Title: Habitat Fragmentation Lecture 2 Outline
1Habitat Fragmentation Lecture 2 Outline
- Modeling future landscapes
- Fragments project case study
- Connectivity
- Impacts of roads
- Evaluating impacts of roads
- (corridors will be covered in reserve design)
2Landscape change on the Palouse
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4Landscape Modeling Approaches
- Survey-based
- Assumes landowners plans match their actions and
can be predicted using landscape variables - Spatially explicit
- Short time frame
- Emphasizes the impacts of individuals
- Trend-based
- Assumes historical trajectories will continue
unchanged - Primarily aspatial
- Long time frame
- Emphasizes broad-scale trends
Also can model based on future climates
5Objectives
- Compare survey and historically-based models of
landscape change in Latah and Benewah counties - Investigate results of alternative policy
scenarios for Conservation Reserve Program (CRP)
and forest thinning - Investigate different county zoning laws
6Study Area
Moscow
7Landowner Surveys (N 442, 54 return rate)
Policies
CRP
Agriculture
8Non-industrial private parcel
Forest Stand Initiation / Shrub (FOR-SI)
Conservation Reserve Program (CRP)
Agriculture (AG)
Low-density Forest (FOR-LO)
High-density Forest (FOR-HI)
Forest (FOR)
Residential Development (DEV)
Other Land Use / Land Covers
9Trend-based model
Markov transition matrix from pairs of historical
maps (IDRISI Andes software)
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13change
14Baseline
Probability of parcel subdivision development
Landowner-reported transition probabilities were
modeled across all ownership parcels using
spatial variables.
15Growth boundary
Transition probability adjustment
Distance to nearest city (km)
16Agriculture protection
Parcels with gt75 of productive soils (NRCS)
assigned probability of 0 Original probability
for excluded parcels re-assigned to nearest
developable parcel of similar size
17Conservation Scenario
- Protects 10 of land parcels with highest
biodiversity value based on - Palouse prairie habitat
- Sensitive plant habitat
- Wildlife species of concern that are dependent on
grassland - Winter range of elk, mule deer
18Ecological Implications Goldberg et al
2011 Conservation Letters
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21Questions?
22Biological Dynamics of Forest Fragmentation
Project (BDFFP)
Initiated in 1979, WWF and Brazilian Institute
for Research
500,000 ha Brazilian Rainforest
23Fragment Project
Surveyed trees, birds, mammals Amphibians, some
invertebrates Before fragmentation
- In early 1980s converted rainforest to pasture.
Made five 1 ha fragments, four 10 ha fragments,
two 100 ha fragments. - Isolation distances of 80 - 650 m
Currently there are over 350 publications from
this project.
24Laurance et al 2002Cons Bio 16605-618.
- Summarized results from 22 years of research on
the Fragments Project
12 major findings
251. Species Richness correlated with fragment size.
262. Extinction rates are negatively correlated
with fragment size.
- (bigger fragments lower probability of
extinction)
- demonstrated for birds, large mammals and
butterflies - Why?
273. Some taxa remain stable or increase.For
example small mammals, butterflies and
amphibiansWhy?
284. There are many forms of edge
effects.Examples?
295. The matrix is important.
- If forest regrows 5 - 10 m
- - decrease in tree mortality
- - Fewer changes in microclimate
- - Increase in bird use
Matrix can be very hostile - matrix can become
population sink - hunting pressure can be very
high in matrix
306. Distance between patches is important.
- Creation of metapopulations
- Most Amazon animals have no prior experience, no
evolutionary exposure to forest clearings.
317. Hyperdynamics are observed.
- An accelerated rate of change in ecosystem
processes.
Disturbances Population dynamics
(lambda) Predator prey dynamics
328. Hyperabundance Effects
- crowding on the ark
- Increase in edge and matrix adapted species
- Increase in prey because of decrease in
predators - Mesocarnivore release
33- Soulé et al. 1988, Conserv. Biol. 2(1) 75-92
- Surveyed 37 isolated fragments of chaparral
canyon habitat in San Diego county for native
bird species. Fragments ranged in size from 0.4
to 104 ha.
Smaller fragments had Significantly lower bird
species richness and abundance. Why?
