Title: International Finance
1International Finance
2World Financial Markets and Institutions
- International Banking and Money Market
- International Bond Market
- International Equity Markets
- Futures and Options on Foreign Exchange
- Currency and Interest Rate Swaps
- International Portfolio Investment
3Futures Contracts
- A futures contract specifies that a certain
currency will be __________ for another at a
specified time in the future at prices specified
today. - A futures contract is different from a forward
contract - Futures are standardized contracts trading on
organized exchanges with daily resettlement
through a clearinghouse. - Standardizing Features
- __________ Size
- __________ Month
- Daily __________
- ________ requirements (initial, maintenance
margins)
4Currency Futures Markets
- The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is by far
the largest. - Others include
- The Philadelphia Board of Trade (PBOT)
- The MidAmerica Commodities Exchange
- The Tokyo Financial Exchange
- The London International Financial Futures
Exchange (LIFFE)
5 After Hours Trading
- __________ -hours trading on CME GLOBEX runs from
230 p.m. to 400 p.m dinner break and then back
at it from 600 p.m. to 600 a.m. CST. - Singapore Exchange (SGX) offers contracts.
- There are other markets, but none are close to
CME and SGX trading volume.
6Daily Resettlement An Example
- Suppose you want to speculate on a rise in the
/ exchange rate (specifically you think that
the dollar will appreciate).
Currently __________. The 3-month forward price
is __________.
7Daily Resettlement
- Currently 1 140 and it appears that the
dollar is strengthening. - If you enter into a 3-month futures contract to
sell at the rate of 1 150 you will make
money if the yen depreciates. The contract size
is 12,500,000 - You do not have to have now, either way you
have committed yourself to sell 12,500,000 and
receive in exchange 12,500,000 1/150 /
_________ - Your initial margin is 4 of the contract value
8Daily Resettlement
- On Thursday the futures rate closes at 1 149,
then your positions value drops. Heres why. - Your have a short position in . The
mark-to-market profit/loss for short position
is_______. - That is, you have lost ________overnight
- The 559.28 comes out of your 3,333.33 margin
account, leaving 2,774.05
9 Reading a Futures Quote
Highest and lowest prices over the lifetime of
the contract.
Daily Change
Closing price
Lowest price that day
Highest price that day
Opening price
Number of open contracts
Expiry month
10Currency Futures Trading Example
- CAN futures contract expiring on June 14 trades
on CME at US0.7761 on January 9. On the last
trading day of the contract in June the spot rate
is US0.7570. The contract size is CAN100,000. - What is the profit/loss for a trader who took a
long position in the contract on January 9? - What is the profit/loss for a trader who took a
short position in the contract on January 9?
11Currency Futures Trading Example
12Eurodollar Interest Rate Futures
- Widely used futures contract for hedging
short-term U.S. dollar interest rate risk. - The underlying asset is a 1,000,000 90-day
Eurodollar depositthe contract is __________. - Traded on the CME and the Singapore International
Monetary Exchange. - Eurodollar futures prices are stated as an index
number of three-month LIBOR calculated as F
100 LIBOR. - For example, if the closing price F is 98.23, the
implied yield is 5.77 percent __________ - Hedging/speculation just like with forwards,
except standardized amounts and daily resettlement
13Example
- The size of a yen futures contract at CME is 12.5
million yen. The initial margin is 2,025 per
contract and the maintenance margin is 1,500.
You decide to buy ten contracts with maturity on
June 17, at the current futures price of
0.01056. Today is April 1 and the spot rate is
0.01041. Indicate cash flows on your position if
the following prices are subsequently observed.
