Title: CASES
1CASES Cost Assessment for Sustainable Energy
Systems
2Outline of the presentation
- What is CASES
- Context
- Objectives
- Expected results
- Interactions with other projects
- The actors
- Organisation of work
- Work plan
- Description of Work Packages
- Description of dissemination activities
3What is CASES
- CASES is the acronyms of Cost assessment of
sustainable energy costs, which is an European
Commission funded Coordination Action. - A Coordination Action
- aims at promoting and supporting the
coordination, cooperation or networking of a
range of research and innovation projects or
operators for a specific objective, normally to
achieve improved integration and coordination of
European research for a fixed period of time.
4Context
- While effort has been devoted in recent years to
the estimation of the external costs of energy,
more attention is now being paid to the
examination of both the private and external
costs in one framework. - Energy policy making is concerned with both the
supply side and the demand side of energy
provision. - The geographical dimension is also important
since environmental damage from energy production
crosses national borders. - Costs are dynamic the private costs and the
external costs are changing with time, as
technologies develop, knowledge about impacts of
energy use on the environment increases and
individual preferences for certain environmental
and other values change. - The least well and least systematically covered
area of external cost is the one related to
energy security.
5Objectives
- CASES aims to evaluate policy options for
improving the efficiency of energy use,
underpinning this evaluation with a consistent
and comprehensive picture of the full cost of
energy, and to make this crucial knowledge
available to all stakeholders. - Detailed Objectives
- To compile estimates of full costs of the use of
different energy sources in EU and selected other
countries under agreed energy scenarios to 2030. - To use resulting datasets to undertake
comparative cost assessments of introducing
alternative policy options over the time period. - To disseminate research findings to energy
producers and users and to the policy makers.
6Expected results
- Objective One will produce
- Best predictions about the evolution of the
private costs of major technologies for
generating energy from different sources over the
next 25 years. - Best estimates of the major environmental
external costs of different types of energy in
different countries and how will these change in
the next 25 years. - Best estimates of the major energy security
related external costs of different types of
energy in different countries and of their
changes in the next 25 years. - Best estimates of the likely prices of major
sources of energy over the next 25 years. - Determination of the greatest uncertainties and
of the most relevant research directions for the
future.
7Expected results
- Objective Two will produce comparative
assessments of - the investment and operational costs of different
energy options taking account of only private
costs and taking account of private plus external
costs. This assessment is dynamic and will
provide the implications of different levels of
internalisation on the investment decisions and
on key social indicators. - the impacts of the use of different methods of
decision-making on the selection of projects -
e.g. cost-benefit analysis with externality
adders versus multi-criteria decision analysis
tools. - the implications of different taxes/charges on
energy and/or on emissions on (a) the degree of
internalisation and (b) the comparative cost
comparisons, now and over time.
8Expected results
- Objective Three will produce
- An interactive web site for the dissemination of
project related information (partnership,
activities and results, reports and deliverables,
useful policy documentation, etc). - An electronic mailing list to ensure prompt,
updated and easy communication on project news. - Two stakeholders workshops and a final conference
organised to present main results of the project.
9Interaction with other projects
- This Coordinated Action builds on the formidable
amount of research produced by several projects,
focused to measure the full costs of the use of
different energy sources such as fossil fuels,
nuclear energy and renewable energy sources. - CASES will interact with other projects to
assess energy scenarios, external costs and
private costs. - Former and current projects related to CASES
- Projects focused on External Costs of Energy
- ExternE, NewExt, ExternE-Pol, DIEM, ECOSIT,
INDES, MAXIMA. - Project focused on both the private and external
costs NEEDS. - Projects focused on energy scenarios Primes,
Poles, NEEDS. - Projects producing national energy models for non
EC countries Markal (India), AIM (India), IPAC
(China).
10Partners
- The Consortium of the CASESs Co-ordination
Action is composed by twenty-six partners
established in twenty States.
FEEM IT
ISIS IT
UBATH UK
NTUA GR
USTUTT/IER DE
UFLENS DE
VITO BE
CEPS BE
RISOE DK
OME FR
ECN NL
VU/IVM NL
WU NL
CIEMAT ES
SEI SE
UWARS PL
CUEC CZ
LEI LT
EAP BG
TUBITAK TR
SWECO NO
ECON NO
PSI CH
IIMA IN
ERI CHN
COPPETEC BR
11Organisation of work
12Work plan
13WP1 Electricity scenarios
- WP1 objective
- Provide electricity scenarios up to 2030 for
EU-25 countries, Bulgaria, Turkey, Brazil, India
and China. - WP1 partners
- OME France (coordinator).
- ECON Norway, FEEM Italy, EAP Bulgaria,
TUBITAK Turkey, COPPETEC Brazil, IIMA
India, ERI China. - WP1 description of work
Electricity scenarios by country and primary fuel
for 2010, 2020, 2030.
