SHORT-TERM CHANGES

1
Theory of change Description of a sequence of
events expected to lead to a particular desired
outcome, Rick Davies
For whom? Defined by whom? Significant for whom?
LONG-TERM, LASTING CHANGES
Impact
CONTEXTUAL DRIVERS Socio-economic, political,
Technological factors Existing
policies, practices, beliefs Actors, networks in
research, policy and practice Capacity of
target groups to respond Receptiveness of
context Organizations, resources, systems,
skills
Scaling up/out of changes in knowledge, attitude,
skills , practices, policies through actor
networks etc.
MEDIUM TERM CHANGES Sphere of indirect influence
policy shapers, knowledge networks, planners,
practitioners, stakeholder groups
Changes in e.g. practices , policies,
allocations

• SHORT-TERM CHANGES
• Sphere of direct influence partners,
  collaborators, stakeholders
• immediate programme target groups

Changes in e.g. knowledge, attitudes , skills,
relationships
Sphere of control Programme strategy
Activities, stakeholder engagement outputs
What needs to be happening to support this change?
Used by main actor / stakeholder groups
Outputs products comms incentives
networks
Isabel Vogel, 25.06.12
2
CGIAR, Water and Food Challenge Fund,
http//monitoring.cpwf.info/background/theory-of-c
hange/bdc-level-toc
3
Roads and development in Eastern DRC Theory of
Change, DFID DRC