arizona-based Phelps Dodge, were
planning to merge with Falconbridge and form the
world's largest nickel producer and publicly
traded copper producer. The megadeal, announced
on June 26, 2006, would be worth 56 billion US
and would represent the biggest merger in
Canadian history. - Falconbridge shareholders chose a richer offer
from Xstrata, which already owned almost 25 per
cent of Falconbridge. - Inco was already fending off an unwanted takeover
bid from Vancouver-based Teck Cominco Ltd. So it
positioned itself to accept a friendly merger
with Phelps Dodge, through a share swap that was
valued at 20.1 billion.
16Consolidation in Canada's mining industry
- But then on Aug. 11 Brazil mining giant Companhia
Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD) stepped up with a
19.4-billion, all-cash offer for Inco. And Teck
dramatically stepped up its bid, leading to a
high-stakes showdown. - Teck's 20-billion bid was based on it being able
to quickly raise 5.7 billion in a new share
offering, which did not happen soTeck withdrew
its takeover bid. - Then, in early September, Inco cancelled its
attempt to merge with Phelps Dodge after it
became clear that Inco shareholders would not
support the deal. That left only Brazil's CVRD in
the running. - In late September, Inco told its shareholders to
tender their shares to CVRD's 86-a-share offer.
17Demand for minerals and metals
- Mined materials used as inputs for consumer
goods, processes, and services provided by all
other industries - agriculture, manufacturing, transportation,
utilities, communication, and construction.
18Tilting towards Excess Supply
BMO Nesbitt Burns Capital Markets Report on
Commodities - September 26, 2006 http//www.bmones
bittburns.com/economics/goods/20060926/goods.pdf
19Demand from US and China
- If the U.S. economy slumps, the impact on base
metals will be felt. Copper is particularly at
risk, as residential construction is
copper-intensive with over 30 of total copper
usage earmarked for home construction, a decline
in housing starts next year would carry the
market deeper into oversupply territory. - While a significant correction for most
commodities is likely owing to an improvement in
the supply/demand balance, because of Chinas
ferocious appetite for everything from oil to
zinc will keep demand growing at a healthy rate
and supply will only grow modestly, the commodity
downtrend will be less shorter than normal. - Given the growing importance of the developing
world to the global economy (all very intensive
consumers of commodities), and relatively modest
capacity increases, commodity prices should trend
higher after the current patch.
BMO Nesbitt Burns Capital Markets Report on
Commodities - September 26, 2006 http//www.bmones
bittburns.com/economics/goods/20060926/goods.pdf
20Supply and Demand Balance
- From Sep05 to Sep06, all the metals in the Metals
Minerals Index enjoyed large gains advancing
55 overall. - Prices for zinc and nickel more than doubling and
copper close to doubling. - Latest data
- The Index slipped (-1.1) in Sep06 as prices
retreated on concerns that moderating US and
global economic growth and a weakening US housing
market were seen as reducing demand for
industrial metals, and as receding Middle East
tensions reduced the safe-haven appeal of
precious metals. - Low inventories, limited production growth, the
potential for further industrial disputes, and
solid demand are expected to keep prices at
relatively high levels through 2007.
BMO Financial Group Economics Department Commodity
Price Report October 2006 http//www.bmo.com/econ
omic/commod/mcpr.pdf
21Copper
- Copper is used in a variety of industries,
including construction, electric and electronic
products, transportation equipment, consumer and
general products, and industrial machinery and
equipment. - From 1996 through 2005, refined copper
consumption increased at a compound annual growth
rate (CAGR) of 3.4, while refined production
increased at a CAGR of 3.0. The market for
refined copper was in deficit in 2003, 2004 and
2005. - Major companies in the copper market Teck
Cominco, Chile's state-owned copper company,
Corporacion Nacional del Cobre de Chile
(Coldelco), Phelps Dodge, Grupo Mexico, BHP
Billiton, Rio Tinto and Southern Peru Copper. - The copper price in 2006 was unusually high as a
result of strike activity along with investment
fund demand.
