Title: Slide sem ttulo
1PROPOSAL FOR A SOLAR HELIOSPHERE 3-D
VISUALIZATION WITH ACCURATE SPACE WEATHER
FORECASTING COMBINING THE OBSERVATIONS NASAS
STEREO MISSION AND THE GLOBAL MUON DETECTOR
NETWORK - GMDN
NELSON JORGE SCHUCH 1, Alisson Dal Lago 2, Marlos
Rockenbach da Silva 2, Ezequiel Echer 2, Walter
Demétrio Gonzalez Alarcon 2, Carlos Roberto Braga
1,2, Marcos Vinicius Dias Silveira 1,2, Tardelli
Ronan Coelho Stekel 1, Nikolas Kemmerich 1, Lucas
Ramos Vieira 1, Damaris Kirsch Pinheiro3,
Kazuoki Munakata 4, Chihiro Kato 4, Akira
Fushishita 3, Zenjirou Fujii 5, John W. Bieber 6,
Paul Evenson 6, Takao Kuwabara 6, Marcus L.
Duldig 7, John E. Humble 8, Ashot Chilingarian 9,
Ismail Sabbah 10.
1. Southern Regional Space Research Center -
CRS/INPE, Santa Maria, RS, Brazil 2. National
Institute for Space Research - DGE/CEA/INPE, São
José dos Campos, SP, Brazil 3. Santa Maria
Space Science Laboratory - LACESM/CT- UFSM, Santa
Maria, RS, Brazil 4. Shinshu University, Japan
5. STE Laboratory, Nagoya University, Japan
6. Bartol Research Institute, University of
Delaware, USA 7. Australian Government
Antarctic Division, Australia 8. University of
Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia 9.
Alikhanyan Physics Institute, Armenia 10.
Physics Department, Faculty of Science,
University of Alexandria, Alexandria, Egypt
XXVII IAU GENERAL ASSEMBLY JD16 IHY Global
Campaign Whole Heliosphere IntervalAUGUST 03
14, 2009 Rio de Janeiro - Brazil
2SOUTHERN REGIONAL SPACE RESEARCH CENTER
CRS/INPE Panoramic view of the main building of
the at Santa Maria, RS, Brazil AN ACTIVE AND
PASSIVE SITE FOR INSTRUMENTATION SYSTEMS
SOUTHERN SPACE OBSERVATORY SSO/CRS/INPE Main gate
and buildings 1, 2, 3, 5 and 6 at São Martinho da
Serra, RS, Brazil
Geographic Coordination Latitude 29º 26
24,06 S Longitude 53º 48 38,98 W Ellipsoidal
Altitude 488 m
Geomagnetic Coordination Latitude 19º 13 48
S Longitude 16º 30 E Inclination or dip 33º
S Total Geomagnetic Field 22,800 nT.
A PASSIVE SITE FOR INSTRUMENTATION SYSTEMS
3SOLAR - TERRESTRIAL INTERACTIONS SPACE WEATHER
FORECASTING THE GLOBAL MUON DETECTOR NETWORK
(GMDN) AN INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION Japan USA
Brazil Australia Kuwait Prof. Kazuoki
Munakata International PI. Dr. John W. Bieber
USA PI. Dr. Nelson Jorge Schuch Brazilian
PI. The Muon Team At present the muon realtime
data are based on observations from
multi-directional muon detectors located in 3
locations Nagoya - Japan São Martinho da Serra
- Brazil Hobart - Australia. Participating
institutions include the Shinshu University and
Nagoya University (Japan), University of Delaware
(USA), Southern Space Observatory of INPE and
Federal University of Santa Maria (Brazil),
Australian Antarctic Division and University of
Tasmania Hobart (Australia), and the University
of Kuwait (Kuwait).
4MULTIDIRECTIONAL MUON DETECTOR - MMD
Ground-based detectors measure byproducts of the
interaction of primary cosmic rays (predominantly
protons and helium nuclei) with Earths atmosphere
Typical energy of primary 50 GeV for Galactic
cosmic rays (surface muon detector)
5THE BRAZILIAN SOUTHERN SPACE OBSERVATORY SSO
MULTI DIRECTIONAL MUON DETECTOR - MMD (2 x 4 x 7)
Operational Since December 2005
6PHYSICAL MECHANISM CAUSING LOSS-CONE PRECURSORS
Cosmic Rays from Forbush Decrease region travel
to the upstream Earth with the speed of light
overtaking the shock ahead.