April 1 April 2 April 3 April 4 June 16 June 17
Spot, /Y 0.01041 0.01039 0.01000 0.01150 0.01150 0.01100
Futures, /Y 0.01056 0.01054 0.01013 0.01160 0.01151 0.01100
14Example solved
April 1 April 2 April 3 April 4 June 16 June 17
Spot, /Y 0.01041 0.01039 0.01000 0.01150 0.01150 0.01100
Futures, /Y 0.01056 0.01054 0.01013 0.01160 0.01151 0.01100
Gain/Loss
Margin before CF
CF from investor
Margin after CF
15Example
- It is 1 April now and current 3-month LIBOR is
6.25. Eurodollar futures contracts are traded on
CME with size of 1 million at 93.280 with June
delivery. The initial margin is 540 and the
maintenance margin is 400. You are a corporate
treasurer and you know your company will have to
pay 10 million in cash for goods that will be
delivered on June 17. You will sell the goods for
profit, but you will not receive payment until
September 17. Thus, you know you will have to
borrow 10 million for 3 months in June. - What is the forward rate implicit in the
Eurodollar futures price? - How to lock in 3-month borrowing rate for June 17
using Eurodollar futures? - On June 17, the Eurodollar futures is quoted at
91, and the current Eurodollar rate is 9. You
close your position at that time. What are your
cash flows?
16Example solved
- Implicit rate __________ __________ Note that
forward rate 6.72 gt spot 6.25, term structure
__________ sloping - You will have to borrow 10 million for 3 months
as you know. Borrow __________ instruments.
Borrow in the future and lock in the rate
__________. You __________ Eurodollar contracts. - Interest rates ____________________
- Your profit from the short position in the
futures contracts is _____________________________
_. - Your borrowing cost is ____________________
___ - Your total borrowing CF _______ _______
168,000. For 3 months borrowing
you pay ________ __________ 1.68 Convert this
into per annum __________________
17Options Contracts
- An option gives the holder __________, but not
the obligation, to buy or sell a given quantity
of an asset in the future, at prices agreed upon
today. - Call vs. Put options. Call/Put options gives the
holder the right, to buy/sell a given quantity of
some asset at some time in the future, at prices
agreed upon today. - European vs. American options.
- European options can only be exercised __________
expiration date. American options can be
exercised at any time up to and including the
expiration date. - Since this option to exercise early generally has
value, American options are usually __________
than European options, other things equal.
18 Options Contracts
- In-the-money options
- Profitable to exercised __________
- At the money options
- Profit 0 if exercised __________
- Out of the money options
- __________ if exercised under the options terms
- Intrinsic Value
- In the money The difference between the exercise
price of the option and the spot price of the
__________ asset. - Out of the money __________
19Currency Options Markets
- Currency
- 20-hour trading day.
- __________ is much bigger than exchange volume.
- Trading is in six major currencies against the
U.S. dollar. - View standard specifications from PHLX
- Options on currency futures
- Options on a currency futures contract. Exercise
of a currency futures option results in a long
futures position for the ________of a call or the
__________of a put. - Exercise of a currency futures option results in
a short futures position for the __________ of a
call or the __________ of a put.
20Basic Relationships at Expiry
- At expiry, an American call option is worth the
same as a European option with the same
characteristics. - If the call is in-the-money, it is worth
__________ - If the call is out-of-the-money, it is
__________. - CaT CeT MaxST - E, 0
- At expiry, an American put option is worth the
same as a European option with the same
characteristics. - If the put is in-the-money, it is worth _______
- If the put is out-of-the-money, it is _______.
- PaT PeT MaxE - ST, 0
21 Basic Option Profit Profiles
Call. Long position (_____). If the call is
in-the-money, it is worth ST E. If the call is
out-of-the-money, it is worthless and the buyer
of the call loses his entire investment of
c0. Call. Short position (_____). If the call is
in-the-money, the writer loses ST E. If the
call is out-of-the-money, the writer keeps the
option premium.
- Put. Long position (______). If the put is
in-the-money, it is worth E ST. If the put is
out-of-the-money, it is worthless and the buyer
of the put loses his entire investment of p0. - Put. Short position (______). If the put is
in-the-money, it is worth E ST. If the put is
out-of-the-money, it is worthless and the seller
of the put keeps the option premium of p0.
