Greater Severna Park Council Presentation

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Greater Severna Park CouncilPresentation

• Results of Oct. 15-18, 2012
• Survey of Anne Arundel County Residents
• By Dan Nataf
• Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues
• Anne Arundel Community College
• www2.aacc.edu/csli

November 13, 2012
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Center for the Study of Local IssuesSemi-annual
survey

• Conducted each March and October
• CSLI Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public and
  Community Service
• Surveys student volunteers participate to learn
  social science research methods (engaged
  learning) and community service
• Involves 70/- students as telephone interviewers
• Survey contents
• Benchmark questions on the economy, most
  important problem, right/wrong direction, and
  demographics
• Variable questions on current policy choices and
  major events
• 510 Anne Arundel County residents, 18 or over

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Plan Focus of this presentation

• What are current trends
• Right/wrong direction
• Most important problem facing residents
• Perceptions of the economy
• Economic circumstances
• How are these trends related to election choices
  
• Other policy issues low cost spaying, maintain
  healthy weight

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County Right or Wrong Direction? Spring 99 to
Fall 12
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Right/Wrong Direction Individual by County,
State, Nation
  Individual says Right or Wrong for Yourself personally Individual says Right or Wrong for Yourself personally Individual says Right or Wrong for Yourself personally
Levels ( Right) Right Wrong Right-wrong
County 54 35 19
State 43 16 27
Nation 44 9 35
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Right direction by Party
Levels Overall Dem. Rep. Dem-Rep. Unaff.
County 50 58 40 18 56
State 36 55 16 39 35
Nation 36 59 13 46 33
Respondent 78 83 71 12 83
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Obama Vote by Right/Wrong Direction County,
State and USA
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Most Important Problem Fall 2006 to Fall 2012
Economy continues drop as problem in October 2012
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?County Economic Conditions vs. State and USA
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Obama Vote by Perceptions of the Economy -
County, State, USA
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Cost of living indicators
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Other economic indicators
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Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months
  Better Same Worse Unsure/ NA Total
Economic growth 41 34 15 10 100
Unemployment 42 30 20 9 101
Inflation 10 33 48 9 100
Your personal financial situation 28 54 14 4 100
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Spaying and Neutering Program

• Low cost spaying and neutering
• Support 71 Oppose 25 Other/NA 4

Paying an extra Support Maybe Oppose N.A.
Dollar or two when getting pet rabies shots? 81 5 13 2
Penny or two when buying pet food? 72 6 20 2
Dollar or two added to your annual state income tax? 46 5 48 2
Dollar or two when renewing pet licenses? 72 5 21 3
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Public Responses to How to maintain and achieve
healthy weight
Answer category Percent citing (N276)
Exercise 26
Food quality/content 12
Education programs 11
Food intake/portions 11
General diet 10
Facilities create, provide less expensive access 8
School related actions 7
Proposals specific measures 6
Personal commitment, not a govt. concern 5
Other 3
Food cost 1
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Referenda State and County
  Support Oppose Unsure No answer
Legalizing same sex marriage 43 46 7 4
Allowing the children of illegal immigrants to attend Maryland community colleges and universities at in-state tuition rates 37 54 7 3
Upholding the boundaries for congressional districts created by the state legislature 35 41 18 7
Allowing the creation of a sixth casino in Prince Georges County, table games at all casinos, and more slot machines overall. 34 57 6 3
The next two proposals apply to the county.   Allowing the county council to replace the county executive if convicted of certain crimes without waiting for any appeals. 73 18 6 4
Allowing the party leaders in the relevant central committee to break a tie when the county council cannot pick a replacement county executive or council member. 57 25 13 6
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Same Sex Marriage by Demographics
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Dream Act by Demographic Variables
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Casino Vote by Demographics
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Presidential job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2012
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Presidential Vote in Anne Arundel County
  Overall Democrats Republicans Unaffiliated
Barack Obama 42 77 8 34
Mitt Romney 47 14 84 49
Undecided 7 5 8 8
Someone else 1 2 0 2
Wouldnt vote 0 0 0 2
No answer 2 2 1 6
Total 99 100 101 101
Actual vote Obama 48 Romney 49
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Presidential Vote Motivations
 Item Overall Obama Romney Undecided
Economy 49 35 59 68
Trust, honesty, character 7 9 6 8
Foreign affairs, national security, defense 7 5 9 0
Healthcare 6 9 4 4
Womens issues (abortion, contraception, equal rights) 5 9 3 4
Dislike of other candidate 5 6 5 0
Other answers 20 28 14 16
Total 99 101 101 100
Item Overall Obama Romney Undecided
The candidate has the right ideas for improving the economy 89 89 91 87
The ability of the candidate to work with Congress 87 86 88 90
The candidate will better defend Americas national interests 85 77 91 90
The candidates ability to relate to people like yourself 58 71 47 53
The candidates choice for vice president 48 46 52 41
The candidates personal background is appealing 34 39 34 13
My dislike for the other candidate 29 35 29 13