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Binomial Random and Normal Random Variables

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Lecture XI The Bernoulli distribution characterizes the coin toss. Specifically, there are two events X=0,1 with X=1 occurring with probability p. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Binomial Random and Normal Random Variables


1
Binomial Random and Normal Random Variables
  • Lecture XI

2
Bernoulli Random Variables
  • The Bernoulli distribution characterizes the coin
    toss. Specifically, there are two events X0,1
    with X1 occurring with probability p. The
    probability distribution function PX can be
    written as

3
Sum of Two Bernoulli Variables
  • Next, we need to develop the probability of XY
    where both X and Y are identically distributed.
    If the two events are independent, the
    probability becomes

4
Transforming the Two Bernoulli Scenario
  • Now, this density function is only concerned with
    three outcomes ZXY0,1,2. There is only one
    way each for Z0 or Z2. Specifically for Z0,
    X0 and Y0. Similarly, for Z2, X1 and Y1.
    However, for Z1 either X1 and Y0 or X0 or
    Y1. Thus, we can derive

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6
Expanding to Three Bernoulli Variables
  • Next we expand the distribution to three
    independent Bernoulli events where
    ZWXY0,1,2,3.

7
Rewriting in Terms of Z
  • Again, there is only one way for Z0 and Z3.
    However, there are now three ways for Z1 or Z2.
    Specifically, Z1 if W1, X1 or Y1. In
    addition, Z2 if W1 and X1, W1 and Y1, and
    X1 and Y1. Thus the general distribution
    function for Z can now be written as

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9
Binomial Distribution
  • Based on this development, the binomial
    distribution can be generalized as the sum of n
    Bernoulli events.
  • For the case above, n3. The distribution
    function (ignoring the constants) can be written
    as

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11
Explaining the Constants
  • The next challenge is to explain the Crn term.
    To develop this consider the polynomial
    expression

12
Pascals Triangle
  • This sequence can be linked to our discussion of
    the Bernoulli system by letting ap and b(1-p).
    What is of primary interest is the sequence of
    constants. This sequence is usually referred to
    as Pascals Triangle

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1
1
1
1
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1
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1
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1
4
6
4
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  • This series of numbers can be written as the
    combinatorial of n and r, or
  • Thus, any quadratic can be written as

15
  • As an aside, the quadratic form (a-b)n can be
    written as

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  • Thus, the binomial distribution XB(n,p) is then
    written as

17
Expected Value of Binomial
  • Next recalling Theorem 4.1.6 EaXbYaEXbEY
    , the expectation of the binomial distribution
    function can be recovered from the Bernoulli
    distributions

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Variance of Binomial
  • In addition, by Theorem 4.3.3
  • Thus, variance of the binomial is simply the sum
    of the variances of the Bernoulli distributions
    or n times the variance of a single Bernoulli
    distribution

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