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Individual Demand Curves

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Title: Individual Demand Curves


1
Chapter 3
  • Individual Demand Curves

2
Individual Demand Curves
  • This chapter studies how people change their
    choices when conditions such as income or changes
    in the prices of goods affect the amount that
    people choose to consume.
  • This chapter then compares the new choices with
    those that were made before conditions changed
  • The main result of this approach is to construct
    an individuals demand curve

3
Demand Functions
  • If we knew a persons preferences and all the
    economic forces that affect his or her choices,
    we could predict how much of each good would be
    chosen.
  • This summarizes this information in a demand
    function a representation of how quantity
    demanded depends on prices, income, and
    preferences.

4
Demand Function
  • The three elements that determine the quantity
    demanded are the prices of X and Y, the persons
    income (I), and the persons preferences for X
    and Y.
  • Preferences appear to the right of the semicolon
    because we assume that preferences do not change
    during the analysis.

5
Homogeneous Demand Function
  • Individual demand functions are homogeneous since
    quantity demanded does not change when prices and
    income increase in the same proportion.
  • The budget constraint PXX PYY I is identical
    to the budget constraint 2PXX 2PYY 2I.
  • Graphically the lines are the same.

6
Changes in Income
  • When a persons income increase, while prices
    remain the same, the quantity purchased of each
    good might increase.
  • This situation is shown in Figure 3.1 where the
    increase in income is shown as the budget line
    shifts out from I1 to I2 to I3.
  • The slope of the budget lines are the same since
    the prices have not changed .

7
FIGURE 3.1 Effect of Increasing Income on
Quantities of X and Y Chosen
Quantity of Y per week
Y1
U1
I1
Quantity of X per week
X1
0
8
FIGURE 3.1 Effect of Increasing Income on
Quantities of X and Y Chosen
Quantity of Y per week
Y2
U2
Y1
U1
I2
I1
Quantity of X per week
X1
0
X2
9
FIGURE 3.1 Effect of Increasing Income on
Quantities of X and Y Chosen
Quantity of Y per week
Y3
Y2
U3
U2
Y1
U1
I2
I3
I1
Quantity of X per week
X1
0
X2
X3
10
Changes in Income
  • In response to the increase in income the
    quantity of X purchased increases from X1 to X2
    and X3 while the quantity purchased of Y also
    increases from Y1 to Y2 to Y3.
  • Increases in income make it possible for a person
    to consume more reflected in the outward shift in
    the budget constraint that allows an increase in
    overall utility.

11
Normal Goods
  • A normal good is one that is bought in greater
    quantities as income increases.
  • If the quantity increases more rapidly than
    income the good is called a luxury good as with
    good Y in Figure 3.1.
  • If the quantity increases less rapidly than
    income the good is called a necessity good as
    with good X in Figure 3.1.

12
APPLICATION 3.1 Engels Law
  • One important generalization about consumer
    behavior is that the fraction of income spent on
    food tends to decline as income increases.
  • This finding was discovered by Prussian
    economists Ernst Engel (1821-1896).
  • Table 1 show Engels data with Table 2 showing
    recent data for U.S. consumers.

13
TABLE 1 Percentage of Total Expenditures of
Various Items in Belgian Families in 1853
14
TABLE 2 Percentage of Total Expenditures by U.S.
Consumers on Various Items, 2000
15
Inferior Goods
  • An inferior good is one that is bought in smaller
    quantities as income increases.
  • In Figure 3.2 as income increases from I1 to I2
    to I3, the consumption of inferior good Z
    decreases.
  • Goods such as rotgut whiskey, potatoes, and
    secondhand clothing are examples of inferior
    goods.

