PowerPoint Presentation - High Speed Rail and the Bay Area

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Please, move slowly through this PPP with timed
features
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California High Speed RailAnd how to get the
best rail for the best price!
Fredrick Schermer Penta Publishing Production ?
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California High Speed Rail
What would aliens conclude when looking from
outer space at the California high-speed rail
system?
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Aliens could conclude thatCalifornia has central
command,
is living in a 19th/20th Century setting,
and that Fresno is its Capital !
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Aliens know that the fastest line is a straight
line, and wonder about big bends.
There are no connections between the 5
terminals an indication that these locations
are not of most importance.
First to notice are five terminals some in
close proximity.
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Aliens know that the fastest line is a straight
line, and wonder about big bends.
They conclude that the geographical
situation must force the result.
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What are the locations where the most
important humans reside?
This well connected location is more impor-
tant than either location in
the south.
This location must be important too,
but less so than
This location must be important. More so than
the two nearby un-connected terminal locations.
This location is important but ranks below the
other because it is not connected to the San
Diego terminal.
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FRESNO ! ! !
FRESNO ! ! !
FRESNO ! ! !
FRESNO ! ! !
FRESNO ! ! !
Fresno is connected to all terminals and to all
important locations. No doubt about it! Its the
Capital.
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California has central command over large
population centers - themselves not
interconnected!
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California must be in a 19th/20th C. time frame
based on it not making optimal use of transit
system knowledge of the 20th/21st Century (more
about this later).
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Lets start from what weve got!
Lets first look at population distribution.
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3,000,000 people
7,300,000 people
15,600,000 people
Source Rand 2007
3,300,000 people
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3,000,000 people
7,300,000 people
29,200,000 people
77.5 of the entire California population
15,600,000 people
More than 3 out of every 4 Californians
3,300,000 people
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3,000,000 people
Medium sized cities with growth forecasts
Small but still important cities
7,300,000 people
15,600,000 people
Source Rand 2007
3,300,000 people
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Making side trips to smaller cities on the left
and right diminishes the high speed product.
The number of stops needs to be as few as
possible to maximize speed and use. Only one
place lies close by enough to change this
alignment without negative impact.
The next step is to connect the remaining
largest population centers, while keeping a
close eye on direction and speed.
The two largest population centers must receive
prime position and connect on a straight line to
maximize speed and attraction for the largest
populations.
Population 15,600,000 7,300,000 3,300,000 3,000,0
00 800,000 -------------- 30,000,000
3,000,000
7,300,000 people
800,000 people
15,600,000 people
3,300,000 people
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This is the F3MA
Fastest Maximum Money Making Alignment
Population 15,600,000 7,300,000 3,300,000 3,000,0
00 800,000 -------------- 30,000,000
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Lets look at the rail transit systems already
in place, easy to put in place, or easy to
adjust, that could deliver further support for
this alignment.
Population 15,600,000 7,300,000 3,300,000 3,000,0
00 800,000 -------------- 30,000,000
550,000
2,850,000
1,700,000
1,900,000
-------------- 37,000,000 98 Population
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Areas with local rail transit Areas without it
Having local rail transit in placeimproves the
number of people using High Speed Rail.
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Fewest Stops of F3MA High Speed Rail
Sacramento Station
San Francisco Bay Station (Oakland)
San Jose Station
Avenal Station
Bakersfield Station
Los Angeles Station
Burbank Station
Orange County Station
San Diego Station
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What would the result be for California in 2050?
Areas with acceleratedgrowth due to version A
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Version B shows a further concentration of the
existing urban areasas desired in the plans for
California (SB375).
Growth acceleration due to version B
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Operational Differences
San Francisco Bay Station
San Diego Station
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For the same operational level of service, one
needs to
go faster
Either way is more expensive or lead to the
California High-Speed Rail perform slower.
or use more trains
SFB Station
SD Station
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Are others making the same decisions as
California?
Lets view the High-Speed Rail decisions made in
the Netherlands, where The Hague and
Rotterdamare found along the best
alignment. Yet having a stop in both cities
diminishesthe High-Speed Rail product.
The Hague is where the decision makers reside 12
miles away from Rotterdam.
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High-Speed Rail Decisions in Holland
Which city should have a station? Rotterdam? The
Hague? The government decides and is seated
inThe Hague.
Source Mapping Netherlands B.V.
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Amsterdam
Source GVB
Rotterdam
Source High Speed Rail Netherlands
Source RET
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In Europe all High-Speed lines are designed
along straight lines fromimportant city
toimportant city.
Not only did the decision makers decide against
themselves in The Hague, not getting the best
connectionwith the European Capital of Brussels
nor with Paris and London,but the stations In
Amsterdam and Rotterdamare not perse in the
hearts of the cities, but at the hearts of
transit the well-connected Central Stations.
The High-Speed Rail alignment is a straight line
from A to B, and the reason is simply, because
not making the top performer in transit perform
at its best, trickles down anddiminishes all
forms of transit hooking up with that High-Speed
Rail.
That would be a waste of money.
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Version A
Version B
Fast
Faster
Expensive to build
Expensive to build
Expensive to operate
Less expensive to operate
Politicians decision
Product-based decision
Future adjustments easier
Future adjustments possible
Urban California spreading
Urban California spreading less
Politicians dream
Users dream
Requires less investing inregular infrastructure
(roads)
Requires more investing inregular infrastructure
(roads)
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Literature Review

• California High-Speed Rail Authority
  http//www.cahighspeedrail.ca.gov/
• Metropolitan Transportation Commission
  http//www.mtc.ca.gov/
• California Department of Transportation
• http//www.dot.ca.gov/
• San Francisco City Scape
• http//www.sfcityscape.com/
• Bay Area Council
• http//www.bayareacouncil.org/
• SPURhttp//www.spur.org
• California Light Rail
• http//www.lightrail.com/usstates/california.htm

• Pushkarev, B., J. Zupan
• Urban Rail in America, An Exploration of
  Criteria for Fixed- Guideway Transit (1982)
  Indiana University Press, Bloomington
• Vuchic, Vukan R.
• Urban Transportation Systems and
  Technology (1982) Prentice- Hall, Englewood
  Cliffs

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California High Speed RailAnd how to get the
best rail for the best price!
Fredrick Schermer Penta Publishing
Production Email fredrick_at_pentapublishing.com