Technology Innovation Towards a Hydrogen Fuel Cell Economy

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Institute of Transportation StudiesUniversity of
California, Davis
Technology Innovation Towards A Hydrogen Fuel
Cell Economy
Anthony Eggert Sustainable Transportation Energy
Pathways (STEPS) March 22, 2007
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Experience curves and early markets
RD Investment gt Cumulative Production
Source Modified from PCAST 1999
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Experience curves and early markets
180
Source Ballard (Stack only) and TIAX (Carlson,
Larson)
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Experience curves and early markets
Time gt Investment gt Production
RD3 Investment gt Production
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Experience curves and early markets
Time gt Investment gt Production
RD3 Investment gt Production
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Experience curves and early markets
RD
RD3 Investment gt Production
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Experience curves and early markets
RD3 Investment gt Production
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What are the early markets?
Premium/ Back-up Power
Portable
Decreasing FC System Cost
Auxiliary Power Units
Material Handling
Transit Bus
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Experience curves and early markets
RD3 Investment gt Production
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How will we know when were there?
Source Wene (2000) referenced from BCG (1968)
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Thank you!
Contact information Anthony Eggert E-mail
areggert_at_ucdavis.edu http//steps.its.ucdavis.edu/