22American Option Pricing
- With an American option, you can do everything
that you can do with a European optionthis
option to exercise early has value. - CaT gt CeT MaxST - E, 0
- PaT gt PeT MaxE - ST, 0
23Market Value, Time Value and Intrinsic Value for
an American Call
The black line shows the _________ at maturity
(not profit) of a call option. Note that even an
out-of-the-money option has value________________
__.
24Example
- Calculate the payoff at expiration for a call
option on the euro in which the underlying is
0.90 at expiration, the option is on EUR 62,500,
and the exercise price is - 0.75
- 0.95
25Example
- Calculate the payoff at expiration for a put
option on the euro in which the underlying is
0.90 at expiration, the option is on EUR 62,500,
and the exercise price is - 0.75
- 0.95
26Example
- Calculate the payoff at expiration for a call
option on a currency futures contract in which
the underlying is at 1.13676 at expiration, the
futures contract is for CAN1,000,000 and the
exercise price is - 1.13000
- 1.14000
27Example
- Calculate the payoff at expiration for a put
option on a currency futures contract in which
the underlying is at 1.13676 at expiration, the
futures contract is for CAN1,000,000 and the
exercise price is - 1.13000
- 1.14000
28Pricing currency options
- Bounds on option prices are imposed by arbitrage
conditions (ignore in this course) - Exact pricing formulas (theoretical)
- Lattice models, for example binomial model
(ignore for now) - Pricing based on continuous time modeling and
stochastic calculus (mathematics used in modeling
heat transfers, flight dynamics, and
semiconductors). No derivations here. More
_________ than binomial. - Idea model evolution of the underlying assets
price in ____________ time (i.e. not
week-by-week) and calculate expected value of the
option payoff.
29Currency Option Pricing
r the interest rate (foreign or domestic), T
time to expiration, years S current exchange
rate, E exercise exchange rate, DC/FC
30Example
- Consider a 4-month European call option on GBP in
the US. The current exchange rate is 1.6000, the
exercise price is 1.6000, the riskless rate in
the US is 8 and in the UK is 11. The volatility
is 20. What is the call price?
31Example
- Consider a 2-month European put option on GBP in
the US. The current exchange rate is 1.5800, the
exercise price is 1.6000, the riskless rate in
the US is 8 and in the UK is 11. The volatility
is 15. What is the put price?
32Put-call parity for currency options
33 Option Value Determinants
Call Put 1. Exchange rate
2. Exercise price
3. Interest rate at home
4. Interest rate in other country 5. Variability
in exchange rate 6. Expiration date The
value of a call option C0 must fall within max
(S0 E, 0) lt C0 lt S0. The precise position
will depend on the above factors.
34 Empirical Tests
- The European option pricing model works fairly
well in pricing American currency options. - It works best for ______________ and
_______________ options. - When options are in-the-money, the European
option pricing model tends to _____________
American options.
35World Financial Markets and Institutions
- International Banking and Money Market
- International Bond Market
- International Equity Markets
- Futures and Options on Foreign Exchange
- Currency and Interest Rate Swaps
- International Portfolio Investment
36Preliminaries
- In Corp Fi we learn how to package debt and/or
equity financing (_____________). - Now assume that we have done so, i.e., the
optimal capital structure is in place. For a MNC
this is a _________________________ securities
denominated in different currencies with some
being ________________. - Question How a non-financial corporation can
manage this complex exposure?
37Risk exposures
- MNEs are exposed to a variety of risks
- Interest rate
- Currency
- Business Cycle
- Inflation
- Commodity
- Industry
- We have so far focused only on currency risk.
- Now extend to _____________________
- Both asset and liability sides of a MNC is
exposed to it (think of ____________ and _____
that MNEs hold on the _____________).
