?????????????????????? Institute of Trade Strategies - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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?????????????????????? Institute of Trade Strategies

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Title: ?????????????????????? Institute of Trade Strategies


1
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2
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???????? 1 ???????????????
?????????? 2546/47 2547/48 2548/49 /- ()
??????? 391.40 402.70 411.52 2.06
????????? 415.60 414.20 418.20 0.97
?????? 27.55 27.12 27.72 2.21
??????????? 86.17 74.67 68.09 -9.65
????? USDA, ???????????????????????????
ltwww.usda.govgt
11
????? ???????
???????? 2 ??????????????????????????
?????? 2546 2547 2548 /- ()
??? 122.18 112.46 127.40 1.62
??????? 72.70 88.28 87.86 2.99
??????????? 33.41 35.02 34.96 0.37
????????? 25.19 26.15 27.40 7.03
???????? 21.53 22.08 22.56 -0.70
??? 17.20 18.01 18.00 3.69
??? 391.40 402.70 411.52 2.19
????? USDA, ???????????????????????????
ltwww.usda.govgt
12
???????? 3 ???????????????????????????????
????? ?????????????????
???????????? ???????????? ???????????? ???????????? ????????????
?????????????? 2546 2547 2548 2549 ?.?-??.?.
Southern ??????????????? 276.50 357.92 301.92 352.00
Southern- ?????????????????? 157.75 206.08 171.33 204.00
California ?????????????????????? 430.25 492.83 418.08 497.50
????? ????????????????????????????
ltwww.riceexporters.or.thgt
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13

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?????????????? 2546 2547 2548 2549 (?.?.-??.?.)
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-???? 100 ???? B 202.67 243.33 291.67 305.75
-???????? 5 198.00 246.33 287.58 295.00
-??????? 15 188.58 230.75 275.75 288.00
-??????? 35 178.17 222.33 261.83 269.75
-???????????????????? 151.25 205.08 218.00 214.75
???????? ???????? ???????? ???????? ????????
- ??????? 5 183.58 225.25 254.40 254.25
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14
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???????? 4 ????????????????????????????
?????? 2546 2547 2548 2549
??? 10.137 7.274 7.300 8.250
???????? 4.295 5.174 5.200 4.700
???????????? 3.090 3.862 3.700 3.000
??????? 3.172 4.687 3.800 4.300
???????? 1.986 3.032 3.000 2.500
??? 0.80 0.656 0.900 0.800
??? 23.48 24.683 23.9 23.55
????? USDA, ???????????????????????????
ltwww.usda.govgt
15
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???????? 5 ????????????????????????????
?????? 2546 2547 2548 2549
?????????? 1.100 1.890 1.900 1.650
???????? 1.369 1.777 1.600 1.700
?????????????? 1.500 1.357 1.000 1.000
??????? 8.50 1.200 7.50 8.50
?????????? 1.079 6.680 9.75 9.75
????? 8.89 7.86 1.200 1.200
??? 22.458 20.764 23.55 23.8
????? USDA, ???????????????????????????
ltwww.usda.govgt
16
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???? 2546/47 2547/48 2548/49 /- ()
???? 23.14 22.65 23.39 3.27
?????? 6.33 5.89 6.43 9.21
??? 29.47 28.54 29.82 4.49
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???? 2546/47 2547/48 2548/49 /- ()
????????? 10.12 10.27 10.24 -0.29
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17
  • ???????? 8 ???????????????