16
FIGURE 3.2 Indifference Curve Map Showing
Inferiority
Quantity of Y per week
Y1
U1
I1
Z1
Quantity of Z per week
0
17
FIGURE 3.2 Indifference Curve Map Showing
Inferiority
Quantity of Y per week
Y2
U2
Y1
U1
I2
I1
Z2
Z1
Quantity of Z per week
0
18
FIGURE 3.2 Indifference Curve Map Showing
Inferiority
Quantity of Y per week
Y3
U3
Y2
U2
Y1
U1
I1
I2
I3
Z2
Z1
Quantity of Z per week
Z3
0
19
Changes in a Goods Price
  • A change in the price of one good causes both the
    slope and an intercept of the budget line to
    change.
  • The change also involves moving to a new
    utility-maximizing choice on another indifference
    curve with a different MRS.
  • The quantity demanded of the good whose price has
    changed changes.

20
Substitution Effect
  • The part of the change in quantity demanded that
    is caused by substitution of one good for another
    is called the substitution effect.
  • This results in a movement along an indifference
    curve.
  • Consumption has to be changed to equate MRS to
    the new price ratio of the two goods.

21
Income Effect
  • The part of the change in quantity demanded that
    is caused by a change in real income is called
    the income effect.
  • The price change also changes real purchasing
    power and consumers will move to a new
    indifference curve that is consistent with this
    new purchasing power.

22
Substitution and Income Effects from a Fall in
Price
  • As shown in Figure 3.3, when the price of good X
    falls, the budget line rotates out from the
    unchanged Y axis so that the X intercept lies
    father out because the consumer can now buy more
    X with the lower price.
  • The flatter slope means that the relative price
    of X to Y (PX/PY) has fallen.

23
Substitution Effect from a Fall in Price
  • The consumer was originally maximizing utility at
    X, Y in Figure 3.3.
  • After the fall in the price of good X, the new
    utility maximizing choice is X, Y.
  • The substitution effect is the movement on the
    original indifference curve to point B.

24
FIGURE 3.3 Income and Substitution Effects of a
Fall in Price
Quantity of Y per week
Y
U1
X
0
Quantity of X per week
25
FIGURE 3.3 Income and Substitution Effects of a
Fall in Price
Quantity of Y per week
Old budget constraint
Y
B
New budget constraint
U1
X
XB
0
Quantity of X per week
Substitution effect
26
FIGURE 3.3 Income and Substitution Effects of a
Fall in Price
Quantity of Y per week
Old budget constraint
Y
Y
U2
B
New budget constraint
U1
Quantity of X per week
X
XB
X
0
Substitution effect
Income effect
Total increase in X
27
Substitution Effect from a Fall in Price
  • If the individual had to stay on the U1 with the
    new price ratio, the consumer would choose B
    since that is the point where the MRS is equal to
    the slope of the new budget line (shown by the
    dashed line).
  • Staying on the same indifference curve is the
    same as holding real income constant.
  • The consumer buys more good X.

28
Income Effect
  • The movement from point B to X, Y results
    from the increase in purchasing power.
  • Because PX falls but nominal income (I) remains
    the same, the individuals real income
    increases so that he or she can be on utility
    level U3.
  • The consumer buys more good X.

29
The Effects Combined
  • Using the hamburger-soft drink example from
    Chapter 2, suppose the price of soft drinks falls
    from .50 to .25.
  • Previously the consumer could purchase up to 20
    soft drinks, but now he or she can purchase up to
    40.
  • This price decrease shifts the budget line
    outward and increases utility.

30
The Effects Combined
  • If the consumer bought his or her previous choice
    it would now cost 7.50 so that 2.50 would be
    unspent.
  • If the individual stayed on the old indifference
    curve he or she would equate MRS to the new price
    ratio (consuming 1 hamburger and 4 soft drinks).
  • This move is the substitution effect.

31
The Effects Combined
  • Even with constant real income the consumer will
    buy more soft drinks since the opportunity cost
    of eating a burger in terms of the soft drinks
    forgone is now higher.
  • Since real income has increased the person will
    choose to buy more soft drinks so long as soft
    drinks are a normal good.

32
Substitution and Income Effects from an Increase
in Price
  • An increase in PX will shift the budget line in
    as shown in Figure 3.4.
  • The substitution effect, holding real income
    constant, is the move on U2 from X, Y to point
    B.
  • Because the higher price causes purchasing power
    to decrease, the movement from B to X, Y is
    the income effect.