38Risk exposures
- Corporate floating-rate loans are the dominant
financing instrument - Two types of risks with loans
- Credit risk
- Re-pricing risk
- Task is to measure the impact of the risks on the
cost of debt and come up with suitable hedging
strategy
39Motivation for Swaps
- A UK firm wants to convert ______________ into
________________ to offset its revenues from US
sales - The UK firms alternatives include
- A ___________ in US dollars
- A ____________ that trades floating-rate debt
for the fixed-rate debt of a U.S. company
40Parallel Loan
British Petroleum
Ford
Citigroup
HSBC
BPUS
FordUK
41Parallel loans provided accessto new capital
markets
- Parallel loan Borrow in ________________ and
then trade for the debt of a foreign counterparty
- Provided access to new capital markets
- Legally _________________ on cross-border
currency transactions - Provided ___________________ for foreign
subsidiaries - May lower the firms _________________
42Problems with parallel loans
- The foreign counterparty may have _______________
- Parallel loans ___________________ on the balance
sheet - Search costs can be _______
43The swap contract
- Solution Package the parallel loans into a
single legal agreement called the ______________ - Reduced the default risk of parallel loans via
the _______________ (if one party defaults, the
other is automatically freed from its obligation) - Swaps _____________________ on the balance sheet
- High swap volume led to ___________
44Development of the swaps market
- 1981
- ______________ engineers the first currency swap
between the _____________ and _____ - Early 1980s
- Customized, low-volume, high-margin deals
- Late 1980s and 1990s
- Commercial and investment banks begin to serve as
swaps dealers - Swaps turn into a ___________, ____________,
_____________ business - Volume and liquidity grow
45 Swap Market
- In 2001 the notional principal of
- Interest rate swaps was 58,897,000,000,000.
- Currency swaps was 3,942,000,000,000
- The most __________ currencies are
- US, JPY, Euro, SFr, GBP
- A ___________ is a generic term to describe a
financial institution that facilitates swaps
between counterparties. It can serve as either a
broker or a dealer. - A broker ___________ counterparties but does not
assume any of the risks of the swap. - A dealer ____________ to accept either side of a
currency swap, and thus may assume exchange rate
risk.
46 Size of the Swap Market
47Swaps
- A swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows at
___________________ according to certain
specified rules (traded on OTC) - Notional Principal
- Counterparties _________ and ________________
(market makers)
48Swaps
- Interest Rate Swaps
- Currency Swaps
- Basket Swaps swap a currency for a weighted
basket of other currencies. The basket is chosen
to _________________ of a MNC.
49Interest rate swaps
- Interest rate swap
- Similar to a currency swap, but cash flows in a
_____________ are exchanged - A _________________ is paid during the life of
the swap - The __________________ is not usually swapped
50An Example of a Plain Vanilla Interest Rate Swap
- An agreement by Microsoft to _________
___________ pay a _______________ every 6
months for 3 years on a notional principal of
100 million - Next slide illustrates cash flows
- Note that in practice Fixed Rates are on
__________ or __________ basis whereas Floating
Rates are on _________ basis.
51Cash Flows to Microsoft
---------Millions of Dollars---------
LIBOR
FLOATING
FIXED
Net
Date
Rate
Cash Flow
Cash Flow
Cash Flow
Mar.5, 2008
4.2
Sept. 5, 2008
4.8
2.10
2.50
0.40
Mar.5, 2009
5.3
2.40
2.50
0.10
Sept. 5, 2009
5.5
2.65
2.50
0.15
Mar.5, 2010
5.6
2.75
2.50
0.25
Sept. 5, 2010
5.9
2.80
2.50
0.30
Mar.5, 2011
6.4
2.95
2.50
0.45
52Typical Uses of anInterest Rate Swap
- Converting a liability from
- _______________________
- _______________________
- Converting an investment from
- _____________________
- _____________________
53Banc One Swaps
- Backus, Telmer and Clapper (94) describe Banc
Ones use of interest rate swaps. - According to Bankers Magazine 1991, Banc One
viewed itself as McDonalds of retail banking - 80s and 90s saw its rapid growth through
acquisitions of banks all over US - Franchises were decentralized which led to
___________________________________ gt
_______________________________.
54Banc One Swaps
- Backus, Telmer and Clapper (94) computed the
exposure - 1 drop in interest rates in early 90s would
lead to ______________________ - Solution by Banc One
- ___________________________, mostly ______, with
notional principal 40 bil.
55How does it work?
- Example
- If assets are ________ to R gt financing with
fixed-rate debt __________________ - This is because firms bottom line is
- _____________________ (long in a riskless
security and short in a risky) - What happens _______ gt _______ gt ___________.
- Hedge by a swap _____________ ________________.
