Title: Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S.
1Natural Gas Infrastructure in the U.S. Big
Potential, Big Uncertainty C. Gregory
Harper President CenterPoint Energy Pipeline
Group
Energy Bar Association Mid-Year Meeting December
3, 2009
2Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking
Information
- This presentation contains statements concerning
our expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives,
goals, strategies, future events or performance
and underlying assumptions and other statements
that are not historical facts. These statements
are forward-looking statements within the
meaning of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ
materially from those expressed or implied by
these statements. You can generally identify our
forward-looking statements by the words
anticipate, believe, continue, could,
estimate, expect, forecast, goal,
intend, may, objective, plan,
potential, predict, projection, should,
will, or other similar words. - We have based our forward-looking statements on
our management's beliefs and assumptions based on
information currently available to our management
at the time the statements are made. We caution
you that assumptions, beliefs, expectations,
intentions, and projections about future events
may and often do vary materially from actual
results. Therefore, we cannot assure you that
actual results will not differ materially from
those expressed or implied by our forward-looking
statements. - Some of the factors that could cause actual
results to differ from those expressed or implied
by our forward-looking statements include the
timing and amount of our recovery of the true-up
components, including, in particular, the results
of appeals to the courts of determination on
rulings obtained to date, the timing and amount
of our recovery of restoration costs arising from
Hurricane Ike, the timing and impact of future
regulatory, legislative and IRS decisions,
financial market conditions and other factors
described in CenterPoint Energy, Inc.s Form 10-K
for the period ended December 31, 2008, under
Risk Factors and under Managements Discussion
and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations - Certain Factors Affecting Future
Earnings, in CenterPoint Energy, Inc.s Forms
10-Q for the quarterly periods ended March 31,
2009, June 30, 2009, and September 30, 2009,
under Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations of
CenterPoint Energy, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Certain Factors Affecting Future Earnings, and
in other filings with the SEC by CenterPoint
Energy. - You should not place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking
statement speaks only as of the date of this
presentation, and we undertake no obligation to
publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statements.
3CenterPoint Energy Pipelines
Includes CNPs 50 share of SESH equity
investment
Woodford
Fayetteville
Haynesville
4CenterPoint Energy Field Services
5Natural Gas IndustryAlways the Red-headed
Stepchild
- The 1970s
- Price Controls 1954 Supreme Court ruling
regulating natural gas prices (Phillips) - Created environment that lead to natural gas
shortages during the mid-1970s - Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978 created new
environment for natural gas regulation - Contributed to lack of infrastructure investment
- The 1980s
- FERC restructuring
- Order 436 636
- Take or pay
- LDCs were released from contractual terms
- Pipelines left carrying producers bag
- The 1990s
- Consolidations, investment activity good times!
- Trading and marketing shops opened up
Field services businesses carved out of pipelines
and LDCs
6Natural Gas IndustryAlways the Red-headed
Stepchild (contd)
- The 2000s
- Merchant power generation boom to bust
- Trading shops closed down and drained capital
from investment in infrastructure - LNG, Rockies and Canadian gas supply predicted to
increase - Alaska natural gas pipeline coming by 2010!
- 2009
- LNG volumes havent materialized
- Rockies drilling declined along with conventional
production areas - Extensive shale development in spite of recession
and low gas price environment - Only significant event from Alaska in the decade
Sarah Palin!
7CenterPoint Energy Pipeline GroupEvolved
Continuously to Meet a Changing Market
- Formation of separate gathering company (CEFS)
(1995) - To meet competition
- Increased contracting flexibility
- Acquisition of Illinois Gas Transmission Company
(1998) - New supply sources for existing markets around
St. Louis - Formed Service Star (2001)
- Industry leading remote monitoring and data
acquisition as technology enabled better
communications - Line CP (in-service May 2007)
- Meet competition from bullet pipelines
- High operating pressure, low fuel, point A to
point B pipelines - Largely anchored by producers (XTO, BP, EOG,
Samson, Penn-Virginia, Chesapeake, Petrohawk) - SESH (in-service September 2008)
- Meeting Florida markets demand for more reliable
onshore supplies following hurricanes Katrina and
Rita - Perryville Hub Services (March 2009)
- Gas market center with four times the volume of
Henry Hub
8Market Pull Shifts to Supply Push
- Major projects backed by producers
- Barnett Shale (2004)
- Producers acquiring capacity on Energy Transfer,
Duke and Enbridge gathering and intrastate
pipelines to evacuate production to Carthage Hub
market - Line CP moves producer gas beyond Carthage
constraints - Woodford Shale (2005-2006)
- Mark West (gathering and pipe) and Enogex
intrastate transport to Bennington - Kinder Morgan Mid-Continent Express, Boardwalks
Gulf Crossing see producers paying to move beyond
Bennington to Perryville - Fayetteville Shale (2006 2007)
- Producers pay to gain access to Texas Gas, NGPL,
ANR, Trunkline - Rockies Express (2009)
- Built to take Rockies supply to Midwest and East
Coast markets - Ultimately need growth to support infrastructure
investment - Oversupply and overcapacity leads to flat basis
- Indecision on new investments delayed until
bubbles burst - Will still see intra-supply zone projects
- Especially in Fayetteville, Woodford and
Haynesville shale areas
9Major U.S. Shale Gas BasinsAppalachian and
Ouachita Thrust Trend
- Haynesville Shale Characteristics
- Avg Estimated Ultimate Recoveries of 6.5 Bcf per
well over 30 years - Low finding and development cost Avg well cost
(2009) of 7MM - Indicative Initial Production of 10 MMcf/d
- Profitable (10 return on investment) at 4.28/Mcf
Haynesville Shale presents concentrated
opportunities with existing infrastructure within
CEFS footprint
10Location, Location, Location
CNP Pipelines and Field Services have deployed
over 1.4 billion of capital in shale areas since
2005
11Just When our Star is Rising More Uncertainty
- Natural gas fits in a greener energy
environment - Clean
- Abundant
- Domestic
- Sounds like the natural choice, but
- Climate change legislation and EPA mandates
abound - House bill and EPA treat natural gas as a problem
- Uncertainty creates market volatility, and in
capital intensive businesses..indecision
12Conclusion
- Natural gas is not just a bridge fuel but a
solution - The industry must be a better advocate of its
successes and its potential to solve problems