Title: The music theme
1The music theme
- From humble beginnings, the ApexHi group had a
vision to create a reputation for successful
performances. - Since inception, they have added members to the
group who have been instrumental in creating a
harmonious yet powerful backdrop to their
performance. - They have battled against the odds to break
records year on year, and continue to rock n
roll!
2ANNUAL RESULTS 2008
3Todays line up
- Rewind Position at 30 June 2007
- Play Results for year to 30 June 2008
- Pause Position at 30 June 2008
- Fast forward 2009 scenario
4Rewind
5Balance sheet at 30 June 2007
6Position at 30 June 2007
7Property portfolio at 30 June 2007
8Lease expiry profile at 30 June 2007
9The market at 30 June 2007
The performance of the SA listed property sector
in June was driven by the weakness in the bond
markets with the R157 bond yield weakening to
8,5. (Catalyst Fund Managers)
10Our strategy at 30 June 2007
- Drive core income
- Renewals, escalations and letting vacant space
- Control costs
- Property costs expected to rise at 7
- Manage the cost of debt
- Non-core income
- Clearwater guarantee fee
- Other possibilities
- Acquisitions and disposals (target of R500m net)
- Development fees from residential
11What we promised last year
12Play
- Results for year to 30 June 2008
13Abridged income statement to 30 June 2008
Excluding effects of straight-lining of leases
14Distributions (cents)
15Leases concluded
The area over which leases were concluded is more
than the total lettable area of the retail
portions of Sandton City, Canal Walk, Menlyn Park
and Gateway Shopping Centres combined!
16Letting activity
17Rentals
18Non-core income
- Profit on sale of residential properties held for
trading - 109 of 133 sectional title Berea Lofts were sold,
of which 101 were transferred in May 2008 - Profit of R14,2-million (5,4 cents)
- Guarantee fee Clearwater Capital
- Guarantee fee payable by Clearwater based on the
market price of the C unit in June 2010
assumed to be R7,50 - Profit of R10,4-million (3,9 cents)
19Property expenses
20Acquisitions
21Disposals
22Refurbishments
23Liquidity
24Total returns vs PLS and Alsi
25PLS sector prices and interest rate increases
262007 forecast vs 2008 actual performance (cents)
27Pause
28Structure and model
29Balance sheet
30Valuation of properties
- All 304 properties were valued at 30 June 2008
- Properties under R10-million at last valuation
date were valued by the directors (5,5 of the
total value) - All other properties were valued by independent
valuers - Value gave rise to fair value upward adjustment
of R360,9-million increasing the value
of the portfolio to R9,2-billion. - The R9,2-billion valuation represents a forward
yield of 11,6 (2007 11,3)
31Balance sheet cont
32Summary of borrowings at 30 June 2008
Average length of all fixes is approximately 8
years
33Position at 30 June 2008
34Property portfolio at 30 June 2008
35Sectoral spread by lettable area
36Sectoral spread by rentals
37Location
38Geographical spread
39Vacancy profile
40Vacancies as a result of refurbishments
41Tenant profile by area
42Tenant profile by rentals
43Lease expiry profile at 30 June 2008
So, once again, the area over which leases need
to be concluded in the next financial year is
more than the total lettable area of the retail
portions of Sandton City, Canal Walk, Menlyn Park
and Gateway Shopping Centres combined!
44The market at 30 June 2008
The SA Listed Property Sector has experienced a
significant valuation decline, having pulled back
30 since its high on 7 November 2007.
(Catalyst Fund Managers)
45The market at 30 June 2008
- Retail
- ApexHis retail portfolio mainly serves the
commuter market - Market less affected by interest rates
- Affected by rising food prices and transport
costs - Research this market continues to spend, but
more disposable income goes into basics (food) - ApexHis centres well positioned to benefit from
this spend per head - ApexHis centres continue to show growth in
contrast to urban shopping centres, which are
now reflecting static or reduced consumer spending
46The market at 30 June 2008
- Offices
- Balance in demand and supply favouring landlords
- Sharp rise in office rentals in almost all
locations - ApexHis largest office tenant is the South
African Government and parastatals - Increase in demand for office space
- Likelihood of renewal high
- Increases in building costs and delays in passing
plans for new office developments should result
in continued growth in income in this sector.
47The market at 30 June 2008
- Industrial
- Balance in demand and supply favouring landlords
- Even more pronounced than in office sector
- Dramatic increase in industrial rentals
- ApexHi has benefitted from its limited investment
in this area of the market
48Fast forward
49Strategy
- Grow income
- Manage risk
- Improve rating
- Residential
- Charitable Trust
50Grow income
- Primary objective to increase income distribution
per unit on an annual basis - Growth in rentals into 2009 estimated to be 11
- Escalations in leases of between 8 and 12
- Increases in rentals of 15 as a result of
renewals - Long term growth in income per unit of 11 per
annum - Identify opportunities for one off gains from
guarantee fees and development profits - Identify opportunities for acquisitions and
disposals
51Manage risk
- Costs expected to escalate by 12
- Target to keep cost increases at two percentage
points below increases in rents, but in 2009 we
expect higher costs due to - Increased assessment rates
- Increased electricity tariffs
- Interest rates are fixed. Gearing is low at 15
of the property value - Insurance
- Self-insured limit increase from R100 000 to R250
000 - Insurance cover now based on replacement values
52Improve rating
- Dispose of underperforming properties
- Identify next tranche of disposals
- Improve the quality of the existing portfolio
- Complete refurbishment programme
- Location and geographical spread
- Maintain spread, but in concentrated nodes
- A-grade tenants
- Where the likelihood of renewal is high
- Size and liquidity
- 2nd largest property company by market
capitalisation - One of the most liquid counters in the sector
- Management
- Strong team of 9 people seconded from Madison
53Residential
- Softstone portfolio
- Lease units to achieve maximum return
- Dispose of properties /units when the
opportunities arise - Any cash surplus when the entire portfolio is
finally disposed of will be shared with Aengus
54Charitable Trust
- ApexHi has announced its intention to establish a
Charitable Trust as part of its commitment to the
sustainable and long-term economic and social
development of underprivileged communities in
areas in which the company is invested - Subject to unit holder approval on 15 August 2008
55The two scenarios - assumptions
- Low note
- Net income on core investment portfolio
- 11 rental growth
- 12 increase in property expenses
- Non-core income
- Rental income offset by trading losses no
earnings - 4,29 cents from Clearwater guarantee fee
- (based on C unit price in 2010 of R7,50)
- Head office and corporate costs
- Asset management fee of R38 per combined unit
56The two scenarios - assumptions
- High note
- Net income on core investment portfolio
- 11,1 rental growth
- 12 increase in property expenses
- Non-core income
- 8,97 cents from residential
- 5,88 cents from Clearwater guarantee fee
- (based on C unit price in 2010 of R8,00)
- Head office and corporate costs
- Asset management fee of R33 per combined unit
57The two scenarios
58The two scenarios distributions per unit
The distribution structure will change when the
93,75 cents per quarter threshold is reached.
Based on the above high note scenario, the
threshold will be reached in the third quarter of
the 2009 financial year.
59Distribution structure
Cents per quarter
60Thanks
- Directors
- Madison and the great team assigned to ApexHi
- Broll and our other outsourcees
- Our auditors Grant Thornton
- Our sponsors Java Capital
- Investment Analysts Society
- Rico Schacherl, our cartoon illustrator
- And a special thanks to Sandra Mason of
theCOMMSdepartment
61Questions
?