Theme I

1
Theme I

• Mankind Is One of the Most Coastally Dependent
  Species in the Biosphere (Schubel and Hirschberg
  1978)
• That Dependency will Result in Ever Increasing
• CONFLICTS!

2
Theme II Where Multiple Desirable but Competing
Objectives Exist, it is not Possible to Maximize
Eachand in any System with Multiple Competing
Objectives, it will not be Possible to Meet Every
One U.S Commission on
Ocean Policy 2004
3
Challenge Question 1

• How do we Address the Sacrifices, Compromises
  and Tradeoffs that will Be Necessary to Balance
  Ecology and Economy?

4

• Challenge Question 2
• How will Humans and the Other Biota Share
  Space and Resources in the 21st Century and
  Beyond?

5
Theme III PARADOX OF THE DUAL MANDATE

• Natural Systems Change (Dynamicism),
  Uncertainty, and Unpredictability are the Norms
• Human Dominated Systems Stability and
  Predictability are not only Necessary, but
  Essential.
• The Paradox
• How Do We Preserve the Dynamicism and Natural
  Functions of Ecosystems, while Buffering Our Core
  Technologies Against Natural Variation and
  Unpredictability and Ensuring the Reliable
  Provision of Goods and Services?

6
Challenge Question 3

• How Do We Preserve the Natural Functions of
  Ecosystems While Ensuring Their Reliable
  Provision of Goods and Services?

7
Theme IV

• Ecosystem Baselines (for Management) will be a
  Direct Function of Human Dominance in the Shore
  Zone
• Baselines Have to Be Set at Realistic Levels in
  the Anthropocene

8
Theme V

• It Seems to Me that the Nature of True Tragedy is
  when Something is so Badly Broken that with the
  Best Will in the World, You Cant Put It Back
  Together Again and What Was Broken Has to Stay
  Broken
• Salman Rushdie 2005