22Copper Price
BMO Nesbitt Burns Capital Markets Report on
Commodities - September 26, 2006 http//www.bmones
bittburns.com/economics/goods/20060926/goods.pdf
23Copper
24Copper Supply and Demand
25Copper Price
- Tight market conditions have kept prices high,
facilitating a near doubling over the past year. - Several factors including strikes at mines in
Chile and Mexico, some possible short covering,
and purchases by commodity investment funds
contributed to the record high prices. - However, we believe that supply/demand
fundamentals will not support a copper price at
the current 3.37 level. We anticipate that
resolution of strike-related disruptions and a
moderation in demand will cause the price to
decline in late 2006. - However, with inventories at low levels, demand
still strong, labour unrest a persistent threat,
and supply growth lethargic, prices should remain
high over 2007.
26Zinc
- Zinc's primary use is for corrosion protection in
the galvanized steel industry. - Zinc is also used to die cast components in the
auto, construction, battery, brass and chemical
industries. - From 1996 through 2005, refined zinc production
increased at a CAGR of 3.4, while refined
consumption rose at a CAGR of 3.4. In 2004 and
2005, the market for refined zinc was in deficit.
- Major companies in the zinc market are Teck
Cominco, Anglo American, Grupo Mexico, Xstrata
and Penoles.
27Zinc
28Zinc Supply and Demand
29Zinc Price
BMO Nesbitt Burns Capital Markets Report on
Commodities - September 26, 2006 http//www.bmones
bittburns.com/economics/goods/20060926/goods.pdf
30Zinc Price
- Tight market conditions have kept prices high,
facilitating a near doubling over the past year. - With inventories at low levels, demand still
strong, labour unrest a persistent threat, and
supply growth lethargic, prices should remain
high over 2007.
31Gold and Silver
BMO Nesbitt Burns Capital Markets Report on
Commodities - September 26, 2006 http//www.bmones
bittburns.com/economics/goods/20060926/goods.pdf
32Uranium market
- Past history of uranium consumption by nuclear
reactor - Uranium outlook
33Uranium Supply and Demand Balance
34Uranium market
- Uranium market price has increased more than
sixfold in the past five years, fuelled by
growing demand for nuclear power and an already
large gap between demand and supply. - Average uranium spot price USD/lb.
-
- Source The Ux Consulting Company, LLC
- Volatility - Possible factors
- Political risk due to peoples fear of nuclear
disasters Chernobyl-style
35Uranium market
- Uranium production
- By country
36Sectoral Outlook
- Mineral prices soared to record-high levels in
2006 in the face of voracious demand from China
and very low inventory levels. - Yet output in the sector is down from 2005
levels. - In part, Canadian mining operations have been
slowed by strikes. - Capacity at existing mines is stretched and while
high prices have boosted exploration and
development, production from these expansions has
not yet come on line.
37Sectoral Outlook
- Output in the mineral extraction sector is
expected to rebound in 2007. - Prices for industrial and precious metals are
- anticipated to ease somewhat, yet remain
relatively - high for the remainder of 2006 and in 2007.
- The recent resolution of a strike at Voiseys Bay
should boost - mineral production during the final quarter of
2006 and - in 2007.
- Uranium production is expected to get underway at
Cigar Lake in 2007 after recent flood.
38Sectoral Outlook bottom line
- Commodity prices have retreated from their spring
record highs. However, metals prices are expected
to remain sufficiently attractive to stimulate
significant investment and output growth in
resource development, extraction, and related
industries. - Longer term, we are positive on regular demand
for copper and other base metals, and uranium. - In our view, the industrialization of China and
India will lead to greater demand. At the same
time, we believe production of copper and zinc
will increase less rapidly than demand, as output
at existing mines is exhausted and fewer new
mines come into production. - Another positive development is that minerals
companies are generating greater free cash flow
than in the previous cycle. We think this will
enable them to fund expansion internally and
still have funds to buy back shares or increase
dividends.
