16th ASIA TELECOM

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16th ASIA TELECOM INFORMATION
EXCHANGEATIE

• Keynote Presentation
• ASIA The Growth Engine for New Economy
• By
• NK Goyal, President CMAI
• Chairman Emeritus, TEMA. Vice Chairman ITU APT
• Chairman, ITPS Dubai
• Member, Governing Board Telecom Equipment and
  Services
• Export Promotion Council (Govt. of India)
• At
• 30-31st May 2012 , Singapore 
• www.cmai.asia president_cmai_at_cmai.asia

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ATIE

• The major objective of the ATIE Forum is to
  exchange ideas and experiences of ICT field among
  participating associations in the Asian Region.
• The forum also aims to promote further
  development of the telecommunications and
  information industries through mutual cooperation
  and to address issues like the liberalization of
  the industry, the emergence of wireless and
  multi-media communication amongst others.

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CES, 2009 being inaugurated and ribbon cutting at
Las Vegas on 8th January, 2009 by NK Goyal with
Sir Howard Stringer, Chairman CEO of Sony
Corporation, Mr. Tom Hanks, the American movie
star, Mr.Gary Yacoubian, Chairman CEA President
of Myer-Emco AudioVideo, Mr. Gary Saprio, Vice
President of CEA, Ms. Qu., Presixdent, CECC
China, Mr. Patrick Lavelle, President and CEO of
Audiovox, Mr. Peter Lesser, President and CEO of
X-10 (USA) Inc, Mr. Loyd Ivey, Chairman and CEO
of MiTek Electronics and Communications, Mr. Jay
McLellan, President and CEO of Home Automation,
Inc. (HAI), Mr. Mike Mohr, President of
Celluphone, Mr.Grant Russell, President of Kleen
Concepts 
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ICT Globally

• Over the past 20 years or so, extraordinary
  transition has taken place, from a world of low
  count of basic telecommunication link to a world
  where more than 2.4 billion people use internet.
• Key to the Extraordinary Communication Transition
  is Mobile, which virtually brought ICT to reach
  all worlds people in a short span of time.
• IT services in Indian Domestic Market -the
  fastest growing segment, growing by 18 per cent
  to reach Rs. 589 Billion, driven by increasing
  focus by service providers
• With more than 950 Million Fixed and Wireless
  Telephone subscription, India has become largest
  and fastest-growing ICT market in the world.

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Indian IT-BPO industry revenue crosses
USD 100 billion
INDIAN IT-BPO INDUSTRY
IT-BPO revenue aggregate1

• Total revenue USD 101 billion
• Relative to Indias GDP 7.5 per cent
• Relative to merchandise exports 25
• Value add 60-70 per cent
• Exports CAGR 17 per cent for last 5 years
• Domestic CAGR in USD 10 per cent reflects
  impact of variable rupee

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Indian ICT Ecosystem

• Indias infrastructure development landscape is
  expected to transform to the next level in the
  coming years, driven by the Governments massive
  thrust on over USD 1 trillion in investments
  (2013-17) on infrastructure development.
• Further simplification of laws and regulations,
  large scale investments in e-Governance projects
  and focus on establishing the national cyber
  security policy
• Improving connectivity across the Country,
  specifically in Tier II and Tier III cities
  rural areas with broadband.
• Disruptive technologies in mobile and cloud
  computing are providing software product firms
  with new revenue streams.

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Telecom in Asia

• Asia is a region of superlatives in the ICT arena
  with over two billion telephones, including 1.4
  billion mobile subscribers, and 42 per cent of
  the worlds Internet users
• Asia is also the worlds largest broadband market
  with a 39 per cent share of the worlds total at
  the end of 2007.
• (ITUs 2008 Asia Pacific Telecommunications
  and ICT Indicators Report)

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Issuing Confronting Asian Telecom

• Technologies continuous upgradations requiring
  investments, rising customers expectations
• Driving 2G, 3G, 4G or beyond
• Declining ARPU
• Exponential Data Growth
• Dynamics of telecom during slowdown
• Telecom, highest Diesel consumer, need for Green
• Mobile Social Networking

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Economic Integration beyondNational Territories

• Global economic integration creates new kinds of
  risks for National Security. Foreign ownership of
  telecommunications services is one such risk.
• The technological improvements that made
  Communications Technologies better and cheaper
  can also make interception more difficult. These
  improvements included the use of fiber optics,
  packet switching, strong commercial encryption,
  and the spread of Voice over Internet Protocol
  (VoIP).
• In the earlier territorial concept of security,
  borders were clearly demarcated, industries were
  National, and key services were State-owned or
  provided by National firms. This made the
  management of security tasks (Such as
  communications interception) easier for National
  authorities.