33
FIGURE 3.4 Income and Substitution Effects of an
Increase in Price
Quantity of Y per week
U2
New budget constraint
Y
Old budget constraint
Quantity of X per week
X
0
34
FIGURE 3.4 Income and Substitution Effects of an
Increase in Price
Quantity of Y per week
U2
U1
B
New budget constraint
Y
Old budget constraint
Quantity of X per week
XB
X
0
Substitution effect
35
FIGURE 3.4 Income and Substitution Effects of an
Increase in Price
Quantity of Y per week
U2
U1
B
Y
New budget constraint
Y
Old budget constraint
Quantity of X per week
X
XB
X
0
Income effect
Substitution effect
Total reduction in X
36
Substitution and Income Effects from an Increase
in Price
  • In Figure 3.4, both the substitution and income
    effects cause the individual to purchase less
    soft drinks do to the higher price of soft drinks.

37
Substitution and Income Effects for a Normal
Good Summary
  • As shown in Figures 3.3 and 3.4, the substitution
    and income effects work in the same direction
    with a normal good.
  • When the price falls, both the substitution and
    income effects result in more purchased.
  • When the price increases, both the substitution
    and income effects result in less purchased.

38
Substitution and Income Effects for a Normal
Good Summary
  • This provides the rational for drawing downward
    sloping demand curves.
  • This also helps to determine the steepness of the
    demand curve.
  • If either the substitution or income effects are
    large, the change in quantity demanded will be
    large with a given price change.

39
Substitution and Income Effects for a Normal
Good Summary
  • If the substitution and income effects are small,
    the effect of a given price change in the
    quantity demanded will also be small.
  • This kind of analysis also offers a number of
    insights about some commonly used economic
    statistics.

40
APPLICATION 3.2 The Consumer Price Index and Its
Biases
  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly calculates
    the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which is a
    principal measure of inflation in the U.S..
  • To construct the CPI, a typical market basket of
    commodities purchased by consumers in the base
    year (currently 1982) is calculated.

41
APPLICATION 3.2 The Consumer Price Index and Its
Biases
  • The ratio of the current cost of the basket to
    the base year price is the measure of the value
    of the CPI.
  • The rate of change in the CPI between two periods
    is the reported rate of inflation.

42
An Algebraic Example
  • Suppose the 1982 typical market basket contained
    X82 of good X and Y82 of good Y.
  • The prices of these goods are and
  • The cost of this bundle in the 1982 base year
    would be written as

43
An Algebraic Example
  • To compute the cost of the same bundle of goods
    in, say 2002, requires that we compute the cost
    of the bundle using current prices

44
An Algebraic Example
  • The CPI is defined as the ratio of the costs of
    these two market baskets
  • If the basket cost 100 in 1982 prices and 180
    in 2002, the value of the CPI would be 1.80 and
    with a measured 80 percent increase in prices
    over the 20 year period.

45
Substitution Bias in the CPI
  • The CPI does not take into account the real
    possibility that consumers would substitute among
    commodities because of changes in relative
    prices.
  • In Figure 1, the typical individual is initially
    consuming X82, Y82 maximizing utility on U1 with
    1982 constraint I.

46
FIGURE 1 Substitution Bias of the Consumer Price
Index
Quantity of Y per year
Y82
U1
I
I
I
0
Quantity of X per year
X82
47
Substitution Bias in the CPI
  • Suppose the 2002 relative prices change so that
    PX/PY falls.
  • The cost of the 1982 bundle in terms of 2002
    prices is reflected in the constraint I which is
    flatter and goes though the 1982 bundle.
  • The consumer would substitute X for Y and stay on
    U1 on budget line I.

48
Substitution Bias in the CPI
  • Since I is inside I (which is used to compute
    the CPI), the CPI tends to overstate the
    inflation rate.
  • Unfortunately, adjusting the CPI to take such
    substitution into account is difficult because it
    would require that we know the utility function
    of the typical consumer.