Intensity deficit confined in a cone
Loss-cones are typically visible 4-8 hours ahead
of shock arrival for shocks associates with major
geomagnetic storms. (Munakata et al., JGR, 105,
2000).
Nagashima et al. 1992, Ruffolo 1999
7GEOMAGNETIC STORMS OBSERVATED WITH THE BRAZILIAN
MMD
December 2006
October-November 2003
The SSOs MMD loss-cone signature observed with
the vertical channel.
8LOSS-CONE PRECURSOR RECORDED WITH SSO MMD
IHY Global Campaign WHI (Whole Heliosphere
Interval) is the CR 2068 (March 20 to April 16,
2008)
y
z
x
Cosmic ray anysotropy for March 26th (2008) and
it looks like ther is a small effect in the x
component of the anisotropy, exactly inside the
HSS (High Speed Stream) Private information
from Alisson Dal Lago and Marlos Rockenbach da
Silva
The loss cone has 3hr duration implying 45 deg
width, and it onsets first in the eastward
viewing channel, then vertical and westward, as
expected for an anisotropic depression of the
cosmic ray intensity.
9The Brazilian INPEs Space Weather Real Time
Monitor
http//www.inpe.br/climaespacial/
10GMDN - Space Weather Prediction with Cosmic Rays
http//neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/spaceweather/
11THE SKY COVERAGE OF THE GLOBAL MUON DETECTOR
NETWORK (GMDN)
The GMDN geographic location (big star) of each
detector. The symbols (squares, triangles and
circles) shows the existing asymptotic viewing
direction of a particle incident to each
Multidirectional Muon Detector (MMD) with the
median primary rigidity, after correction for
geomagnetic bending of cosmic ray orbits. The
track through each symbol represents the spread
of viewing directions corresponding to the
central 80 of each multidirectional detectors
energy response.
Nagoya, Japan 17 directions Hobart, Australia
13 Kuwait, Kuwait 13 São Martinho da Serra,
Brazil 17 (V, N, S, E, W, NE, NW, SE, SW, N2, S2,
E2, W2, N3, S3, E3, W3)
1260 directional channels in the Global Muon
Detector Network (GMDN)
13OBSERVATIONS WITH THE GLOBAL MUON DETECTOR
NETWORK (GMDN) NOVEMBER 2004
Geomagnetic Dst Index on superintense geomagnetic
storm
Count rate for three MMD stations São Martinho
da Serra, Hobart, Nagoya
14GMDN - Space Weather Prediction with Cosmic Rays
http//neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/spaceweather/
Muon Network Loss Cone Display and Bidirectional
Streaming Display
Cosmic Ray Flow Direction from Muon Network
15STEREO (Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory)
is the third mission in NASA's Solar Terrestrial
Probes Program (STP).
- The STEREO Spacecraft with its four systems
of instruments - SECCHI - - SWAVES
- - IMPACT
- - PLASTIC.
Source http//www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/st
ereo/spacecraft/index.html. Image Credit APL
16- Source http//www.nasa.gov/images/content/308784m
ain_ST_orbit_800x600.jpg
17Dr. David Webb STEREO SPACE WEATHER PAGE
http//secchi.nrl.navy.mil/spwx/
18FUTURE PLANS It is suggested the combination of
real time data and other information from NASAs
STEREO Mission with GMDN (Global Muon Detector
Network)
Development of a new methodology and technique
for applied international services to permit
Solar Heliosphere 3-D visualization with
accurate Space Weather forecasting. With
possible support from USA NSF BRAZIL
FAPESP, MCT(FINEP CNPq)
19Obrigado
Thanks
Nelson Jorge Schuch njschuch_at_lacesm.ufsm.br
XXVII IAU GENERAL ASSEMBLY JD16 IHY Global
Campaign Whole Heliosphere IntervalAUGUST 03
14, 2009 Rio de Janeiro - Brazil