????? ???????
???? 2546/47 2547/48 2548/49 /- ()
???? 56.97 57.65 57.77 0.21
?????? 9.43 8.91 9.47 9.29
??? 66.40 66.56 67.08 0.78
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18
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???????? 9 ??????????????????
???? 2546/47 2547/48 2548/49 /- ()
???????????? 365 393 406 3.31
???? 406 393 406 3.31
?????? 671 661 679 2.72
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???????? 10 ?????????????
???? 2546/47 2547/48 2548/49 /- ()
???? 4,587 4,884 5,676 16.22
?????? 3,633 4,421 4,828 9.21
????? ???????????????????????? ????????????????????? ltwww.oae.go.thgt
19
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???????? 11 ??????????????????????????
?????? ?????? 2546 2547 2548 2549 (?.?.-?.?.)
1 ??? 3,994.40 9,005.00 7,850.70 5,573.10
2 ????? 3,805.30 6,142.00 5,474.10 5,919.60
3 ???????????? 5,564.00 6,292.70 6,191.50 4,295.20
4 ??????? 4,018.40 5,669.80 2,144.10 4,168.80
5 ???????? 4,325.00 8,109.20 6,946.70 2,798.20
6 ?????? 4,887.30 5,079.70 5,262.10 3,231.40
7 ???????? 3,929.90 5,253.60 5,568.20 3,348.00
8 ?????????? 2,190.00 3,116.80 2,017.70 3,330.30
9 ?????????? 3,363.00 7,821.10 5,293.80 2,817.70
?????????? ? 18,950.10 32.778.70 27,547.30 14,215.70
??? 75,733.10 108,293.20 93,470.80 37,268.40
????? ?????????????? www.moc.go.th
20
???????? 12 ????????????????????????????????????
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?????????????? 2546 2547 2548 2549 (?.?.-?.?.)
???? ??????? 6,940 8,460 7,685 7,877
???? 5 5,072 5,481 6,607 6,569
???? 10 4,819 5,496 6,429 6,313
???? 15 4,414 4,927 6,246 6,061
???? 25 4,073 4,526 5,698 5,635
?????????????? 14-15 4,693 5,354 6,617 6,771
?????????????? 16-17 4,564 5,299 6,529 6,592
?????????????? 18-19 4,298 5,087 6,413 6,412
????????????????????? 19 4,040 4,756 6,002 5,930
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21
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???????? 13 ???????????????? F.O.B. ???????
?????? ?????? 2546 2547 2548 2549 (?.?.-?.?.)
?????????????????? 2 ?????????????????? 2 480 477 410 461
??????? 100   ????2 204 245 294 309
??????? 100   5 198 240 288 302
??????? 100   10 194 237 286 300
??????? 100   15 192 232 274 286
??????? 100   25???? - - -  -
??????? 100   25 183 225 257 266
??????? 100   35 176 208 - - 
??????????? A1???? 156 207 221 220
??????????? A1????? 154 205 219 217
???????? 100 200 247 289 299
???????? 5 194 243 287 296
?????????? 10 ???????? 320 334 318 368
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22
????????????????????????
???????? 14 ???????????
???????????? 2548/49 2549/50 ?????? ?????-?? ?????? ?????-??
???????????????? (???????) 57.61 57.87 0.26 0.46
?????? (???????) 23.39 23.56 0.16 0.70
???????????? (????????) 407.00 414.00 7.00 1.72
????? ???????????????????????? ????????????????????? ltwww.oae.go.thgt
23
???????? 15 ????????????????????
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??  2549   ?????????????????   ????????????????? ?????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????? ??????????????????????????
??  2549 ??????? ???????? ??????? ???? ???? 5 ?????? ???? 15 ?????????? ??????
???????? 15,099.6 11,206.4 7,426.21 6,198.84 6,820.57 5,831.88
??????? 15,543.1 13,319.5 7,540.64 6,031.18 6,773.95 5,956.85
??????? 15,599.2 11,378.0 7,528.36 5,845.35 6,829.41 6,025.24
??????? 16,019.9 11,316.3 7,617.48 5,712.02 6,828.01 6,043.76
?????? 15,675.9 11,074.7 7,430.66 5,526.63 6,646.64 5,721.72

????? ???????????????????????????????? ARIMA,
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24
???????? 16 ?????????????????????
???????? ?????????   2549
?????? (???????) 7.5
?????? (???????????????) 2,340
?????????? (?????????????????) 312

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