49
New Product Bias in the CPI
  • New products typically experience sharp declines
    in prices and rapidly grow in rates of
    acceptance.
  • If the CPI does not include these new products,
    this source of welfare increase is omitted.
  • The CPI basket is revised but not rapidly enough
    to eliminate this bias.

50
Outlet Bias in the CPI
  • The typical basket is bought at the same retail
    outlets every month.
  • This method can omit the benefits of sales or
    other bargains.
  • The CPI does not currently take such
    price-reducing strategies and thus tends to
    overstate inflation.

51
Consequences of the CPI Biases
  • Measuring and correcting for these biases is not
    an easy task.
  • The CPI is such a widely used measure of
    inflation that any change becomes a hot political
    issue.
  • However, there is a general agreement that the
    CPI overstates inflation by as much as 0.75 to
    1.0 percent per year.

52
Consequences of the CPI Biases
  • Politicians have proposed caps on Cost of Living
    Adjustments (COLAs) tied to the CPI on government
    programs, but none have yet been enacted.
  • However, the private sector has adjusted so that
    few private COLAs provide full offsets to
    inflation measured by the CPI.

53
Substitution and Income Effects for Inferior Goods
  • With an inferior good, the substitution effect
    and the income effects work in opposite
    directions.
  • The substitution effect results in decreased
    consumption for a price increase and increased
    consumption for a price decrease.

54
Substitution and Income Effects for Inferior Goods
  • The income effect results in increased
    consumption for a price increase and decreased
    consumption for a price decrease.
  • Figure 3.5 shows the two effects for an increase
    in PX.
  • The substitution effect, holding real income
    constant, is shown by the move from X, Y to
    point B both on U2.

55
FIGURE 3.5 Income and Substitution Effects for
an Inferior Good
Quantity of Y per week
Y
U2
Old budget constraint
0
Quantity of X per week
X
56
FIGURE 3.5 Income and Substitution Effects for
an Inferior Good
Quantity of Y per week
B
New budget constraint
Y
U2
Y
Old budget constraint
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
57
FIGURE 3.5 Income and Substitution Effects for
an Inferior Good
Quantity of Y per week
B
New budget constraint
Y
U2
Y
Old budget constraint
Xb
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
X
58
Substitution and Income Effects for Inferior Goods
  • The income effect reflects the reduced purchasing
    power due to the price increase.
  • Since X is an inferior good, the decrease in
    income results in an increase in the consumption
    of X shown by the move from point B on U1 to the
    new utility maximizing point X, Y on U1.

59
Substitution and Income Effects for Inferior Goods
  • Since X is less than X the price increase in X
    results in a decrease in the consumption of X.
  • This occurs because the substitution effect, in
    this example, is bigger than the income effect.
  • Thus, if the substitution effect dominates, the
    demand curve is negatively sloped.

60
Giffens Paradox
  • If the income effect of a price change is strong
    enough with an inferior good, it is possible for
    the quantity demanded to change in the same
    direction as the price change.
  • Legend has it that this phenomenon was observed
    by English economist Robert Giffen.

61
Giffens Paradox
  • When the price of potatoes rose in Ireland the
    consumption of potatoes also increased.
  • Potatoes were not only an inferior good but
    constituted the source of a large portion of
    Irish peoples income.
  • The situation I which an increase in a goods
    price leads people to consume more of the good is
    called Giffens paradox.

62
FIGURE 3.5 Income and Substitution Effects for
an Inferior Good
Quantity of Y per week
B
New budget constraint
Y
U2
Y
Old budget constraint
Xb
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
X
63
FIGURE 3.5 Income and Substitution Effects for
an Inferior Good
Quantity of Y per week
B
New budget constraint
Y
U2
Y
Old budget constraint
Xb
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
X
64
FIGURE 3.5 Income and Substitution Effects for a
Giffen Good
Quantity of Y per week
New budget constraint
B
Y
U2
Old budget constraint
Y
U1
Xb
0
Quantity of X per week
X
X
65
The Lump Sum Principle
  • The lump-sum principle hold that taxes that are
    imposed on general purchasing power will have a
    smaller welfare costs than will taxes imposed on
    a narrow selection of commodities.
  • Consider Figure 3.6 where the individual
    initially has I dollars to spend and chooses to
    consume X and Y yielding U3 utility.