Parameters having direct influence on the
evolution of electricity demand.
Energy policy and other drivers for power supply
options.
14WP2 Human Health Related External Costs
- WP2 objectives
- Collection of life cycle emissions for
state-of-the-art conversion technologies. - Description of methodology for external costs
estimation (human health, materials, crops) and
Including methodologies for other areas
(eutrophication, acidification, land use change,
climate change) into framework and tools. - Calculation of marginal costs for
state-of-the-art technologies. - Organisation of a joint WP2-7 stakeholder
workshop. - WP2 partners
- USTUTT/IER Germany, (Coordinator).
- PSI Switzerland, ISIS Italy, COPPETEC
Brasil, IIMA India, ERI China, EAP
Bulgaria, TUBITAK Turkey.
15WP2 Human Health Related External Costs
- WP2 description of work
- Task 2.1 to identify and describe the pressures
to the environment stemming from the latest
state-of-the-art energy conversion technologies. - Task 2.2 to describe the current
state-of-the-art methodology to estimate external
costs. - Task 2.3 to incorporate the methodology to cover
land use change, acidification and
eutrophication, visual intrusion and climate
change into the methodology to generate external
cost estimates and into the ECOSENSE tool to
calculate marginal external costs. - Task 2.4 to demonstrate the application of the
methodology, by estimating external costs for the
different technologies at specific sites in
Germany. - Task 2.5 to organise a joint WPs 2-7 workshop
for stakeholders, to discuss the methodology to
calculate external and private costs and the
results for selected sites.
16WP2 Human Health Related External Costs
EcoSense Flowchart
Emission inventory
Air Quality Modelling
Valuation
Impact Assessment
Local Model
primary pollutants, local scale
Physical impacts
Concentration / Deposition fields
(e.g. increased mortality, crop losses)
- Emissions (NOx, SO2, NH3, NMVOC, primary
particles...) according to - Source
- Location
WTM
primary pollutants and acid species, regional
scale
Dose-effect models
Environmental damage costs
Receptor distribution
Monetary unit values
-
population
-
crop yield
-
building materials
SROM
Ozone formation, Regional scale
17WP3 Non human health related environmental costs
- WP3 objectives
- To update the estimates of non-human health
related environmental costs of different energy
sources based on life cycle impacts for EU and
non-EU countries with specific attention to new
impacts (acidification, eutrophication and
visual intrusion). - To discuss and confirm ranges of estimates of
environmental costs with representatives of
industry. - WP3 partners
- VU-IVM Holland (Coordinator).
- Sweco Grøner Norway and WU Holland.
18WP3 Non human health related environmental costs
- WP3 description of work
- This WP provides a critical review and updates
external cost estimates of energy-related impacts
on land use change, acidification,
eutrophication, visual intrusion and climate
change across Europe and for selected non-EU
countries. - Jointly with WP2 and WPs4-7, research findings
are presented and discussed in a stakeholder
workshop. Results on land use change,
acidification, eutrophication, visual intrusion
and climate change are shared with the
coordinator of WP2 to be included in the ECOSENSE
model.
19WP 4 Private Costs
- WP4 objectives
- Overview of existing heating technologies and
electricity generation plants in previous
studies. - Updating to the state-of-the-art technologies and
extending with technologies under development. - Determination of the levelised lifetime cost of
the heat and electricity generation technologies.
- Accomplishment of some sensitivity analysis for
different load factors, workers salaries and
annual energy production. - WP4 partners
- USTUTT/IER Germany (WP coordinator).
- VITO Belgium, COPPETEC Brasil, IIMA India,
ERI China, EAP Bulgaria, TUBITAK Turkey.
20WP5 Externalities of Energy Security
- WP5 objectives
- To derive estimates of externalities related to
energy supply insecurities for EU and other
selected countries. - To use estimates of externality costs in policy
assessment of measures addressing energy security
in the EU and other selected countries. - WP5 partners
- UBath United Kingdom (Coordinator).
- ECN Holland and CEPS Belgium.
- WP5 description of work
- Review and updating of existing estimates of
external costs of energy insecurity for primary
fuels. - Review of current estimates of values of loss of
load (VOLLs) of electricity for EU and other
selected countries. - Assessment of the policy options to reduce - and
insure against - the costs of energy insecurity,
by comparing costs of a number of policy options
with the benefits in terms of reduced energy
insecurity.
21WP 6 National Level Estimates of Energy Costs
in EU Countries
- WP6 objectives
- To develop a consistent set of national level
full costs estimates for the 25 EU countries for
different energy sources. - To develop a comparative full cost assessment and
a consistency analysis of the set of national
level full costs estimates. - WP6 partners
- FEEM Italy (WP coordinator).
