MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

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MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather
Forecasting

• G. TISNADO
• Tecnofil s.a.

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• Extremely strong El Niño rainfall periods
  occurrs
• Only if the SIDC curve is on RED
• On the down leg of the SIDC curve when
• coronal plasma ropes are more frequent.
• rainfall storms rises the Ionosphere.
  (Goddard/NASA, G. Tisnado 1997.__2006)
• Ionosphere feeds more heavy O ions into the
  magnetosphere
• .

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GEOMAGNETIC INFLUENCES (AE) ON HYDROMETEOROLOGY
(RIVER FLOW)

• G. Tisnado, 1996 Goddard Space Flight Center,
  NASA.

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SELF EVIDENT SUNGLINT over The PACIFIC

• GOES WEST IMAGE, near NOON ON 28JUL2006.
• Notice the sharp Sunglint, just at the ITCZ
  produce N_S Boundaries
• Notice also a dropbit line (at the bottom), due
  Injection phase of a big Magnetospheric SUBSTORM

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HAWAII SOUTH CLOSE-UP of 28 JULY SUNGLINT

• NOTICE SUNGLINT (SG) ACTIONS
• Reconforming activity of EUV on clouds just South
  of SG.
• Sharp boundary N_S Virtual Line (high and low
  tones), just East of the visible SG.
• Sharp E_W high cloud lines framing a rectangular
  void HERE UP

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REMOTE SENSING VISUALIZATION TECHNIQUES

• Notice some small EUV patches off Baja Calif. And
  a big arch around the natural Sunglint, in YELLOW
• GREEN indicates its boundaries

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SOHO EXACTLY at 0000UT ON 28 JULY 2006

• NOTICE
• Suns main activity at the disks very center.
• N-S, E-W, 45 flare lines
• A secondary squared block S_W.
• A coronal Hole in between the two, in a dipole
  like configuration

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FLIPPED CLOSE-UP SOHO EIT171, 28JULY2006

• NOTICE ITS SIMILARITY TO THE GOES IMAGE
  INCLUDING
• E_W Ttraces little South of the Suns Equatorial
  Plane.
• N_S line of evenly spaced clouds, just East of
  the center.
• Squarely frames in the intermediate scale size

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MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather
Forecasting

• G. TISNADO
• Tecnofil s.a.
• CLOUD EROSION
• August 28 2006
• Case Study

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EFFECT OF SUNGLINT EUV RADIATION ON THE ITCZ AND
PERU STRATUS, 07AUG2006 CS
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SOLVING A BRAINTEASER WHY STRATUS OFF PIURA
ARE SQUARELY ?

• SOLUTION
• Because of the eroding effect of the squarely
  solar flashes.
• So straight cloud-lines off PERU, are also
  influenced by such flashes

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NO EIT 171 IMAGE FOR THIS DATE LASCO C3