Based on

1
Introduction

• Based on evidence provided by Jim Dalton
• Likely to repeat some earlier points
• Look at cause, effect and solutions

2
Cause

• Inadequate secondary school places in Harpenden
• Little evidence of forecasting or planning
• Forecasting is too short term
• Figures are inadequate and inaccurate
• Forecast places against NOR
• Priority, planning and relevant areas
• Housing growth in Harpenden and surrounding areas

3
Cause

• Forecasting system and admissions
• Effect of the Siblings rule
• Rules 6 7 govern new places
• St.Georges effect not adequately taken into
  account
• Year on year issues at Harpenden schools
• Forecasts, allocations and/or PLASC exceed PAN
• Figures for 2007 are forecast above PAN

4
Effect

• Stress of an admissions lottery
• Long-term impact on lives
• Detrimental effect and pressure on Harpenden
  schools
• Environmental impact

5
Solutions

• Increase the secondary school capacity in
  Harpenden
• Align the different areas and reduce the size of
  the priority area
• Strengthen the wording in the Siblings rule
• Do nothing

6
Conclusion

• Forecasting and planning process is failing the
  children, families, schools and communities in
  and around Harpenden
• The issue has been around long enough it will
  not just go away!
• The topic group has the remit to recommend
  changes in time for next year
• ACT NOW!