39Sector
- SP/TSX Capped Diversified Metals Mining Index
(GSPTTMN) - Compared against our three stocks and the SP500
SYMBOL COMPANY 1 AUR Aur Resources
Inc. 2 EZM EuroZinc Mining Corporation 3 FM First
Quantum Minerals Ltd. 4 FNX FNX Mining Company
Inc. 5 FDG.UN Fording Canadian Coal
Trust 6 HBM HudBay Minerals Inc. 7 N Inco
Limited 8 IMN Inmet Mining Corporation 9 IVN Ivanh
oe Mines Limited 10 LIM Lionore Mining
International Ltd. 11 NNO Northern Orion
Resources Inc. 12 S Sherritt International
Corporation 13 TCK.B Teck Cominco Ltd.
40Sector Trends
- Year to date through October 2006, the SP
Diversified Metals Mining Index (in which
copper companies dominate) rose 13.5, compared
with a 7.7 gain for the SP 1500.
41(No Transcript)
42Cameco Corp.
43Cameco Corp
1
Camecos profile and business
2
Financial Statements
3
Stock price analysis
4
Conclusion and recommendation
44Cameco Corp. Stock
- Last C 38.150
- Net Change C -1.350
- Change -3.42
- Ask 38.150 Bid 38.120
- High 39.590 Market Cap 13.336 billion
- Low 37.670 EPS 1.22
- Volume 3,484,525 P/E 31.30
- Yield 0.41 Indicated Annual Div. 0.16
- 52-Week High 49.950
- 52-Week Low 28.000
- Shares outstanding
45Cameco Stock price
46Cameco Corp.
- Cameco is the worlds largest, low-cost uranium
producer - Account for 20 of the worlds uranium production
- It has more than 500 million pounds of proven and
probable reserves to sustain decade development. - Also involved in the business segments of Fuel
services, Nuclear electricity generation, and
Gold - Based in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan
- Listings
- Common Stock TSX (CCO)
- NYSE (CCJ)
- Convertible debentures CCO.DB
47Management team
- Victor J. Zaleschuk, Chair
- Gerald W. Grandey, President CEO
- Terry V. Rogers, Sr-VP COO
48Business strategy
- Remain the low-cost producer
- Protect and expand market position
- Maintain supply flexibility
49Camecos business
Mining
Conversion
Commercial use of uranium
Enrichment
Electricity generation
50Camecos business
Description Cameco
Mining Uranium ore is mined and milled to U3O8 Worlds largest uranium producer, 20 of world production
Conversion U3O8 are purified and converted to UF6 One of only three western conversion suppliers, control 40 of world capacity.
Enrichment UF6 is enriched to prepare it for use as fuel in light water reactors UF6 is enriched to prepare it for use as fuel in light water reactors
Electricity generation 440 nuclear reactors, 31 countries, 16 of worlds electricity Own 31.6 of a nuclear power plant in Ontario, supplied gt 34M pounds of uranium in 2005
51Nuclear Energy
- Energy crisis argument
- Natural resources in a bull market trend
- Nuclear power
- Astonishing development in 2005
- Major possible breakthrough in 2006
- Some negative trends
- Uranium market
52Nuclear energy
- Increasing demand for nuclear power
- Currently, nuclear is the worlds third largest
source of electricity (16) - Increase energy demand
- Need for cleaner baseload generating technology
53Conversion outlook
- As with uranium, conversion capacity falls short
of demand - In 2005, demand for UF6 conversion services 55
million kilograms of uranium - Suppliers have combined capacity of 47 million
kilograms - Shortfall made up from secondary supplies
54Conversion outlook (cont )
- Average conversion spot price (US/kgU as UF6 in
North America) - In the last 24 months, increased 66 in N.A.
markets and 45 in Europe. - In 2005 alone, increased 28.
55Camecos Uranium Projects
- MacArthur River
- Cigar Lake
- Key Lake
- Rabbit Lake
- Crowe Butte
- Smith Ranch Highland
- Inkai
56Uranium Reserves
57Camecos projects McArthur River Mine
58McArthur River Mine
- Located 620 km north of Saskatoon, 70 owned by
Cameco. - The worlds largest, low-cost uranium producer. (
accounting for 17 of world uranium production. ) - The proven and probable reserves are 389 million
pounds U3O8 and average grade is 24 U3O8.
