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Quick lesson in some Mathematics used in Managerial Economics

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Title: Chapter 3: Supply and Demand Author: Bob Nannini Last modified by: simonsd Created Date: 7/4/2002 7:33:59 PM Document presentation format: On-screen Show (4:3) – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Quick lesson in some Mathematics used in Managerial Economics


1
Quick lesson in some Mathematics used in
Managerial Economics
  • Algebra
  • Derivatives (Marginal Analysis)

2
Algebra
  • Translating from implicit functions to explicit
    functions
  • X 2y 4 0
  • Solve for x or y
  • Given Qd 150 5P, determine the price function

3
Rules of finding derivatives
  • If a is a constant then da/dx 0
  • If a and b are constants and b? 0, then daxb/dx
    baxb-1
  • dlnx/dx 1/x

4
Maximization of a Function (one variable)
  • First order condition (necessary)
  • For a function of one variable (Q) to attain its
    maximum value (Q) at some point, the derivative
    at that point (if it exists) must be 0
  • df/dQ (at Q) 0

5
Second order condition
  • The second derivative (the derivative of what is
    already is a derivative) should be negative
  • d2f/dQ2 lt 0
  • Global vs. Local maximum
  • If second derivative is negative at every point,
    the Q is a global maximum ? for every other
    value of Q, the optimizing variable will be
    smaller.
  • If second derivative is satisfied only near Q
    then the point is a local maximum.
  • We might have to look at other values of Q where
    the first order conditions are satisfied to find
    the global maximum

6
Example
  • Manager wants to maximize profit (?)
  • ? 4Q Q2
  • df/dQ 4 -2Q
  • df/dQ 0 when Q Q 2
  • ? 4
  • But how do you know that ?4 is the maximum?
    Check 2nd order condition

7
  • d2f/dQ2 -2 lt0 ? maximum
  • Note that second derivative is negative at every
    point, not just at Q. This means Q2 is a
    global maximum for this function.
  • For every other value of Q, profits are smaller.

8
Functions of several variables (Partial
derivaties)
Given the following function
dy/dX1 2aX1 bX2 dy/dX2 bX1 CX2
9
Supply and Demand
10
Why?
  • Use supply and demand analysis to
  • clarify the big picture (the general impact of
    a current event on equilibrium prices and
    quantities).
  • organize an action plan (needed changes in
    production, inventories, raw materials, human
    resources, marketing plans, etc.).

11
The Business Map
  • Organization Set of processes and network of
    transactions
  • Suppliers ----Organization----Customers
  • Suppliers are indirect competitors and
    collaborators to the organization and
  • Customers are potential competitors and
    collaborators

12
Competitors/collaborators or complementors
  • Competitors rivals (compete for resources
    and/or customers)
  • Complementors join forces and work together
  • Can competitors be complementors at the same
    time?

13
What does the term industry mean?
  • A collection of firms producing similar products
    (North American Industrial Classification System)
  • What about business/economics?
  • Degree of substitutability (in consumption) among
    products
  • A good book and a movie

14
Market Demand
  • Quantities of a good or service that people are
    ready (willing and able) to buy at various prices
    within some given time period, other factors held
    constant.

15
  • Any item you are willing to buy must provide you
    with some benefits
  • MB benefit from additional unit of item
  • Diminishing marginal benefit each unit provides
    less benefit than the one before it
  • Price you are willing to pay should decrease with
    quantity purchased

16
Market Demand Curve
  • Market demand is the sum of all the individual
    demands.
  • Law of Demand
  • The demand curve is downward sloping.