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Economic Integration beyond National
territories.cont.

• However, the economic underpinnings of this
  territorial approach have been eroded.
• Agreements on international trade and finance,
  buttressed by technological developments, made it
  easier for Nationals of one country to own and
  invest in companies and provide services in
  another Country.
• International agreements to remove regulatory
  obstacles for foreign ownership, combined with
  National economic policies that privatize and
  deregulate key services are increasing the
  integration of National Economies.

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New Technologies New Threats

• Information security breaches/spamming/
  attackers/internal misuse.
• Customer Data Threats, identity thefts- Secondary
  use of personal data by the companies
• Keeping pace with every day new technologies.
  Planned lobby of global technical experts for
  dream technologies with several not achievable
  hypes and promises.
• With Globalization comes threat from across the
  borders to protect the systems
• Network security issues for operators and
  citizens
• Modern era economic war gaining more important
  than physical war.
• Entire Country can be brought to standstill and
  virtually collapsedairports, railways, power
  generation, modern day war machines

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Cyber security economics..Dispiriting
realization

• Current economic incentives favor cyber attackers
• Cyber attacks are comparatively cheap and easy to
  execute.
• The profits that can be generated from cyber
  attacks are enormous.
• Because of the typically long distance physical
  proximity, there is very little risk of being
  caught or suffering retaliation.
• The cyber defensive perimeter is nearly
  limitless.
• Losses are difficult to assess.
• Defense is costly and often does not generate
  perceived adequate return on investment.

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Unusual global Technological Trends

• Is there a tendency to market newer more
  expensive technology because the promised
  technology results are not delivered in existing
  technologies for various valid reasons?
• Is there a trend to create lots of hype for a
  technology which is expected to be available in
  market may be after 2-3 years?
• Is anybody analyzing the actual speed and results
  delivered on existing technology as was hyped?
• Is it a fact that announcement of new things are
  made based on ideal conditions and higher
  spectrum, which in ordinary case are not feasible
  in actual conditions?
• Prepaid preferred marketing emphasis not only for
  hassle free receipts but also higher call charges

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Protectionism by Countries

• World leaders pledged to resist protectionism and
  support free trade in order to speed the economic
  recovery and avoid the mistakes of the 1930s as
  the centre piece of the London G20 summit in
  April, 2009
• Governments around the world have continued to
  push up trade barriers in spite of above
• World
  Trade Organization report in July, 2009
• There is surge in anti-dumping complaints as
  crisis-stricken companies take action against
  foreign competitors they might have tolerated in
  better times. Anti-dumping investigations
  increased 28 per cent last year compared with
  2007.
• As per WTO, most affected have been agricultural
  products particularly dairy iron and steel,
  autos, chemicals and plastics, and textiles and
  clothing.
• Various Governments introduced programmes to
  support automakers, pulp and paper producers and
  others. A total of 19 governments reported moves
  to support financial institutions.

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Advantage India

• At 1.15 Tr India is the third largest consumer
  on PPP basis.
• India ranks better than China and Vietnam on the
  Index of Economic Freedom although it is lower
  than the world average as awarded by The Heritage
  Foundation and WALL STREET JOURNAL.
• India scores higher than China and Vietnam on
  World Rankings property rights, which describes
  the protection of property and intellectual
  property rights
• India has a score of 38 on economic measure of
  income inequality better than China (47) US (45)
  Japan(38) but poorer to UK (34). Shows equal
  distribution of wealth.
• The annual supply of science and engineering
  graduates is higher than China and other
  developed countries
• Over 2.3 million graduates and 0.7 million
  post-graduates each year
• 2nd largest pool of scientists/ engineers in the
  world
• Highest number of qualified engineers, second on
  trained doctors
• 389 universities, 14,169 colleges, 1,500 research
  institutions

