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WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal

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Title: WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal


1
NEAREST
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal
FFCUL Rachid Omira Maria Ana
Baptista Miguel Miranda
Berlim 8-9 October 2008
2
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal
WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data
(merge data not complete)
WP7.2 Implementation of a Numerical Tsunami Model
for SW Portugal
WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the Boca
do Rio area
WP7.4 Production of Inundation Maps for
Lagos-Sagres
WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation
3
WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation
COMCOT _ LX Adopted from COMCOT (Cornell
University, Liu et al., 1994)
  • COMCOT code (Cornell University)
  • Tsunami Simulation Code Based on Shallow Water
    Equations
  • Leap-frog scheme
  • Nested grid system
  • Moving boundary scheme

CGUL changes COMCOT Lx Surfer format input /
output Output Inundation / Flow depths
4
WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation
TRANSFER AREAS
5
WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation
Benchmark testing (collab.with TRANFER project)
  • 1 RUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACH

6
WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the Boca
do Rio area
The model earthquake - Lisbon event
7
WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the Boca
do Rio area
8
WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami along
Algarve
Does Inundation correlate well to
sedimentological evidence?
9
  • CASABLANCA TEST SITE

10
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca
(Omira et al, 2007) to be sub. To Natural Hazards
Modelled Run up correlates well slip (Okal
Synolakis, GJInt., 2004 et al)
11
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca
Vunerability study
12
  • Casablanca Harbour area building stock

Building Survey by Rachid April 2007
13
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Casablanca
Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment
14
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas
On going
Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas
using WP1 TRANSFER ERSTA Zones
15
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas
On going
Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas
using WP1 TRANSFER ERSTA Zones
Miranda JM, Baptista MA, Terrinha P, Matias, L.
31st ESC Crete Sept 2008
16
ts
Initial displacements using heterogeneous slip
(SCC (Geist Domovska ,1999))
INVESTIGATION OF THE EFFECT IN INNUNDATION
MAPS ON GOING
17
CONTRIBUTION TO IOC-NEAMTWS
18
For each scenario
Maximum wave elevation Energy
radiation Travel time
19
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas
Red line First arrival to the coast Less 30
minutes
Computed maximum wave height , energy direction
and tsunami travel time for the tsunami
scenarios in the Golf of Cadiz
20
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas
Priority tsunameter location
Warning time 15 min Arrival Time Detection
time
Tsunami travel time Radiation pattern bottom
topography
21
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test areas
NEXT STEPS
Tune Model for Flow Depth Velocity
Produce FDVelocity maps
Ouput of TRANSFER standards for Inundation
maps (next week Messina ) DoW 27 Month 29
22
Next steps
Improvement of inundation results with new data
GEOSUB
August 08 survey
23
publications
Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment of
Casablanca-Morocco using Numerical Modelling and
GIS tools R. Omira , M. A. Baptista , J. M.
Miranda ,C. Catita, E. Toto Subm to Natural
Hazards (may 2008, under revision)
REVISION OF THE PORTUGUESE CATALOGUE OF
TSUNAMIS M. A. Baptista, J. M. Miranda (subm
NHESS, accept with minor revision)
REVISION OF THE MOROCCO TSUNAMI CATALOGUE F.
Kaabouben, M. A. Baptista, A. Iben Brahim, A.
Toto, A. Elmouraouah Ready for submission to
NHESS ?
24
TRANSFER WP1 DATABASE
WP1.1 - INGV - Database for paleotsunamis
Euro-Mediterranean area (boulders or sediments)
TRANSFER web site The DB can be visited and
updated through the web interface
(http//paleotsunami.rm.ingv.it/) and data can be
downloaded in a format ready to be included in
the TRANSFER GIS DB.
25
WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Portugal
Del.n. Deliverable name Workpackage Workpackage n. Due Date (project month) Actual/Forecast delivery date Estimated indicative person months (all partners involved) Used indicative person months (all partners involved) Lead contractor
D24a D24b new bathymetric map cruise report WP7 11 11 12 12 5 5 FFCUL
D25 implementation of a numerical tsunami model for SW Portugal WP7 17 17 12 12 FFCUL
D26 simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the Boca de Rio area WP7 29 29 9 9 FFCUL
D27 inundation maps for Lagos-Sagres WP7 32 32 9 9 FFCUL
D28 validation of the model WP7 35 35 12 12 FFCUL
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