Title: RE-INVENT OUR REGION
1RE-INVENT OUR REGION
- Future scenarios on the economic development of
the South Eastern part of the Netherlands
TIM 7 With close guidance on process and methods
by Peter Kopeczek
Re-invent your business The Virtual Manager.nl
2TO A FUTURE
Virtual Europe
Museum Europe
Scenario Mapping
Key Success Factors
Re-Invent
Impact Analysis
Trends
Uncertainties
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
3CORE ACTIVITIES
Core activities
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
4CORE ACTIVITIES
Carry out technology driven research
Provide high quality education
Attract investments
Innovate
Organize
Offer means for recreation
Facilitate supporting infra-structure
Work efficiently
5INNOVATION REGION
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
6INNOVATION REGION
Local EU innovation leaders
Rank Region Country RRSII
1 Stockholm Sweden 225
2 Uusimaa (Suuralue) Finland 208
3 Noord-Brabant Netherlands 191
4 Eastern United Kingdom 161
5 Pohjois-Suomi Finland 161
6 Ile-de-France France 160
7 Bayern Germany 151
8 South East United Kingdom 150
9 Communidad de Madrid Spain 149
10 Baden-Württemberg Germany 146
RRSII- Revealed Regional Summary Innovation Index
calculated for 148 regions
7INNOVATION AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
GDP per capita (re-scaled)
Revealed Regional Summary Innovation Index
Austria
Belgium
Germany
Greece
Spain
France
Finland
Ireland
Italy
Portugal
Sweden
United Kingdom
Netherlands
8TRENDS
Trends
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
9TRENDS FOR INNOVATION
STRINNOP Regional Innovation Indicators
1 Tertiary education
2 Life-long learning
3 Medium-/high-tech employment in manufacturing
4 High-tech employment in services
5 Public RD
6 Business RD
7 High-tech EPO patents (1)
8 All EPO patents (2)
9 Innovative manufacturing enterprises
10 Innovative services enterprises
11 Innovation expenditure manufacturing
12 Innovation expenditure services
13 Sales of new-to-firm products
Between brackets the position of Noord-Brabant.
If no brackets position lt 5th place
10UNCERTAINTIES
Trends
Uncertainties
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
11UNCERTAINTIES
Increase average age of the population
Shift of labour to low wage countries
Energy availability and price
Political and social stability
Cost transport and mobility
Attractiveness Labour market
Uncertainties quality Infra-structure
Shifts on the Labour market
Education quality
How long can we keep up our technologhical
advantage
Rise of unexpected competitors
Concentration of RD in other European regions
Strong dependence on big players
Trade barriers
High-Tech campuses in other European regions
Cooperation European regions
12IMPACT ANALYSIS
Impact Analysis
Trends
Uncertainties
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
13UNCERTAINTY MAPPING
Low predictability
Political and social stability
Strong dependence on big players
Low Impact
High Impact
Energy availability and price
Increase average age of the population
Cooperation European regions
Shift of labour to low wage countries
High predictability
14SCENARIO MAPPING
Virtual Europe
Museum Europe
Scenario Mapping
Impact Analysis
Trends
Uncertainties
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
15SCENARIOS FOR THE SOUTH EASTERN PART OF THE
NETHERLANDS
Fragmented Europe
Paradise Europe
16RE-INVENTING THE FUTURE
Virtual Europe
Museum Europe
Scenario Mapping
Key Success Factors
Re-Invent
Impact Analysis
Trends
Uncertainties
Core activities
Innovation Region
Key Success Factors
Based on M.E. Porter, Harvard Business Review,
1996
17RE-INVENT OUR REGION
Jan Iding
18RECOMMENDATIONS/THESES
MUSEUM EUROPE IS A NIGHTMARE SCENARIO FOR OUR
REGION? HIGH TECH SURVIVAL IN OUR REGION
REQUIRES THE CREATION OF A EUROPEAN HIGH TECH
REGION (DEFINED ACROSS BOUNDARIES) OF SIZEABLE
(10 MILLION PEOPLE) SCALE HIGH TECH INDUSTRY
WITHOUT MANUFACTURING HAS NO FUTURE
19NEVER STOP ANSWERING