59Key Lake Mill
- Key Lake Mill Located 570 km north of Saskatoon,
83 owned by Cameco. - Milling support for MacArthur and Cigar Lake
operations
60Camecos projects Cigar Lake and Rabbit Lake
61Cigar Lake
- Cigar Lake Mine located 660 km north of
Saskatoon. - Joint venture 50 owned by Cameco. Proven and
probable reserves are 232 million pounds of U3O8.
- The worlds second largest high-grade uranium
deposit. The average uranium grade is 19, nearly
100 times the world average. - Estimated to hold as much as 17 of the worlds
supplies.
62Cigar Lake
- Production is expected in early 2008 (growth
opportunity). When at full capacity, will provide
enough ore to produce 18 million pounds of U3O8
annually. - But, on October 23, 2006
63Cigar Lake Flood inflow
- Uranium price soared 7 in a week
- Stocks of other uranium companies shot up
- Construction is expected to be delayed by at
least one year - Capital expenditure to be significantly higher
- Ability to meet contractual obligations
- - right to reduce
- - supply interruption in the contract
64Rabbit Lake
- Rabbit Lake Mine located 700 km north of
Saskatoon, 100 owned by Cameco. Annual milling
capacity is 12 million pounds U3O8. Proven and
probable reserves are 11 million pounds U3O8. - Now milling ore form the Eagle Point mine. The
operation 6 million pounds U3O8 annually. - Prospects for additional reserves have been
identified near the site and exploration work
continues.
65Centerra Gold
- A sub traded in TSX starting June 2004
- Canadian-based gold producer focused on
acquiring, exploring and developing gold
properties in Central Asia, the former SU and
other emerging markets. - Cameco owns 52.7 interest
- Transferred all its gold assets to Centerra
- Strategy to unlock the value of these assets
- Not doing very well as per 2006 Q3 F/S (published
on Oct 30, 2006)
66Financial Information
- 2005 Annual Report
- Income Statement
- Balance Sheet
- CFS
- 2006 Q3 report
- 5 year comparative data
67Financial information
- Uranium business key performance drivers
- Price spot and long-term
- Volume sales, production and purchases
- Costs production and purchase
- Exchange rate
68Performance drivers Price
- Uranium price is volatile
- Camecos contract mix
- 60 long-term contract, 40 sold at fixed prices
(adjusted for inflation) - Does not sell uranium in the spot market
- As a result, camecos average realized price was
15.45/pound, compared to an average spot price
of 28.67 (US). - It hedges unfavorable exchange rate movement.
Average realized selling price rose by 20 in US
dollars, but only 12 in Canadian dollars
69Performance drivers Price
- Cameco has benefited from the rising uranium
price, which is expected to continuously grow,
especially after flood inflow to the Cigar Lake. - Camecos growth in revenue is highly correlated
with the arising price of uranium.
70Performance drivers volume
- Sales volume
- In 2005, sold 34.2 million pounds of uranium, a
6 increase from 2004 sales of 32.3 million. - Cameco sells more than it produced. The
contractual delivery commitments are met through
mine production, long-term purchase arrangements,
and inventory.
71Performance drivers costs
- Production cost
- Primarily fixed, 1/3 to labour
- Other variable costs production supplies,
maintenance materials - Production costs are driven mostly by the
complexity of the operation. - The grade and size of reserves
- Purchase costs under long-term, fixed
arrangement - Significantly lower than the current spot price
- Total commitment 661 million (US), see note 21
72Performance drivers volume
73Performance drivers FX
- Sales in US and uranium production (costs) in
Canada - During 2005, C/US increased from 1.17 to 1.20.
- A primary reason for decreasing 2006 Q3 profit.
- Cameco provided FX hedge to shelter revenue
against decline in the US dollar in the shorter
term.
742005 Income statements
75Analysis 2005 F/S
76Financial Highlights
77Analysis 2005 F/S
- Significant increase in cash, CFS
- Largely due to restructuring Burce Power (Note
16) and sale of investment in Energy Resources of
Australia Ltd. - New debt issue (297,750M, but no debt before).
