The New Geopolitics of Energy

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The New Geopolitics of Energy
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The New Geopolitics of Energy

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4. ???? ??? SCO ??
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The 10 Worst Things About the Worst Decade Ever
Iraq, March 2003Declaring the military campaign
an integral part of the War on Terror, the Bush
Administration invaded Iraq and did what the
president's father, George H. W. Bush chose not
to do conquer the entire country and oust its
dictator Saddam Hussein. The rationale for the
adventure was the existence of weapons of mass
destruction that Saddam could potentially share
with his supposed allies in al-Qaeda. However,
the impious Saddam was hardly a natural friend of
the radical Islamists and no weapons of mass
destruction were ever found. The war, however,
proved to be a very real quagmire, taking
thousands of American lives and, with scandals
like Abu Ghraib, leaving the country deeply
divided. ?? http//www.time.com/time/photogaller
y/0,29307,1942749_2005116,00.htmlixzz0YuYrPPIe
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Spanish-American War ??????
?? ?? 1898? ?? ?? ????? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??? ????? ???
?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?? ?? ???? ??
?? -????? ?? -???? ??? ?? ???? ?? -??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ?? ?? ???? ?? -??? ??? ??, ??? ?? ?? ????? ?? ??
??? ??? ????? ?? ??? ????? ??
????? ?? ??? ?? ??(pp. 120) The shift is not
driven by an optimistic faith in Americas
capacity to dominate the world economy but by a
largely pessimistic outlook regarding the future
availability of vital resources and the intense
competition over them waged by China and other
rising economic dynamos.
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• -Shanghai Cooperation Organization
• ??, ???, ?????, ?????, ??????, ?????? ? 6? ??? ??
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• 2001? ?? ??? ??, ???? ??? ????? ?? ??
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• SCO? ??? ???? ?? ? NATO? ??? ???? ??

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SCO vs NATO?

• No other major power is capable of
  matching the United States when it comes the
  global deployment of military power in the
  pursuit or protection of vital raw materials.
  Nevertheless, other powers arms to oil and gas
  producers in the developing world and beginning
  to enhance their military capacity in key energy
  producing areas.
• -The new geopolitics of energy p.122

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ENERGY POWER
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• ??????(Power Transition Theory)
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???? POWER - ???

• A new nuance
• China couldand shoulduse its influence to
  curb the nastiest of its friends, including the
  governments of Sudan and Myanmar. And it is
  beginning to do so. It has ceased to resist the
  deployment of United Nations peacekeepers in
  Darfur, and is even sending some of its own
  military engineers to join the force. Wen Jiabao,
  China's prime minister, has called publicly for
  democracy in Myanmarwhich, even though Chinese
  officials' understanding of democracy is
  different to Westerners', is a bold step for a
  government that claims not to meddle in other
  countries' internal affairs. The more business
  China does with the rest of the world, the more
  nuanced its foreign policy is likely to become.
  Still, China's hunger for natural resources is
  creating plenty of problems. Most of them,
  though, are in China, not abroad.
• The new colonists ltEconomistgt 2008.Mar

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???? POWER - ???

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  7080? ??? ?? ???? ?? ??
• 2009? 1?? ?? ????(MA) ???? 150? ??? ???. ? ?
  ???, ??, ???? ?? ??? ??? 98.8

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???? POWER - ???
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???? POWER - ????

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• GDP? 26, ??? 63? ??? ?? ???? ??
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???? POWER - ????
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???? POWER - ????

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• 2009? 12? 6? ????

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????? ???? ???

• ??????(Power Transition Theory)
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  ??? ?? ?????? ??? ??? ???? ???? ????? ??? ????.
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  ?? ??? ???? ??????.?? ????? ????????(NATO)? ???
  ???? ?????? ???? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ? ?
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• Alternative
• Energy
• Development

Cooperation with Other Countries
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• http//www.segye.com/Articles/NEWS/INTERNATIONAL/A
  rticle.asp?aid20091203004061subctg1subctg2

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