- VITO Belgium, USTUTT/IER - Germany, UWARS -
Poland, LEI Lithuania, CIEMAT Spain, SEI -
Swede, CUEC Czech Republic, NTUA Greek.
22WP 6 National Level Estimates of Energy Costs
in EU Countries
Existing literature
New investigations
WP2 Private costs of energy production
WP3 Human health related external costs
WP5 Costs of energy security
WP4 Non-human health related external costs
WP6
WP1 Time dimension
WP12 Uncertainty dimension
Complete cost datasets. Fill in data gaps.
Calculate full (private external) cost for
different energy sources.
Compare full cost across countries. Compare full
cost composition.
23WP7 National Level Estimates of Energy Costs in
Non EU Countries
- WP7 objectives
- Develop a methodological framework for the
extraction of private and social costs of energy
fuel cycles in a set of non EU countries. - Derive new insights into the costs of fuel cycles
in EU as compared to the group of non EU
countries. - The group on non EU collaboration countries
Brazil, Bulgaria, China, India and Turkey. - WP7 partners
- RISOE, Risoe National Laboratory (WP
coordinator). - COPPETEC Brasil, IIMA India, ERI China, EAP
Bulgaria, TUBITAK Turkey. - WP7 description of work
- Estimates of private and social costs
- Twentyfive years time frame
- Based on available fuel cycle cost assessments
for the collaboration countries. - Two fuel cycles in each country
- Special focus on social costs of human health
impacts from pollution
24WP8 Assessment of policy instruments to
internalise environment-related external costs in
EU Member States, excluding renewables
- WP8 objectives
- Comparative assessment of investment and
operational costs of different energy options
taking account of only private costs and taking
account of private plus external costs. - Impact of the use of different methods of
decision-making on the selection of projects -
e.g. cost-benefit analysis with externality
adders versus multi-criteria decision analysis
tools. - Implications of different taxes/charges on energy
and/or on emissions on (a) the degree of
internalisation and (b) the comparative cost
comparisons, now and in the future. - Implications of different policies to reduce
energy insecurity on (a) the degree to which
energy security concerns are internalised and (b)
the comparative costs of different energy
sources, now and over time. - Comparison of the effectiveness of emissions
trading instruments for internalising
externalities versus the use of externality based
taxes.
25WP8 Assessment of policy instruments to
internalise environment-related external costs in
EU Member States, excluding renewables
- WP8 partners
- VITO - Belgium (WP coordinator).
- FEEM - Italy, NTUA Greek, ISIS Italy, PSI
Switzerland. - WP8 description of work
- Task 8.1 Synopsis of all relevant policy
instruments for non-renewable energy sources and
systems used by EU Member States. - Task 8.2 Analysis of the extent to which
different policy instruments succeed to
internalise external costs of fossil fuels and
nuclear energy with reference to 2010, 2020, 2030
scenarios of energy use provided by WP1. - Task 8.3 Analysis of policy linkages for fossil
fuels use reduction and GHG emissions trading
regimes. - Task 8.4 Development of suggestions for an
integrated EU policy and to improve the
instruments to achieve an extensive
internalisation of the external costs of the use
of fossil fuels and nuclear energy. An analysis
of the hidden costs of the implementation of
different policy instruments for internalisation
of external costs of fossil fuels and nuclear
energy is carried out.
26WP9 Policy Assessment of Instruments to
Internalise Environment Related External Costs in
EU Member States, via Promotion of Renewables
- WP9 objectives
- Provide overview of instruments used to stimulate
the use of renewables. - Compare different instruments with respect to
degree of internalisation achieved. - Analyse social and fiscal implication of
different instruments especially on poor and
vulnerable groups. - Suggest modifications to minimize negative and
maximise positive impacts. - Analyse hidden costs of implementation.
- Investigate stakeholder preferences.
27WP9 Policy Assessment of Instruments to
Internalise Environment Related External Costs in
EU Member States, via Promotion of Renewables
- WP9 partners
- UFLENS Germany (WP coordinator).
- FEEM Italy, NTUA Greek, RISOE Denmark.
- WP9 description of work
- Synopsis of all relevant policy instruments.
- Analysis of extent of success of internalisation
and of future success 2010, 2020, 2030. - Analysis of linkages between Renewable Energy
policies and GHG emissions trading. - Analysis of social and fiscal implications.
- Development of suggestions to improve policy
measures and for an integrated EU policy. - Analysis of the hidden costs of implementation.
28WP10 Assessment of policy instruments to
internalise environment-related external costs in
non-EU Member States
- WP 10 objectives
- To assess policy instruments to internalise
externalities in non EU Member States, via
promotion of renewables, focusing on Turkey,
Bulgaria, India, China and Brazil. - To investigate stakeholders preferences for
policy instruments to promote renewable energy
sources through Stakeholders Workshop 2. - WP 10 partners
- UBATH United Kingdom (WP coordinator).