It is wise to use some debt financing to take
advantage of Camecos favourable credit rating - Debt to capitalization ratio is 9 in 2005
decreased from 13 in 2004 and 22 in 2003
78Analysis 2005 F/S
- Increase in long-term investments
- Change accounting method to account for the
interest in BPLP (note 5) as a result of BPLPs
restructuring
792006 Q3 interim F/S
- 2006 Q3 interim available on Oct 31, 2006
80Analysis 2006 Q3
- Adjusted net income 42M (or 0.11/share), vs.
78M (or 0.21/share in 2005 Q3). - Lower earnings in electricity and global business
- Reduced sales volume of uranium 26 decline in
volume. Uranium business revenue decreased by 12
to 136M. - 30 increase in realized selling price, but
offset by a lower sales volume in the Q. - Exchange rate effect stronger C, but sales are
in US.
81Stock price
82Stock price analysis
- Appreciated by gt 200 in the past three years.
- Mostly correlated with the increase of uranium
price, but at times with energy and precious
metal prices. - Is the stock over-valued?
83Stock price analysis
- Is how valuation of Camecos shares justified?
- Reflected a robust nuclear future
- high quality of asset value low-cost,
geographically diversified suite of production
assets in both uranium refining and conversion.
They are long-lived and supporting a portfolio of
contracts which now reflect much improved market
conditions.
84Recommendation
- High valuation of Camecos shares is justified
- Decrease in the stock price is expected and this
will continue until Cigar Lake has been fully
recovered - The company is in good health and their shares
are appropriately priced - SPECULATIVE BUY
85Teck Cominco
86Company Snap Shot
Symbol TCK.B
Last Trade Nov 01, 2006 1651 EST
Last C 79.900 Net Change C -2.760 Change -3.34
Open 84.000 Bid 79.800
High 84.050 Ask 80.790
Low 79.610 EPS 9.98
Volume 939,716 P/E 8.00
52-Week High 87.750 IndicatedAnnual Div. 2.00
52-Week Low 49.010 Yield 2.42
215,500,000 shares outstanding
87Stock Performance(5 years monthly)
88Company Snapshot
ANNUAL FINANCIALS ANNUAL FINANCIALS ANNUAL FINANCIALS ANNUAL FINANCIALS ANNUAL FINANCIALS
Dec 31, 2005 12 MonthsC Dec 31, 200412 MonthsC Dec 31, 200312 MonthsC 3Yr.Growth Change
Total Revenue (000) 4,570,000 3,452,000 2,229,000 27.48
Earnings before Interest Tax (000) 1,989,000 960,000 172,000 208.08
Profit/Loss (000) 1,345,000 617,000 134,000 255.21
Earnings per Share 6.62 3.18 0.71 253.35
Total Assets (000) 8,809,000 6,059,000 5,375,000 21.12
Dividends Per Share 0.80 0.30 0.20
Return on Com. Equity 35.38 21.85 5.42
Employees 6,710 6,710 N/A
89Company Snapshot
- Shares outstanding
- 215,500,000 shares
- Market Cap
- 17,813M
- Base on share price of 82.66 as of 09/30/2006
- Trade on TSE (TCK.B TCK.B) and NYSE (TCK)
- A member of the SP/TSX Composite Index
90Section Agenda
- Corporate Profile
- Management
- Business Strategy
- Mineral Reserves
- Financial Performance
- Recommendation
91Corporate Profile
- Teck Cominco was formed by the merger of the two
company Teck Cominco in July, 2001 - Teck Cominco is a diversified mining company,
headquartered in Vancouver, Canada - TCK is a world leader in the production of
- zinc
- metallurgical coal
- TCK is also a significant producer of
- copper, gold, indium, germanium and other
specialty minerals - TCK also a significant participant in Canadian
Oil Sands drilling
92Management
- Norman B. KeevilNon-executive Chairman of the
Board - Donald R. LindsayPresident Chief Executive
Officer
93Norman B. Keevil
- Director Since 1963
- Background
- University of Toronto (B.A. Sc.)University of
California, Berkeley (Ph. D.)University of
British Columbia (Honourary LL.D) P.Eng
(Ontario) - Vice-President Exploration at Teck Corporation
from 1962 to 1968 - Executive Vice-President from 1968, President
- Chief Executive Officer from 1981 to 2001 and is
presently Chairman of the Board of Teck Cominco - He is a a Lifetime Director of the Mining
Association of Canada
94Donald R. Lindsay
- Director Since 2005
- Background
- Queens University (B.Sc., Mining Engineering,
Honours) - Harvard Business School (M.B.A.)