Price
D
17
What is Price?
  • Could be absolute, relative, balance or total
  • Absolute Price of Product x (Px)

18
Relative Price
  • Could be real, specific or categorical
  • Real Px/IP (IP index of prices of all
    products
  • Specific Px/Py (Py refers to price of product
    y)
  • Categorical Px/IPCat (IPCat index of prices
    of products in a category)

19
Balance Total
  • Balance PPC/PRP
  • PPC price paid by customers
  • PRP price received by producers
  • Balance may be expressed as PPC-PRP
  • Total Px TC
  • TC transaction costs

20
Market Demand
  • Changes in price result in changes in the
    quantity demanded.
  • This is shown as movement along the demand curve.
  • Changes in nonprice determinants result in
    changes in demand.
  • This is shown as a shift in the demand curve.

21
Change in Quantity Demanded
A
B
D0
22
Change in Demand
D0 to D1 Increase in Demand
23
Non-price Determinants of Demand
  • Income
  • Normal good
  • Inferior good
  • Prices of Related Goods
  • Prices of substitutes
  • Prices of complements
  • Advertising and consumer tastes
  • Population
  • Consumer expectations

24
Example
  • Determinants of demand for
  • New homes?
  • Washing machines in India
  • Furniture in Nanaimo
  • Pre-paid wireless telecom service

25
The Demand Function
  • A general equation representing the demand curve
  • Qxd f(Px , PY , I, H,)
  • Qxd quantity demand of good X.
  • Px price of good X.
  • PY price of a related good Y.
  • Substitute good.
  • Complement good.
  • M income.
  • Normal good.
  • Inferior good.
  • H any other variable affecting demand.

26
  • Qxd 1500 0.5Px 0.25PY 8Pz 0.10I
    0.02Pop 250Ay 400Ax
  • Suppose
  • PY 5,900
  • Pz 90
  • I 55,000
  • Pop 10,000
  • Ay 15 (competitors advertising budget)
  • Ax 10 (firms advertising budget)

27
  • ? Demand function
  • Qxd 1500 0.5Px 0.25(5900) 8(90)
    0.10(55000) 0.02(100000) 250(15) 400(10)
  • Qxd 8205 - 0.5Px

28
Inverse Demand Function
  • Price as a function of quantity demanded.
  • Example
  • Demand Function
  • Qxd 10 2Px
  • Inverse Demand Function
  • 2Px 10 Qxd
  • Px 5 0.5Qxd

29
Consumer Surplus
  • The value consumers get from a good but do not
    have to pay for.

30
Consumer SurplusThe Continuous Case
Price
10
8
6
4
Expenditure on 4 units 2 x 4 8
2
D
1 2 3 4 5
Quantity
31
Consumer Surplus
  • Demand Function
  • Qxd 5 Px
  • If P 2, what is company revenue? What is
    consumer surplus?
  • P 2 ? Q 3. TR 6
  • Consumer surplus????

32
Market Supply Curve
  • The supply curve shows the amount of a good that
    will be produced at alternative prices, other
    factors constant.
  • Law of Supply
  • The supply curve is upward sloping.

33
Non-price Determinants of Supply
  • Input prices
  • Technology or government regulations
  • Number of firms
  • Entry
  • Exit
  • Substitutes in production
  • Taxes
  • Excise tax
  • Ad valorem tax
  • Producer expectations

34
The Supply Function
  • An equation representing the supply curve
  • QxS f(Px , PR ,W, H,)
  • QxS quantity supplied of good X.
  • Px price of good X.
  • PR price of a production substitute.
  • W price of inputs (e.g., wages).
  • H other variable affecting supply.

35
Inverse Supply Function
  • Price as a function of quantity supplied.
  • Example
  • Supply Function
  • Qxs 10 2Px
  • Inverse Supply Function
  • 2Px 10 Qxs
  • Px 5 0.5Qxs

36
Change in Quantity Supplied
A to B Increase in quantity supplied
B
A
37
Change in Supply
S0 to S1 Increase in supply
38
Producer Surplus
  • The amount producers receive in excess of the
    amount necessary to induce them to produce the
    good.

Price
S0
P
Q
Quantity
39
Market Equilibrium
  • Balancing supply and demand
  • QxS Qxd
  • Steady-state

40
If price is too low
Price
Quantity
41
If price is too high
Price
Quantity
42
Comparative Static Analysis
  • How do the equilibrium price and quantity change
    when a determinant of supply and/or demand change?