56Back to Intel and Microsoft (MS) Transform a
Liability
5.2
Intel
MS
LIBOR0.1
57A Dealer is Involved
5.2
Intel
MS
LIBOR0.1
58The Comparative Advantage Argument
- AAACorp wants to borrow __________
- BBBCorp wants to borrow __________
- Swap Dealer will charge 4 basis points.
59The AAA-BBB Swap when a Financial Institution is
Involved
10
AAA
F.I.
BBB
LIBOR1
60The Comparative Advantage Argument
- We are not comparing ____________, rather
_________________ from a single companys point
of view - AAA Corp has a comparative advantage in
_________________ markets - BBB Corp has a comparative advantage in
______________ markets
61Criticism of the Comparative Advantage Argument
- The 10.0 and 11.2 rates available to AAA Corp
and BBB Corp in fixed rate markets are
_________________ - The LIBOR0.3 and LIBOR1 rates available in
the floating rate market are _______________ - Floating Spread smaller than Fixed Spread may
just reflect that _________________ of the BBB
company ______________ than those of AAA - BBB Corps fixed rate depends on the
___________________ it borrows at in the future
62Another Example of an Interest Rate Swap
- Consider this example of a plain vanilla
interest rate swap. - Bank A is a AAA-rated international bank located
in _______. and wishes to raise 10,000,000 to
finance floating-rate Eurodollar loans. Two
alternatives - 5-year fixed-rate Eurodollar bonds at 10 percent.
- It would make more sense for the bank to issue
floating-rate notes at LIBOR to finance
floating-rate Eurodollar loans.
63Example of an Interest Rate Swap
- Firm B is a BBB-rated __________. It needs
10,000,000 to finance an investment with a
five-year economic life. Two alternatives - Issuing 5-year fixed-rate Eurodollar bonds at
11.75 percent. - Alternatively, firm B can raise the money by
issuing 5-year floating-rate notes at LIBOR ½
percent. - Firm B would prefer to borrow at a fixed rate.
64Example of an Interest Rate Swap
- The borrowing opportunities of the two firms are
65Example of an Interest Rate Swap
Swap Bank
Company B
Bank A
LIBOR 1/8 LIBOR ¼ 1/8 10 ½ - 10 3/8
1/8 ¼
66Example of an Interest Rate Swap
Swap Bank
Bank A
10
67Example of an Interest Rate Swap
Heres whats in it for B
Swap Bank
Company B
LIBOR ½
68The Quality Spread Differential
- The Quality Spread Differential represents the
potential gains from the swap that can be shared
between the counterparties and the swap bank. - QSD Fixed Differential Floating Differential
- There is no reason to presume that the gains will
be shared ____________. - In the above example, company B is less
credit-worthy than bank A, so they probably would
have gotten less of the QSD, in order to
compensate the swap bank for the default risk.
69Example
- Determine the upcoming payment in a plain vanilla
interest rate swap in which the notional
principal is 70 million Euro. The end user makes
semi-annual fixed 7 payments, and the dealer
makes semi-annual floating payments at Euribor,
which was 6.25 on the last settlement period.
The floating payments are made on the basis of
180 days in the settlement period and 360 days in
a year. The fixed payments are made on the basis
180 days in the settlement period and 365 days in
a year. Payments are netted, determine which
party pays and what amount.
70Example
- A US company enters into an interest rate swap
with a dealer. In this swap, the notional
principal is 50 million and the company will pay
a floating rate of LIBOR and receive a fixed rate
of 5.75. Interest is paid semiannually and the
current LIBOR is 5.15. The floating rate are
made on the basis of 180/360 and the fixed rate
payments are made on the basis of 180/365.
Calculate the first payment and indicate which
party pays.