- Employed by CIBC World Markets Inc. (investment
banking) from 1985 to 2004 - President of CIBC World Markets Inc.
- Head of Investment and Corporate Banking
- Head of the Asia Pacific Region.
- Joined Teck Cominco Limited as President in
January 2005, - Appointed Director in February, 2005 and Chief
Executive Officer in April, 2005 - He is a Director of Fording (GP) ULC.
95Business Strategy
- Committed into diversification
- Differentiate from competitors
- Reduce volatility and maintain stable earning
- Open to any profitable acquisition or partnership
opportunity - Utilizing core mining skill to reduce operation
expenses - Strive to increase profit margin
96Business Portfolio
- Business Strategy
- Maintain high margin through cost minimizing
- Diversification in business portfolio to reduce
risk - Core operations
97Business Portfolio
- Surplus Power Sale (Trail)
- Waneta hydroelectric power plant
- Sell surplus power to Canada U.S.
- Generated 69M operating profit in 2005
- Sales of other by product mineral during
operation - indium, germanium and other specialty minerals
98Major Mining Operation
- Major Mining operation across North and South
America - Copper and Molybdenum
- 97.5 ownership in the Highland Valley Mine (BC,
Canada) - 22.5 interest in the Antanina Mine (Peru)
- Coal
- 45.2 ownership in the Elk Valley Coal
Partnership (Second largest seaborne exporter of
the Metallurgical Coal in the Word) - Zinc
- 100 owned Red Dog (Alaska, US) and Pend Oreille
(Washington, US) mines - Gold
- 50-owned mines in the Hemlo district of Ontario
- 40-owned Pogo mine in Alaska
- Oil Sand
- acquired a 15 interest in the Fort Hills Energy
Limited Partnership, which is developing the Fort
Hills oil sands project in northern Alberta
99America Focused Operation
Red Dog (Alaska, US)
Pogo (Alaska, US)
Fort Hills (Alberta, Canada)
Elk Valley (BC, Canada)
Hemlo (Ontario, Canada)
Highland Valley (BC, Canada)
Pend Oreille (Washington, US)
Trail (BC, Canada)
Copper Mine Zinc Ref. Zinc Gold Coal Oil Sands
Antamina (Peru)
100Red Dog Mine (Alaska, US)
101Red Dog Mine (Alaska, US)
- The Red Dog mine in northwest Alaska is the
largest zinc mine in the world - Expected life of the mine
- Main Pit 7 yrs at current rate
- Extendible up to 23 yrs due to additional
discovery of reserves - Total Reserves 72.2M tonnes (Ore grade 17.7)
- Proven 19.5M tonnes
- Probable 52.7M tonnes
- 100 owned by TCK
102Antamina Mine (Peru)
103Antamina Mine (Peru)cont
- Antamina is the worlds third largest mine and
the leading combined copper-zinc mine - Total reserves 450 million tonnes (Ore grade
0.93) - Proven 76M tonnes
- Probable 37.4M tonnes
- 22.5 interest owned by TCK in the Join-Venture
104Highland Valley Mine (BC)
105Highland Valley Minecont
- The Highland Valley Copper mine is the largest
copper mine in Canada and one of the largest
copper mining operations in the world - Total reserves 318.7 million tonnes (Ore grade
0.43) - Proven 260.2M tonnes
- Probable 58.5M tonnes
- Expected to close 7 yrs from now (2013)
- 97.5 owned by Teck Cominco
106Elk Valley Coal Partnership
107Elk Valley Coal Partnershipcont
- The second largest shipper of seaborne hard
coking coal in the world - Operates six coal mines in western Canada
- Total Reserves 686 million tonnes
- Proven 483M tonnes
- Probable 203M tonnes
- Teck Cominco holds an effective 45.2 interest in
the partnership and is managing partner
108Pend Oreille Mine (Washington, US)
109Pend Oreille Mine (Washington, US)
- Underground zinc mine completed in 2004
- A proven and probable reserve of 4.7 million
tonnes grading 7.0 zinc and 1.2 lead - expected mine life of 7 years with some potential
