Energy Industry

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• Energy Industry
• Country Industry Forecast Service ( CIF )
• Global Econometric Modeling group, India

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Country Industry Forecasts (CIF)

• The CIF Report is your authoritative ready
  reckoner on the country in focus, providing you
  comprehensive inputs on the country's economic,
  political, demographic, resource and industry
  variables.
• It serves as your road map to the decisive
  factors influencing the industry government
  policy and the political pulse, infrastructure
  and labor, external trade and global market
  integration. A report for both reactive companies
  new to a country or market and proactive
  companies who stay in step with their changing
  context.

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Who needs a CIF service

• Senior level decision-makers and planners who
  shape company strategy in the energy industry
• Analysts and industry observers looking for
  country-specific Industry intelligence
• Marketing professionals wanting to know the lay
  of the land

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CIF- An Essential Tool For...

• Entering a new geographical market
• Making strategic decisions on alliances, mergers
  and acquisitions.
• Learning how non-market forces impact your
  company's present performance in a country
• Judging the extent of competition posed for the
  industry in a country.
• Shaping and fine-tuning future strategy based on
  new market opportunities
• Preparing contingency plans based on likely
  scenarios
• In-depth micro research into a market with CIF as
  a guide map.

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Special Features of CIF

• Fact sheet The birds eye view of the region,
  the country in focus and the automotive industry
• Country-Industry Linkage -Global perspective to a
  country-specific study integrated with energy
  industry insights.
• Five - year economic forecasts for main
  macroeconomic indicators of a country
• Ten - year trend including five - year forecasts
  for the key manipulable parameters of the energy
  industry and its segments.

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Special Features of CIF

• Impact analysis of the country-specific
  influences on the energy industry and its key
  segments.
• Political scenario - system, ruling party
  stance, events and developments
• Business policy-including trade policy, fiscal
  and monetary policy, trade blocs, tariffs and
  regulations
• Main Economic Indicators GDP, Inflation,
  Interest rates, Consumer spending, Investment,
  Labor productivity, Employment, Exports and
  Imports.
• Industry progression index reflecting the growth
  path of the industry and the contribution of each
  segment to the industrial growth.

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CIF advantage of Dual expertise
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Energy Industry Segments
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Industry Analysis

• Objective To measure, assess and forecast the
  impact of the various macro indicators analyzed
  under the economic, business policy and political
  outlook for the country on the growth indicators
  of Energy industry.
• Coverage
• Global overview of Energy industry
• Historic regional growth and share in world
  output, consumption Trade, industry growth
  stage in comparison to other regions and regional
  competitiveness, growth options and deterrents
  and the role of international trade for the
  Energy industry.

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Industry Analysis (Continued)

• Analysis
• A list of dependant independent variables for
  all the segments of the Energy industry is
  developed
• Dependent variables or Key Industry Parameters
  production, trade, consumption, pricing, labor
  efficiency, employment, and Industry revenues.
• Independent Variables or Growth Determinants
  capturing the effect of changes in economic,
  business policy political influences on the
  growth of the industry.
• Relationships between specific dependant
  independent variables are established

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Industry Analysis

• Relationship between dependant and Independent
  variables of the energy industry are derived.
• Based on the relationship and outlook of the
  independent variables are used to forecast the
  future growth of the automotive industry in the
  country.
• A descriptive analysis of the level of impact of
  the economic / Business policy Political
  factors on the industry segments for the future
  in the country is provided.

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Progression Path

• These influences are assigned weights based on
  the extent to which they have an impact on the
  growth of the segments of the industry.
• The growth path of the Energy industry and its
  segments is plotted using a progression index
  derived through impact analysis of Key Industry
  parameters as assessed under economy/business
  policy and political heads on the major
  measurements for the industry and its segments.