71Interest rate swap valuation
- You can represent a swap as a bond portfolio or a
series of FRAs. We use bond portfolio
representation. - From the point of view of floating-rate payer,
this is a long position in the fixed rate bond
and short position in the floating rate bond. - ______________________
- From the point of view of fixed-rate payer, this
is a long position in the floating rate bond and
short position in the fixed rate bond. - ______________________
- Immediately after the interest payment, the
floating rate bond is worth exactly the notional
amount
72Example
- Consider a financial institution that pays LIBOR
0.25 and receives 10.50 p.a. (annual
compounding) from a swap end user on a notional
principal of 10 million. The swap has remaining
life of 4 years. The fixed rates have fallen from
10.5 to 9 and the swap end user wants to get
out of the deal. How much should the financial
institution charge for the right to cancel the
agreement?
73An Example of a Currency Swap
- An agreement to pay 11 on a sterling
principal of 10,000,000 receive 8 on a US
principal of 15,000,000 every year for 5 years
74Exchange of Principal
- In an interest rate swap the principal is
_____________ - In a currency swap the principal is __________ at
the __________ and the ______ of the swap.
75The Cash Flows IBM pays fixed 11 in sterling and
receives 8 in USD
76Typical Uses of a Currency Swap
- Conversion from a liability in one currency to a
liability in another currency - Conversion from an investment in one currency to
an investment in another currency
77Comparative Advantage Arguments for Currency Swaps
- General Motors wants to ____________
- Qantas wants to ______________
- Dealer charges 10 basis points.
USD
AUD
General Motors
5.0
12.6
Qantas
7.0
13.0
78The Swap when a Dealer is Involved
USD 5
GM
Qantas
AUD 13
79Swap Market Quotations
- Swap banks will tailor the terms of interest rate
and currency swaps to customers needs - They also make a market in plain vanilla swaps
and provide quotes for these. Since the swap
banks are dealers for these swaps, there is a
___________________.
80Variations of Basic Currency and Interest Rate
Swaps
- Currency Swaps
- fixed for _______
- fixed for _______
- floating for __________
- Interest Rate Swaps
- __________for floating
- _________ for floating
81 Risks of Interest Rate and Currency Swaps
- Interest Rate Risk
- Interest rates might move against the
____________ after it has only gotten half of a
swap on the books, or if it has an unhedged
position. - Basis Risk
- If the floating rates of the two counterparties
are not pegged to the same ___________ (i.e.
LIBOR) - Exchange rate Risk
82Swap Market Efficiency
- Swaps offer ______________________ and that has
accounted for their existence and growth. - Swaps assist in tailoring financing to the type
desired by a particular borrower. - Since not all types of debt instruments are
available to all types of borrowers, both
counterparties can benefit (as well as the swap
dealer) through financing that is more
_____________ for their asset maturity structures.
83Example
- A US company can issue a US-denominated bond but
needs to borrow in GBP. Consider a currency swap
in which the US company pays a fixed rate in the
foreign currency, GBP, and the counterparty pays
a fixed rate in US. The notional principals are
50 million and GBP 30 million, and the fixed
rates are 5.6 in US and 6.25 in GBP. Both sets
of payments are made on the basis of 30 days per
month, 365 days per year, and the payments are
made semi-annually. - What are the following cash flows (i) initial,
(ii) semi-annual, (iii) final
84Valuation of currency swaps
- Currency swaps can be represented as bond
portfolios or a series of forwards. We use bond
representation. - From the point of view of foreign currency payer
(domestic currency receiver), this is a long
position in the domestic bond and short position
in the foreign bond. - ________________________________________________
- From the point of view of domestic currency payer
(foreign currency receiver), this is a long
position in the foreign bond and short position
in the domestic bond. - ________________________________________________
85Example
- In Japan term structure of interest rates is flat
at 4 and in the US it is 9. A financial
institution has entered into a currency swap in
which it receives 5 p.a. in JPY and pays 8 p.a.
in USD once a year. The principals are 10
million and JPY 1,200 million. The swap will last
for another 3 years, and the current JPY/USD
exchange rate is JPY 110. What is the value of
this swap for the financial institution?
86Swaptions
- An option to enter into swap
- Types
- Payer swaption
- Gives the right to enter into a swap as a
_________ rate payer and __________ rate receiver - Equivalent to ___________ option
- Receiver swaption
- Gives the right to enter into a swap as a
__________ rate payer and ___________ rate
receiver - Equivalent to ___________ option