for extension. - Total Reserves 4.7 million tonnes
- TCK 100 Owned
110Hemlo district (Ontario, Canada)
111Hemlo district (Ontario, Canada)
- Williams and David Bell gold mines in the Hemlo
area of Ontario - Co-owned by TCK and Barrick Gold Corporation
- Total Reserves 18.83 million oz (Grade
1.8210.97 g/t) - Proven 12.82M oz
- Probable 6.01M oz
- Williams mine is expected to close in 2010 and
David Bell mine is expected to close in 2009 - 50 owned by TCK
112Pogo mine (Alaska)
113Pogo mine (Alaska)
- A 40 interest Join-Venture Project
- Facilities and Mine completed in end of 2005
(Start production in 2006) - Probable Reserves 7 million tones (Ore grade
16.12 g/t) - Est Production Capacity 350-500 thousand oz gold
over a 10 yrs life of project
114Zinc Operation
Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes)
Year 2004 2005 2006F
Red Dog, Alaska 100 554 568 560
Antamina, Peru 22.5 43 41 37
Pend Orellie, Washington 100 17 45 43
Other 5 3 -
Total 619 657 640
Red Dog
Highland Valley
Pend Oreille
Antamina
115Zinc Refineries
Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes)
Year 2004 2005 2006F
Trail 296 223 295
Trail (Zinc Ref.)
116Metallurgical Coal Operation
Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes)
Year 2004 2005 2006F
Elk Valley, BC 45.2 9277 9948 11.0
Elk Valley
117Copper Operation
Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes) Production (000s tonnes)
Year 2004 2005 2006F
Highland Valley, BC 97.5 158 175 175
Antamina, Peru 22.5 82 84 84
Other 8 4 -
Total 248 263 259
Highland Valley
Antamina
118Molybdenum Operation
Production (000s pounds) Production (000s pounds) Production (000s pounds) Production (000s pounds)
Year 2004 2005 2006F
Highland Valley, BC 97.5 9853 6149 N/A
Antamina, Peru 22.5 1778 3333 N/A
Total 11631 9482 N/A
Highland Valley
Antamina
119Gold Operation
Production (000s oz) Production (000s oz) Production (000s oz) Production (000s oz)
Year 2004 2005 2006F
Hemlo, Ontario 50 261 245 N/A
Pogo
Hemlo
120Financial Performance( in million)
121CF from Operation Vs CapEx
122Company Financial
- Year 2004
- Year 2005
- Year 2006 Second Quarter
123Revenue and Profit Boom
- What contributed to the profit boom in 2004
2005? - Increasing commodity price in minerals since 2002
- Increased sales volume
- Efficient control of operation expenses
124Question
- What is going on with a huge amount of cash
sitting in the bank? - Obligation fulfillment on the Fort Hills Oils
Sand project (850M, 34 of the first 2.5
billion project expenditure) - Takeover bid for Inco (did not succeed in 2006)
125Potential Growth
- Increasing expenditure in exploration
- Put life extension on mines by discovering
additional reserves - Future return on Fort Hill Oils Sands project
- Possible Acquisition
- Backup by huge liquid assets (3084M sitting in
the bank) - Ex. New acquisition of an option to purchase 100
interest in new Carrapatenna copper-gold mine
(South Australia)
126Recommendation
Buy
127Hudbay Minerals Inc
- Vertically Integrated Mines to Metals
128Stock Quotes
129Charts
130Essential Info
- Outstanding shares 124,796,513
- Market capitalization C2.327 billion (based on
the share price of 18.65 as of November 2nd,
2006) - Ticker HBM (TSX)
- A member of the SP/TSX Composite Index
131Section Agenda
- Corporate profile history
- Corporate Management
- Business segments and Business strategy
- Competitive advantages limitations
- Financial statements
- Recommendation conclusion
132Corporate Profile
- Fully integrated Canadian mining and smelting
company - Producing zinc, zinc oxide, copper and precious
metals - The third largest producer of both zinc metal and
