The World Bank Group

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The World Bank Group Knowledge Supply for
Climate Change Adaptation Regional
Consultation Meeting on the Development of the
LAC Regional Climate Change Adaptation
NetworkOctober 29-30, 2009David N. Sislen
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Agenda

• The WBG Climate Change
• Case Studies
• The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

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What is the World Bank Group doing on Climate
Change?

• Principles of involvement
• Strategic Framework for Development and Climate
  Change (SFDCC)
• Major analytic work and key findings WDR,
  Economics of Adaptation
• Various types of financing already provided
• Number of new mechanisms recently launched under
  the SFDCC
• Substantial focus in LCR

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Key Principles of Involvement of WBG work on
Climate Change

• WBG adheres to UNFCCC principles, policies and
  directions and supports decisions of UNFCCC
  process
• WBG is working to reform its governance to be
  more balanced, equitable and suitable for the
  development trends and challenges of the 21st
  century
• WBG supports clients adaptation and mitigation
  efforts in country-led programs to mobilize
  finance, deploy new technology, and develop
  policy, knowledge and capacity
• WBG respects primacy of UNFCCC process and will
  support any CF governance model that emerges from
  negotiations in Copenhagen and thereafter

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WBG Strategic Framework for Development and
Climate Change

• Key Principles and Actions
• Objective support sustainable development and
  poverty reduction and facilitate global action
  and interactions among all countries in
  partnerships guided by UNFCCC process

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Policy Research and Analysis Bankwide

• WDR 2010 on Development and Climate Change
• Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change global
  adaptation costs with case studies in seven
  countries
• Regional studies LCR report on Low Carbon High
  Growth adaptation in ECA countries climate
  risks and food security (Bangladesh) climate
  change economics program in SSA, etc.
• Low-carbon growth country studies completed for
  Mexico final review stage for Brazil and India
  on-going for China, Indonesia, South Africa,
  Poland growing demand from other countries
• Major Adaptation Reports on ecosystem-based
  approaches to adaptation
• Social Dimensions of Climate Change
• Analytical Work in Progress Transport and CC
  Managing Terrestrial Carbon 10 Years Experience
  with Carbon Market Climate Finance ODA GHG
  Analysis - Testing Methodologies for Energy,
  Transport, Forestry

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WDR - Climate Change as a Development Challenge

• Meeting the challenge is not a choice between
  growth and climate change
• A climate smart world is within reach if we act
  now, act together and act differently
• building on new finance, technology and
  capacity at scale

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Financing for Climate Change

• Development policy loans Brazil (Sustainable
  Environmental Management DPL ), India (Himachal
  Pradesh DPL), Mexico (First dedicated climate
  change DPL)
• Climate investment funds Clean technology Fund
  (CTF), Strategic Climate Fund (SCF)
• Pilot Program for Climate Resilience (PPCR)
  First operational program under the Strategic
  Climate Fund, grants and IDA-like resources
• Carbon market Carbon partnership Facility (CPF),
  Forest carbon Partnership Facility (FCPF)
• Capital markets weather-based crop insurance
  (CCRIF, LCR pioneering)
• Futurenew financial instrument

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Agenda

• The WBG Climate Change
• Case Studies
• The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

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Central America Probabilistic Risk Assessment
(CAPRA)

• What is CAPRA? CAPRA is an ongoing initiative to
  develop and enhance a set of GIS-based tools to
  understand, communicate and support decisions
  related to disaster risk at the local, national
  and regional levels in Central America.
• Primary Products
• Compendium of hazard and risk maps Printed Atlas
• CAPRA Geo Node Online data and maps
• Hazard and risk reports Country Risk profiles,
  Indicators of Risk and Risk management
• Software to evaluate risk Hazard models,
  vulnerability and risk visualization
• Training courses materials
• Series of user-friendly applications hazard
  assessment report for territorial planning
  cost-benefit application for analysis of
  retrofitting projects calculator of technical
  premiums for insurance

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Probabilistic Risk Modeling
Risk (i.e probable loss)
Vulnerability (of house to wind)
Hazard (i.e. wind)
Exposure (i.e. houses)
Disaster Impact Analysis Scenario or
Stochastic
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Multiple Natural Hazards
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CAPRA San Juan del Sur, Nicaragua
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Mass Collaboration Changes Everything (CAPRA)

• We are infusing this open architecture at all
  levels of CAPRA
• User community level
• Software architecture level
• Data level
• ....to ultimately improve Disaster Risk management

To harness the collective work of thousands of
contributors, creating a living instrument
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Mexicos Comprehensive Approach to Climate Change
Adaptation

• Strategic Framework MOU with SEMARNAT that lays
  out a long-term support to the government,
  including the subnational CC and social agenda,
  Subnational Climate Action and Sustainability
  plans supported by WBG
• 2. Mayor Analytical Work Economics of
  Adaptation Study, Social Impacts of Climate
  Change Study
• 3. Various Types of Financing Climate Change
  DPL (2008), Adaptation in the Gulf of Mexico
  Project, Adaptation in Agriculture in the State
  of Sonora Project, upcoming work in the
  Municipality of Chetumal on Climate Change and
  Sustainability at the Municipal level, CTF

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Mexicos Comprehensive Approach to Climate Change
Adaptation

• Strategic Framework MOU with SEMARNAT that lays
  out a long-term support to the government,
  including the subnational CC and social agenda,
  Subnational Climate Action and Sustainability
  plans supported by WBG
• 2. Mayor Analytical Work Economics of
  Adaptation Study, Social Impacts of Climate
  Change Study, MEDEC
• 3. Various Types of Financing Climate Change
  DPL (2008), Adaptation in the Gulf of Mexico
  Project, Adaptation in Agriculture in the State
  of Sonora Project, upcoming work in the
  Municipality of Chetumal on Climate Change and
  Sustainability at the Municipal level, CTF

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Agenda

• The WBG Climate Change
• Case Studies
• The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

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The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

• Massive resource needs WDR estimate US 75-100
  billion / year
• Mainstreaming the adaptation agenda in sector
  development policies
• Avoiding white elephants and gold plating
• Critical ecosystems and the human aspects
  (urban, water, agriculture, disaster management,
  etc.)

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Thank You
David N. Sislen Sector Leader, Colombia dsislen_at_wo
rldbank.org
Gustavo Saltiel Sector Leader, Mexico gsaltiel_at_wor
ldbank.org