Title: Energy Audit Analysis
1Energy AuditAnalysis
- Presented
- by
- Green Guru Walter
2Joule 1845
1 cal 4.1868 J 4.1868 Nm
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4Not that long ago
My Fellow Americans please dial down the
thermostat and drive less during this crisis.
5My Solar Thermal Project in the 70s
The Direct Contact Heat Exchanger using Ortho
Dichloro- Benzene in Water
6PEAK OIL??REASONS FOR NON-ISSUE
- Cry wolf too often
- PA geologist in 1874 stated that the US would
run out of oil by 1878 - Club of Rome (1972)
- USGS (1981)
- Oil price drop to 10/bbl in 1998.
7Market price decoupled from production cost
8Why should you listen?
9Why should you listen?
Increasing demand driven by Population
increase Industrialization of China,
India History 1.5 increase over last
decade Projected world annual demand increase
2 per year gt Exponential growth!
10Why should you listen?
i 2 per year over 20 years
F (1 i)n P (the well known
financial formula)
For P 1 gt F 1.5
For P 75 Mbbl/d (2002) gt F 110 Mbbl/d
(2022)
110106 bbl/d 365 d 40109 bbl/y 40 Gb/y
11Discovery vs. Production
127 Billion People in 2010
13The Hubbert Curve
14THE ASSOCIATION FOR THE STUDY OF PEAK OIL AND GAS
(Colin Campbell)
2008
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16EIA2004
- International
- Energy
- Outlook
It is anticipated that non-conventional oil
resources will act as a buffer against prolonged
periods of high oil prices well into the middle
of this century, and perhaps well beyond.
17Seismic Survey
18Horizontal Drilling
19Deep Sea Wells
20Tar Sands
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22Different understanding of oil reserves
Reserves that amount of oil in known
accumulations currently technologically and
economically recoverable
Campbell BGR
Oil Gas Journal BGR
- Polar Oil - Deepwater Oil - plant NGL
Oil Sands (Canada)
- Proven
- adjusted
- 871 Gb (2002)
Proven 1,266 Gb
Bundesanstalt für Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe
(BGR) Federal Institute for Geosciences and
Natural Resources
23Peak Oil Now Main Stream
24World Population vs. USA Population andOil
Consumption
40
Calculated on a Btu basis Â
25Development of oil consumption in selected
regions and countries
Mb/d
30
285m
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
25
20
15
1271m
10
127m
1032m
5
0
USA
Western Europe
USSR/CIS
Japan
China
India
Sources BGR-database, EIA 2004 (Reference Oil
Price)
26Global Warming
CO2 Off Scale
27Larsen Ice Shelf Collapses in Antarctica
28Counter Global Warming
29On whom do we depend?
SAUDI PRINCES AND THE MODELING RACKET It is
quite well known within the international slave
trade that Saudi princes are high end buyers.
Due to the recent lax border regulations in
Scandinavia, the princes now get their fair
haired children from immigrant procurers. In the
United States shopping malls, amusement parks and
video parlors are prowled by procurers. The
Princes not only do not like dealing with the
seemlier elements of the international child sex
industry such as the street procurers but see the
danger of the media picking their activities up,
hence their own modeling agencies.
30On whom do we depend?
The level of corruption in the House of Sa'ud is
staggering. While they impose strict Wahhabi law
on their subjects, with public beatings for
alcohol consumption and amputations for thievery,
the thousands of princes have siphoned off
billions of dollars from the public treasury,
wining and dining all over Europe and America,
building lavish palaces and gambling away their
stipends. Meanwhile the standard of living for
ordinary Saudi citizens has fallen dramatically
over the past two decades, while annual budget
deficits are soaring from the family's high
living and the extraordinary level of military
spending.
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34Central Hudson Gas Electric Corporation
35Can we do anything?
Energy Conservation Measures ECMs
Mitigating Measures Ground Coupled HPs, Ice
Storage, CHP (combined Heat and Power)
Renewable Energy Sources
Green Concepts
Political Action!!
36Is it worth to conserve or mitigate in the
domestic/commercial Sectors?