copper metal in Canada and the third largest
producer of zinc oxide in North America
133Company History
- Incorporation Ontario, Canada, Jan 16, 1996
- Changed its name from ONTZINC Corporation to
HudBay Minerals Inc. on December 21, 2004 - Prior to that date, the Company had not earned
significant revenue and was considered to be in
the development stage
134Key Personnel
- Peter R. Jones
- President, CEO Director
- Jeff A. Swinoga, CA, MBA
- Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer
- Tom A. Goodman
- Vice President, Technical Services and Human
Resources
135Map for Operations
136(No Transcript)
137Business Segments
- Zinc
- Annual production 115,000 tonnes of zinc metal
- Third largest producer of zinc metal in Canada
- 75 of zinc metal sold directly to customers
- Zinc price premium up to US 7/lb in 2005.
- The worlds first use of two-stage pressure
leaching.
138Business Segments
- Zinc oxide
- Annual production 45,000 tonnes of zinc oxide
- Third largest zinc oxide producer in North
America - Produced by 100 owned Zochem division
- 25 of HudBay zinc metal used by Zochem
139Business Segments
- Copper
- Annual production 90,000 tonnes of copper anode
- Third largest producer of copper metal in Canada
- White Pine Refinery purchased 2006
- Copper price premium up to US 6/lb in 2006
140Business Segments
- Gold and silver
- Annual production 100,000 oz. of gold
- Annual production 1,000,000 oz. of silver
- Most gold and silver produced from HudBay owned
mines - Produced during electrolysis at White Pine Copper
Refinery
141Summary of Business Segments (Based on Revenue)
142Competitive Advantages
- Mineral reserves resources
- Financial position
- Exploration
143Mineral Reserves Resources
- reserves of 21.4 million tonnes
- resources of 4.9 million tonnes
- long history of adding to reserves and resources
- 25 mines discovered to date in Manitoba and
Saskatchewan
144Mines 777 Mine, Manitoba
- First production in 2004
- HudBays flagship mine
- Ore production in 2005 was 1.1 million tonnes
- Ore production increased to 1.35 million tonnes
as of January 2006 - Increased production replaces Konuto mine
production
145Mines Trout Lake Mine, Manitoba
- First production in 1982
- Ore production in 2005 was 859,000 tonnes
146Mines Chisel North Mine,Manitoba
- First production in 2000
- Ore production in 2005 was 337,000 tonnes
147Mines Balmat Mine, New York
- First ore production before the end of Q2,
2006 - Will produce up to 60,000 tons of zinc in
concentrate when in full production in 2008 - Majority of concentrate will be treated at the
CEZ refinery in Quebec
148Map of Major Mines
149Mineral Reserves Resources
150Financial position
- record earnings of 85 million (1.04 per share)
- operating cash flow of 145 million (1.77 per
share) - net debt of 67 million
- new 25 million credit facility
- metals un-hedged
151Financial Performance
152Financial Statements
153Note 21
154Exploration
- 10 million annual exploration expenditure
- 210,000 hectares of exploration land in Flin
Flon Greenstone Belt - 20,000 hectares in Balmat district
- extensive zinc prospect lands in SW Ontario
- Tom Valley lead/zinc deposit in the Yukon
- San Antonio copper prospect in Chile
155Reserves Exploration
156Growth Opportunities
- In 2006, the Company will look at opportunities
to identify and evaluate strategic growth,
focusing on zinc but not to the exclusion of
copper, precious metals or secondary products. - Opportunities synergistic with the Companys
fully vertically integrated operations will be of
particular interest.
157Other Performance
158Stock Performance 3 years trend
159(No Transcript)
160Recommendation
Thank You !