66
FIGURE 3.6 The Lump-Sum Principle
Quantity of Y
I
Y
U3
Quantity of X per week
X
67
The Lump Sum Principle
  • A tax on only good X raises its price resulting
    in budget constraint I and consumption reduced
    to X1, Y1 and utility level U1.
  • A general income tax that generates the same
    total tax revenue is represented by budget
    constraint I that goes though X1, Y1.

68
FIGURE 3.6 The Lump-Sum Principle
Quantity of Y
I
Y1
Y
I
Y2
U3
U1
Quantity of X per week
X1
X
69
FIGURE 3.6 The Lump-Sum Principle
Quantity of Y
I
Y1
Y
I
I
Y2
U3
U2
U1
Quantity of X per week
X1
X2
X
70
The Lump Sum Principle
  • The utility maximizing choice on I is X2, Y2
    yielding utility level U2.
  • The lump-sum general income tax generates the
    same amount of tax revenue but leaves the
    consumer on a higher utility level (U2) than the
    utility level associated with the tax only on
    good X (U1).

71
The Lump Sum Principle
  • The intuitive explanation of the lump-sum
    principle is that a single-commodity tax affects
    people in two ways
  • it reduces their purchasing power,
  • it directs consumption away from the good being
    taxed.
  • The lump-sum tax only has the first of these two
    effects.

72
Generalizations of the Lump-Sum Principle
  • The utility lass associated with the need to
    collect a certain amount of tax revenue will be
    minimized by taxing goods for which the
    substitution effect is small.
  • Even though the tax will reduce purchasing power,
    it will minimize the impact of directing
    consumption away from the good being taxed.

73
APPLICATION 3.3 Wouldnt Cash Be a Better Way to
Help Poor People?
  • The lump-sum principle suggests that the trends
    in expanding in-kind programs may be unfortunate
  • These programs do not generate as much welfare
    for people as would the spending of the same
    funds in a cash program

74
APPLICATION 3.3 Wouldnt Cash Be a Better Way to
Help Poor People?
  • In Figure 1 a subsidy on good X (constraint I)
    raises utility to U2
  • For the same funds, an income grant (I) raises
    utility to U3

75
FIGURE 1 The Superiority of an Income Grant
Y per period
I
U3
I
B
U2
I
U1
X per period
76
Changes in the Price of Another Good
  • When the price of one good changes, it usually
    has an effect on the demand for the other good.
  • The decrease in the price of X (a normal good)
    caused both an income and substitution effect
    that caused an increase in the quantity demanded
    of X.

77
Income and Substitution Effects of a Fall in Price
Quantity of Y per week
Old budget constraint
Y
Y
U2
B
YB
New budget constraint
U1
Quantity of X per week
X
XB
X
0
Substitution effect
Income effect
Total increase in X
78
Changes in the Price of Another Good
  • In addition, the substitution effect caused a
    decrease in the demand for good Y as the consumer
    substituted good X for good Y.
  • However, the increase in purchasing power brought
    about by the price decrease causes an increase in
    the demand for good Y (also a normal good).

79
Changes in the Price of Another Good
  • Since, in this case, the income effect had a
    dominant effect on good Y, the consumption of Y
    increased due to a decrease in the price of good
    X.
  • With flatter indifference curves as shown in
    Figure 3.7, the situation is reversed.
  • A decrease in the price of good X causes a
    decrease in good Y, as before.