- NTUA - Greek, COPPETEC Brasil, IIMA India,
ERI China, EAP Bulgaria, TUBITAK Turkey.
29WP10 Assessment of policy instruments to
internalise environment-related external costs in
non-EU Member States
- WP 10 description of work
- Task 10.1 Synopsis of policy instruments for the
promotion of renewables in non-EU Countries. - Task 10.2 Comparison of instruments used in
non-EU Countries with those used in EU-Countries
for the internalisation of externalities in the
production of energy. - Task 10.3 Analysis of the extent to which
different policy instruments succeed in
internalising the net external benefits of
renewables in year 2010, 2020, 2030. - Task 10.4 Analysis of the social and fiscal
implications of different internalisation
instruments, focusing on the impacts on the most
vulnerable groups in society and on the fiscal
burdens created by some instruments working
through positive incentive schemes on the basis
of government payments. - Task 10.5 Suggestions to reduce negative social
and fiscal impacts of instruments while
increasing their power to achieve an extensive
internalisation analysis of the hidden costs of
the implementation of different policy
instruments for the internalisation of net
external benefits of renewables.
30WP11 Methods of assessment
- WP11 objectives
- To perform a comparative analysis of policy
assessment methods and identify common grounds
and linkages. - To provide guidelines for the dynamic
implementation of policy assessment methods. - To provide tools and support for implementing
methods in WPs 8-10 with the involvement of
energy suppliers and other stakeholders. - To estimate implied monetary equivalents for
non-monetised impacts. - WP11 partners
- NTUA Greek (WP coordinator).
- UBATH United Kingdom, VITO - Belgium, UFLENS
Germany.
31WP11 Methods of assessment
- WP11 description of work
- Task 11.1 to review Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA),
Cost Effectiveness Analysis (CEA), Multi-Criteria
Decision Analysis (MCDA) techniques/tools and
successful applications in energy and
environmental policy making. - Task 11.2 to set up guidelines for using CBA,
CEA and MCDA in policy assessment, with emphasis
on integrating dynamic aspects in multi-criteria
assessment. - Task 11.3 to set up tools for implementing
assessment methods in an interactive and dynamic
way. - Task 11.4 to extend and improve the methodology
for deriving monetary equivalents for
non-monetised impacts through individual
preferences elicited in MCDA. - Task 11.5 to organise a seminar for WPs 8-10
partners. - Task 11.6 to adapt the tools to the specific
context and data of WPs 8-10, testing the tools
through electronic communication and in partners
meetings. - Task 11.7 to participate in stakeholders
workshop 2 and to elaborate results providing
policy input.
32WP12 Uncertainties
- WP12 objectives
- To evaluate the uncertainties of the costs (both
private and external) estimated in this project. - To evaluate the effect of these uncertainties on
policy decisions and the social costs if the
wrong policy choices are made because of errors
or uncertainties in the estimation of the costs
estimated in this project. - To evaluate the benefit of reducing the
uncertainties by further research . -
- WP12 partners
- ECN Holland (WP coordinator) and FEEM Italy.
- Description of work
- Task 12.1 to review, update and complete the
estimation of uncertainties. - Task 12.2 to assess the effect of the
uncertainties on different levels of
internalisation. - Task 12.3 to evaluate effect of uncertainties on
energy choices. - Task 12.4 to evaluate benefit of reducing the
uncertainties by further research.
33WP13 Management and Coordination
- WP13 objectives
- To ensure the efficient co-ordination and
management of the project, both in terms of
scientific co-ordination and administrative
management - To review and assess project results and progress
towards the objectives - To carry out full communication and dissemination
on the project activities and findings. - WP13 partners
- FEEM Italy (project coordinator)
- UBATH United Kingdom (deputy coordinator)
- Description of work
- Task 13.1 Project management and coordination
activities - Task 13.2 Project review and assessment
- Task 13.3 Project communication and
dissemination activities
34Description of dissemination activities
- Dissemination of research outputs is a key
objective to maximize the impact of the project
activities. - The dissemination strategy will be implemented
through a range of means to reach the highest
number of end-users. - Target EU/international research community,
policy sphere, business, public at large. - Dissemination means
- Interactive web site http//www.feem-project.net/
cases/ - Electronic Mailing List and Electronic Newsletter
- Project events
- 2 Stakeholders Workshops and the Final Conference
- Other conferences and workshops, seminars
- Publications
- FEEM Working Paper series
- Peer-reviewed scientific journals
- Book
35 corso Magenta 63 20123 Milano - Italy tel 39
02 5203.6934 fax 39 02 5203.6946 web http/
/www.feem.it