TOWARDS COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE REDUCING THE POTENTIAL FOR A

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TOWARDS COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE
REDUCING THE POTENTIAL FOR A KNOCK OUT
DISASTER

• Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster
  Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

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CREATING A COMMON AGENDA
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EVERY TIME ANOTHER DISASTER OCCURS, WERE
ARE WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE GLOBAL BOOK
OF KNOWLEDGE ON DISASTER RESILIENCE

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BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE -
Perspectives On Science, Policy, And Change
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EDUCATION FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

• REGIONAL BLUEPRINTS
• PACIFIC
• EUROPE
• ASIA
• LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN
• SUB-SAHARA AFRICA
• MEDITERRANEAN
• NORTH AMERICA

• TOPICAL BLUEPRINTS
• BLUEPRINTS FOR LIVING WITH
• BLUEPRINTS FOR BUILDING TO WITHSTAND
• BLUEPRINTS FOR LEARNING FROM
• BLUEPRINTS FOR IMPLEMENTATION...

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EDUCATION FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

• KNOWLEDGE
• MUNICH RE ANNUAL REPORTS, TOPICS
• PROCEEDINGS OF WCDR, JANUARY 2005
• PROCEEDINGS OF INCEED, JULY 2005
• PROCEEDINGS OF DAVOS, 2006, 2008, 2012

• EDUCATION
• INTEGRATED CURRICULA
• GENERIC MODELS
• MODELS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
• MODELS FOR SPECIFIC HAZARDS
• TRAINING

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TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE
GOAL TO FIND THE COMMON AGENDA (CA) OF TECHNICAL
AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS
TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
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TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE
FACT THE COMMON AGENDA IS BASED ON EACH
COMMUNITYS STAPLE FACTORS
TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
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ELEMENTS OF RISK IN EVERY COMMUNITY
RISK
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HAZARDS, EXPOSURE, VULNERABILITY AND RISK DIFFER
IN EVERY COMMUNITY
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SO DO THE THE STAPLE FACTORS, WHICH VARY WITH

• TIME
• PLACE
• CIRCUMSTANCES

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SOCIAL SYSTEMS
SOCIAL (ARE THE PEOPLE AWARE OF WHAT THEY NEED?)
TECHNICAL (IS THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE AND PRACTICE
BEING APPLIED?)
ADMINISTRATIVE (WHO IS RESPONSIBLE AND
ACCOUNTABLE?)
POLITICAL (ARE PUBLIC POLICIES RELEVANT IN TERMS
OF THE THREAT?)
COMMUNITY
LEGAL (ARE EXISTIN LEGAL MANDATES ENFORCED?)
STAPLE FACTORS
ECONOMIC (WILLINGNESS AND CAPACITY TO PAY FOR
SAFETY?)
GOAL COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE
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TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE
GOAL TO UNDERSTAND THE DIFFERENCES IN TECHNICAL
AND POLITICAL THINKING
TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
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DIFFERENCES IN PERSPECTIVES OF POLITICAL AND
TECHNICAL PROFESSIONALS

• BASED ON NOT WELL ADVISED,
• SZANTON (1981)

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POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL

• POLITICAL
• THE GUIDING PRINCIPLE FOR THE POLITICAL DECISION
  IS TO HAVE THE LEAST REGRETS

• TECHNICAL
• THE GUIDING PRINCIPLE FOR THE TECHNICAL DECISION
  IS TO HAVE THE BEST SCIENCE

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POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL

• POLITICAL
• THE DESIRED OUTCOME IS APPROVAL OF THE
  DECISIONMAKERS CONSTITUENTS (ELECTORATE, STOCK
  HOLDERS)

• TECHNICAL
• THE DESIRED OUTCOME IS RESPECT OF THE SCIENTISTS
  OR ENGINEERS PEERS

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POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL

• POLITICAL
• THE TIME HORIZON IS SHORT AND A SOLUTION IS
  WANTED NOW

• TECHNICAL
• THE TIME HORIZON IS LONG AND THE SOLUTION
  TAKES A LITTLE MORE TIME

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POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL

• POLITICAL
• THE MOST VALUED OUTCOME IS A RELIABLE SOLUTION
  WITH UNCERTAINTIES SUBMERGED

• TECHNICAL
• THE MOST VALUED OUTCOME IS SCIENTIFIC INSIGHT
  WITH UNCERTAINTIES EMPHASIZED

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MYTH VERSUS REALITY

• MYTH
• IN EVERY COMMUNITY, THERE IS A GENERAL PUBLIC,
  WHICH HAS A COMMON PERCEPTION OF THE PROBLEM

• REALITY
• IN EVERY COMMUNITY, THERE ARE MANY PUBLICS,
  WHICH HAVE DIFFERENT PERCEPTIONS OF THE PROBLEM

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MYTH VERSUS REALITY

• MYTH
• E-MAILING A REPORT IS EFFECTIVE IN INFLUENCING
  THE COMMUNITYS PUBLICS AND THE POLITICAL PROCESS

• REALITY
• E-MAILING A REPORT IS INEFFECTIVE IN INFLUENCING
  THE COMMUNITYS PUBLICS AND THE POLITICAL
  PROCESS

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MYTH VERSUS REALITY

• MYTH
• FOR A SCIENTIFIC DECISION, SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS
  IS A NECESSARY AND SUFFICIENT
  CONSIDERATION

• REALITY
• FOR A POLITICAL DECISION, SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS IS
  ONLY ONE OF AT LEAST SIX CONSIDERATIONS

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DECISIONS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

• INTEGRATE THE STAPLE FACTORS
• BALANCE THE COMMUNITYS STAPLE FACTORS
• DETERMINE BENEFIT/COST

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RESULTS OF A COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER
RESILIENCE

• REDUCTION OF VULNERABILITY
• REDUCTION OF UNACCEPTABLE RISK
• NO KNOCK OUT DISASTERS

• POLITICAL ENABLEMENT
• ENHANCED TECHNICAL CAPACITY