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Indian Telecom

• Worlds fastest Growing Telecom Market 7-8
  Million plus subscriber addition per month
• Second largest in the world after China
• 961 Mn. subscribers, 475 wireless
• 281 state-of-the art Networks (GSMCDMA)
• 24 National Long Distance 19 ILD Licensees
• Lowest tariff but highest profitability.
• Lowest Call Rates in the World
• India ranks highest in Mobile monthly Minutes of
  Usages per subscriber in Asia Pacific Region and
  second to USA in the world.500 minutes per month
• Innovative approach of doing business at lowest
  operation costs.
• Innovative value added conceptsmissed calls,
  rural applications, lowest prepaid charge, per
  second billing
• www.cmai.asia

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Telecom Challenges Worldwide

• Incumbents v/s new operators
• Growth driven by operators rather than State
  Development Agencies
• Health and environmental concerns resulting in
  several law suits, myths and alarms.
• Consumer concerns on quality, tariff and after
  sale service issues.
• Use of telecom network by terrorists, ant social
  activities
• Technology misuse in all sorts of crime ranging
  from credit card fraud to data theft to simple
  defamation. Regulatory means for this and also to
  avoid unsecured wireless networks.
• Increasing awareness of restrictions sought for
  use of mobiles in schools, public areas, while
  driving, offices etc. For ex.
• New York banning cell phones in schools and
  Indian Parliament Committee examining need for
  reasonable restrictions in use of mobile.
• www.cmai.asia

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Convergence

• Tremendous convergence of the Information
  Technology is happening now a days. There was a
  time when handsets were used to make phone calls
  and talk to the people and desktops and laptops
  were used to surf the net. Now, the handset is
  being used via 3G technology, to do video
  conferencing, to talk to each other, to have
  night chats on handsets and we are using mobile
  to surf the net.
• There are more opportunities, now, for youth to
  find new and dynamic ideas, to be more creative,
  to participate in this ever changing dynamic
  sector.

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Technology Battles

• Telecom is characterized by Hype and Technology
  debates.
• At any given time there must be a live technology
  debate in telecom era.
• The question for network operators is no longer
  which technology is best--WiMAX or LTE--but which
  application will compel consumers and enterprises
  to upgrade to 4G. Will it be video? Or will it
  just be more bandwidth for the always-on,
  always-available wireless broadband connection
  that consumers have come to expect?
• www.cmai.asia

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Hype v/s reality

• Internet speed.India Govt. says 256 Kbps,
  vendors talk of 2 Mbps.as per TRAI no body even
  gets 256 Kbps.
• We hear faster speedbut what and under what
  conditionsno body declares
• There is no one in the world who knows for sure
  where we are heading or how we will get there.
• Hype LTE will provide about 50 Mbps data
  services. Fact Only in a lab where there is a 20
  MHz wide LTE system and there is only one user.
• www.cmai.asia

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LTE SPEEDhttp//www.fiercebroadbandwireless.com/s
tory/vodafone-no-lte-europe-2010/2009-07-09?utm_me
diumnlutm_sourceinternal

• Ericsson UK's CTO John Cunliffe,
• "The technical guys know that advertising those
  big speeds is damaging, but they're the numbers
  the marketing guys want to push,"
• "It's difficult, if one company is advertising
  the maximum speed, for another to then turn
  around and advertise the likely speed. It's going
  to need everybody to be honest."
• While the technology is theoretically capable of
  hitting 150 Mbps, Ericsson admits they are
  unlikely to be replicated in the real world. A
  company spokesman suggested users could see an
  improvement of around "10 times over their
  current experience on a 3.6 Mbps mobile broadband
  connection."
• Cunliffe said Ericsson's road map will see the
  vendor moving from 150 Mbps to 300 Mbps and then
  600 Mbps during the initial phase of LTE.
  Advanced versions of the technology will exceed 1
  Gbps, but that capability is a ways off.
  
• www.cmai.asia

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New Innovations costing others and now self?