43
Applications of Demand and Supply Analysis
  • Event The WSJ reports that the prices of PC
    components are expected to fall by 5-8 percent
    over the next six months.
  • Scenario 1 You manage a small firm that
    manufactures PCs.
  • Scenario 2 You manage a small software company.

44
Use Comparative Static Analysis to see the Big
Picture!
  • Comparative static analysis shows how the
    equilibrium price and quantity will change when a
    determinant of supply or demand changes.

45
Scenario 1 Implications for a Small PC Maker
  • Step 1 Look for the Big Picture.
  • Step 2 Organize an action plan (worry about
    details).

46
Big Picture Impact of decline in component
prices on PC market
47
Big Picture Analysis PC Market
  • Equilibrium price of PCs will fall, and
    equilibrium quantity of computers sold will
    increase.
  • Use this to organize an action plan
  • contracts/suppliers?
  • inventories?
  • human resources?
  • marketing?
  • do I need quantitative estimates?

48
Scenario 2 Software Maker
  • More complicated chain of reasoning to arrive at
    the Big Picture.
  • Step 1 Use analysis like that in Scenario 1 to
    deduce that lower component prices will lead to
  • a lower equilibrium price for computers.
  • a greater number of computers sold.
  • Step 2 How will these changes affect the Big
    Picture in the software market?

49
Big Picture Impact of lower PC prices on the
software market
Price of Software
P0
Quantity of Software
50
Big Picture Analysis Software Market
  • Software prices are likely to rise, and more
    software will be sold.
  • Use this to organize an action plan.

51
Comparative Statics Analysis
  • The short run is the period of time in which
  • Sellers already in the market respond to a change
    in equilibrium price by adjusting variable
    inputs.
  • Buyers already in the market respond to changes
    in equilibrium price by adjusting the quantity
    demanded for the good or service.

52
Comparative Statics Analysis
  • The rationing function of price is the change in
    market price to eliminate the imbalance between
    quantities supplied and demanded.

53
Short-run Analysis
  • An increase in demand causes equilibrium price
    and quantity to rise.

54
Short-run Analysis
  • A decrease in demand causes equilibrium price and
    quantity to fall.

55
Short-run Analysis
  • An increase in supply causes equilibrium price to
    fall and equilibrium quantity to rise.

56
Short-run Analysis
  • A decrease in supply causes equilibrium price to
    rise and equilibrium quantity to fall.

57
Comparative Statics Analysis
  • The long run is the period of time in which
  • New sellers may enter a market
  • Existing sellers may exit from a market
  • Existing sellers may adjust fixed factors of
    production
  • Buyers may react to a change in equilibrium price
    by changing their tastes and preferences or
    buying preferences

58
Comparative Statics Analysis
  • The guiding or allocating function of price is
    the movement of resources into or out of markets
    in response to a change in the equilibrium price.

59
Long-run Analysis
  • Initial change decrease in demand from D1 to D2
  • Result reduction in equilibrium price and
    quantity, now P2,Q2
  • Follow-on adjustment
  • movement of resources out of the market
  • leftward shift in the supply curve to S2
  • Equilibrium price and quantity now P3,Q3

60
Long-run Analysis
  • Initial change increase in demand from D1 to D2
  • Result increase in equilibrium price and
    quantity, now P2,Q2
  • Follow-on adjustment
  • movement of resources into the market
  • rightward shift in the supply curve to S2
  • Equilibrium price and quantity now P3,Q3

61
Supply, Demand, and PriceThe Managerial
Challenge
  • In the extreme case, the forces of supply and
    demand are the sole determinants of the market
    price.
  • This type of market is perfect competition
  • In other markets, individual firms can exert
    market power over their price because of their
  • dominant size.
  • ability to differentiate their product through
    advertising, brand name, features, or services
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