DYNAMICS%20OF%20POLITICAL%20TRANSFORMATION

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DYNAMICS OF POLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
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TYPES OF POLITICAL REGIME

• Democracy
• Oligarchic
• Co-optative
• Liberal (elections with citizen rights)
• Illiberal (elections w/o citizen rights)
• Authoritarianism
• Traditional (man on horseback)
• One-party rule
• Bureaucratic (B-A regimes)
• Revolutionary

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CHANGE OVER TIME

• Oligarchic Rule and Top-down Reform (1880s-1920s)
• Military strongmen
• Oligarchic democracy
• Co-optative democracy
• Populism and Dictatorship (1930s-1970s)
• Co-optative democracy
• Populist alliances/corporatist states
• Women and politics
• A democratic surge 1940s-70s
• Bureaucratic-authoritarian regimes

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CHANGE OVER TIME cont.

• The Revolutionary Path (1950s-1980s)
• plantation societies
• Cuba, Nicaraguaand others?
• A Renewal of Democracies (1980s-present)
• unsolvable problems
• pressure from below
• ending of Cold War
• absence of ideology
• Rise of the new left? (1998-present)
• Politics of protest/use of ballot box
• Chávez v. Lula
• prospects?

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SOCIAL STRUCTURE

• Upper Class
• Urban (industrialists, bankers)
• Rural (landowners)
• Middle Class
• Urban (merchants, lawyers, etc.)
• Rural (small farmers)
• Popular/Lower Class
• Urban (workers)
• Rural (peasants, campesinos)
• National Institutions
• State (including military)
• Church
• External Sector
• Economic (investors, merchants)
• Political (foreign governments)

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KEY QUESTIONS

• What social groups are present? Or missing?
• What kinds of coalitions are in play? On what
  basis?
• What are the lines of social conflict? Vertical
  or horizontal? Social class or race/ethnicity?
• Who has political power? How inclusive is the
  system? Who is denied access?

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COMPARING CASES (i)

• Mexico Revolution of 1910 dominant-party
  system
• Central America and Caribbean plantation
  society, U.S. influence, dictatorship and protest
• Cuba plantation society, socialist revolution,
  resistance to United States
• Question A Compare Mexican and Cuban revolutions
• Question B Trace colonial legacies in Mexico and
  Cuba
• Question C Why not more revolution ferment in
  CA Caribbean? Given strong resemblance to
  Cuba?

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COMPARING CASES (ii)

• Argentina
• No peasantry (!)
• Alliance landowners foreigners state
  oligarchic democracy (1880s-1916), co-optative
  democracy (1916-30)
• Working class industrialists multi-class
  populist coalition, Peronist regime (1930s-1950s)
• Class conflict, repression and bureaucratic-author
  itarian regime (1960s-1980s)
• Resumption of democracy (1983-present)

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COMPARING CASES (iii)

• Chile
• Peasantry (plus rural proletariat)
• Upper class agriculture finance/industry
  mining, allied with foreign investors
  (1890s-1950s)
• Radical politics and horizontal class alliances
  workers peasants vs. landed industry
  (1930s-60s)
• Salvador Allende government (1970-73)
• Volatility in middle-class support (1960s-70s)
• Bureaucratic-authoritarian regime (1973-1989)
• Restoration of democracy 1990