• Almost every week a new application is announced
  which also aims to take additional revenue from
  existing others. And slowly it has started
  affecting the industry itself. Take example of
  Mobile VOIP
• Mobile VoIP is moving beyond its initial function
  as a new mechanism to get inexpensive
  international/local calls.
• MVNOs and 3G operators without legacy networks
  using Mobile VoIP to more cost effectively add
  voice to data offerings.
• While Mobile VoIP still poses a direct threat to
  operator voice revenue, it also represents a
  dynamic new capability that promises numerous
  applications.
• Skype and Vonage have influenced users to think
  of voice as a data application.
• As user habits are being shaped by rich on-line
  communication experiences, mobile carriers
  control over devices and data applications is
  waning.
• www.cmai.asia
• 
  

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Security Threats

• The speed with which criminals are capitalizing
  on world events, growing collaboration among
  cyber criminals and a growing threat from
  disgruntled former employees.
• Less than 24 hours after the news of Michael
  Jacksons death first broke, spammers had sent
  more than 5 billion spam emails, reaching a peak
  of more than 5 of global spam
• The creators of the Conflicker worm, which
  infected an estimated 9 million computers
  starting late last year, had established an
  agreement with the makers of the spambot,
  Waledac, to help monetize each others efforts in
  a partnership of product and distribution.
• RIM makers of blackberry says UAE Etisalat
  issued update during July, 2009 for increasing
  performance was actually spay ware. It could
  allow unauthorized access to private information
  and emails and it reduces drastically battery
  life.
• www.cmai.asia

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Mobile Global Data

• Mobile Connections expected to be 5.6 Bn.
  Globally during 2011, compared to 5 Bn.
  Connections during 2010(Gartner)
• By 2015 to be 7.4 Bn. by 2015, may be be more
  than 100 of global population.
• Global mobile data revenue to be 314.7 Bn. a
  22.5 increase from 257 billion in 2010. By
  2015, expected to hit 552 Bn. worldwide.

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Priorities for World

• Global Poverty inequality
• Inspite of quite phenomenal growth during last
  decade
• Almost half of the worlds population lives below
  the poverty line
• The lower 50 possess less than 1 of the worlds
  wealth
• Over a billion people suffer from chronic
  malnutrition
• Three billion do not have access to clean water
  or proper sanitation
• Along with poverty, inequality has risen
  dramatically and dangerously
• The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), adopted
  in 2000, were meant to solve these issues by
  2015. Not much hope to achieve that.
• Climate Change A SERIOUS ISSUE
• While climate change has been described as the
  greatest challenge (and threat) mankind has ever
  had to face, it could also be the greatest
  opportunity. It will ultimately stand out as the
  test of whether humanity can engage in
  collaborative survival or is doomed to
  conflictual destruction.
• Sustainable and inclusive development is
  possible. Are we ready to work for it?

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About CMAI

• CMAI prime Integrated Association of India
  representing all verticals of ICE, telecom sector
  of India in India having more than 54 MOUs with
  International organizations with branch offices
  in USA, UK, Japan, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan,
  China and Malaysia.
• It offers one window service for information
  dissemination, guidance on setting up businesses
  in India.
• It connects to Industries, Government, Trade and
  Business
• It is involved in policy formulations with
  Government and other stake holders for Technology
  Innovations, Indigenous manufacturing
• It is developing scientific knowledge and
  practical means for protecting human ecology and
  environment from the harmful effects of
  environmental hazards like e waste, radiation
  etc.
• It assists manufacturers to maximize
  competitiveness in the domestic and international
  markets.
• It also offers consultancy services on turn key
  basis through its member companies

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About CMAI

• With CMAI membership, you gain access,
  authority, and intelligence designed to help you
  to
• Protect interests when standards and policies are
  being formulated
• Engage peers regularly about market challenges or
  business opportunities
• Access timely news, information, and market
  intelligence
• Expand business to overseas markets efficiently
  and effectively
• Gain a competitive advantage through convergence
• Take the Lead on green initiatives in the ICTE
  Industry
• Participate in Indian and global Exhibitions,
  Seminars, Workshops
• www.cmai.asia

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THANKS

• Great Indian Opportunity
• THANKS
• WWW.CMAI.ASIA

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