80
FIGURE 3.7 Effect on the Demand for Good Y of a
Decrease in the Price of Good X
Quantity of Y per week
Old budget constraint
Y
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
81
FIGURE 3.7 Effect on the Demand for Good Y of a
Decrease in the Price of Good X
Quantity of Y per week
Old budget constraint
A
Y
New budget constraint
B
U2
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
82
FIGURE 3.7 Effect on the Demand for Good Y of a
Decrease in the Price of Good X
Quantity of Y per week
Old budget constraint
A
Y
C
Y
New budget constraint
B
YB
U2
U1
0
Quantity of X per week
X
X
83
Substitutes
  • Substitutes are goods that are used for
    essentially the same purpose.
  • Two goods such that if the price of one
    increases, the demand for the other rises are
    substitutes.
  • If the price of one good decreases and the demand
    for the other good decreases, they are also
    substitutes.

84
Complements
  • Complements are goods that go together in the
    sense that people will increase their use of both
    goods simultaneously.
  • Two goods are complements if an increase in the
    price of one causes a decrease in the quantity
    demanded of the other or a decrease in the price
    of one good causes an increase in the demand for
    the other.

85
APPLICATION 3.4 Why Are So Many Trucks on the
Road?
  • In the 1990s, virtually all new vehicle
    registrations were trucks, mostly SUVs
  • Sharp decline in real gasoline prices
  • In 1980s, gas cost 1.5 per gallon
  • In 1999, it cost 1.1 per gallon
  • Adjusted for inflation, it is a fall of 40 in
    real terms
  • Opportunity costs of operating trucks has thus
    decreased, causing substitution effect
  • Regulation Corporate Average Fuel Economy
    standards did not cover SUVs
  • By September 2005, 1 gallon of gas cost 3.00
  • Sales of large SUVs slumped in 2004-2005
  • By 2005 the CAFE standards started to include
    SUVs as well

86
Construction of Individual Demand Curves
  • An individual demand curve is a graphic
    relationship between the price of a good and the
    quantity of it demanded by a person holding all
    other factors (preferences, the prices of other
    goods, and income) constant.
  • Demand curves limit the study to the relationship
    between the quantity demanded and changes in the
    own price of the good.

87
FIGURE 3.8 Construction of an Individuals
Demand Curve
Quantity of Y
per week
Budget constraint for P
9
X
U
1
Quantity of X
X
0
per week
(a) Individual

s indifference curve map
Price
PX
Quantity of X
X
0
per week
(b) Demand curve
88
FIGURE 3.9 Construction of an Individuals
Demand Curve
Quantity of Y
Budget constraint for PX
per week
Budget constraint for PX
U
2
U
1
Quantity of X
X
X
X
0
per week
(a) Individual

s indifference curve map
Price
PX
PX
Quantity of X
X
X
0
per week
(b) Demand curve
89
FIGURE 3.8 Construction of an Individuals
Demand Curve
Quantity of Y
Budget constraint for PX
per week
Budget constraint for PX
Budget constraint for PX
U
3
U
2
U
1
Quantity of X
X
X
X
0
per week
(a) Individual

s indifference curve map
Price
P
9
X
P
0
X
P
-
X
Quantity of X
X
X
X
0
per week
(b) Demand curve
90
FIGURE 3.8 Construction of an Individuals
Demand Curve
Quantity of Y
Budget constraint for PX
per week
Budget constraint for PX
Budget constraint for PX
U
3
U
2
U
1
Quantity of X
X
X
X
0
per week
(a) Individual

s indifference curve map
Price
P
9
X
P
0
X
P
-
X
d
X
Quantity of X
X
X
X
0
per week
(b) Demand curve
91
Substitutes and Flat Demand
  • If a good, say X, has close substitutes, a
    increase in its price will cause a large decrease
    in the quantity demanded as the substitution
    effect will be large.
  • The demand curve for a type of breakfast cereal
    will likely be relatively flat due to the strong
    substitution effect.

92
Lack of Substitutes and Steep Demand
  • If the good has few substitutes, the substitution
    effect of a price increase or decrease will be
    small and the demand curve will be relatively
    steep.
  • Water is an example of a good with few
    substitutes.

93
Special Case Food
  • Food has no substitutes so it might be thought
    that no change in consumption would occur with a
    price increase.
  • But food constitutes a large part of an
    individuals budget so that price changes will
    cause relatively larger effects on the quantity
    demanded that might be thought due to the income
    effect.

