NREL Analysis Forum Technology Issues

1
NREL Analysis Forum Technology Issues

• Ron Lehr
• AWEA Western Representative
• rllehr_at_msn.com
• 303 504 0940

2
RE, EE Technologies, Markets

• Utility Scale Wind Turbines
• Utility Markets
• RPS COLORADO and 16 other states
• Generation diversity markets
• Gas price response
• Climate change motivation
• Voluntary market
• Pollution mitigation

3
Market Opportunities

• Meet load growthmetro IOU IRP, default service
• Rural utility export to market
• Export to coastal, climate markets
• Municipal, cooperative utilities consortium
  projects
• Local community owned projects
• Merchant wind energy projects

4
Analytic Issues

• Wind integration, operational costs
• Forecasting methods, value
• Wind capacity value
• Effective Load Carrying Capability
• Transmission
• physical versus contract availability
• Interconnection technical issues
• Low voltage ride through
• Reactive power
• Stabilizers and voltage regulators

5
Information, Analysis, Tools

• Wind data sets
• Anemometer, weather data
• Wind plant operating data
• Virtual anemometer data
• Clone Michael Milligan
• Regional DSM inputs
• Distributed Generation models

6
Analytic Issues

• Making the case for wind transmission--
• Non Wires Alternatives
• DSM, controls, operating efficiencies
• Upgrades of existing lines
• Need for, economics of new transmission
• RMATS Phase IItechnical, financial
• SWATwind development plan
• MISO, ERCOTnew lines for wind
• Californiaconnecting the dots for exports
• Siting, NIMBY issues

7
Analysis Tools, Improvements

• Tools Henwood Prosym, GE Strategist production
  cost modelsRE economics
• Operations and integration cost models
• Transmission planning, DG economics
• Need assumptions to feed models
• Need experts on modeling black boxes
• Need targeted, consistent, long term outreach to
  state PUCs, legislatures

8
Decision Venues

• Utility business plans, IOU, Muni, Coop
• Integrated resource, least cost, default plans
• PUC approvals plans, CPCNs, rates
• PUC rules RES implementation
• Transmission plans RTO, PMA, WECC, subregional
  (NTAC, RMATS, SWAT, STEP)
• Policy plans WGA, BEP
• Legislation legislatures, initiatives
• Municipal franchises