Coyote Presence Coyotes limit fox, raccoon,
skunk, opossum and most importantly, domestic
cat populations.
349. Changes in Species Composition
- generalist frogs
- light-loving butterflies
- open-forest bats
- palms
- Africanized honeybees
- other insects
3510. Change in trophic structure - change
relative abundance of taxa - large-bodied
predators decline - generalist herbivores and
omnivores increase
3611. Pollination Effects- decrease in native
bees, increase in exotics, ecosystem level
effects12. Changes in Carbon Storage1/4
greenhouse gases are byproducts of cutting
rainforestcarbon storage and cycling
changeschange in in soil, trees, atmosphere
37ECOBUSINESSES TERRACYCLE MAKING MONEY FROM TRASH
http//www.terracycle.net/index.htm
38Connectivity
- How is connectivity different than connectedness?
- What is structural vs functional connectivity?
39Measuring Landscape Connectedness
- Fragstats Computer Program (1995)
- McGarigal, K., S. A. Cushman, M. C. Neel, and E.
Ene. 2002. FRAGSTATS Spatial Patterns Analysis
Program for Categorical Maps. - www.umass.edu/landeco/research/fragstats/fragstats
.html
40Patch, Class and Landscape Metrics
- Area/density/edge metrics
- Shape metrics
- Core area metrics
- Isolation/proximity metrics
- Contrast metrics
- Contagion/interspersion metrics
- Connectivity metrics
- Diversity metrics
41Roads as Barriers
- US department of Transportation - Critter
Crossings web page www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/wi
ldlifecrossings/ - Wildlands CPR NGO in US with goal of minimizing
impacts
42Tombulak and Frissell 2000 (Cons. Biol 1418 -
30)
- Seven General Effects of Roads?
- Increased mortality from road construction
- Increased mortality from collision with vehicles
- Modification of animal behavior
- Alteration of physical environment
- Alteration of chemical environment
- Spread of exotic species
- Increased alteration use by humans
43Underpasses
44Measuring Functional Connectivity
45THE EFFECTS OF HUMAN INFLUENCES ON BLACK BEAR
HABITAT SELECTION AND MOVEMENT PATTERNS WITHIN A
HIGHWAY CORRIDOR
Jesse Lewis and Janet Rachlow
46STUDY AREA
- Purcell Mountains
- 60 km of Highway 95
- Pacific maritime climate
- Elevation
- 540 1950 m
- Forested with
- Timber management
47METHODS
Black bear capture
- 2005 and 2006
- Aldrich foot snares
- Lotek GPS collars (20 minute fix interval)
- Visit dens each winter to retrieve GPS collars
48RESULTS black bear locations
49RESULTS
Black bear use of forest
50RESULTS
USE OF CLEAR-CUTS
51RESULTS
Black bear home ranges using the Brownian bridge
- Males averaged 80.9 km2 ( range 36.3 129.5
km2 ) - Females averaged 35.0 km2 ( range 12.2 47.6
km2 ) -
-
-
52 Grizzly Bear Gene Flow and Roads Proctor
et al. 2005
400 bears 15 microsat loci
53Landscape Genetics of Wolverines
Niko Balkenhol, Neil Anderson, Mike Schwartz,
Jeff Copeland, Bob Inman, Lisette Waits
54Data Set
210 individuals 16 microsatellite
loci Calculated genetic distance between each
pair
MT
WY
ID
55Wolverine Genetics
9 genetic studies in North America Alaska
Canada
- High levels of gene flow
- Limited levels of gene flow
- Small effective population size -
-Lower levels of genetic diversity
Cegelski et al 2003, 2006 Kyle Strobeck 2001,
2002 Schwartz et al in press
56Previous Work at UI
Cegelski et al (2003) Molecular Ecology 12
2907-2918
57Potentially Important Variables
Climatic Vegetative Anthropogenic Topographi
c
Snow depth Conifer forest cover Forest
edge Road density Housing density Populatio
n density Elevation Ruggedness
58Important Landscape Variables That Influence
Connectivity/Gene Flow
Influence of space at
variable contribution
59Landscape Model of Connectivity
Landscape resistance