94
FIGURE 3.9 Shifts in Individuals Demand Curve
PX
PX
PX
P1
P1
P1
X
X
X
X1
X1
X1
X2
X2
X2
0
0
0
(a)
(b)
(c)
95
FIGURE 3.10 Shifts in Individuals Demand Curve
PX
PX
PX
P1
P1
P1
X
X
X
X1
X1
X1
X2
X2
X2
0
0
0
(a)
(b)
(c)
Normal Good
Good X is a substitute with Y, and the price of Y
increases
Good X is a complement to Y, and the price of Y
increases
96
Shifts in an Individuals Demand Curve
  • Changes in preferences can also shift demand
    curves.
  • Demand could shift rightward as a result for an
    increased preference for cold drinks when a
    sudden hot spell occurs.
  • Increased environmental consciousness during the
    1980s and 1990s increased the demand for
    recycling and organic food.

97
APPLICATION 3.5 Fads, Seasons, and Health Scares
  • Fads (bandwagon effects)
  • Widespread use causes additional demand
  • When saturation point is reached, demand rapidly
    dwindles
  • Impossible to predict which products will catch
    on
  • Seasonality
  • Easy to predict seasonal demand Christmas trees,
    turkeys for Thanksgiving etc
  • Cod in high demand during Lent Catholic
    requirements on dietary restrictions

98
Health Scares
  • Smoking reduction in the US after the surgeon
    generals report in 1964
  • Cholesterol decline in demand for beef and dairy
    products, also eggs
  • 1982 Tylenol accident
  • Cyanide tablets inserted in a few Tylenol bottles
  • Dramatic drop in demand followed for Tylenol
    (50)
  • 1988 cyanide injection in Chilean grapes
  • 1993 study on fat content in Chinese food,
    Chinese restaurants suffered
  • Krispy Kreme stock in 2000, 1997 European demand
    for US beef

99
Be Careful in Using Terminology
  • A movement downward along a stationary demand
    curve in response to a fall in price is called an
    increase in quantity demanded while a rise in the
    price of the good results in a decrease in
    quantity demanded.
  • A rightward shift in a demand curve is called an
    increase in demand while a leftward shift is a
    decrease in demand.

100
Consumer Surplus
  • The extra value individuals receive from
    consuming a good over what they pay for it is
    called consumer surplus.
  • Consumer surplus is also what people would be
    willing to pay for the right to consume a good at
    its current price.
  • This concept is used to study the welfare effects
    of price changes.

101
Consumer Surplus
  • In graphical terms, consumer surplus is given by
    the area below the demand curve and above the
    market price.
  • In Figure 3.11, total consumer surplus is given
    by area AEB (80).

102
FIGURE 3.11 Consumer Surplus from T-Shirt Demand
Price (/shirt)
Price (/shirt)
A
15
11
9
E
B
d
Quantity (shirts)
15
10
20
103
Consumer Surplus and Utility
  • Figure 3.12 illustrates the connection between
    consumer surplus and utility

104
FIGURE 3.11 Consumer Surplus and Utility
Initially, the person is at E with utility
U1. He or she would need to be compensated by
amount AB in other goods to get U1 if T-shirts
were not available.
Other Goods
A
B
The individual would be willing to pay BC for the
right to consume T-shirts rather than spending I
only on other goods.
C
E
U1
I
U0
Both distance AB and BC approximate the consumer
surplus area
I
Quantity (shirts)
20
105
Application 3.6 Valuing New Goods
Price
Only the point E is known right after the
introduction of a new product
Consumer surplus from the introduction of a new
product
Economists developed methodologies to determine
the tangency to an indifference curve that is not
observed!
E
New Good
106
New Goods
  • Cell Phones
  • Gains estimated to be 50 billion
  • Not entered into CPI until after 15 years after
    introduction
  • Minivans introduced in the US in the 1980s
  • Gains of 3 billion over 1984-1988
  • Active competition among minivan suppliers
    contributed to this welfare increase
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